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Independiente v Estudiantes : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 23rd Jan, 23:00 BST, Estadio Libertadores de América, Avellaneda

Estudiantes, led by manager Eduardo Rodrigo Domínguez, visit Gustavo Enrique Domingo Quinteros Desábato and his Independiente side at the Estadio Libertadores de América on Friday night in the Primera División. For every Primera División preview, KickOff delves into the stats for all of the biggest markets. Important stats, including head-to-head results, are then brought forward alongside odds from leading bookmakers.


Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It may be an over exaggeration to say that we expect Gustavo Enrique Domingo Quinteros Desábato and Eduardo Rodrigo Domínguez to park the bus here, but we're certainly not expecting a deluge of goals as Independiente and Estudiantes go head-to-head. The stats belowimply under 2.5 goals (i.e. 2 goals of fewer in total), and we're saying that looks like a strong prediction. With best odds of 1.40 available on under 2.5 goals and no obvious match winner in sight, that's the bet we'd advise you go for.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Independiente are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 46% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.25.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Independiente
46%
11/10
5%
6/5
10%
Draw
29%
9/5
2%
2/1
Estudiantes
25%
16/5
7%
27/10
16%
Independiente 1-0
15%
9/24/1
9%
Draw 1-1
13%
5/119/4
Draw 0-0
12%
9/219/4
Estudiantes 1-0
10%
15/26/1
8%
Independiente 2-0
10%
15/2
6%
15/2
6%
Independiente 2-1
8%
9/117/2
Estudiantes 2-1
6%
14/1
12%
12/1
18%
Estudiantes 2-0
4%
18/1
10%
14/1
25%
Independiente 3-0
4%
18/114/1
21%
Draw 2-2
3%
20/116/1
Independiente 3-1
3%
22/1
10%
16/1
19%
Estudiantes 3-1
2%
40/128/1
12%
Independiente 3-2
1%
40/133/1
Independiente 4-0
1%
40/133/1
17%
Estudiantes 3-0
1%
40/1
20%
28/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
35%
15/89/5
Under 2.5 Goals
65%
2/52/5
Home 1st Goal
51%
4/54/5
8%
Away 1st Goal
41%
13/8
4%
8/5
13%
No 1st Goal
9%
9/219/4
BTTS - Yes
41%
5/413/10
BTTS - No
59%
4/711/20
1%
BTTS - Home Win
15%
5/119/4
4%
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/418/5
BTTS - Away Win
9%
10/1
8%
8/1
20%
Home/draw
75%
2/9
3%
1/4
7%
Away/draw
54%
4/6
3%
13/20
8%
Home/away
71%
2/54/11
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
62%
4/73/5
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
38%
5/45/4
Over 3.5 Goals
16%
5/19/2
4%
Under 3.5 Goals
84%
1/81/8
Over 4.5 Goals
6%
14/111/1
Under 4.5 Goals
94%
1/331/40
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
28/125/1
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/1501/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
88%
1/71/9
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
12%
9/219/4
Home DNB
66%
2/510/21
10%
Away DNB
45%
7/429/20
17%
Independiente win to nil
31%
2/1
9%
-
Estudiantes win to nil
16%
5/1-
Independiente / Independiente
23%
5/2
3%
12/5
13%
Independiente / Estudiantes
2%
40/133/1
17%
Independiente / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Independiente
16%
15/44/1
5%
Draw / Estudiantes
11%
7/16/1
8%
Draw / Draw
21%
3/114/5
Estudiantes / Independiente
3%
33/1
17%
25/1
13%
Estudiantes / Estudiantes
13%
11/2
7%
19/4
15%
Estudiantes / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
12/1
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Win / draw / win form
4
Independiente have won 4 consecutive league games
4
Independiente have kept a clean sheet for 4 consecutive league games
Independiente 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
4
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
9
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
7 / 20
Clean sheets
13 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Independiente1 - 0Rosario
Independiente3 - 0A. Tucuman
Independiente3 - 0Platense
Independiente0 - 2Lanus
Independiente1 - 1San Lorenzo
Independiente0 - 1Banfield
Independiente0 - 0River Plate
Independiente1 - 2Tal Cordoba
Independiente0 - 0Huracan
Independiente1 - 0Independiente Rivadavia
Independiente0 - 0Deportivo Riestra
Independiente2 - 0SM San Juan
Independiente4 - 0Godoy Cruz
Independiente1 - 1Racing Club
Independiente2 - 0Instituto
Independiente3 - 0Velez
Independiente2 - 0Gimnasia
Independiente2 - 1Sarmiento
Independiente2 - 1A. Tucuman
Independiente2 - 0Central Cor
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HIndependiente1 - 0Rosario
AIndependiente1 - 0Deportivo Riestra
HIndependiente3 - 0A. Tucuman
HIndependiente3 - 0Platense
AIndependiente0 - 1SM San Juan
HIndependiente0 - 2Lanus
AIndependiente1 - 1Godoy Cruz
AIndependiente0 - 0Racing Club
HIndependiente1 - 1San Lorenzo
HIndependiente0 - 1Banfield
AIndependiente0 - 0Instituto
AIndependiente1 - 2Velez
HIndependiente0 - 0River Plate
AIndependiente0 - 1Gimnasia
HIndependiente1 - 2Tal Cordoba
AIndependiente2 - 2Sarmiento
HIndependiente0 - 0Huracan
AIndependiente1 - 0Boca Juniors
HIndependiente1 - 0Independiente Rivadavia
AIndependiente0 - 1Rosario
Estudiantes
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Racing Club1 - 1Estudiantes
Gimnasia0 - 1Estudiantes
Central Cor0 - 1Estudiantes
Rosario0 - 1Estudiantes
Tig1 - 0Estudiantes
Belgrano1 - 1Estudiantes
Newells1 - 1Estudiantes
Central Cor2 - 0Estudiantes
Banfield3 - 2Estudiantes
Racing Club0 - 1Estudiantes
U Santa Fe1 - 0Estudiantes
Rosario2 - 0Estudiantes
Argentinos4 - 0Estudiantes
Boca Juniors2 - 0Estudiantes
Gimnasia1 - 1Estudiantes
Barracas2 - 1Estudiantes
Defensa1 - 0Estudiantes
River Plate0 - 2Estudiantes
Aldosivi2 - 2Estudiantes
Independiente Rivadavia2 - 2Estudiantes
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AEstudiantes1 - 1Racing Club
AEstudiantes1 - 0Gimnasia
AEstudiantes1 - 0Central Cor
AEstudiantes1 - 0Rosario
HEstudiantes1 - 2Argentinos
AEstudiantes0 - 1Tig
HEstudiantes1 - 2Boca Juniors
HEstudiantes2 - 0Gimnasia
AEstudiantes1 - 1Belgrano
HEstudiantes1 - 1Barracas
AEstudiantes1 - 1Newells
HEstudiantes1 - 0Defensa
HEstudiantes1 - 2River Plate
AEstudiantes0 - 2Central Cor
HEstudiantes1 - 0Aldosivi
AEstudiantes2 - 3Banfield
HEstudiantes2 - 1Independiente Rivadavia
AEstudiantes1 - 0Racing Club
HEstudiantes2 - 1Huracan
AEstudiantes0 - 1U Santa Fe
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Independiente since 2022
Independiente
Estudiantes
Goals: Scored
3
3
Games: Scored
2 / 2
2 / 2
Clean sheets
0 / 2
0 / 2
IND
1
EST
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Independiente
1 - 2Estudiantes
Independiente2 - 1
League games at Estudiantes since 2018
Estudiantes
Independiente
Goals: Scored
7
6
Games: Scored
3 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
3 / 6
IND
2
D
2
EST
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Estudiantes
0 - 2Independiente
Estudiantes2 - 1
0 - 1Independiente
Draw0 - 0Draw
Estudiantes3 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Goal Statistics

