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Cincinnati v Toronto FC : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

TQL Stadium, Ohio

the TQL Stadium plays host on Sunday night, as Pat Noonan's Cincinnati welcome Robin Fraser's Toronto FC in the Major League Soccer. Statistics for our tip of are shown below, including head-to-head history. Flipping the market with the tabs changes all statistics and the odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers, allowing you do find the bet that suits you best.

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Cincinnati's next match is v New England at 18:30 on Sunday 15th March
Toronto FC's next match is v NY Red Bulls at 17:00 on Saturday 14th March
The last American Major League Soccer meeting between Cincinnati and Toronto was on Sunday 8th March 2026
American Major League Soccer
March 8th 2026
Cincinnati 0
1 Toronto
 
85' D. Salloi
 
CIN
TOR
Shots On
2
5
Shots Off
6
4
Corners
8
7
Possession
57%
43%
Fouls
14
11
Yellow/red cards
2/0
2/0
 
CincinnatiToronto
 
G. Flores Melgarejo (T. Hadebe 87')
N. Hagglund (K. Smith 87')
M. Robinson
O. Nwobodo
A. Denkey
T. Barlow (A. Jabbari 63')
R. Celentano
P. Bucha
G. Valenzuela (S. Gidi 63')
B. Ramírez León (K. Mboma Dem 90')
E. Echenique Peña (E. da Silva Ferreira 74')
L. Gavran
Z. Monlouis
B. Kuscevic Jaramillo
J. Cifuentes Charcopa
(A. Coello Camarero 90') D. Mihailovic
(D. Kerr 73') E. Aristizábal Chavarriaga
R. Laryea
(L. Stefanovic 73') W. Zimmerman
(D. Etienne Jr. 65') R. Edwards
J. Osorio
football iconD. Salloi

