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Independiente v Unión Santa Fe : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Libertadores de América, Avellaneda

Gustavo Enrique Domingo Quinteros Desábato and Leonardo Carol Madelón clash in the Primera División on Tuesday night, as Independiente face Unión Santa Fe at the Estadio Libertadores de América. Below we've got predictions for all the biggest betting markets, supporting stats including head-to-heads, and odds. Access it all using the tabs below.

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Independiente's next match is v Instituto at 01:15 on Tuesday 17th March
Unión Santa Fe's next match is v Boca Juniors at 01:00 on Monday 16th March
The last Argentinian Primera División meeting between Independiente and U Santa Fe was on Tuesday 10th March 2026
Argentinian Primera División
March 10th 2026
Independiente 4
4 U Santa Fe
 
I. Pussetto 45'14' C. Tarragona
G. Ávalos Stumpfs 49'20' B. Cuello
G. Ávalos Stumpfs 68'39' M. Del Blanco
J. Fedorco 90'64' ?. Rodríguez González
 
IND
USF
Shots On
7
6
Shots Off
4
3
Corners
7
3
Possession
57%
43%
Fouls
11
8
Yellow/red cards
2/0
 
IndependienteU Santa Fe
 
J. Fedorcofootball icon
G. Millán (L. Cabral 46')
G. Ávalos Stumpfsfootball iconfootball icon
R. Rey
F. Zavala
K. Lomónaco
L. Godoy (S. Arias Naranjo 46')
I. Marcone (R. Fernández Cedrés 81')
V. Malcorra
M. Abaldo Menyou (F. Valdez 81')
I. Pussettofootball icon (S. Montiel 63')
football icon?. Rodríguez González
M. Mansilla
(F. Fragapane 82') football iconM. Del Blanco
(A. Solari 71') J. Palacios
M. Estigarribia
(B. Pittón 71') football iconB. Cuello
J. Ludueña
L. Vargas
R. Profini
M. Pittón
(L. Menossi 86') football iconC. Tarragona

