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BIRMINGHAM CITY v DERBY COUNTY
St. Andrew's Stadium where Birmingham City play football in the Championship
Birmingham City's team badge Derby County's team badge

Birmingham City v Derby County Betting Predictions and Match Preview

West meets East in this extremely important Midlands derby, with Birmingham again battling to stave off relegation to League One and Derby unexpectedly gunning for automatic promotion to the Premier League.

Gary Rowett’s men are unbeaten in nine trips at this level, winning five of the last seven, so they begin as 46% favourites for victory in the eyes of our KickOff predictive algorithm against opponents who have lost four times in six home games of late.

Last season’s score

Further good news for the Rams comes in their recent record against the Blues, with just three defeats suffered in their previous 16 league meetings, though half of these encounters have ended in draws (28% chance).

Given that we do not expect both teams to score (51% chance) for the 15th time in the last 19 Birmingham home matches at this level, then 0-1 (12% chance) is starting to emerge as an extremely likely scoreline at St. Andrew’s.

Top betting tips and predictions

It would also come as a major surprise if this clash failed to produce under 2.5 goals (56% chance), with this being the case in 17 of the Blues’ most recent 20 Championship games, as well as in seven of the last 11 Derby fixtures in the league.

In terms of attacking options, Rowett has plenty of talented forwards to choose from each week, but it is 14-goal Matej Vydra (15% chance) who starts as our joint-favourite to break the deadlock here along with the experienced David Nugent (15% chance).

Read on for all of our free football predictions and betting tips for this fixture.
THE KICKOFF ALGORITHM’S WIN/DRAW/WIN BETTING TIP:
Derby County have a 46% chance of beating Birmingham City
Birmingham
0%
0.00
Draw
0%
0.00
Derby
0%
0.00
Home/draw
0%
0.00
Home/away
0%
0.00
Away/draw
0%
0.00

WIN/DRAW/WIN KEY STATISTICS

Birmingham home
Birmingham have won 45%, drawn 10% and lost 45% of their last 20 home games.

Birmingham have scored in 60% of their last 20 home games.

Birmingham have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their last 20 home games, going on to win 6 and draw 1 of these matches.

Derby away
Derby have won 35%, drawn 45% and lost 20% of their last 20 away games.

Derby have scored in 65% of their last 20 away games.

Derby have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their last 20 away games, going on to win 4 and draw 4 of these matches.

Birmingham home
Derby away
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THE KICKOFF ALGORITHM’S CORRECT SCORE BETTING TIP:
There is a 13% chance of the full time result being a 1-1 draw
H 1-0
0%
0.00
D 0-0
0%
0.00
A 0-1
0%
0.00
H 2-0
0%
0.00
D 1-1
0%
0.00
A 0-2
0%
0.00
H 2-1
0%
0.00
D 2-2
0%
0.00
A 1-2
0%
0.00
H 3-0
0%
0.00
D 3-3
0%
0.00
A 0-3
0%
0.00
H 3-1
0%
0.00
D 4-4
0%
0.00
A 1-3
0%
0.00
H 3-2
0%
0.00
A 2-3
0%
0.00
View more

CORRECT SCORE KEY STATISTICS

Birmingham home
Birmingham have scored exactly 2 goals in 0 of their last 20 home games, going on to win 0, draw 0 and lose 0 of these matches.

Birmingham have conceded 1 goal or less in 100% of their last 20 home games.

Derby away
Derby have scored 1 goal or less in 20 of their last 20 away games, going on to win 0, draw 20 and lose 0 of these matches.

Derby have conceded exactly 1 goal in 0 of their last 20 away games, going on to win 0, draw 0 and lose 0 of these matches.

Birmingham home
Derby away
THE KICKOFF ALGORITHM’S BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE BETTING TIP:
There is a 51% chance of not both teams to score in this match
BTTS yes
0%
0.00
BTTS No
0%
0.00
BTTS + draw
0%
0.00
BTTS + away
0%
0.00
BTTS + home
0%
0.00

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE KEY STATISTICS

Birmingham home
Birmingham have failed to score in 40% of their last 20 home games.

Birmingham have kept a clean sheet in 35% of their last 20 home games.

Derby away
Derby have failed to score in 35% of their last 20 away games.

Derby have kept a clean sheet in 40% of their last 20 away games.

Birmingham home
Derby away
THE KICKOFF ALGORITHM’S OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS BETTING TIP:
There is a 56% chance of this match having under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5
0%
0.00
Under 2.5
0%
0.00

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS KEY STATISTICS

Birmingham home
No Data
Derby away
No Data
Birmingham home
Derby away
BIRMINGHAM CITY v DERBY COUNTY FIXTURE HISTORY:
Birmingham
0%
0.00
Draw
0%
0.00
Derby
0%
0.00
Home/draw
0%
0.00
Home/away
0%
0.00
Away/draw
0%
0.00

FIXTURE HISTORY KEY STATISTICS

Birmingham have conceded in 65% of their last 20 home games.

Birmingham have scored in 60% of their last 20 home games.

Birmingham have conceded in 13 of their last 20 home games, going on to win 3, draw 1 and lose 9 of these matches.



Derby have conceded in 60% of their last 20 away games.

Derby have scored in 65% of their last 20 away games.

Derby have conceded in 12 of their last 20 away games, going on to win 3, draw 5 and lose 4 of these matches.




CHAMPIONSHIP LAST TIME OUT:

LAST MATCH KEY STATISTICS