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Toronto FC v Cincinnati : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 15th May, 00:30 BST, BMO Field, Toronto

Henk Fraser and Pat Noonan take on one another in the Major League Soccer on Thursday morning, as Toronto FC face Cincinnati at the BMO Field. For every Major League Soccer match preview, KickOff dives into the statistics for seventeen major betting markets. Important stats, including head to head (H2H) results, are then published alongside odds from leading bookmakers.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals means that there will be 3 goals or less scored by Toronto and Cincinnati combined during 90 mins. Recent form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) performances have led us to our prediction, and our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 77% chance of it being right on the money. The top price currently available on under 3.5 goals is 1.36.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Toronto are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 36% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.80.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Toronto
36%
19/10
14%
-
Draw
28%
23/10
6%
-
Cincinnati
36%
27/20
2%
-
Draw 1-1
13%
11/2
7%
-
Toronto 1-0
11%
17/2-
Cincinnati 1-0
11%
15/2
6%
-
Draw 0-0
10%
10/1
8%
-
Toronto 2-1
8%
10/1
10%
-
Cincinnati 2-1
8%
17/2-
Toronto 2-0
7%
14/1
15%
-
Cincinnati 2-0
7%
11/1
8%
-
Draw 2-2
4%
14/1
15%
-
Toronto 3-1
3%
22/1
10%
-
Cincinnati 3-1
3%
18/1-
Toronto 3-0
3%
28/1
12%
-
Cincinnati 3-0
3%
22/1-
Toronto 3-2
2%
28/1
12%
-
Cincinnati 3-2
2%
25/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
19/20
5%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
59%
17/20
5%
-
Home 1st Goal
47%
6/5
5%
-
Away 1st Goal
47%
4/5-
No 1st Goal
6%
10/1
8%
-
BTTS - Yes
47%
3/4
3%
-
BTTS - No
53%
1/1
2%
-
BTTS - Home Win
14%
9/2
10%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/2-
BTTS - Away Win
14%
15/4-
Home/draw
64%
8/15-
Away/draw
64%
2/5
7%
-
Home/away
72%
1/3
3%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
2/7
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
33%
5/2
7%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
20%
12/5
13%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
80%
3/10
4%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
11/2
8%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1/9
1%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
14/1
15%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/33
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/20
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
10/1
8%
-
Home DNB
56%
11/10
10%
-
Away DNB
56%
4/6
7%
-
Toronto win to nil
22%
4/1-
Cincinnati win to nil
22%
3/1
11%
-
Toronto / Toronto
18%
15/4
10%
-
Toronto / Cincinnati
3%
25/1-
Toronto / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
-
Draw / Toronto
13%
11/2-
Draw / Cincinnati
14%
5/1-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2-
Cincinnati / Toronto
3%
28/1
12%
-
Cincinnati / Cincinnati
22%
11/4
6%
-
Cincinnati / Draw
6%
12/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Toronto 13TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
D
2
Lost
12
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Toronto2 - 0DC United
Toronto0 - 2New England
Toronto0 - 1NY City
Toronto0 - 0Minnesota
Toronto0 - 0Vancouver
Toronto1 - 2Chicago
Toronto0 - 1Miami
Toronto1 - 4NY Red Bulls
Toronto0 - 2Columbus
Toronto2 - 1Austin
Toronto1 - 3DC United
Toronto2 - 1Philadelphia
Toronto1 - 2Orlando
Toronto1 - 2Nashville
Toronto1 - 4Chicago
Toronto3 - 4Cincinnati
Toronto5 - 1Montreal
Toronto2 - 3NY City
Toronto3 - 1Dallas
Toronto1 - 0New England
