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Independiente v Defensa y Justicia : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 18th Apr, 23:30 BST, Estadio Libertadores de América, Avellaneda

Saturday night sees Gustavo Enrique Domingo Quinteros Desábato’s Independiente and Mariano Soso’s Defensa y Justicia go up against one another in a Primera División clash at the Estadio Libertadores de América. Stats for our tip of under 3.5 goals are shown below, including head-to-head history. Changing the market with the tabs changes all stats and the odds, making it easier than ever to find the right bet for you.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We can expect some goalmouth action in this one, but don't count on a record-breaker. Under 3.5 goals is our prediction, meaning there will be no more than 3 goals scored during 90 minutes. Get best odds on under 3.5 just below, followed by market-specific form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Independiente are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 44% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.73.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Independiente
44%
69/100
4%
8/11
Draw
26%
12/55/2
Defensa
30%
9/217/4
5%
Draw 1-1
12%
11/211/2
Independiente 1-0
11%
9/2
8%
17/4
5%
Independiente 2-1
9%
8/1
6%
7/1
Defensa 1-0
9%
11/117/2
5%
Independiente 2-0
8%
6/111/2
7%
Draw 0-0
7%
13/2
6%
6/1
7%
Defensa 2-1
7%
18/114/1
Draw 2-2
5%
18/116/1
13%
Defensa 2-0
5%
25/118/1
Independiente 3-1
4%
16/1
13%
12/1
Independiente 3-0
4%
12/110/1
Defensa 3-1
3%
50/1
24%
33/1
Independiente 3-2
2%
33/125/1
Defensa 3-2
2%
50/140/1
21%
Defensa 3-0
2%
50/145/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
27/20
9%
5/4
5%
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
4/7
6%
4/7
5%
Home 1st Goal
50%
4/78/15
1%
Away 1st Goal
45%
15/821/10
3%
No 1st Goal
5%
13/2
6%
6/1
7%
BTTS - Yes
52%
11/10
2%
6/5
5%
BTTS - No
48%
4/6
2%
8/13
3%
BTTS - Home Win
20%
7/2
4%
10/3
3%
BTTS - Draw
19%
4/14/1
BTTS - Away Win
14%
12/1
8%
9/1
5%
Home/draw
70%
1/72/13
2%
Away/draw
56%
21/20
5%
11/10
2%
Home/away
74%
3/102/7
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
2/5
3%
4/9
6%
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
7/4
8%
17/10
6%
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
10/3
15%
16/5
11%
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
1/5
4%
1/5
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
9/1
11%
15/2
13%
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/16
1%
1/16
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
20/1
11%
16/1
13%
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/501/200
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/121/12
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
7/16/1
7%
Home DNB
62%
1/41/4
Away DNB
48%
11/413/5
3%
Independiente win to nil
24%
6/4
5%
-
Defensa win to nil
16%
7/1
11%
-
Independiente / Independiente
30%
7/4
5%
8/5
Independiente / Defensa
2%
40/133/1
Independiente / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Independiente
19%
10/310/3
2%
Draw / Defensa
8%
9/117/2
Draw / Draw
17%
15/4
5%
18/5
4%
Defensa / Independiente
3%
25/1
13%
20/1
Defensa / Defensa
9%
8/17/1
7%
Defensa / Draw
5%
16/114/1
15%
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Win / draw / win form
Independiente 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Independiente1 - 0Racing Club
Independiente1 - 2Tal Cordoba
Independiente4 - 4U Santa Fe
Independiente2 - 0Central Cor
Independiente2 - 0Lanus
Independiente1 - 1Velez
Independiente1 - 1Estudiantes
Independiente1 - 0Rosario
Independiente3 - 0A. Tucuman
Independiente3 - 0Platense
Independiente0 - 2Lanus
Independiente1 - 1San Lorenzo
Independiente0 - 1Banfield
Independiente0 - 0River Plate
Independiente1 - 2Tal Cordoba
Independiente0 - 0Huracan
Independiente1 - 0Independiente Rivadavia
Independiente0 - 0Deportivo Riestra
Independiente2 - 0SM San Juan
Independiente4 - 0Godoy Cruz
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AIndependiente1 - 1Boca Juniors
HIndependiente1 - 0Racing Club
HIndependiente1 - 2Tal Cordoba
AIndependiente1 - 2Instituto
HIndependiente4 - 4U Santa Fe
HIndependiente2 - 0Central Cor
AIndependiente1 - 1Gimnasia Mendoza
AIndependiente2 - 3Independiente Rivadavia
HIndependiente2 - 0Lanus
AIndependiente1 - 0Platense
HIndependiente1 - 1Velez
