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Atlético Tucumán v Independiente : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 19th Apr, 01:30 BST, Estadio Monumental Presidente Jo, San Miguel de Tucumán

the Estadio Monumental Presidente Jo plays host on Saturday morning, as Lucas Pusineri's Atlético Tucumán are visited by Julio César Vaccari's Independiente in the Primera División. Stats for our tip of are shown below, including head to head (H2H) history. Changing the market using the tabs below changes all statistics and the odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers, so be sure to have a browse to find the best bet for you.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We predict there's very little chance of a bore-draw or a sneaky 1-0 win here, and instead we're predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that A. Tucuman and Independiente will score at least 2 between them during 90 minutes. It's a prediction based on the recent form of the respective sides, as well as past records of their head-to-head clashes. We give it a probability of 74%. Bookies have it at 1.50.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
A. Tucuman 36%	3.00 9%	-
Draw 26%	3.25 2%	-
Independiente 38%	2.40 9%	-
Draw 1-1 12%	6.00 8%	-
Independiente 1-0 9%	7.00	-
A. Tucuman 1-0 9%	8.00 6%	-
Independiente 2-1 8%	10.00 5%	-
A. Tucuman 2-1 8%	11.00 8%	-
Draw 0-0 7%	8.00 6%	-
Independiente 2-0 6%	11.00 10%	-
A. Tucuman 2-0 6%	13.00 13%	-
Draw 2-2 6%	17.00	-
Independiente 3-1 4%	21.00 11%	-
A. Tucuman 3-1 4%	26.00 10%	-
Independiente 3-0 3%	23.00 10%	-
A. Tucuman 3-0 3%	34.00	-
Independiente 3-2 3%	34.00	-
A. Tucuman 3-2 2%	41.00	-
Over 2.5 Goals 51%	2.20 2%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 49%	1.65 1%	-
Home 1st Goal 48%	2.25 6%	-
Away 1st Goal 48%	1.80 4%	-
No 1st Goal 4%	8.00 6%	-
BTTS - Yes 55%	1.95	-
BTTS - No 45%	1.80	-
BTTS - Home Win 18%	6.50 7%	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	4.50 5%	-
BTTS - Away Win 18%	5.50 10%	-
Home/draw 62%	1.53 8%	-
Away/draw 64%	1.36 2%	-
Home/away 74%	1.33	-
Over 1.5 Goals 75%	1.36	-
Under 1.5 Goals 25%	3.00	-
Over 3.5 Goals 29%	4.00	-
Under 3.5 Goals 71%	1.22	-
Over 4.5 Goals 14%	9.00	-
Under 4.5 Goals 86%	1.07	-
Over 5.5 Goals 6%	19.00	-
Under 5.5 Goals 94%	1.02	-
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	1.07	-
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	9.00 6%	-
Home DNB 54%	2.10 7%	-
Away DNB 56%	1.67 6%	-
A. Tucuman win to nil 19%	4.50 18%	-
Independiente win to nil 20%	3.75 7%	-
A. Tucuman / A. Tucuman 17%	5.00 9%	-
A. Tucuman / Independiente 3%	29.00 12%	-
A. Tucuman / Draw 6%	15.00	-
Draw / A. Tucuman 13%	6.50 7%	-
Draw / Independiente 15%	5.50	-
Draw / Draw 18%	4.50 5%	-
Independiente / A. Tucuman 2%	34.00	-
Independiente / Independiente 21%	4.00 7%	-
Independiente / Draw 6%	15.00	-

form

head to head (H2H)

Goal Statistics

Independiente's defensive record is very strong, Julio César Vaccari's men having conceded 1 or less in 9 consecutive Primera División matches. An average PG rating of 1.3 for Atlético Tucumán makes sense in this context.

	A. Tucuman 8th	Independiente 7th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	1.4 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 26% 1 35% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 61% probability that A. Tucuman will score no more than 1 goal	0 25% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 60% probability that Independiente will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+14 A. Tucuman have scored 14% more goals at home than predicted	-3 Independiente’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.5 average goals scored	0.8 average goals scored
	1.1 conceded	0.8 conceded

Games scored	8		11
Failed to score	5		2
Scored first	5		9
Goals scored	14		23
Avg. goals scored	1.1		1.8
Avg. shots per game	9		9
Avg. shots per goal	8		5
Conversion rate for	12		19
Avg. XG for	1		1.4
KickOff rating		+35%

Games conceded	11		7
Clean sheets	2		6
Conceded first	8		3
Goals conceded	20		9
Avg. goals conceded	1.5		0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		10
Conversion rate against	16%		10%
Avg. XG against	1.4		1
KickOff rating		+47%

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Quiroga GLK				-
D Martínez DEF	10		1	5 -
G Ferrari DEF	8			1 -
M Brizuela DEF	10			1 -
M Orihuela DEF	2			-
C Auzqui MID	4		1	-
K López MID	4			-
A Sánchez MID	11	1		2 -
F. Nicola Albanell MID	7	1		-
M Coronel FWD	8	3	2	2 -
L Cabrera FWD	5			-
Subs
T Durso GLK	11			1 -
M Santos DEF	8			1 -
M Ortiz DEF	1			-
L. Godoy MID	4			-
G Acosta MID	11			1 -
N Castro MID	4	1		1 -
L Rodríguez FWD	7			1 -
M Bajamich FWD	10		1	-
R Rodríguez FWD	11		2	-
N Laméndola FWD	5	1		1 -
L Díaz FWD	7	2		2 -

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
R Rey GLK	12			-
F Vera DEF	12			3 -
K Lomónaco DEF	12			1 -
S Valdéz DEF	12			1 -
A Spörle DEF	8	1	2	-
P Galdames MID	8	1	1	1 -
R Fernández MID	4			2 -
F Mancuello MID	6	1		2 -
S Hidalgo FWD	6			2 -
M Rojas FWD	9		2	1 -
D. Tarzia FWD	12		1	4 -
Subs
J Blázquez GLK				-
F Loyola DEF	12	3	2	1 -
G. Bordón DEF				-
Álvaro Angulo DEF	11	3		3 -
G. Millán MID	9	1		1 -
R Martínez MID				-
I Marcone MID	11			7 -
S Salle MID	2			-
G Ávalos FWD	12	6	1	2 -
I Puch FWD	5		1	-
L. Román FWD				-

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
11	3	2	5
A Sánchez	M Coronel	M Coronel	D Martínez

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	7	2	4
M Coronel	M Coronel	M Coronel	R Rodríguez

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
556	40	72
A Sánchez	A Sánchez	A Sánchez

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
12	6	2	7
R Rey	G Ávalos	A Spörle	I Marcone

Atlético Tucumán v Independiente : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

A. Tucuman v Independiente Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

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