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HToronto2 - 0DC United
HToronto0 - 2New England
HToronto0 - 1NY City
AToronto1 - 0Salt Lake
HToronto0 - 0Minnesota
AToronto1 - 1Miami
HToronto0 - 0Vancouver
AToronto1 - 2NY Red Bulls
HToronto1 - 2Chicago
AToronto0 - 2Cincinnati
AToronto2 - 4Orlando
AToronto2 - 2DC United
HToronto0 - 1Miami
HToronto1 - 4NY Red Bulls
AToronto1 - 1Chicago
AToronto0 - 2Colorado
HToronto0 - 2Columbus
HToronto2 - 1Austin
HToronto1 - 3DC United
AToronto1 - 0Houston
Cincinnati 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
1
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
NY City1 - 0Cincinnati
Chicago2 - 3Cincinnati
DC United0 - 1Cincinnati
Nashville1 - 2Cincinnati
Charlotte2 - 0Cincinnati
Philadelphia4 - 1Cincinnati
NY City3 - 1Cincinnati
Philadelphia1 - 2Cincinnati
NY City3 - 2Cincinnati
Nashville2 - 2Cincinnati
Minnesota1 - 2Cincinnati
Miami2 - 0Cincinnati
NY Red Bulls3 - 1Cincinnati
DC United2 - 3Cincinnati
Dallas0 - 1Cincinnati
San Jose2 - 4Cincinnati
Toronto3 - 4Cincinnati
Columbus1 - 2Cincinnati
Orlando0 - 1Cincinnati
Atlanta1 - 2Cincinnati
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HCincinnati2 - 1Austin
ACincinnati0 - 1NY City
HCincinnati2 - 1Sporting KC
ACincinnati3 - 2Chicago
ACincinnati1 - 0DC United
HCincinnati1 - 0New England
ACincinnati2 - 1Nashville
HCincinnati2 - 2Atlanta
ACincinnati0 - 2Charlotte
HCincinnati2 - 0Toronto
ACincinnati1 - 4Philadelphia
HCincinnati1 - 0NY Red Bulls
HCincinnati0 - 0NY City
ACincinnati1 - 3NY City
HCincinnati1 - 0NY City
ACincinnati2 - 1Philadelphia
HCincinnati1 - 3Orlando
ACincinnati2 - 3NY City
HCincinnati1 - 2LAFC
ACincinnati2 - 2Nashville
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Cincinnati have beaten Toronto in 3 consecutive away league meetings
7
Cincinnati have not lost to Toronto in 7 consecutive league meetings
League games at Toronto since 2019
Toronto
Cincinnati
Goals: Scored
14
14
Games: Scored
6 / 6
6 / 6
Clean sheets
0 / 6
0 / 6
TOR
3
CIN
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toronto
3 - 4Cincinnati
2 - 3Cincinnati
1 - 2Cincinnati
Toronto3 - 2
Toronto3 - 2
Toronto2 - 1
League games at Cincinnati since 2019
Cincinnati
Toronto
Goals: Scored
10
6
Games: Scored
5 / 7
2 / 7
Clean sheets
5 / 7
2 / 7
TOR
2
D
1
CIN
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Cincinnati
Cincinnati2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Cincinnati3 - 0
Cincinnati2 - 0
Cincinnati2 - 0
0 - 1Toronto
1 - 5Toronto
Goal Statistics
Toronto 13th Cincinnati 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Toronto will score no more than 1 goal
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Cincinnati will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-19
Toronto have scored 19% fewer goals at home than predicted
+12
Cincinnati have scored 12% more goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.7
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Major League Soccer - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/290932/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Toronto
PG (predicted goals)
Cincinnati
1.2
1.2
Attack rating
TOR
CIN
32%
better
view stats
Games scored7
10
Failed to score5
2
Scored first4
7
Goals scored10
17
Avg. goals scored0.8
1.4
Avg. shots per game7
10
Avg. shots per goal8
7
Conversion rate for13
14
Avg. XG for1
1.4
KickOff rating
+32%
Defence rating
TOR
CIN
4%
better
view stats
Games conceded8
8
Clean sheets4
4
Conceded first6
5
Goals conceded16
14
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against13%
13%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.6
KickOff rating
+4%

Toronto v Cincinnati Major League Soccer lLine ups will show here when available.

