Defensa y Justicia's team badge Vélez Sarsfield's team badge

Defensa y Justicia v Vélez Sarsfield : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 14th Feb, 01:15 BST, Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello, Florencio Varela

the Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello plays host on Saturday morning, as Mariano Soso's Defensa y Justicia welcome Guillermo Barros Schelotto's Vélez Sarsfield in the Primera División. In this preview you'll find the best odds for 17 different betting markets, alongside supporting data that changes as you go between markets. Our predictions are based on 20-game form, so all stats are shown from a 20-game perspective. Home, away and overall performance can be viewed, while you'll also find head to head (H2H) history towards the bottom of the page.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't think there's a clear favourite to win this match, but what is clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have a maximum of 3 goals. Our statistical analysis is inline with them too. Defensa and Velez have delivered a host of under 3.5 goal games recently, and key performance stats point towards more of the same. We feel confident predicting under 3.5 goals on Saturday morning, and the bookies have it priced at 1.12.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Defensa are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 36% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.80.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Defensa
36%
-9/5
4%
Draw
28%
-19/10
Velez
36%
-9/5
3%
Draw 1-1
13%
-9/2
Defensa 1-0
12%
-5/1
4%
Velez 1-0
12%
-5/1
Draw 0-0
10%
-9/2
Defensa 2-1
8%
-9/1
Velez 2-1
8%
-9/1
Defensa 2-0
7%
-9/1
Velez 2-0
7%
-9/1
9%
Draw 2-2
4%
-16/1
Defensa 3-1
3%
-22/1
Velez 3-1
3%
-22/1
Defensa 3-0
3%
-22/1
10%
Velez 3-0
3%
-22/1
Defensa 3-2
2%
-33/1
Velez 3-2
2%
-33/1
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
-9/5
Under 2.5 Goals
60%
-2/5
Home 1st Goal
47%
-11/10
2%
Away 1st Goal
47%
-23/20
2%
No 1st Goal
7%
-9/2
BTTS - Yes
47%
-5/4
BTTS - No
53%
-3/5
2%
BTTS - Home Win
14%
-11/2
BTTS - Draw
18%
-7/2
2%
BTTS - Away Win
14%
-11/2
7%
Home/draw
64%
-2/5
Away/draw
64%
-4/9
3%
Home/away
72%
-2/5
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
-4/7
Under 1.5 Goals
33%
-5/4
Over 3.5 Goals
20%
-9/2
Under 3.5 Goals
80%
-1/8
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
-11/1
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
-1/40
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
-25/1
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
-1/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
-1/8
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
-9/2
4%
Home DNB
56%
-5/6
5%
Away DNB
56%
-17/20
5%
Defensa win to nil
22%
--
Velez win to nil
22%
--
Defensa / Defensa
18%
-17/5
10%
Defensa / Velez
3%
-25/1
10%
Defensa / Draw
6%
-11/1
8%
Draw / Defensa
13%
-19/4
Draw / Velez
13%
-5/1
8%
Draw / Draw
21%
-11/4
Velez / Defensa
3%
-25/1
Velez / Velez
18%
-17/5
2%
Velez / Draw
6%
-12/1
