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Independiente v Vélez Sarsfield : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Libertadores de América, Avellaneda

Gustavo Enrique Domingo Quinteros Desábato and Guillermo Barros Schelotto meet in the Primera División on Saturday night, as Independiente face Vélez Sarsfield at the Estadio Libertadores de América. All the odds are delivered directly from top bookmakers, while predictions are calculated from stats over a 20-game period. We pay particular attention to Primera División match data, including head to head (H2H) records. Explore it all using the tabs below.

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Independiente's next match is v Lanus at 23:00 on Friday 13th February
Vélez Sarsfield's next match is v Defensa at 01:15 on Saturday 14th February

The last Argentinian Primera División meeting between Independiente and Velez was on Saturday 31st January 2026

Argentinian Primera División

January 31st 2026

Independiente 1	1 Velez

J. Gordon (OG) 32'	31' J. Gordon

	IND VEL
Shots On	4 5
Shots Off	4 4
Corners	3 6
Possession	54% 46%
Fouls	9 14
Yellow/red cards	1/0 1/0

Independiente	Velez

M. Valenzuela (F. Zavala 46') R. Fernández Cedrés L. Cabral (G. Millán 46') S. Montiel G. Ávalos Stumpfs R. Rey K. Lomónaco L. Godoy S. Valdez V. Malcorra M. Abaldo Menyou (I. Pussetto 83')	Á. Montero Perales E. Mammana E. Gómez (R. Aliendro 75') C. Baeza Baeza D. Valdés Contreras (A. Zahir Verón 75') M. Pellegrini (F. Monzón 64') D. Godoy L. Magallán J. Gordon (L. Robertone 63') M. Lanzini T. Andrada

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Independiente are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 53% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.90.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Independiente 50%	10/11	9/5
Draw 28%	15/8	11/10
Velez 22%	15/4	29/10
Independiente 1-0 16%	4/1	7/2
Draw 1-1 13%	5/1	17/10
Draw 0-0 12%	9/2	29/10
Independiente 2-0 11%	13/2	8/1
Velez 1-0 9%	8/1	5/1
Independiente 2-1 8%	9/1	16/5
Velez 2-1 5%	16/1	17/4
Independiente 3-0 5%	16/1	20/1
Independiente 3-1 4%	20/1	9/1
Velez 2-0 4%	20/1	12/1
Draw 2-2 3%	20/1	6/1
Independiente 4-0 2%	40/1	45/1
Independiente 3-2 2%	40/1	16/1
Velez 3-1 1%	40/1	14/1
Independiente 4-1 1%	40/1	28/1
Over 2.5 Goals 36%	15/8	2/5
Under 2.5 Goals 64%	2/5	17/10
Home 1st Goal 53%	8/11	21/20
Away 1st Goal 39%	15/8	17/10
No 1st Goal 8%	9/2	29/10
BTTS - Yes 41%	11/8	2/1
BTTS - No 59%	8/15	7/20
BTTS - Home Win 16%	5/1	7/4
BTTS - Draw 16%	4/1	21/20
BTTS - Away Win 8%	12/1	11/4
Home/draw 78%	2/11	2/9
Away/draw 50%	4/5	2/5
Home/away 72%	2/5	7/10
Over 1.5 Goals 63%	4/7	1/1
Under 1.5 Goals 37%	5/4	3/4
Over 3.5 Goals 17%	5/1	15/8
Under 3.5 Goals 83%	1/8	4/11
Over 4.5 Goals 7%	14/1	13/2
Under 4.5 Goals 93%	1/33	1/14
Over 5.5 Goals 2%	28/1	18/1
Under 5.5 Goals 98%	1/150	1/500
Over 0.5 Goals 88%	1/7	2/9
Under 0.5 Goals 12%	9/2	29/10
Home DNB 69%	1/3	3/5
Away DNB 42%	9/4	6/5
Independiente win to nil 33%	13/8	-
Velez win to nil 14%	11/2	-
Independiente / Independiente 24%	11/5	8/1
Independiente / Velez 2%	40/1	40/1
Independiente / Draw 6%	14/1	22/1
Draw / Independiente 17%	7/2	21/10
Draw / Velez 10%	15/2	10/3
Draw / Draw 20%	3/1	6/4
Velez / Independiente 3%	28/1	40/1
Velez / Velez 12%	13/2	12/1
Velez / Draw 5%	16/1	22/1

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

8 / 20

Clean sheets

12 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Independiente	1 - 1	Estudiantes
Independiente	1 - 0	Rosario
Independiente	3 - 0	A. Tucuman
Independiente	3 - 0	Platense
Independiente	0 - 2	Lanus
Independiente	1 - 1	San Lorenzo
Independiente	0 - 1	Banfield
Independiente	0 - 0	River Plate
Independiente	1 - 2	Tal Cordoba
Independiente	0 - 0	Huracan
Independiente	1 - 0	Independiente Rivadavia
Independiente	0 - 0	Deportivo Riestra
Independiente	2 - 0	SM San Juan
Independiente	4 - 0	Godoy Cruz
Independiente	1 - 1	Racing Club
Independiente	2 - 0	Instituto
Independiente	3 - 0	Velez
Independiente	2 - 0	Gimnasia
Independiente	2 - 1	Sarmiento
Independiente	2 - 1	A. Tucuman

