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Boca Juniors v San Lorenzo : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Alberto José Armando, Buenos Aires

Boca Juniors and San Lorenzo take on one another at the Estadio Alberto José Armando on Wednesday night, with both Claudio Fernando Úbeda and Damián Ayude seeking a win in the Primera División. Primera División statistics are the foundation of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head performance included too. There's so much to explore, with data visualisations and odds from leading bookmakers available for seventeen major betting markets using the tabs.

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Boca Juniors's next match is v U Santa Fe at 01:00 on Monday 16th March
San Lorenzo's next match is v Defensa at 21:30 on Monday 16th March
The last Argentinian Primera División meeting between Boca Juniors and San Lorenzo was on Wednesday 11th March 2026
Argentinian Primera División
March 11th 2026
Boca Juniors 1
1 San Lorenzo
 
S. Ascacíbar 55'65' G. Rodríguez
 
BOJ
SLO
Shots On
3
2
Shots Off
8
2
Corners
1
2
Possession
69%
31%
Fouls
8
14
Yellow/red cards
3/0
3/0
 
Boca JuniorsSan Lorenzo
 
A. Marchesín
L. Di Lollo
L. Blanco
M. Weigandt
L. Paredes
M. Delgado
S. Ascacíbarfootball icon
M. Merentiel Serrano
A. Costa
A. Bareiro Gamarra (I. Zufiaurre 90')
T. Aranda
O. Gill
J. Romaña Espitia
M. De Ritis Serrentino
I. Perruzzi Ambrosini
(L. Vietto 63') F. Gulli
(C. Barrios 27') E. Cerutti
A. Cuello
(G. Rodríguez 63') A. Ladstatter
(G. Corujo Bríccola 79') G. Hernández
E. Herrera
N. Tripichio

