BIRMINGHAM v DERBY CHA / Sat 13th 15:00 / St. Andrew's Stadium
THE KICKOFF ALGORITHM PREDICTS:
Derby have a 46% chance of beating Birmingham
Birmingham
0%
0.00
Draw
0%
0.00
Derby
0%
0.00
Home/draw
0%
0.00
Home/away
0%
0.00
Away/draw
0%
0.00

West meets East in this extremely important Midlands derby, with Birmingham again battling to stave off relegation to League One and Derby unexpectedly gunning for automatic promotion to the Premier League.

Gary Rowett’s men are unbeaten in nine trips at this level, winning five of the last seven, so they begin as 46% favourites for victory in the eyes of our KickOff predictive algorithm against opponents who have lost four times in six home games of late.

Last season’s score

Further good news for the Rams comes in their recent record against the Blues, with just three defeats suffered in their previous 16 league meetings, though half of these encounters have ended in draws (28% chance).

Given that we do not expect both teams to score (51% chance) for the 15th time in the last 19 Birmingham home matches at this level, then 0-1 (12% chance) is starting to emerge as an extremely likely scoreline at St. Andrew’s.

Top betting tips and predictions

It would also come as a major surprise if this clash failed to produce under 2.5 goals (56% chance), with this being the case in 17 of the Blues’ most recent 20 Championship games, as well as in seven of the last 11 Derby fixtures in the league.

In terms of attacking options, Rowett has plenty of talented forwards to choose from each week, but it is 14-goal Matej Vydra (15% chance) who starts as our joint-favourite to break the deadlock here along with the experienced David Nugent (15% chance).

Birmingham v Derby
Football Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Preview

Birmingham
23RD
Birmingham have won 30%, drawn 15% and lost 55% of their last 20 home games.

Birmingham have scored in 50% of their last 20 home games.

Birmingham have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their last 20 home games, going on to win 5 and draw 3 of these matches.

Derby
2ND
Derby have won 40%, drawn 35% and lost 25% of their last 20 away games.

Derby have scored in 80% of their last 20 away games.

Derby have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their last 20 away games, going on to win 3 and draw 2 of these matches.

Birmingham
23RD
Derby
2ND
THE KICKOFF ALGORITHM PREDICTS:
There is a 13% chance of the full time result being a 1-1 draw
H 1-0
0%
0.00
D 0-0
0%
0.00
A 0-1
0%
0.00
H 2-0
0%
0.00
D 1-1
0%
0.00
A 0-2
0%
0.00
H 2-1
0%
0.00
D 2-2
0%
0.00
A 1-2
0%
0.00
H 3-0
0%
0.00
D 3-3
0%
0.00
A 0-3
0%
0.00
H 3-1
0%
0.00
D 4-4
0%
0.00
A 1-3
0%
0.00
H 3-2
0%
0.00
A 2-3
0%
0.00
View more

Birmingham v Derby
Correct Score Predictions

Birmingham
23RD
Birmingham have scored exactly 2 goals in 2 of their last 20 home games, going on to win 2, draw 0 and lose 0 of these matches.

Birmingham have conceded 1 goal or less in 60% of their last 20 home games.

Derby
2ND
Derby have scored 1 goal or less in 11 of their last 20 away games, going on to win 0, draw 7 and lose 4 of these matches.

Derby have conceded exactly 1 goal in 9 of their last 20 away games, going on to win 5, draw 4 and lose 0 of these matches.

Birmingham
23RD
Derby
2ND
THE KICKOFF ALGORITHM PREDICTS:
There is a 51% chance of not both teams to score in this match
BTTS yes
0%
0.00
BTTS No
0%
0.00
BTTS + draw
0%
0.00
BTTS + away
0%
0.00
BTTS + home
0%
0.00

Birmingham v Derby
Both Teams to Score Predictions

Birmingham
23RD
Birmingham have failed to score in 50% of their last 20 home games.

Birmingham have kept a clean sheet in 40% of their last 20 home games.

Derby
2ND
Derby have failed to score in 20% of their last 20 away games.

Derby have kept a clean sheet in 25% of their last 20 away games.

Birmingham
23RD
Derby
2ND
THE KICKOFF ALGORITHM PREDICTS:
There is a 56% chance of this match having under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5
0%
0.00
Under 2.5
0%
0.00

Birmingham v Derby
Over/Under 2.5 Goals Predictions

Birmingham
23RD
In their last 20 home matches, Birmingham have scored 0.6 goals per game and conceded 1.1 goals per game on average.

The last 20 Birmingham home matches have produced an average of 1.60 goals per game.

Derby
2ND
In their last 20 away matches, Derby have scored 1.4 goals per game and conceded 1.2 goals per game on average.

The last 20 Derby away matches have produced an average of 2.60 goals per game.

Birmingham
23RD
Derby
2ND
THE KICKOFF ALGORITHM PREDICTS:
Birmingham
0%
0.00
Draw
0%
0.00
Derby
0%
0.00
Home/draw
0%
0.00
Home/away
0%
0.00
Away/draw
0%
0.00

Birmingham v Derby
Head-to-head statistics

Birmingham
23RD
Birmingham have won 4, drawn 5 and lost 4 of the last 13 stagings of this fixture, being outscored by their opponents by 22 goals to 18.

Birmingham have scored in 50% of their last 20 home games.

Birmingham have kept a clean sheet in 40% of their last 20 home games.



Derby
2ND
Derby have won 4, drawn 5 and lost 4 of the last 13 stagings of this fixture, outscoring their opponents by 22 goals to 18.

Derby have scored in 80% of their last 20 away games.

Derby have kept a clean sheet in 25% of their last 20 away games.