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Win / draw / win form
Defensa
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Defensa0 - 0Estudiantes
Defensa0 - 2Independiente Rivadavia
Defensa1 - 3Huracan
Defensa1 - 0Argentinos
Defensa2 - 1Boca Juniors
Defensa1 - 2Platense
Defensa2 - 1Belgrano
Defensa1 - 1Newells
Defensa1 - 0Deportivo Riestra
Defensa2 - 0Aldosivi
Defensa1 - 2Racing Club
Defensa0 - 0U Santa Fe
Defensa1 - 2Tig
Defensa1 - 0Estudiantes
Defensa1 - 1Barracas
Defensa2 - 1Central Cor
Defensa0 - 1Banfield
Defensa0 - 0U Santa Fe
Defensa2 - 1Godoy Cruz
Defensa1 - 1Deportivo Riestra
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ADefensa3 - 2Newells
HDefensa0 - 0Estudiantes
ADefensa1 - 0Deportivo Riestra
ADefensa0 - 0Aldosivi
HDefensa0 - 2Independiente Rivadavia
ADefensa0 - 1Racing Club
HDefensa1 - 3Huracan
ADefensa0 - 3U Santa Fe
HDefensa1 - 0Argentinos
ADefensa1 - 1Tig
HDefensa2 - 1Boca Juniors
ADefensa0 - 1Estudiantes
HDefensa1 - 2Platense
HDefensa2 - 1Belgrano
ADefensa1 - 1Barracas
HDefensa1 - 1Newells
HDefensa1 - 0Deportivo Riestra
ADefensa1 - 2Central Cor
HDefensa2 - 0Aldosivi
ADefensa0 - 0Banfield
Velez
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Independiente1 - 1Velez
Instituto0 - 1Velez
Gimnasia2 - 0Velez
Sarmiento0 - 2Velez
Deportivo Riestra2 - 2Velez
SM San Juan1 - 2Velez
Huracan0 - 0Velez
Godoy Cruz0 - 2Velez
San Lorenzo1 - 0Velez
Platense0 - 0Velez
River Plate4 - 1Velez
Tal Cordoba0 - 1Velez
Rosario2 - 1Velez
A. Tucuman1 - 2Velez
Lanus0 - 0Velez
Independiente3 - 0Velez
Instituto2 - 0Velez
Tig3 - 0Velez
U Santa Fe1 - 0Velez
Godoy Cruz0 - 0Velez
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AVelez1 - 1Independiente
HVelez2 - 1Tal Cordoba
AVelez1 - 0Instituto
HVelez0 - 2Argentinos
HVelez0 - 0River Plate
AVelez0 - 2Gimnasia
HVelez0 - 1Tal Cordoba
AVelez2 - 0Sarmiento
HVelez1 - 2Rosario
AVelez2 - 2Deportivo Riestra
HVelez3 - 1A. Tucuman
AVelez2 - 1SM San Juan
AVelez0 - 0Huracan
HVelez3 - 0Lanus
AVelez2 - 0Godoy Cruz
HVelez2 - 1Independiente
AVelez0 - 1San Lorenzo
HVelez0 - 0Instituto
AVelez0 - 0Platense
HVelez2 - 1Tig
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Defensa have drawn with Velez in 3 consecutive home league meetings
5
Velez have not lost to Defensa in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Defensa since 2018
Defensa
Velez
Goals: Scored
5
4
Games: Scored
3 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
1 / 4
DEF
1
D
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Defensa
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Defensa3 - 2
League games at Velez since 2019
Velez
Defensa
Goals: Scored
3
1
Games: Scored
1 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
2 / 3
DEF
1
D
1
VEL
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Velez
Velez3 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Defensa
Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for Defensa y Justicia of late. It has been 9 Primera División games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.2 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Saturday morning against Vélez Sarsfield.