AIndependiente1 - 1Newells
HIndependiente1 - 1Estudiantes
HIndependiente1 - 0Rosario
AIndependiente1 - 0Deportivo Riestra
HIndependiente3 - 0A. Tucuman
HIndependiente3 - 0Platense
AIndependiente0 - 1SM San Juan
HIndependiente0 - 2Lanus
AIndependiente1 - 1Godoy Cruz
Defensa 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Instituto2 - 0Defensa
San Lorenzo2 - 5Defensa
Platense0 - 0Defensa
Newells2 - 3Defensa
Deportivo Riestra0 - 1Defensa
Aldosivi0 - 0Defensa
Racing Club1 - 0Defensa
U Santa Fe3 - 0Defensa
Tig1 - 1Defensa
Estudiantes1 - 0Defensa
Barracas1 - 1Defensa
Central Cor2 - 1Defensa
Banfield0 - 0Defensa
Independiente Rivadavia3 - 2Defensa
Huracan1 - 1Defensa
Argentinos4 - 1Defensa
Boca Juniors4 - 0Defensa
Platense0 - 1Defensa
Belgrano2 - 0Defensa
Newells0 - 1Defensa
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HDefensa1 - 2Tal Cordoba
ADefensa0 - 2Instituto
HDefensa2 - 0U Santa Fe
ADefensa5 - 2San Lorenzo
HDefensa1 - 1Central Cor
HDefensa1 - 1Lanus
ADefensa0 - 0Platense
HDefensa1 - 1Belgrano
HDefensa1 - 1Velez
ADefensa3 - 2Newells
HDefensa0 - 0Estudiantes
ADefensa1 - 0Deportivo Riestra
ADefensa0 - 0Aldosivi
HDefensa0 - 2Independiente Rivadavia
ADefensa0 - 1Racing Club
HDefensa1 - 3Huracan
ADefensa0 - 3U Santa Fe
HDefensa1 - 0Argentinos
ADefensa1 - 1Tig
HDefensa2 - 1Boca Juniors
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Independiente since 2018
Independiente
Defensa
Goals: Scored
2
3
Games: Scored
2 / 5
2 / 5
Clean sheets
3 / 5
3 / 5
IND
2
D
1
DEF
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Independiente
0 - 2Defensa
Draw0 - 0Draw
Independiente1 - 0
Independiente1 - 0
0 - 1Defensa
League games at Defensa since 2019
Defensa
Independiente
Goals: Scored
2
2
Games: Scored
1 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
3 / 4
IND
1
D
2
DEF
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Defensa
Draw0 - 0Draw
Defensa2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Independiente
Goal Statistics
Independiente 8th Defensa 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Independiente will score 1 or more goals
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Defensa will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+8
Independiente’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-10
Defensa’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.4
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
Independiente
PG (predicted goals)
Defensa
1.4
1.2
Attack rating
27%
better
IND
DEF
view stats
Games scored13
9
Failed to score0
4
Scored first9
7
Goals scored19
16
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.2
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for15
14
Avg. XG for1.1
1
KickOff rating
+27%
Defence rating
IND
DEF
21%
better
view stats
Games conceded9
8
Clean sheets4
5
Conceded first4
3
Goals conceded16
12
Avg. goals conceded1.2
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded8
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
11
Conversion rate against16%
9%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.1
KickOff rating
+21%

Independiente v Defensa Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Independiente Primera División squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13844
R ReyG ÁvalosG ÁvalosG. Millán
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Rey GLK13
1
-
K Lomónaco DEF131
3
-
I Malcorra MID1313
2
-
G Ávalos FWD1384
2
-
F Zabala DEF121
3
-
M Abaldo FWD124
1
1
G. Millán MID111
4
-
I Marcone MID111
3
-
S Valdéz DEF10
2
1
R Fernández MID10
2
-
I Pussetto  FWD1011
1
-
S Arias DEF92
1
-
L Godoy DEF9
2
-
J. Fedorco DEF81
1
-
L Cabral MID81
1
1
S Montiel FWD811
1
1
W Mazzantti FWD6
-
M Valenzuela  DEF4
1
-
N Freire DEF1
-
F Mancuello MID1
-
D. Tarzia FWD1
-
Defensa Primera División squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13344
C FiermarínJ GutiérrezA MolinasD Martínez 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Fiermarín GLK13
-
J Gutiérrez FWD1332
1
-
L Souto DEF121
1
E Amor DEF121
1
-
A Molinas MID1224
3
-
S. Sosa Yung MID12
1
1
Ángel Maldonado MID1111
2
1
A Hausch MID111
-
D Martínez  DEF101
4
-
E Pereyra DEF102
-
E Lucero DEF9
1
-
D Fernández DEF9
3
-
A. Portillo DEF821
1
-
M. Aguiar MID8
1
1
D Barbona FWD81
-
J López MID7
-
Éver Banega MID71
2
-
J Miritello FWD62
-
D Cáceres DEF5
-
F Altamira FWD5
1
-
A Osorio FWD4
-
N. Roselli DEF3
-
D. Fernandez FWD2
-
C Pérez MID1
-