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Atlanta United v Philadelphia Union : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 18th May, 00:30 BST, Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta

the Mercedes-Benz Stadium plays host on Sunday morning, as Ronny Deila's Atlanta United welcome Bradley Wellmen's Philadelphia Union in the Major League Soccer. Our predictions for each betting market are based on the past 20 games for each team (at home, away or overall) with additional weight assigned to top teams. All the statistics and infographics are tailored for the betting market in question. Head to head (H2H) stats for this fixture are also given if there is some fixture history. Odds are provided straight from from leading bookmakers.


Best Tip: Both teams to score

Both Philadelphia and Atlanta fans may have some reason for celebration ahead as their clubs go head-to-head, with our prediction of both teams to score looking a far more convincing pick than any bet on the full time result market. The two clubs have plenty in attack, as is borne out by the statistics and past head-to-head data below. Even the bookmakers odds are not finding much to pick between the sides, with equal threat among their respective squads. Both teams to score is our top tip.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 40% chance of Philadelphia coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Atlanta
36%
23/20
23%
-
Draw
24%
27/10
6%
-
Philadelphia
40%
19/10
26%
-
Draw 1-1
11%
13/2
7%
-
Philadelphia 2-1
9%
10/1
16%
-
Atlanta 2-1
8%
8/1
18%
-
Philadelphia 1-0
8%
11/1
33%
-
Atlanta 1-0
7%
9/1-
Draw 2-2
6%
11/1
8%
-
Philadelphia 2-0
6%
16/1
42%
-
Atlanta 2-0
5%
11/1
20%
-
Draw 0-0
5%
14/1
25%
-
Philadelphia 3-1
4%
20/1
11%
-
Atlanta 3-1
4%
14/1
29%
-
Philadelphia 3-2
3%
25/1-
Philadelphia 3-0
3%
33/1
48%
-
Atlanta 3-2
3%
20/1
28%
-
Atlanta 3-0
3%
20/1
28%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
13/20
8%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
6/5
10%
-
Home 1st Goal
48%
4/6
24%
-
Away 1st Goal
49%
6/5
27%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
14/1
25%
-
BTTS - Yes
60%
4/7
6%
-
BTTS - No
40%
5/4
7%
-
BTTS - Home Win
19%
11/4
25%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/2-
BTTS - Away Win
21%
4/1
15%
-
Home/draw
60%
2/5
11%
-
Away/draw
64%
4/6
19%
-
Home/away
76%
2/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
1/5
4%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
10/3
15%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
13/8
13%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
65%
4/9
6%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
7/2
25%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
2/11
5%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
9/1
23%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/16
2%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/33
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
14/1
25%
-
Home DNB
53%
8/13
19%
-
Away DNB
57%
6/5
27%
-
Atlanta win to nil
16%
10/3
21%
-
Philadelphia win to nil
19%
5/1
39%
-
Atlanta / Atlanta
23%
5/2
22%
-
Atlanta / Philadelphia
3%
25/1
13%
-
Atlanta / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Atlanta
15%
9/2
15%
-
Draw / Philadelphia
11%
13/2
25%
-
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1
9%
-
Philadelphia / Atlanta
4%
20/1
19%
-
Philadelphia / Philadelphia
17%
15/4
27%
-
Philadelphia / Draw
6%
12/1-
Win / draw / win form
Atlanta 14TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
Philadelphia 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
7
Atlanta have not lost to Philadelphia in 7 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Atlanta since 2018
Atlanta
Philadelphia
Goals: Scored
12
6
Games: Scored
6 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
1 / 7
ATL
3
D
4
League games at Philadelphia since 2018
Philadelphia
Atlanta
Goals: Scored
15
7
Games: Scored
6 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
1 / 7
ATL
1
D
1
PHI
5
Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Atlanta United of late. It has been 6 Major League Soccer games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.4 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Sunday morning against Philadelphia Union.

Philadelphia Union's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday morning, not least because Atlanta United have conceded in each of their last 9 Major League Soccer games. A PG of 1.5 for Bradley Wellmen's side suggests that run should continue.

Atlanta 14th Philadelphia 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Atlanta will score 1 or more goals
0
21%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Philadelphia will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-18
Atlanta have scored 18% fewer goals at home than predicted
+39
Philadelphia have scored 39% more goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
2.1
average goals scored
1.7
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Major League Soccer - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/290944/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Atlanta
PG (predicted goals)
Philadelphia
1.4
1.5
Attack rating
ATL
PHI
35%
better
view stats
Games scored7
10
Failed to score5
2
Scored first5
7
Goals scored13
23
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.9
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal8
5
Conversion rate for12
19
Avg. XG for1.5
1.7
KickOff rating
+35%
Defence rating
ATL
PHI
40%
better
view stats
Games conceded11
7
Clean sheets1
5
Conceded first6
4
Goals conceded22
12
Avg. goals conceded1.8
1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
8
Conversion rate against20%
13%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.2
KickOff rating
+40%

Atlanta v Philadelphia Major League Soccer lLine ups will show here when available.

Atlanta Major League Soccer squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12526
B Guzan E LathS LobzhanidzeE Lath
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Guzan  GLK12
1
-
S Lobzhanidze MID122
-
A Miranchuk MID121
1
-
B Slisz MID11
3
-
E Lath FWD1151
6
-
M Almirón FWD1131
1
-
L Abram DEF10
-
M Edwards DEF10
2
-
A Fortune MID10
2
-
B Lennon DEF92
-
M Klich MID9
3
-
S Gregersen DEF8
1
-
D Williams DEF8
-
T Muyumba MID8
1
-
J Thiaré FWD8
-
P Amador DEF7
1
-
N Cobb DEF7
-
X Silva FWD71
-
E Mosquera FWD61
2
-
R Pimentel DEF5
-
C Togashi FWD2
-
L Brennan FWD1
-
Philadelphia Major League Soccer squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12864
J GlesnesT BariboQ SullivanJ Lukic
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Glesnes DEF121
3
-
Q Sullivan MID1216
2
-
M Uhre FWD1222
1
-
I Vassilev MID1111
1
-
J Lukic MID1121
3
1
D Jacques MID1121
2
-
B Damiani FWD112
2
-
T Baribo FWD1181
2
-
K Wagner DEF105
1
-
O. Makhanya DEF10
2
1
A Blake GLK9
-
N Harriel DEF9
2
-
C Donovan FWD9
-
D Gazdag MID622
1
-
A Bedoya MID6
-
J Rafanello MID5
-
J Bueno MID5
-
I Glavinovich DEF41
1
-
A. Rick GLK3
1
-
C. Sullivan MID3
-
O Mbaizo DEF2
1
-
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