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Independiente v Lanús : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 13th Feb, 23:00 BST, Estadio Libertadores de América, Avellaneda

the Estadio Libertadores de América crowd welcome Lanús's supporters on Friday night, as Gustavo Enrique Domingo Quinteros Desábato's Independiente face Mauricio Pellegrino's side in the Primera División. We provide predictions based on complex statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across 17 major betting markets. Data shown and the odds change with each market, and head to head (H2H) stats are included across them all.


Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals means, quite simply, that there will be a maximum of 2 goals scored in total by Independiente and Lanus during the traditional 90 mins. It's a bet the stats below and the odds are both leaning towards here, and an outcome that we've seen head to head clashes between these sides has produced in the past. In the absence of an obvious winner, our best bet prediction for this one is under 2.5.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Independiente are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 45% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.15.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Independiente
45%
11/10
2%
23/20
4%
Draw
28%
2/121/10
7%
Lanus
26%
29/10
5%
14/5
3%
Independiente 1-0
14%
5/1
9%
9/2
Draw 1-1
13%
5/119/4
5%
Draw 0-0
11%
11/2
8%
5/1
4%
Lanus 1-0
10%
8/1
13%
13/2
Independiente 2-0
9%
8/17/1
6%
Independiente 2-1
9%
17/2
5%
15/2
6%
Lanus 2-1
6%
14/111/1
Lanus 2-0
5%
18/1
12%
14/1
15%
Independiente 3-0
4%
18/1
10%
14/1
12%
Draw 2-2
4%
16/1
19%
14/1
Independiente 3-1
4%
20/116/1
11%
Lanus 3-1
2%
40/125/1
Independiente 3-2
2%
40/128/1
Lanus 3-0
1%
40/128/1
Independiente 4-0
1%
40/128/1
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
6/4
7%
6/4
5%
Under 2.5 Goals
61%
1/2
4%
1/2
4%
Home 1st Goal
51%
4/5
2%
3/4
4%
Away 1st Goal
42%
6/48/5
4%
No 1st Goal
7%
11/2
8%
5/1
4%
BTTS - Yes
44%
11/10
5%
23/20
2%
BTTS - No
56%
4/6
3%
13/20
3%
BTTS - Home Win
17%
9/2
8%
4/1
9%
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/2
5%
18/5
2%
BTTS - Away Win
10%
17/27/1
Home/draw
74%
1/4
3%
1/4
3%
Away/draw
55%
4/67/10
5%
Home/away
72%
4/114/11
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
66%
4/9
6%
10/21
5%
Under 1.5 Goals
34%
13/8
11%
6/4
5%
Over 3.5 Goals
19%
4/1
9%
19/5
9%
Under 3.5 Goals
81%
1/6
3%
1/6
4%
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
10/1
15%
9/1
9%
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1/20
1%
1/25
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
25/1
10%
20/1
9%
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/1501/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
89%
1/9
2%
1/10
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
11%
11/2
8%
11/2
13%
Home DNB
65%
4/9
4%
4/9
4%
Away DNB
46%
13/8
5%
6/4
4%
Independiente win to nil
29%
9/4-
Lanus win to nil
16%
5/1
9%
-
Independiente / Independiente
24%
12/5
6%
23/10
6%
Independiente / Lanus
2%
40/128/1
Independiente / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Independiente
16%
4/119/5
4%
Draw / Lanus
11%
13/213/2
Draw / Draw
19%
10/3
8%
3/1
7%
Lanus / Independiente
3%
28/1
15%
22/1
Lanus / Lanus
13%
11/219/4
5%
Lanus / Draw
6%
14/112/1
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Win / draw / win form
5
Independiente have not lost in 5 consecutive home league games
Independiente
20 league games
Home
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
10
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
Draw
7
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Independiente1 - 1Velez
Independiente1 - 1Estudiantes
Independiente1 - 0Rosario
Independiente3 - 0A. Tucuman
Independiente3 - 0Platense
Independiente0 - 2Lanus
Independiente1 - 1San Lorenzo
Independiente0 - 1Banfield
Independiente0 - 0River Plate
Independiente1 - 2Tal Cordoba
Independiente0 - 0Huracan
Independiente1 - 0Independiente Rivadavia
Independiente0 - 0Deportivo Riestra
Independiente2 - 0SM San Juan
Independiente4 - 0Godoy Cruz
Independiente1 - 1Racing Club
Independiente2 - 0Instituto
Independiente3 - 0Velez
Independiente2 - 0Gimnasia
Independiente2 - 1Sarmiento
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
9
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AIndependiente1 - 0Platense
HIndependiente1 - 1Velez
AIndependiente1 - 1Newells
HIndependiente1 - 1Estudiantes
HIndependiente1 - 0Rosario
AIndependiente1 - 0Deportivo Riestra
HIndependiente3 - 0A. Tucuman
HIndependiente3 - 0Platense
AIndependiente0 - 1SM San Juan
HIndependiente0 - 2Lanus
AIndependiente1 - 1Godoy Cruz
AIndependiente0 - 0Racing Club
HIndependiente1 - 1San Lorenzo
HIndependiente0 - 1Banfield
AIndependiente0 - 0Instituto
AIndependiente1 - 2Velez
HIndependiente0 - 0River Plate
AIndependiente0 - 1Gimnasia
HIndependiente1 - 2Tal Cordoba
AIndependiente2 - 2Sarmiento
Lanus
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
Draw
9
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Instituto2 - 2Lanus
San Lorenzo2 - 3Lanus
SM San Juan1 - 1Lanus
Banfield2 - 1Lanus
Independiente0 - 2Lanus
Instituto0 - 0Lanus
Velez3 - 0Lanus
Gimnasia1 - 2Lanus
Sarmiento0 - 2Lanus
Deportivo Riestra1 - 0Lanus
Boca Juniors0 - 0Lanus
A. Tucuman1 - 0Lanus
Godoy Cruz0 - 0Lanus
San Lorenzo1 - 1Lanus
Platense0 - 0Lanus
Independiente Rivadavia1 - 1Lanus
River Plate1 - 0Lanus
Tal Cordoba0 - 1Lanus
Rosario2 - 1Lanus
Barracas3 - 3Lanus
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLanus1 - 1Tal Cordoba
ALanus2 - 2Instituto
HLanus2 - 1U Santa Fe
ALanus3 - 2San Lorenzo
HLanus0 - 1Tig
HLanus3 - 1A. Tucuman
ALanus1 - 1SM San Juan
ALanus1 - 2Banfield
HLanus2 - 0Godoy Cruz
ALanus2 - 0Independiente
HLanus2 - 1San Lorenzo
ALanus0 - 0Instituto
HLanus2 - 1Platense
HLanus1 - 0Independiente Rivadavia
ALanus0 - 3Velez
HLanus1 - 1River Plate
ALanus2 - 1Gimnasia
HLanus1 - 0Tal Cordoba
ALanus2 - 0Sarmiento
HLanus0 - 1Rosario
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Lanus have not lost to Independiente in 5 consecutive away league meetings
League games at Independiente since 2019
Independiente
Lanus
Goals: Scored
3
7
Games: Scored
2 / 5
5 / 5
Clean sheets
0 / 5
3 / 5
D
2
LAN
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Independiente
0 - 2Lanus
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Lanus
0 - 1Lanus
Draw2 - 2Draw
League games at Lanus since 2018
Lanus
Independiente
Goals: Scored
4
4
Games: Scored
4 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
1 / 5
IND
1
D
2
LAN
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Lanus
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2Independiente
Draw1 - 1Draw
Lanus1 - 0
Lanus1 - 0
Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for Independiente of late. It has been 5 Primera División matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Friday night against Lanús.