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

It's our view that there's not a clear favourite to to get the win in this one, but does appear clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have a maximum of 3 goals. Our statistical analysis says the same. Independiente and U Santa Fe have served up plenty of under 3.5 goal games of late, and key performance stats point towards an extension of that record. We're confidently predicting under 3.5 goals on Tuesday night, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.15.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Independiente are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 46% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.15.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Independiente
46%
24/2517/4
2%
Draw
27%
12/5
5%
21/10
6%
U Santa Fe
27%
14/58/11
3%
Independiente 1-0
13%
5/1
8%
17/4
Draw 1-1
13%
11/219/5
4%
Draw 0-0
9%
6/15/1
7%
U Santa Fe 1-0
9%
15/2
6%
19/4
Independiente 2-0
9%
15/2
6%
15/2
6%
Independiente 2-1
9%
17/2
5%
7/1
6%
U Santa Fe 2-1
6%
12/13/1
U Santa Fe 2-0
5%
18/110/3
Draw 2-2
4%
18/1
11%
11/2
12%
Independiente 3-0
4%
16/114/1
Independiente 3-1
4%
18/116/1
U Santa Fe 3-1
2%
40/1
21%
12/5
Independiente 3-2
2%
33/114/1
U Santa Fe 3-0
1%
40/111/4
12%
U Santa Fe 3-2
1%
40/1
24%
9/4
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
7/5
4%
2/11
Under 2.5 Goals
58%
8/15
1%
10/3
Home 1st Goal
51%
8/114/5
Away 1st Goal
43%
6/48/5
2%
No 1st Goal
6%
6/15/1
7%
BTTS - Yes
47%
11/10
5%
11/20
2%
BTTS - No
53%
4/6
3%
13/10
2%
BTTS - Home Win
18%
4/1
9%
4/1
5%
BTTS - Draw
18%
4/1
5%
2/1
4%
BTTS - Away Win
11%
8/1
6%
7/10
Home/draw
73%
1/421/20
Away/draw
54%
4/51/7
2%
Home/away
73%
3/10
2%
1/3
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
68%
4/91/9
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
32%
13/819/4
2%
Over 3.5 Goals
21%
7/2
10%
2/9
Under 3.5 Goals
79%
2/11
3%
14/5
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
10/1
18%
2/7
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1/20
1%
12/5
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
22/13/10
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/1009/4
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/101/9
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
6/15/1
Home DNB
65%
4/911/4
Away DNB
46%
13/82/9
Independiente win to nil
28%
2/1-
U Santa Fe win to nil
16%
5/1-
Independiente / Independiente
24%
9/41/50
3%
Independiente / U Santa Fe
2%
40/1750/1
Independiente / Draw
6%
14/11/50
8%
Draw / Independiente
16%
15/41/50
Draw / U Santa Fe
11%
7/11/50
7%
Draw / Draw
18%
7/2150/1
4%
U Santa Fe / Independiente
3%
28/133/1
U Santa Fe / U Santa Fe
13%
11/2
8%
1/50
10%
U Santa Fe / Draw
6%
14/114/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
3
U Santa Fe have won 3 consecutive league games
7
Independiente have not lost in 7 consecutive home league games
Independiente 26TH
20 league games
Home
7
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
9
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
7 / 20
Clean sheets
13 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
Draw
7
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Independiente2 - 0Central Cor
Independiente2 - 0Lanus
Independiente1 - 1Velez
Independiente1 - 1Estudiantes
Independiente1 - 0Rosario
Independiente3 - 0A. Tucuman
Independiente3 - 0Platense
Independiente0 - 2Lanus
Independiente1 - 1San Lorenzo
Independiente0 - 1Banfield
Independiente0 - 0River Plate
Independiente1 - 2Tal Cordoba
Independiente0 - 0Huracan
Independiente1 - 0Independiente Rivadavia
Independiente0 - 0Deportivo Riestra
Independiente2 - 0SM San Juan
Independiente4 - 0Godoy Cruz
Independiente1 - 1Racing Club
Independiente2 - 0Instituto
Independiente3 - 0Velez
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
8
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HIndependiente2 - 0Central Cor
AIndependiente1 - 1Gimnasia Mendoza
AIndependiente2 - 3Independiente Rivadavia
HIndependiente2 - 0Lanus
AIndependiente1 - 0Platense
HIndependiente1 - 1Velez
AIndependiente1 - 1Newells
HIndependiente1 - 1Estudiantes
HIndependiente1 - 0Rosario
AIndependiente1 - 0Deportivo Riestra
HIndependiente3 - 0A. Tucuman
HIndependiente3 - 0Platense
AIndependiente0 - 1SM San Juan
HIndependiente0 - 2Lanus
AIndependiente1 - 1Godoy Cruz
AIndependiente0 - 0Racing Club
HIndependiente1 - 1San Lorenzo
HIndependiente0 - 1Banfield
AIndependiente0 - 0Instituto
AIndependiente1 - 2Velez
U Santa Fe 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Instituto1 - 2U Santa Fe
Sarmiento1 - 3U Santa Fe
Central Cor1 - 0U Santa Fe
Lanus2 - 1U Santa Fe
Belgrano0 - 0U Santa Fe
Newells0 - 1U Santa Fe
Central Cor3 - 1U Santa Fe
Banfield0 - 0U Santa Fe
Gimnasia1 - 3U Santa Fe
Racing Club2 - 3U Santa Fe
Instituto0 - 4U Santa Fe
Argentinos1 - 0U Santa Fe
Boca Juniors1 - 1U Santa Fe
Barracas2 - 1U Santa Fe
Defensa0 - 0U Santa Fe
Aldosivi2 - 1U Santa Fe
Independiente Rivadavia2 - 0U Santa Fe
Huracan1 - 0U Santa Fe
Tig1 - 0U Santa Fe
Estudiantes3 - 1U Santa Fe
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AU Santa Fe2 - 1Instituto
AU Santa Fe3 - 1Sarmiento
HU Santa Fe1 - 0Aldosivi
HU Santa Fe0 - 0San Lorenzo
AU Santa Fe0 - 1Central Cor
HU Santa Fe4 - 0Gimnasia Mendoza
AU Santa Fe1 - 2Lanus
HU Santa Fe0 - 0Platense
HU Santa Fe1 - 2Gimnasia
AU Santa Fe0 - 0Belgrano
HU Santa Fe0 - 0Barracas
AU Santa Fe1 - 0Newells
HU Santa Fe3 - 0Defensa
AU Santa Fe1 - 3Central Cor
HU Santa Fe0 - 2Aldosivi
AU Santa Fe0 - 0Banfield
HU Santa Fe2 - 2Independiente Rivadavia
AU Santa Fe3 - 1Gimnasia
AU Santa Fe3 - 2Racing Club
HU Santa Fe1 - 1Huracan
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Independiente have beaten U Santa Fe in 3 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Independiente since 2019
Independiente
U Santa Fe
Goals: Scored
6
1
Games: Scored
3 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
0 / 3
IND
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Independiente
Independiente3 - 0
Independiente1 - 0
Independiente2 - 1
League games at U Santa Fe since 2019
U Santa Fe
Independiente
Goals: Scored
5
3
Games: Scored
2 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
2 / 4
IND
1
D
2
USF
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT U Santa Fe
U Santa Fe3 - 0
0 - 1Independiente
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Goal Statistics

Unión Santa Fe's defensive record is very strong, L. Madelón's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive Primera División outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.4 for Independiente makes sense in this context.

