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Aldosivi v Defensa y Justicia : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 22nd Jan, 20:00 BST, Estadio José María Minella, Mar del Plata

the Estadio José María Minella plays host on Thursday night, as Guillermo Martín Farré's Aldosivi are visited by Mariano Soso's Defensa y Justicia in the Primera División. Our predictions are based on extensive statistical analysis of each side, across seventeen of the main markets. Data shown and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head to head (H2H) statistics are included for all.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We think it's unlikely that this fixture will serve up 4 goals or more, and the odds and stats are in line with our predictive algorithm on this one. Aldosivi and Defensa haven't typically treated their fans to thrillers of late, whether that be in Primera División individually or when going head-to-head. So, without a strong favourite draw or double chance market, we're going for under 3.5 goals. That's available at a best price of 1.17.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Aldosivi are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 37% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.60.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Aldosivi 37%	17/10 17%	13/8 5%
Draw 29%	7/4 10%	2/1
Defensa 34%	2/1 6%	19/10 3%
Draw 1-1 13%	9/2 8%	9/2
Aldosivi 1-0 12%	6/1 8%	5/1
Defensa 1-0 11%	13/2 6%	11/2 7%
Draw 0-0 11%	5/1 14%	11/2
Aldosivi 2-1 8%	10/1 10%	17/2 6%
Defensa 2-1 7%	11/1	9/1
Aldosivi 2-0 7%	11/1 20%	10/1 10%
Defensa 2-0 6%	12/1 13%	10/1 8%
Draw 2-2 4%	16/1	14/1
Aldosivi 3-1 3%	25/1 24%	18/1
Aldosivi 3-0 3%	28/1 26%	18/1 10%
Defensa 3-1 3%	28/1	20/1
Defensa 3-0 2%	28/1 15%	22/1
Aldosivi 3-2 2%	40/1 21%	28/1 12%
Defensa 3-2 2%	40/1	28/1
Over 2.5 Goals 39%	8/5 11%	6/4 2%
Under 2.5 Goals 61%	19/40 6%	10/21 1%
Home 1st Goal 47%	21/20 7%	1/1
Away 1st Goal 46%	6/5 2%	23/20 2%
No 1st Goal 7%	5/1 14%	11/2
BTTS - Yes 46%	21/20 3%	21/20
BTTS - No 54%	7/10 3%	7/10
BTTS - Home Win 14%	6/1 27%	19/4 5%
BTTS - Draw 18%	10/3 4%	10/3 2%
BTTS - Away Win 13%	13/2	11/2
Home/draw 66%	4/11	2/5 3%
Away/draw 63%	2/5 11%	10/21 1%
Home/away 71%	2/5 3%	4/11
Over 1.5 Goals 66%	1/2 4%	1/2 1%
Under 1.5 Goals 34%	6/4 5%	29/20 2%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%	4/1 11%	18/5
Under 3.5 Goals 81%	1/6 1%	1/6
Over 4.5 Goals 8%	12/1 18%	9/1 5%
Under 4.5 Goals 92%	1/25 1%	1/25
Over 5.5 Goals 3%	25/1 13%	20/1 11%
Under 5.5 Goals 97%	1/80	1/1000
Over 0.5 Goals 89%	1/8 3%	1/10
Under 0.5 Goals 11%	5/1 14%	11/2
Home DNB 58%	4/5 11%	3/4 1%
Away DNB 54%	10/11 13%	19/20 3%
Aldosivi win to nil 23%	3/1 14%	-
Defensa win to nil 21%	10/3 13%	-
Aldosivi / Aldosivi 19%	10/3 8%	16/5 5%
Aldosivi / Defensa 3%	33/1	25/1
Aldosivi / Draw 6%	14/1	11/1
Draw / Aldosivi 14%	5/1 9%	19/4 5%
Draw / Defensa 13%	5/1 8%	5/1 8%
Draw / Draw 19%	10/3 4%	3/1
Defensa / Aldosivi 3%	33/1 17%	25/1 13%
Defensa / Defensa 17%	15/4 5%	18/5
Defensa / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1

Win / draw / win form

Aldosivi have won 3 consecutive league games

Defensa have lost 4 consecutive league games

Defensa have not won in 11 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

10 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

10 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Aldosivi	4 - 2	SM San Juan
Aldosivi	3 - 1	Independiente Rivadavia
Aldosivi	2 - 0	Huracan
Aldosivi	0 - 2	Argentinos
Aldosivi	0 - 2	Boca Juniors
Aldosivi	0 - 0	Belgrano
Aldosivi	0 - 0	Newells
Aldosivi	0 - 0	Central Cor
Aldosivi	2 - 1	Banfield
Aldosivi	0 - 2	Racing Club
Aldosivi	2 - 1	U Santa Fe
Aldosivi	0 - 2	Tig
Aldosivi	2 - 2	Sarmiento
Aldosivi	2 - 2	Estudiantes
Aldosivi	1 - 3	Barracas
Aldosivi	0 - 5	Defensa
Aldosivi	1 - 3	Tal Cordoba
Aldosivi	0 - 1	Banfield
Aldosivi	2 - 0	Barracas
Aldosivi	0 - 3	Central Cor