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It's not the news we want to be reporting, but we don't predict a high-scoring affair here. The stats suggest Boca Juniors and San Lorenzo both struggle to score on a consistent basis, and the odds point towards a tie with fewer than 2 goals in total as they go head-to-head. We think they're on the right track here and, in the absence of obvious outright winners to back, under 2.5 goals seems a good bet.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Boca Juniors are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 44% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.70.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Boca Juniors
44%
69/1006/4
3%
Draw
41%
9/4
2%
1/1
San Lorenzo
15%
5/1
4%
9/2
5%
Draw 0-0
31%
4/1
15%
11/8
12%
Boca Juniors 1-0
25%
10/3
10%
13/5
10%
San Lorenzo 1-0
11%
9/1
9%
11/2
5%
Boca Juniors 2-0
10%
5/1
8%
8/1
8%
Draw 1-1
9%
6/1
8%
15/2
Boca Juniors 2-1
4%
9/1
5%
18/1
6%
Boca Juniors 3-0
3%
12/1
8%
25/1
San Lorenzo 2-0
2%
28/1
12%
22/1
11%
San Lorenzo 2-1
2%
22/1
11%
33/1
13%
Boca Juniors 3-1
1%
20/1
12%
45/1
13%
Draw 2-2
1%
28/1
26%
55/1
24%
Boca Juniors 4-0
1%
33/170/1
San Lorenzo 3-0
0%
80/1
21%
70/1
24%
San Lorenzo 3-1
0%
66/1
31%
90/1
21%
Boca Juniors 4-1
0%
40/1100/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
11%
21/10
15%
8/1
10%
Under 2.5 Goals
89%
4/11
7%
1/20
5%
Home 1st Goal
48%
4/76/5
1%
Away 1st Goal
25%
12/5
10%
3/1
6%
No 1st Goal
27%
4/1
15%
11/8
4%
BTTS - Yes
16%
7/4
11%
19/4
13%
BTTS - No
84%
2/5
6%
1/8
6%
BTTS - Home Win
5%
5/1
10%
14/1
9%
BTTS - Draw
10%
5/1
9%
7/1
5%
BTTS - Away Win
2%
18/1
13%
25/1
18%
Home/draw
85%
1/82/15
2%
Away/draw
56%
21/201/2
2%
Home/away
59%
1/33/4
Over 1.5 Goals
32%
8/13
8%
23/10
7%
Under 1.5 Goals
68%
6/5
12%
2/7
10%
Over 3.5 Goals
3%
11/2
20%
22/1
15%
Under 3.5 Goals
97%
1/9
3%
1/200
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
1%
16/1
15%
50/1
20%
Under 4.5 Goals
99%
1/33
1%
1/300
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
0%
33/1
31%
90/1
24%
Under 5.5 Goals
100%
1/2001/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
69%
1/7
3%
8/15
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
31%
9/2
15%
11/8
12%
Home DNB
73%
1/57/20
2%
Away DNB
44%
10/32/1
5%
Boca Juniors win to nil
39%
6/5
8%
-
San Lorenzo win to nil
13%
7/1-
Boca Juniors / Boca Juniors
30%
7/4
4%
9/1
4%
Boca Juniors / San Lorenzo
2%
50/1
24%
70/1
21%
Boca Juniors / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
33/1
15%
Draw / Boca Juniors
20%
3/1
8%
29/20
Draw / San Lorenzo
8%
10/1
10%
11/2
5%
Draw / Draw
20%
3/1
4%
5/4
3%
San Lorenzo / Boca Juniors
3%
33/145/1
13%
San Lorenzo / San Lorenzo
8%
10/1
16%
25/1
13%
San Lorenzo / Draw
5%
18/133/1
Win / draw / win form
3
Boca Juniors have drawn 3 consecutive home league games
5
Boca Juniors have not lost in 5 consecutive home league games
3
San Lorenzo have failed to score in 3 consecutive away league games
Boca Juniors 6TH
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
9
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
7 / 20
Clean sheets
13 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
Draw
7
L
3
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
San Lorenzo 7TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
Draw
9
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Boca Juniors since 2019
Boca Juniors
San Lorenzo
Goals: Scored
8
5
Games: Scored
3 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
1 / 4
BOJ
3
SLO
1
League games at San Lorenzo since 2019
San Lorenzo
Boca Juniors
Goals: Scored
4
4
Games: Scored
3 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
1 / 4
BOJ
1
D
1
SLO
2
Goal Statistics
Boca Juniors 6th San Lorenzo 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.8
goals
0.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
45%
1
36%
2
3
4+
There is a 81% probability of Boca Juniors scoring 1 goal or less
0
70%
1
25%
2
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that San Lorenzo will fail to score
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-9
Boca Juniors’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-19
San Lorenzo have scored 19% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
0.7
average goals scored
0.5
conceded
0.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
Boca Juniors
PG (predicted goals)
San Lorenzo
0.8
0.4
Attack rating
16%
better
BOJ
SLO
view stats
Games scored6
5
Failed to score2
3
Scored first3
3
Goals scored9
7
Avg. goals scored1.1
0.9
Avg. shots per game8
7
Avg. shots per goal7
8
Conversion rate for14
12
Avg. XG for1
0.8
KickOff rating
+16%
Defence rating
BOJ
SLO
4%
better
view stats
Games conceded3
3
Clean sheets5
5
Conceded first3
3
Goals conceded5
5
Avg. goals conceded0.6
0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded7
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded12
17
Conversion rate against9%
6%
Avg. XG against0.6
1
KickOff rating
+4%