Independiente 26th U Santa Fe 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Independiente will score no more than 1 goal
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability of U Santa Fe scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+6
Independiente’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+18
U Santa Fe have scored 18% more goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.5
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2026/2026 season
Independiente
PG (predicted goals)
U Santa Fe
1.4
1
Attack rating
25%
better
IND
USF
view stats
Games scored8
5
Failed to score0
3
Scored first5
4
Goals scored11
11
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.4
Avg. shots per game10
11
Avg. shots per goal7
8
Conversion rate for14
12
Avg. XG for1.1
1.5
KickOff rating
+25%
Defence rating
IND
USF
24%
better
view stats
Games conceded5
4
Clean sheets3
4
Conceded first3
2
Goals conceded7
5
Avg. goals conceded0.9
0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
12
Conversion rate against12%
8%
Avg. XG against0.7
0.9
KickOff rating
+24%

Independiente v U Santa Fe Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Independiente Primera División squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9633
R ReyG ÁvalosI MalcorraK Lomónaco
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Rey GLK9
1
-
L Godoy DEF8
1
-
J. Fedorco DEF61
1
-
K Lomónaco DEF91
3
-
F Zabala DEF91
2
-
I Marcone MID71
2
-
I Pussetto  MID911
1
-
G. Millán MID91
3
-
I Malcorra MID913
2
-
M Abaldo MID92
-
G Ávalos FWD963
1
-
Subs
J Blázquez GLK
-
M Valenzuela  DEF2
-
S Arias DEF52
1
-
N Freire DEF
-
S Valdéz DEF6
1
1
R Fernández MID7
2
-
L Cabral MID61
1
1
F Mancuello MID1
-
M. Curci MID3
-
S Montiel FWD61
1
M Gutiérrez FWD1
-
U Santa Fe Primera División squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9544
M MansillaC TarragonaR. ProfiniL. Vargas
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Mansilla GLK9
-
L. Vargas DEF9
4
-
?. Rodríguez González DEF91
2
-
J Ludueña DEF81
1
-
M Blanco DEF921
1
-
J Palacios MID913
1
-
M Pittón MID9
1
-
R. Profini MID914
-
B Cuello MID52
-
M Estigarribia FWD91
2
-
C Tarragona FWD95
2
-
Subs
L Palma GLK
-
E Silva DEF21
-
B Pittón DEF8
-
V. Fascendini DEF4
1
L Menossi MID1
-
F Fragapane MID5
-
N Palavecino MID2
-
A Solari MID4
-
E. Giaccone MID1
-
S. Grella MID2
-
M. Aguirre FWD7
-
F Díaz FWD41
-
Argentinian Primera División match betting previews, predictions and odds
Defensa v Central Cor
Thu 12th Mar, 20:00
Deportivo Riestra v Gimnasia Mendoza
Thu 12th Mar, 20:00
Tal Cordoba v Instituto
Thu 12th Mar, 22:15
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto v Belgrano
Thu 12th Mar, 22:15
Huracan v River Plate
Fri 13th Mar, 00:30
Estudiantes v Lanus
Fri 13th Mar, 23:00
Platense v Velez
Sat 14th Mar, 22:00
Rosario v Banfield
Sun 15th Mar, 00:00
Gimnasia v Independiente Rivadavia
Sun 15th Mar, 18:15
Belgrano v Tal Cordoba
Sun 15th Mar, 20:30
River Plate v Sarmiento
Sun 15th Mar, 22:45
U Santa Fe v Boca Juniors
Mon 16th Mar, 01:00
Tig v Argentinos
Mon 16th Mar, 01:00
Aldosivi v Huracan
Mon 16th Mar, 18:30
Barracas v A. Tucuman
Mon 16th Mar, 18:30
San Lorenzo v Defensa
Mon 16th Mar, 21:30
Racing Club v Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
Mon 16th Mar, 23:00
Instituto v Independiente
Tue 17th Mar, 01:15
Lanus v Newells
Tue 17th Mar, 22:00
Gimnasia Mendoza v Estudiantes
Wed 18th Mar, 00:15
Central Cor v Deportivo Riestra
Wed 18th Mar, 00:15
Banfield v Tig
Sat 21st Mar, 00:00
A. Tucuman v Gimnasia
Sat 21st Mar, 00:00
Velez v Lanus
Sat 21st Mar, 18:30
Newells v Gimnasia Mendoza
Sat 21st Mar, 20:45
Defensa v U Santa Fe
Sat 21st Mar, 20:45
Independiente v Tal Cordoba
Sat 21st Mar, 23:00
Belgrano v Racing Club
Sun 22nd Mar, 01:15
Sarmiento v Aldosivi
Sun 22nd Mar, 18:30
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto v River Plate
Sun 22nd Mar, 20:45
Boca Juniors v Instituto
Sun 22nd Mar, 23:00
Argentinos v Platense
Mon 23rd Mar, 01:15
Independiente Rivadavia v Rosario
Mon 23rd Mar, 01:15
Estudiantes v Central Cor
Mon 23rd Mar, 22:00
Huracan v Barracas
Tue 24th Mar, 00:15
Deportivo Riestra v San Lorenzo
Wed 25th Mar, 22:00