The Late, Late Show

Late Goals

Late goals are part of the very fabric of football, keeping us on the edge of our seats in anticipation of what yet may unfold.

Who, for example, could ever forget the dramatic turnaround that saw Manchester United prize the Champions League trophy from Bayern Munich's grasp in 1999 or Steve Claridge's 25-yard shinner that edged Leicester past Crystal Palace in the 1996 Playoff final (just me then!)?

My blog this week aims to take a closer look at goals scored in the 90th minute and beyond (i.e. 89:01 minutes onwards), concentrating on their importance this season in both the Premier League and the Championship.

Premier League

This table shows the number of 90th-minute goals scored and conceded by each of the 20 top-flight clubs in the Premier League so far this season, as well as how many points these strikes have won and lost them respectively and what difference this has made to their overall 'Points Total':

Scored Points Won Conceded Points Lost Points Total
Arsenal 5 6 3 1 5
Aston Villa 1 2 1 2 0
Blackburn Rovers 1 1 6 4 -3
Bolton Wanderers 2 0 2 0 0
Chelsea 4 1 2 0 1
Everton 4 4 1 0 4
Fulham 1 2 7 4 -2
Liverpool 2 0 3 1 -1
Manchester City 7 2 1 1 1
Manchester United 3 2 3 0 2
Newcastle United 3 1 2 1 0
Norwich City 2 2 4 3 -1
Queens Park Rangers 2 1 0 0 1
Stoke City 1 1 1 1 0
Sunderland 4 4 4 4 0
Swansea City 2 0 3 2 -2
Tottenham Hotspur 3 0 2 1 -1
West Bromwich Albion 2 2 1 0 2
Wigan Athletic 1 2 3 2 0
Wolverhampton Wanderers 0 0 1 0 0
  • Title-chasing Manchester City have netted more 90th-minute goals than anyone else in the division, registering seven in total
  • Relegation-threatened Wolves are the only top-flight team not to have scored a 90th-minute goal
  • Arsenal have gained six points through scoring 90th-minute goals, more than any other team in the division
  • Manchester City have gained only two points through the scoring of seven 90th-minute goals
  • Surprisingly, QPR are the only team in the division not to have conceded a 90th-minute goal
  • Fulham (7) and Blackburn (6) have conceded the most 90th-minute goals
  • Despite conceding three 90th-minute goals, Manchester United have not lost any points through doing so
  • Arsenal (5) and Everton (4) have been the biggest beneficiaries (in points terms) of games lasting longer than 89 minutes
  • Blackburn (-3) have been the team to suffer most (in points terms) as a result of games lasting longer than 89 minutes

This is how the 2011/12 Premier League table would currently look if all matches had stopped after 89 minutes, with the 'Up/Down' column showing how the revised position of each team differs from the reality:

Played Points Goal Difference Up/Down
1st Manchester City 28 65 43 Up 1
2nd Manchester United 28 65 41 Down 1
3rd Tottenham Hotspur 28 54 17 Same
4th Chelsea 28 48 14 Up 1
5th Arsenal 28 47 16 Down 1
6th Newcastle United 28 44 -2 Same
7th Liverpool 28 43 8 Same
8th Fulham 28 38 6 Up 2
9th Swansea City 28 38 -2 Up 2
10th Sunderland 28 37 5 Down 2
11th Norwich City 28 37 -4 Up 1
12th Stoke City 28 36 -12 Up 1
13th West Bromwich Albion 28 33 -4 Up 1
14th Aston Villa 28 33 -4 Up 1
15th Everton 28 33 -6 Down 6
16th Blackburn Rovers 28 28 -15 Same
17th Bolton Wanderers 28 23 -26 Same
18th Wolverhampton Wanderers 28 22 -27 Up 1
19th Queens Park Rangers 28 21 -21 Down 1
20th Wigan Athletic 28 21 -27 Same
  • The title race would become even closer, with just two goals separating the Manchester clubs at the top of the table
  • Tottenham would gain some much needed breathing space in the third Champions League qualification spot
  • Chelsea would climb above Arsenal in the race for fourth, with Newcastle and Liverpool also taking closer order
  • The middle of the table would remain as congested as ever, with Everton dropping six places to 15th
  • Blackburn would move six points clear of the relegation zone, with their goal difference also improving in relation to their fellow strugglers

Championship

This table shows the number of 90th-minute goals scored and conceded by each of the 24 second-tier clubs in the Championship so far this season, as well as how many points these strikes have won and lost them respectively and what difference this has made to their overall 'Points Total':

