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New England Revolution v Cincinnati : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

Gillette Stadium, Foxborough

Caleb Porter's New England Revolution side are on home soil in the Major League Soccer on Sunday morning, as Pat Noonan's Cincinnati travel to the Gillette Stadium. The aim of this preview is, quite simply, to help you make the smartest bet possible. To this end, statistics for seventeen major betting market have been laid out below, with head to head (H2H) records and statistically significant form streaks highlighted. The best odds are provided too.

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New England Revolution's next match is v Nashville at 00:30 on Thursday 26th June
Cincinnati's next match is v Montreal at 00:30 on Thursday 26th June
The last American Major League Soccer meeting between New England and Cincinnati was on Sunday 15th June 2025
American Major League Soccer
June 15th 2025
New England 0
1 Cincinnati
 
26' A. Denkey
 
NER
CIN
Shots On
3
3
Shots Off
4
2
Corners
8
3
Possession
65%
35%
Fouls
11
13
Yellow/red cards
2/0
3/0
 
New EnglandCincinnati
 
A. Ivačič
M. Fofana
B. Ceballos Jiménez (M. Urruti 64')
P. Miller
I. Feingold
T. Beason
C. Gil de Pareja Vicent
M. Polster
A. Yusuf
L. Díaz Espinoza (W. Sands 86')
T. Chancalay (J. Yueill 80')
R. Celentano
(B. Smith 84') L. Engel
M. Miazga
G. Flores Melgarejo
D. Yedlin
P. Bucha
E. da Silva Ferreira
O. Nwobodo
(A. Powell 74') L. Orellano
(B. Anunga 84') football iconA. Denkey
(C. Baird 64') K. Kamara