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Cincinnati or Toronto are in the kind of form that would have us feeling confident in tipping a match winner, so we're going with over 1.5 goals. The stats show that both have a proven record in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 80% chance of 2 goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Cincinnati are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 56% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.76.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Cincinnati
56%
4/6
3%
11/8
5%
Draw
22%
29/10
4%
7/5
10%
Toronto
22%
7/2
10%
13/5
Draw 1-1
10%
13/25/1
8%
Cincinnati 2-1
10%
15/211/1
Cincinnati 1-0
9%
8/1
6%
18/5
6%
Cincinnati 2-0
9%
17/2
6%
17/2
6%
Cincinnati 3-1
6%
12/128/1
Toronto 2-1
6%
14/1
15%
14/1
8%
Cincinnati 3-0
6%
14/122/1
8%
Toronto 1-0
5%
14/1
15%
5/1
Draw 2-2
5%
12/1
13%
25/1
8%
Draw 0-0
5%
14/1
15%
11/4
30%
Cincinnati 3-2
3%
20/1
9%
55/1
11%
Toronto 2-0
3%
25/1
13%
14/1
11%
Cincinnati 4-1
3%
22/1
12%
66/1
10%
Cincinnati 4-0
3%
25/1
10%
50/1
9%
Toronto 3-1
2%
33/140/1
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
13/20
5%
16/5
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
6/5
6%
1/5
5%
Home 1st Goal
54%
4/7
3%
11/20
3%
Away 1st Goal
43%
6/4
4%
13/8
No 1st Goal
3%
14/1
15%
12/1
30%
BTTS - Yes
57%
8/13
5%
2/1
BTTS - No
43%
6/5
7%
1/3
2%
BTTS - Home Win
28%
9/4
7%
15/2
4%
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/49/2
7%
BTTS - Away Win
12%
13/211/1
Home/draw
78%
2/11
3%
1/4
Away/draw
44%
11/10
5%
8/15
8%
Home/away
78%
1/41/2
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
2/11
3%
1/1
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
7/2
13%
7/10
8%
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
6/4
4%
9/1
4%
Under 3.5 Goals
65%
1/2
3%
1/20
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
7/2
18%
25/1
8%
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
2/11
4%
1/500
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
9/1
9%
50/1
5%
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/16
1%
1/200
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/33
1%
2/9
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
14/1
15%
14/5
30%
Home DNB
71%
3/10
2%
8/15
2%
Away DNB
38%
12/5
5%
11/8
5%
Cincinnati win to nil
28%
9/4
4%
-
Toronto win to nil
10%
8/1
13%
-
Cincinnati / Cincinnati
31%
13/8
4%
16/1
7%
Cincinnati / Toronto
2%
33/170/1
Cincinnati / Draw
6%
12/140/1
Draw / Cincinnati
17%
15/413/8
4%
Draw / Toronto
8%
9/1
11%
3/1
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2
8%
6/4
14%
Toronto / Cincinnati
4%
20/160/1
10%
Toronto / Toronto
12%
13/2
7%
25/1
7%
Toronto / Draw
6%
14/145/1
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
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Win / draw / win form
Cincinnati 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cincinnati2 - 0Atlanta
Cincinnati0 - 4Miami
Cincinnati2 - 1Columbus
Cincinnati1 - 0Columbus
Cincinnati3 - 0Montreal
Cincinnati1 - 1Orlando
Cincinnati2 - 1Nashville
Cincinnati0 - 1Philadelphia
Cincinnati0 - 1NY City
Cincinnati0 - 1Charlotte
Cincinnati3 - 0Miami
Cincinnati2 - 4Columbus
Cincinnati2 - 1Chicago
Cincinnati1 - 2DC United
Cincinnati3 - 3Dallas
Cincinnati2 - 1Austin
Cincinnati2 - 1Sporting KC
Cincinnati1 - 0New England
Cincinnati2 - 2Atlanta
Cincinnati2 - 0Toronto
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
11
D
2
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ACincinnati0 - 1Minnesota
HCincinnati2 - 0Atlanta
HCincinnati0 - 4Miami
HCincinnati2 - 1Columbus
ACincinnati0 - 4Columbus
HCincinnati1 - 0Columbus
HCincinnati3 - 0Montreal
ACincinnati1 - 0NY Red Bulls
HCincinnati1 - 1Orlando
ACincinnati3 - 2LA Galaxy
HCincinnati2 - 1Nashville
HCincinnati0 - 1Philadelphia
HCincinnati0 - 1NY City
ACincinnati3 - 2Portland
HCincinnati0 - 1Charlotte
ACincinnati0 - 0Miami
ACincinnati1 - 0Salt Lake
HCincinnati3 - 0Miami
HCincinnati2 - 4Columbus
HCincinnati2 - 1Chicago
Toronto 9TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
3
Draw
8
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Vancouver3 - 0Toronto
Dallas3 - 2Toronto
LAFC2 - 0Toronto
Chicago2 - 2Toronto
Columbus1 - 1Toronto
New England1 - 1Toronto
Atlanta0 - 0Toronto
Philadelphia1 - 1Toronto
Charlotte2 - 0Toronto
Nashville1 - 0Toronto
San Diego0 - 1Toronto
NY City3 - 1Toronto
Montreal1 - 6Toronto
Salt Lake0 - 1Toronto
Miami1 - 1Toronto
NY Red Bulls2 - 1Toronto
Cincinnati2 - 0Toronto
Orlando4 - 2Toronto
DC United2 - 2Toronto
Chicago1 - 1Toronto
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
3
Draw
10
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AToronto0 - 3Vancouver
AToronto2 - 3Dallas
HToronto4 - 2Orlando
AToronto0 - 2LAFC
AToronto2 - 2Chicago
HToronto1 - 1Miami
AToronto1 - 1Columbus
AToronto1 - 1New England
HToronto1 - 1Montreal
AToronto0 - 0Atlanta
HToronto1 - 1Columbus
AToronto1 - 1Philadelphia
AToronto0 - 2Charlotte
AToronto0 - 1Nashville
AToronto1 - 0San Diego
HToronto1 - 1Atlanta
AToronto1 - 3NY City
HToronto3 - 0Portland
HToronto1 - 1NY Red Bulls
HToronto0 - 2Charlotte
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Cincinnati have beaten Toronto in 3 consecutive league meetings
8
Cincinnati have not lost to Toronto in 8 consecutive league meetings
5
Cincinnati have kept a clean sheet in 5 consecutive home league meetings with Toronto
League games at Cincinnati since 2019
Cincinnati
Toronto
Goals: Scored
10
6
Games: Scored
5 / 7
2 / 7
Clean sheets
5 / 7
2 / 7
CIN
4
D
1
TOR
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Cincinnati
Cincinnati2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Cincinnati3 - 0
Cincinnati2 - 0
Cincinnati2 - 0
0 - 1Toronto
1 - 5Toronto
League games at Toronto since 2019
Toronto
Cincinnati
Goals: Scored
14
15
Games: Scored
6 / 7
7 / 7
Clean sheets
0 / 7
1 / 7
CIN
4
TOR
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toronto
0 - 1Cincinnati
3 - 4Cincinnati
2 - 3Cincinnati
1 - 2Cincinnati
Toronto3 - 2
Toronto3 - 2
Toronto2 - 1
Goal Statistics