Scored Points Won Conceded Points Lost Points Total
Barnsley 1 0 5 2 -2
Birmingham City 6 5 2 2 3
Blackpool 9 8 4 5 3
Brighton & Hove Albion 5 8 5 4 4
Bristol City 3 5 6 2 3
Burnley 4 4 5 4 0
Cardiff City 3 4 4 1 3
Coventry City 3 5 6 8 -3
Crystal Palace 4 3 2 3 0
Derby County 2 2 2 1 1
Doncaster Rovers 0 0 7 5 -5
Hull City 2 3 1 1 2
Ipswich Town 4 4 7 5 -1
Leeds United 10 9 4 5 4
Leicester City 3 0 3 3 -3
Middlesbrough 2 2 2 2 0
Millwall 0 0 4 1 -1
Nottingham Forest 3 3 2 2 1
Peterborough United 7 7 2 3 4
Portsmouth 4 5 4 2 3
Reading 6 7 2 0 7
Southampton 3 1 1 0 1
Watford 2 1 4 3 -2
West Ham United 3 0 5 3 -3
  • Leeds (10) and Blackpool (9) have netted more 90th-minute goals than any other teams in the division
  • Strugglers Doncaster and Millwall are the only two teams not to have scored a 90th-minute goal
  • The five 90th-minute goals scored by Brighton have yielded an impressive eight points
  • Leicester and West Ham have both failed to gain any points as a result of scoring three 90th-minute goals
  • Every team in the division has conceded at least one 90th-minute goal
  • Doncaster and Ipswich have been most vulnerable to 90th-minute goals, both conceding seven
  • High-flying Reading and Southampton are the only two teams not to have dropped any points as a result of conceding 90th-minute goals
  • Relegation-threatened Coventry (8) have lost more points than any other team in the division as a result of conceding 90th-minute goals
  • Reading (7) have been the team to benefit most (in points terms) as a result of games lasting longer than 89 minutes
  • Doncaster (-5) have been the team to suffer most (in points terms) as a result of games lasting longer than 89 minutes

This is how the 2011/12 Championship table would currently look if all matches had stopped after 89 minutes, with the 'Up/Down' column showing how the revised position of each team differs from the reality:

Played Points Goal Difference Up/Down
1st West Ham United 35 69 23 Up 2
2nd Southampton 36 68 30 Down 1
3rd Reading 36 60 14 Down 1
4th Middlesbrough 35 59 6 Same
5th Hull City 35 55 8 Up 1
6th Cardiff City 36 54 8 Up 1
7th Brighton & Hove Albion 36 54 8 Down 2
8th Leicester City 36 54 7 Up 3
9th Birmingham City 35 53 15 Down 1
10th Blackpool 36 53 5 Down 1
11th Crystal Palace 35 49 2 Up 1
12th Leeds United 36 49 -1 Down 2
13th Watford 36 49 -10 Up 2
14th Burnley 35 48 5 Same
15th Derby County 36 48 -8 Down 2
16th Ipswich Town 35 46 -4 Same
17th Barnsley 36 45 -7 Same
18th Millwall 36 38 -7 Up 1
19th Peterborough United 35 37 -8 Down 1
20th Doncaster Rovers 35 36 -17 Up 2
21st Nottingham Forest 36 34 -23 Down 1
22nd Coventry City 36 33 -16 Up 1
23rd Bristol City 36 31 -24 Down 2
24th Portsmouth 35 23 -6 Same
  • Reading would be catapulted out of the title race, leaving West Ham and Southampton almost certain of promotion
  • The six-point gap to the final playoff place would extend from Leicester in 11th (reality) to Derby in 15th
  • Big-spending Leicester would move from six points to within a single-goal of the final playoff spot
  • Peterborough United would be sucked into the relegation battle, seeing their ten-point cushion over the bottom three reduced to just four
  • Doncaster Rovers would move from three points adrift of safety to three points clear of the relegation zone
  • Bristol City would do exactly the opposite of Doncaster, moving from three points clear of safety to three points adrift of salvation in the relegation zone
  • Portsmouth would slip a further three points away from safety, meaning that they would find themselves in the relegation zone even without suffering a ten-point deduction

Summary

An impressive 50 and 89 goals respectively have been scored in the 90th-minute of games in the Premier League and Championship this season. Though not all of these strikes have resulted in points being won or lost, it is remarkable to see just what an impact they have had on the campaigns of certain clubs. Arsenal and Reading, for example, have benefited greatly, whilst Blackburn and Doncaster have both suffered more than most.

Fancy a bet on some late goals being scored? Here's our picks for some matches with teams who love a late goal with odds from BetFred.

Man City v Chelsea

Everton v Arsenal

Blackburn v Sunderland

Leeds v West Ham

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3 Comments

  1. Posted March 15, 2012 at 3:44 pm | Permalink

    The other one that stands out for me is the Arsenal v Spurs battle. Without the 89+ mins goals, Arsenal would be 7 points behind Spurs still. Then again Mr Persie does tend to score when he wants so maybe it was by choice?

  2. Posted March 20, 2012 at 5:17 pm | Permalink

    Interesting that only 8 points separate the team that gained the most (Arsenal) and the team that lost the most (Blackburn).

    It seems that 90th minute winners happen less often than most tend to think.

  3. Posted July 29, 2013 at 1:17 pm | Permalink

    Jag önskar att man skrivit det här själv! kudos!

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