Defensa Velez
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Defensa will score no more than 1 goal
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Velez will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-17
Defensa have scored 17% fewer goals at home than predicted
-18
Velez have scored 18% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.0
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2026/2026 season
Defensa
PG (predicted goals)
Velez
1.2
1.1
Attack rating
DEF
VEL
25%
better
view stats
Games scored2
3
Failed to score2
0
Scored first2
2
Goals scored4
4
Avg. goals scored1
1.3
Avg. shots per game7
8
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for15
17
Avg. XG for0.9
0.9
KickOff rating
+25%
Defence rating
31%
better
DEF
VEL
view stats
Games conceded1
2
Clean sheets3
1
Conceded first0
1
Goals conceded2
2
Avg. goals conceded0.5
0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded8
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded15
18
Conversion rate against7%
6%
Avg. XG against0.6
1
KickOff rating
+31%

Defensa v Velez Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Defensa Primera División squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4222
C FiermarínJ MiritelloJ GutiérrezÉver Banega
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Fiermarín GLK4
-
E Lucero DEF4
-
A. Portillo DEF411
-
L Souto DEF4
-
Ángel Maldonado MID41
-
S. Sosa Yung MID4
-
J Miritello FWD42
-
J Gutiérrez FWD42
1
-
E Amor DEF3
-
E Pereyra DEF3
-
D Martínez  DEF3
1
-
A Molinas MID31
-
J López MID3
-
M. Aguiar MID3
1
-
A Osorio FWD3
-
D Fernández DEF2
-
N. Roselli DEF2
-
A Hausch MID2
-
Éver Banega MID2
2
-
D Barbona FWD1
-
F Altamira FWD1
-
D. Fernandez FWD1
-
Velez Primera División squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3112
Álvaro MonteroJ. GordonM. AriasC Baeza
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Álvaro Montero GLK3
-
E Gómez DEF3
1
-
L Magallán DEF3
-
E Mammana DEF3
-
J. Gordon DEF31
-
C Baeza MID3
2
-
T. Andrada MID31
2
-
D Valdés MID3
-
M Lanzini MID31
-
L Robertone MID3
-
R Aliendro MID3
1
-
A Quirós DEF2
-
M. Arias MID21
-
M Pellegrini FWD2
-
B Romero FWD2
1
-
J García DEF11
-
M. Carrizo FWD1
-
D. Godoy FWD11
-
F Monzón FWD1
-
Argentinian Primera División match betting previews, predictions and odds
Barracas v Gimnasia
Mon 9th Feb, 20:00
Estudiantes v Deportivo Riestra
Mon 9th Feb, 22:15
Lanus v Tal Cordoba
Mon 9th Feb, 22:15
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto v Independiente Rivadavia
Tue 10th Feb, 00:30
Tig v Aldosivi
Thu 12th Feb, 22:00
Argentinos v River Plate
Fri 13th Feb, 00:15
Independiente v Lanus
Fri 13th Feb, 23:00
U Santa Fe v San Lorenzo
Sat 14th Feb, 01:15
Defensa v Velez
Sat 14th Feb, 01:15
Banfield v Racing Club
Sat 14th Feb, 20:30
Huracan v Sarmiento
Sat 14th Feb, 22:45
Tal Cordoba v Gimnasia Mendoza
Sat 14th Feb, 22:45
Independiente Rivadavia v Belgrano
Sun 15th Feb, 01:00
A. Tucuman v Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
Sun 15th Feb, 01:00
Gimnasia v Estudiantes
Sun 15th Feb, 20:00
Boca Juniors v Platense
Sun 15th Feb, 22:30
Instituto v Central Cor
Mon 16th Feb, 01:00
Rosario v Barracas
Mon 16th Feb, 01:00
Deportivo Riestra v Newells
Mon 16th Feb, 22:00
San Lorenzo v Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
Thu 19th Feb, 20:15
Defensa v Belgrano
Thu 19th Feb, 20:15
Independiente Rivadavia v Independiente
Thu 19th Feb, 22:30
Instituto v A. Tucuman
Thu 19th Feb, 22:30
Estudiantes v Sarmiento
Fri 20th Feb, 21:00
Boca Juniors v Racing Club
Fri 20th Feb, 23:00
Rosario v Tal Cordoba
Sat 21st Feb, 01:15
Gimnasia Mendoza v Gimnasia
Sat 21st Feb, 01:15
Banfield v Newells
Sat 21st Feb, 20:00
Platense v Barracas
Sat 21st Feb, 20:00
Deportivo Riestra v Huracan
Sat 21st Feb, 22:15
Argentinos v Lanus
Sun 22nd Feb, 00:00
Central Cor v Tig
Sun 22nd Feb, 00:30
Velez v River Plate
Sun 22nd Feb, 21:30
U Santa Fe v Aldosivi
Mon 23rd Feb, 00:00