Cincinnati's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday night, not least because Toronto FC have conceded in each of their last 9 Major League Soccer matches. A PG of 1.9 for P. Noonan's side suggests that run should continue.

Cincinnati 7th Toronto 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 85% probability that Cincinnati will score 1 or more goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Toronto will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-12
Cincinnati have scored 12% fewer goals at home than predicted
-1
Toronto’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.6
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Major League Soccer - 2026/2026 season
Cincinnati
PG (predicted goals)
Toronto
1.9
1.1
Attack rating
13%
better
CIN
TOR
view stats
Games scored1
1
Failed to score1
1
Scored first1
0
Goals scored2
2
Avg. goals scored1
1
Avg. shots per game8
7
Avg. shots per goal8
7
Conversion rate for13
14
Avg. XG for1.4
0.7
KickOff rating
+13%
Defence rating
64%
better
CIN
TOR
view stats
Games conceded1
2
Clean sheets1
0
Conceded first1
2
Goals conceded1
6
Avg. goals conceded0.5
3
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded16
3
Conversion rate against6%
38%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.9
KickOff rating
+64%

Cincinnati v Toronto Major League Soccer lLine ups will show here when available.

Cincinnati Major League Soccer squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3111
R CelentanoN HagglundE PeñaN Hagglund
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Celentano GLK3
-
N Hagglund DEF31
1
-
M Robinson  DEF3
-
G Melgarejo DEF3
-
E Peña MID31
1
-
P Bucha MID3
-
G Valenzuela MID3
-
O Nwobodo MID3
-
B Ramírez MID31
1
-
K Denkey FWD31
-
T Barlow FWD3
-
Subs
E Louro GLK
-
T Hadebe DEF3
-
K Smith DEF1
-
A Powell DEF2
-
Evander MID2
-
S. Gidi MID3
-
T Anunga MID1
-
K. Mboma Dem FWD2
-
A Jabbari FWD3
-
Toronto Major League Soccer squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3111
L GavranD SallóiR LaryeaB Kuscevic
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Gavran GLK3
-
R Laryea DEF31
-
Z. Monlouis DEF2
-
B Kuscevic DEF1
1
-
W Zimmerman DEF3
-
R Edwards DEF3
1
-
J Cifuentes MID3
1
-
J Osorio MID31
-
D Sallói MID31
-
E. Aristizábal Chavarriaga FWD3
-
Đorđe Mihailović FWD31
-
Subs
W Story GLK
-
K Franklin DEF2
-
L Stefanovic DEF1
-
K Thompson MID2
-
Alonso MID3
-
M Cimermancic MID
-
M. Henry MID2
1
-
D Junior FWD31
-
D Kerr FWD1
-