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

8 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

12 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Aldosivi	4 - 2	SM San Juan
A	Aldosivi	1 - 0	Banfield
H	Aldosivi	3 - 1	Independiente Rivadavia
A	Aldosivi	0 - 1	Racing Club
H	Aldosivi	2 - 0	Huracan
A	Aldosivi	2 - 0	U Santa Fe
H	Aldosivi	0 - 2	Argentinos
A	Aldosivi	0 - 2	Tig
A	Aldosivi	0 - 2	Sarmiento
H	Aldosivi	0 - 2	Boca Juniors
A	Aldosivi	0 - 1	Estudiantes
H	Aldosivi	0 - 0	Belgrano
A	Aldosivi	1 - 3	Barracas
H	Aldosivi	0 - 0	Newells
A	Aldosivi	0 - 2	Defensa
H	Aldosivi	0 - 0	Central Cor
A	Aldosivi	3 - 0	SM San Juan
H	Aldosivi	2 - 1	Banfield
A	Aldosivi	0 - 1	Independiente Rivadavia
H	Aldosivi	0 - 2	Racing Club

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Racing Club	1 - 0	Defensa
U Santa Fe	3 - 0	Defensa
Tig	1 - 1	Defensa
Estudiantes	1 - 0	Defensa
Barracas	1 - 1	Defensa
Central Cor	2 - 1	Defensa
Banfield	0 - 0	Defensa
Independiente Rivadavia	3 - 2	Defensa
Huracan	1 - 1	Defensa
Argentinos	4 - 1	Defensa
Boca Juniors	4 - 0	Defensa
Platense	0 - 1	Defensa
Belgrano	2 - 0	Defensa
Newells	0 - 1	Defensa
Deportivo Riestra	1 - 1	Defensa
Aldosivi	0 - 5	Defensa
Sarmiento	1 - 1	Defensa
Lanus	0 - 0	Defensa
Tig	0 - 4	Defensa
Belgrano	1 - 2	Defensa

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Defensa	0 - 2	Independiente Rivadavia
A	Defensa	0 - 1	Racing Club
H	Defensa	1 - 3	Huracan
A	Defensa	0 - 3	U Santa Fe
H	Defensa	1 - 0	Argentinos
A	Defensa	1 - 1	Tig
H	Defensa	2 - 1	Boca Juniors
A	Defensa	0 - 1	Estudiantes
H	Defensa	1 - 2	Platense
H	Defensa	2 - 1	Belgrano
A	Defensa	1 - 1	Barracas
H	Defensa	1 - 1	Newells
H	Defensa	1 - 0	Deportivo Riestra
A	Defensa	1 - 2	Central Cor
H	Defensa	2 - 0	Aldosivi
A	Defensa	0 - 0	Banfield
A	Defensa	2 - 3	Independiente Rivadavia
H	Defensa	1 - 2	Racing Club
A	Defensa	1 - 1	Huracan
H	Defensa	0 - 0	U Santa Fe

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Defensa have beaten Aldosivi in 3 consecutive league meetings

Aldosivi

Defensa

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

2 / 4

Clean sheets

2 / 4

ALD

DEF

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Aldosivi
	0 - 5	Defensa
Aldosivi	1 - 0
Aldosivi	1 - 0
	0 - 1	Defensa

Defensa

Aldosivi

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 3

2 / 3

Clean sheets

1 / 3

0 / 3

DEF

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Defensa
Defensa	2 - 0
Defensa	3 - 2
Draw	4 - 4	Draw

Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Defensa y Justicia of late. It has been 6 Primera División matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Thursday night against Aldosivi.

	Aldosivi	Defensa
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.2 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 31% 1 36% 2 21% 3 8% 4+ There is a 67% probability that Aldosivi will score no more than 1 goal	0 34% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 71% probability that Defensa will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-4 Aldosivi’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+8 Defensa’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.1 average goals scored	1.1 average goals scored
	1.6 conceded	1.3 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2026/2026 season

better

ALD

DEF

view stats

Games scored	0		0
Failed to score	0		0
Scored first	0		0
Goals scored	0		0
Avg. goals scored	0		0
Avg. shots per game	0		0
Avg. shots per goal	0		0
Conversion rate for	0		0
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

better

ALD

DEF

view stats

Games conceded	0		0
Clean sheets	0		0
Conceded first	0		0
Goals conceded	0		0
Avg. goals conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/game conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/goal conceded	0		0
Conversion rate against	0%		0%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		0%