Boca Juniors v San Lorenzo Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Boca Juniors Primera División squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9334
A MarchesínM MerentielL ParedesL Paredes
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Marchesín GLK9
-
M Weigandt DEF6
-
L Lollo DEF91
3
-
A Costa DEF9
1
-
L Blanco DEF91
-
S Ascacibar MID72
2
-
L Paredes MID813
4
-
M. Delgado MID81
1
-
T. Aranda MID7
1
-
A Bareiro FWD31
1
-
M Merentiel FWD63
1
-
Subs
L Brey GLK
-
N Figal DEF
-
J Barinaga DEF5
-
M Pellegrino DEF
-
W Cepeda MID4
1
-
A Herrera MID4
-
K Zenón MID4
-
M Braida MID
-
C. Rey Domenech MID
-
L Janson FWD3
1
-
G. Germán Gelini FWD51
-
I. Zufiaurre FWD81
1
-
San Lorenzo Primera División squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9324
O GillA CuelloM RitisA Cuello
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
O Gill GLK9
-
E Herrera DEF8
1
-
J Romaña DEF7
2
-
G Hernández DEF9
2
-
M Ritis DEF52
1
-
N Tripichio MID9
2
-
I. Perruzzi Ambrosini MID9
2
-
A. Ladstatter MID8
-
F. Gulli MID81
1
-
E Cerutti MID7
1
-
A Cuello FWD932
4
-
Subs
J Devecchi GLK
1
-
T. Rodríguez Pagano DEF5
1
-
G Corujo  DEF1
-
F. López DEF4
1
-
M Cardillo MID5
-
F Perruzzi MID3
-
G Abrego MID7
1
-
N Barrios MID2
-
M. Reali FWD3
-
G Rodríguez FWD72
-
L Vietto FWD72
2
-
Argentinian Primera División match betting previews, predictions and odds
Defensa v Central Cor
Thu 12th Mar, 20:00
Deportivo Riestra v Gimnasia Mendoza
Thu 12th Mar, 20:00
Tal Cordoba v Instituto
Thu 12th Mar, 22:15
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto v Belgrano
Thu 12th Mar, 22:15
Huracan v River Plate
Fri 13th Mar, 00:30
Estudiantes v Lanus
Fri 13th Mar, 23:00
Platense v Velez
Sat 14th Mar, 22:00
Rosario v Banfield
Sun 15th Mar, 00:00
Gimnasia v Independiente Rivadavia
Sun 15th Mar, 18:15
Belgrano v Tal Cordoba
Sun 15th Mar, 20:30
River Plate v Sarmiento
Sun 15th Mar, 22:45
U Santa Fe v Boca Juniors
Mon 16th Mar, 01:00
Tig v Argentinos
Mon 16th Mar, 01:00
Aldosivi v Huracan
Mon 16th Mar, 18:30
Barracas v A. Tucuman
Mon 16th Mar, 18:30
San Lorenzo v Defensa
Mon 16th Mar, 21:30
Racing Club v Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
Mon 16th Mar, 23:00
Instituto v Independiente
Tue 17th Mar, 01:15
Lanus v Newells
Tue 17th Mar, 22:00
Gimnasia Mendoza v Estudiantes
Wed 18th Mar, 00:15
Central Cor v Deportivo Riestra
Wed 18th Mar, 00:15
Banfield v Tig
Sat 21st Mar, 00:00
A. Tucuman v Gimnasia
Sat 21st Mar, 00:00
Velez v Lanus
Sat 21st Mar, 18:30
Newells v Gimnasia Mendoza
Sat 21st Mar, 20:45
Defensa v U Santa Fe
Sat 21st Mar, 20:45
Independiente v Tal Cordoba
Sat 21st Mar, 23:00
Belgrano v Racing Club
Sun 22nd Mar, 01:15
Sarmiento v Aldosivi
Sun 22nd Mar, 18:30
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto v River Plate
Sun 22nd Mar, 20:45
Boca Juniors v Instituto
Sun 22nd Mar, 23:00
Argentinos v Platense
Mon 23rd Mar, 01:15
Independiente Rivadavia v Rosario
Mon 23rd Mar, 01:15
Estudiantes v Central Cor
Mon 23rd Mar, 22:00
Huracan v Barracas
Tue 24th Mar, 00:15
Deportivo Riestra v San Lorenzo
Wed 25th Mar, 22:00