Toronto Major League Soccer squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12223
S JohnsonF BernardeschiF BernardeschiF Bernardeschi
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Johnson GLK12
1
-
F Bernardeschi FWD1222
3
-
Alonso MID11
-
D Flores MID111
3
-
S Rosted DEF101
1
-
K Thompson MID10
3
-
T Corbeanu FWD1011
-
K Long DEF9
2
-
R Petretta DEF9
2
-
J Osorio MID91
-
T. Spicer FWD9
-
M Longstaff  MID8
1
-
D Junior FWD81
1
-
L Insigne FWD811
1
-
O Brynhildsen FWD7
-
N Gomis DEF6
-
Z. Monlouis DEF5
-
D Kerr FWD52
-
H Wingo DEF4
-
M Cimermancic MID4
-
K Franklin DEF3
-
R Laryea DEF2
-
C. Sharp FWD2
-
Cincinnati Major League Soccer squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12724
R CelentanoEvanderP BuchaK Denkey
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Celentano GLK12
1
-
L Engel DEF121
2
-
D Yedlin DEF121
1
-
P Bucha MID112
-
T Anunga MID11
1
-
K Denkey FWD116
4
-
M Robinson  DEF10
-
Evander MID1072
2
-
L Orellano FWD102
2
-
C Baird FWD10
1
-
S Santos FWD1012
-
G Melgarejo DEF9
1
1
N Hagglund DEF8
-
A Powell DEF8
1
-
O Nwobodo MID7
3
-
G Valenzuela MID72
-
Y Kubo MID71
1
-
T Hadebe DEF5
-
M Miazga DEF5
1
-
B Halsey DEF1
-
American Major League Soccer match betting previews, predictions and odds
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Orlando v Charlotte
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Philadelphia v LA Galaxy
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Toronto v Cincinnati
Thu 15th May, 00:30
Austin v Atlanta
Thu 15th May, 01:30
Houston v Minnesota
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Nashville v NY Red Bulls
Thu 15th May, 01:30
Saint Louis City v Sporting KC
Thu 15th May, 01:45
Salt Lake v Portland
Thu 15th May, 02:30
San Diego v Colorado
Thu 15th May, 03:30
LAFC v Seattle
Thu 15th May, 03:30
San Jose v Miami
Thu 15th May, 03:30
Montreal v Toronto
Sat 17th May, 19:30
NY City v NY Red Bulls
Sat 17th May, 21:30
Columbus v Cincinnati
Sun 18th May, 00:00
New England v San Jose
Sun 18th May, 00:30
Atlanta v Philadelphia
Sun 18th May, 00:30
Charlotte v Chicago
Sun 18th May, 00:30
Dallas v Houston
Sun 18th May, 01:30
Austin v Vancouver
Sun 18th May, 01:30
Nashville v DC United
Sun 18th May, 01:30
Minnesota v Saint Louis City
Sun 18th May, 01:30
Colorado v Salt Lake
Sun 18th May, 02:30
Portland v Seattle
Sun 18th May, 02:30
San Diego v Sporting KC
Sun 18th May, 03:30
Miami v Orlando
Mon 19th May, 00:00
LA Galaxy v LAFC
Mon 19th May, 02:00
Seattle v Dallas
Sat 24th May, 20:00
San Diego v LA Galaxy
Sat 24th May, 21:45
Charlotte v Columbus
Sun 25th May, 00:30
Montreal v LAFC
Sun 25th May, 00:30
Toronto v Nashville
Sun 25th May, 00:30
Orlando v Portland
Sun 25th May, 00:30
DC United v NY Red Bulls
Sun 25th May, 00:30
Philadelphia v Miami
Sun 25th May, 00:30
Minnesota v Austin
Sun 25th May, 01:30
Sporting KC v New England
Sun 25th May, 01:30
Salt Lake v Vancouver
Sun 25th May, 02:30
Colorado v Saint Louis City
Sun 25th May, 02:30
San Jose v Houston
Sun 25th May, 03:30
NY City v Chicago
Sun 25th May, 20:00
Atlanta v Cincinnati
Mon 26th May, 00:00