Independiente Lanus
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Independiente will score no more than 1 goal
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of Lanus scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+5
Independiente’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+17
Lanus have scored 17% more goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
0.5
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2026/2026 season
Independiente
PG (predicted goals)
Lanus
1.3
0.9
Attack rating
IND
LAN
10%
better
view stats
Games scored4
3
Failed to score0
0
Scored first3
2
Goals scored4
7
Avg. goals scored1
1.8
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal8
5
Conversion rate for13
21
Avg. XG for0.6
1.5
KickOff rating
+10%
Defence rating
32%
better
IND
LAN
view stats
Games conceded3
3
Clean sheets1
0
Conceded first1
1
Goals conceded3
5
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded11
7
Conversion rate against9%
15%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.4
KickOff rating
+32%

Independiente v Lanus Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Independiente Primera División squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4122
R ReyG ÁvalosG ÁvalosK Lomónaco
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Rey GLK4
1
-
L Godoy DEF4
1
-
F Zabala DEF4
1
-
K Lomónaco DEF4
2
-
G. Millán MID4
2
-
I Malcorra MID4
2
-
M Abaldo FWD4
-
G Ávalos FWD412
-
I Pussetto  FWD4
-
S Valdéz DEF3
-
J. Fedorco DEF3
-
L Cabral MID31
1
-
R Fernández MID3
1
-
W Mazzantti FWD3
-
S Montiel FWD31
1
I Marcone MID2
-
S Arias DEF1
-
M Valenzuela  DEF1
-
D. Tarzia FWD1
-
Lanus Primera División squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4332
N LosadaM MorenoR CastilloS Marcich
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Losada GLK4
1
-
S Marcich DEF41
2
-
C Izquierdoz DEF41
2
-
T Guidara DEF41
1
-
J Canale DEF4
-
D. Medina MID4
1
-
A Cardozo MID4
-
M Moreno MID431
-
F Biafore MID4
-
R Carrera MID411
2
-
R Castillo FWD413
-
E Salvio FWD41
-
M Sepúlveda MID3
1
-
G Pérez DEF2
-
R López DEF2
-
B. Cabrera FWD2
-
D Aquino FWD21
1
-
W Bou FWD2
-
N Morgantini DEF1
-
F Watson MID1
-
L Besozzi FWD11
-