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Our calculations suggest that there's minimal chance that this fixture will have 4+ goals, and the odds and statistics point in the same direction as KickOff's predictive algorithm on this one. New England and Cincinnati haven't typically treated their fans to goal-fests of late, whether that be in Major League Soccer individually or when going head-to-head. So, in the absence of a compelling favourite draw or double chance market, we're suggesting under 3.5 goals. The UK's top bookies have that available at a best price of 1.40.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think New England are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 39% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.60.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
New England
39%
15/8
6%
13/8
2%
Draw
27%
12/5
6%
23/10
2%
Cincinnati
34%
7/5
7%
13/10
6%
Draw 1-1
13%
11/211/2
New England 1-0
11%
10/1
10%
9/1
6%
Cincinnati 1-0
10%
9/117/2
Draw 0-0
8%
12/1
8%
10/1
10%
New England 2-1
8%
10/1
5%
17/2
Cincinnati 2-1
8%
17/2
9%
8/1
5%
New England 2-0
7%
14/1
15%
12/1
8%
Cincinnati 2-0
6%
12/1
12%
11/1
Draw 2-2
5%
11/1
8%
10/1
New England 3-1
4%
20/116/1
13%
Cincinnati 3-1
3%
16/114/1
New England 3-0
3%
28/1
13%
22/1
Cincinnati 3-0
2%
22/118/1
9%
New England 3-2
2%
25/120/1
11%
Cincinnati 3-2
2%
22/1
10%
18/1
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
7/10
3%
4/6
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
55%
11/10
2%
21/20
Home 1st Goal
48%
11/10
2%
21/20
Away 1st Goal
46%
4/5
7%
10/11
No 1st Goal
5%
12/1
8%
10/1
10%
BTTS - Yes
50%
4/7
3%
4/7
BTTS - No
50%
5/4
2%
5/4
BTTS - Home Win
17%
4/1
4%
18/5
2%
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/316/5
BTTS - Away Win
15%
10/3
14%
3/1
4%
Home/draw
66%
8/15
3%
11/20
3%
Away/draw
61%
2/5
2%
4/9
1%
Home/away
73%
3/10
4%
3/10
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
1/5
2%
2/9
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
10/3
8%
29/10
1%
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
13/8
4%
13/8
2%
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
4/9
3%
4/9
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
4/1
9%
19/5
4%
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/6
3%
1/6
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
10/18/1
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/201/18
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/251/25
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
12/1
8%
10/1
10%
Home DNB
58%
1/1
10%
1/1
3%
Away DNB
53%
8/11
13%
8/11
3%
New England win to nil
22%
9/2
11%
-
Cincinnati win to nil
19%
7/2-
New England / New England
18%
7/2
7%
17/5
3%
New England / Cincinnati
4%
22/1
12%
20/1
New England / Draw
6%
12/112/1
8%
Draw / New England
12%
11/2
8%
11/2
Draw / Cincinnati
14%
5/119/4
8%
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1
9%
17/4
5%
Cincinnati / New England
3%
25/122/1
Cincinnati / Cincinnati
21%
11/4
4%
14/5
8%
Cincinnati / Draw
6%
12/111/1
8%
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
New England 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
New England0 - 0San Jose
New England2 - 0NY City
New England2 - 1NY Red Bulls
New England0 - 2Philadelphia
New England0 - 1Columbus
New England1 - 2DC United
New England1 - 0Nashville
New England2 - 2Montreal
New England2 - 2Saint Louis City
New England1 - 1Dallas
New England1 - 3Orlando
New England2 - 1Atlanta
New England1 - 5Columbus
New England3 - 2Vancouver
New England1 - 0NY Red Bulls
New England0 - 1NY City
New England0 - 3Philadelphia
New England1 - 4Miami
New England1 - 0Charlotte
New England1 - 1Chicago
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANew England3 - 0Montreal
ANew England1 - 1DC United
ANew England3 - 3Sporting KC
HNew England0 - 0San Jose
ANew England3 - 3Orlando
ANew England2 - 0Toronto
ANew England1 - 0Charlotte
HNew England2 - 0NY City
ANew England1 - 0Atlanta
ANew England0 - 1Cincinnati
HNew England2 - 1NY Red Bulls
ANew England1 - 2NY City
HNew England0 - 2Philadelphia
HNew England0 - 1Columbus
ANew England0 - 0Nashville
ANew England2 - 6Miami
ANew England0 - 4Columbus
HNew England1 - 2DC United
ANew England1 - 2Houston
HNew England1 - 0Nashville
Cincinnati 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
D
2
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Atlanta4 - 2Cincinnati
Columbus1 - 1Cincinnati
Toronto0 - 1Cincinnati
NY City1 - 0Cincinnati
Chicago2 - 3Cincinnati
DC United0 - 1Cincinnati
Nashville1 - 2Cincinnati
Charlotte2 - 0Cincinnati
Philadelphia4 - 1Cincinnati
NY City3 - 1Cincinnati
Philadelphia1 - 2Cincinnati
NY City3 - 2Cincinnati
Nashville2 - 2Cincinnati
Minnesota1 - 2Cincinnati
Miami2 - 0Cincinnati
NY Red Bulls3 - 1Cincinnati
DC United2 - 3Cincinnati
Dallas0 - 1Cincinnati
San Jose2 - 4Cincinnati
Toronto3 - 4Cincinnati
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HCincinnati1 - 2DC United
HCincinnati3 - 3Dallas
ACincinnati2 - 4Atlanta
ACincinnati1 - 1Columbus
ACincinnati1 - 0Toronto
HCincinnati2 - 1Austin
ACincinnati0 - 1NY City
HCincinnati2 - 1Sporting KC
ACincinnati3 - 2Chicago
ACincinnati1 - 0DC United
HCincinnati1 - 0New England
ACincinnati2 - 1Nashville
HCincinnati2 - 2Atlanta
ACincinnati0 - 2Charlotte
HCincinnati2 - 0Toronto
ACincinnati1 - 4Philadelphia
HCincinnati1 - 0NY Red Bulls
HCincinnati0 - 0NY City
ACincinnati1 - 3NY City
HCincinnati1 - 0NY City
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at New England since 2019
New England
Cincinnati
Goals: Scored
8
8
Games: Scored
4 / 5
5 / 5
Clean sheets
0 / 5
1 / 5
NER
1
D
2
CIN
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT New England
1 - 2Cincinnati
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
New England4 - 1
0 - 2Cincinnati
League games at Cincinnati since 2019
Cincinnati
New England
Goals: Scored
6
10
Games: Scored
4 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
2 / 6
NER
4
D
1
CIN
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Cincinnati
Cincinnati1 - 0
1 - 2New England
Draw2 - 2Draw
2 - 3New England
0 - 1New England
0 - 2New England
Goal Statistics
New England 11th Cincinnati 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 63% probability that New England will score no more than 1 goal
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Cincinnati will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-27
New England have scored 27% fewer goals at home than predicted
+9
Cincinnati’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.1
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Major League Soccer - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/291004/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
New England
PG (predicted goals)
Cincinnati
1.3
1.2
Attack rating
NER
CIN
19%
better
view stats
Games scored10
15
Failed to score5
2
Scored first9
10
Goals scored19
25
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.5
Avg. shots per game8
11
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for15
14
Avg. XG for1.2
1.5
KickOff rating
+19%
Defence rating
31%
better
NER
CIN
view stats
Games conceded8
12
Clean sheets7
5
Conceded first4
7
Goals conceded14
24
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded11
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded11
6
Conversion rate against9%
16%
Avg. XG against1.7
1.7
KickOff rating
+31%

New England v Cincinnati Major League Soccer lLine ups will show here when available.

New England Major League Soccer squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16624
A IvacicC GilI FeingoldB Ceballos
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Ivacic GLK16
1
-
B Ceballos DEF13
4
-
T Beason DEF11
1
-
M Fofana DEF16
4
-
I Feingold DEF1632
3
-
A Yusuf  MID1611
2
-
M Polster MID1311
4
-
L Espinoza MID121
-
C Gil MID1662
-
P. Miller MID1211
1
-
T Chancalay FWD91
-
Subs
D. Parisian GLK
-
K Hughes DEF3
-
B Bye DEF13
-
W Omsberg DEF4
-
W Sands DEF10
2
-
J Yueill MID7
1
-
A. Oyirwoth MID
-
E. Klein MID1
-
M Urruti FWD131
1
-
Cincinnati Major League Soccer squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
181154
R CelentanoK DenkeyEvanderO Nwobodo
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Celentano GLK18
1
-
D Yedlin DEF183
3
-
M Miazga DEF9
2
-
G Melgarejo DEF12
2
1
L Engel DEF182
3
-
L Orellano DEF153
3
-
Evander MID1675
3
-
O Nwobodo MID12
4
-
P Bucha MID1712
1
-
K Kamara FWD6
1
-
K Denkey FWD1711
4
-
Subs
E Louro GLK
-
P Walters GLK
-
A Powell DEF11
2
-
B Smith  DEF9
-
T Hadebe DEF10
1
-
G Valenzuela MID114
-
T Anunga MID15
1
-
C Baird FWD12
2
-