With a PG of just 0.9, Estudiantes look set to find it difficult here. Add in the fact that Independiente haven't conceded a goal in 4 consecutive Primera División games, and it could be a long night for E. Domínguez's men.

Independiente 7th Estudiantes st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Independiente will score no more than 1 goal
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 79% probability of Estudiantes scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+13
Independiente have scored 13% more goals at home than predicted
-9
Estudiantes’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.5
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
0.5
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2026/2026 season
Independiente
PG (predicted goals)
Estudiantes
1.3
0.9
Attack rating
0%
better
IND
EST
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
0%
better
IND
EST
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Independiente v Estudiantes Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Independiente Primera División squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Estudiantes Primera División squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Argentinian Primera División match betting previews, predictions and odds
Aldosivi v Defensa
Thu 22nd Jan, 20:00
U Santa Fe v Platense
Thu 22nd Jan, 23:00
Banfield v Huracan
Thu 22nd Jan, 23:00
Instituto v Velez
Fri 23rd Jan, 01:15
San Lorenzo v Lanus
Fri 23rd Jan, 22:00
Independiente v Estudiantes
Fri 23rd Jan, 23:00
Independiente Rivadavia v A. Tucuman
Sat 24th Jan, 01:15
Tal Cordoba v Newells
Sat 24th Jan, 01:15
Barracas v River Plate
Sat 24th Jan, 20:00
Gimnasia v Racing Club
Sat 24th Jan, 22:30
Rosario v Belgrano
Sun 25th Jan, 01:00
Boca Juniors v Deportivo Riestra
Sun 25th Jan, 21:30
Argentinos v Sarmiento
Mon 26th Jan, 00:00
Platense v Instituto
Mon 26th Jan, 20:00
Velez v Tal Cordoba
Tue 27th Jan, 20:45
Huracan v Independiente Rivadavia
Tue 27th Jan, 23:00
A. Tucuman v Central Cor
Wed 28th Jan, 01:15
Newells v Independiente
Wed 28th Jan, 01:15
Aldosivi v Barracas
Wed 28th Jan, 20:00
Racing Club v Rosario
Wed 28th Jan, 22:00
River Plate v Gimnasia
Wed 28th Jan, 23:00
Estudiantes v Boca Juniors
Thu 29th Jan, 01:15
Deportivo Riestra v Defensa
Thu 29th Jan, 20:00
Lanus v U Santa Fe
Thu 29th Jan, 22:15
Belgrano v Tig
Thu 29th Jan, 22:15
Sarmiento v Banfield
Fri 30th Jan, 00:30
San Lorenzo v Central Cor
Sat 31st Jan, 20:30
Independiente v Velez
Sat 31st Jan, 22:45
A. Tucuman v Huracan
Sun 1st Feb, 01:00
Tal Cordoba v Platense
Sun 1st Feb, 01:00
Barracas v Deportivo Riestra
Sun 1st Feb, 20:00
Boca Juniors v Newells
Sun 1st Feb, 22:15
Rosario v River Plate
Mon 2nd Feb, 00:30
Gimnasia v Aldosivi
Mon 2nd Feb, 20:30
Tig v Racing Club
Mon 2nd Feb, 22:45
Defensa v Estudiantes
Mon 2nd Feb, 22:45
Argentinos v Belgrano
Tue 3rd Feb, 01:00
Instituto v Lanus
Wed 4th Feb, 00:15
Independiente Rivadavia v Sarmiento
Wed 4th Feb, 00:15