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Independiente	1 - 1	Newells
H	Independiente	1 - 1	Estudiantes
H	Independiente	1 - 0	Rosario
A	Independiente	1 - 0	Deportivo Riestra
H	Independiente	3 - 0	A. Tucuman
H	Independiente	3 - 0	Platense
A	Independiente	0 - 1	SM San Juan
H	Independiente	0 - 2	Lanus
A	Independiente	1 - 1	Godoy Cruz
A	Independiente	0 - 0	Racing Club
H	Independiente	1 - 1	San Lorenzo
H	Independiente	0 - 1	Banfield
A	Independiente	0 - 0	Instituto
A	Independiente	1 - 2	Velez
H	Independiente	0 - 0	River Plate
A	Independiente	0 - 1	Gimnasia
H	Independiente	1 - 2	Tal Cordoba
A	Independiente	2 - 2	Sarmiento
H	Independiente	0 - 0	Huracan
A	Independiente	1 - 0	Boca Juniors

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

10 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

10 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Instituto	0 - 1	Velez
Gimnasia	2 - 0	Velez
Sarmiento	0 - 2	Velez
Deportivo Riestra	2 - 2	Velez
SM San Juan	1 - 2	Velez
Huracan	0 - 0	Velez
Godoy Cruz	0 - 2	Velez
San Lorenzo	1 - 0	Velez
Platense	0 - 0	Velez
River Plate	4 - 1	Velez
Tal Cordoba	0 - 1	Velez
Rosario	2 - 1	Velez
A. Tucuman	1 - 2	Velez
Lanus	0 - 0	Velez
Independiente	3 - 0	Velez
Instituto	2 - 0	Velez
Tig	3 - 0	Velez
U Santa Fe	1 - 0	Velez
Godoy Cruz	0 - 0	Velez
Deportivo Riestra	1 - 1	Velez

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Velez	2 - 1	Tal Cordoba
A	Velez	1 - 0	Instituto
H	Velez	0 - 2	Argentinos
H	Velez	0 - 0	River Plate
A	Velez	0 - 2	Gimnasia
H	Velez	0 - 1	Tal Cordoba
A	Velez	2 - 0	Sarmiento
H	Velez	1 - 2	Rosario
A	Velez	2 - 2	Deportivo Riestra
H	Velez	3 - 1	A. Tucuman
A	Velez	2 - 1	SM San Juan
A	Velez	0 - 0	Huracan
H	Velez	3 - 0	Lanus
A	Velez	2 - 0	Godoy Cruz
H	Velez	2 - 1	Independiente
A	Velez	0 - 1	San Lorenzo
H	Velez	0 - 0	Instituto
A	Velez	0 - 0	Platense
H	Velez	2 - 1	Tig
A	Velez	1 - 4	River Plate

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Independiente have not lost to Velez in 5 consecutive home league meetings

Independiente

Velez

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 5

4 / 5

Clean sheets

1 / 5

0 / 5

IND

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Independiente
Independiente	3 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Independiente	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Independiente	2 - 1

Velez

Independiente

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 7

3 / 7

Clean sheets

4 / 7

3 / 7

IND

VEL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Velez
Velez	2 - 1
	0 - 1	Independiente
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	3 - 3	Draw
Velez	1 - 0
Velez	2 - 0

Goal Statistics

	Independiente 26th	Velez 20th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	0.8 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 26% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 61% probability that Independiente will score no more than 1 goal	0 45% 1 36% 2 14% 3 4+ There is a 81% probability of Velez scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+9 Independiente’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-20 Velez have scored 20% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.5 average goals scored	0.8 average goals scored
	0.5 conceded	1.2 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2026/2026 season

IND

VEL

better

view stats

Games scored	2		2
Failed to score	0		0
Scored first	2		1
Goals scored	2		3
Avg. goals scored	1		1.5
Avg. shots per game	8		8
Avg. shots per goal	8		5
Conversion rate for	13		20
Avg. XG for	0.5		0.5
KickOff rating		+8%

IND

VEL

28%

better

view stats

Games conceded	2		1
Clean sheets	0		1
Conceded first	0		1
Goals conceded	2		1
Avg. goals conceded	1		0.5
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		14
Avg. shots/goal conceded	10		28
Conversion rate against	11%		4%
Avg. XG against	0.7		1.1
KickOff rating		+28%

Independiente v Velez Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Independiente Primera División squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
4	1	2	2
R Rey	L Cabral	G Ávalos	K Lomónaco

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
R Rey GLK	4			1 -
L Godoy DEF	4			1 -
K Lomónaco DEF	4			2 -
S Valdéz DEF	3			-
M Valenzuela DEF	1			-
L Cabral MID	3	1		1 -
R Fernández MID	3			1 -
I Malcorra MID	4			2 -
S Montiel FWD	3	1		1
G Ávalos FWD	4	1	2	-
M Abaldo FWD	4			-
Subs
J Blázquez GLK				-
S Arias DEF	1			-
N Freire DEF				-
J. Fedorco DEF	3			-
F Zabala DEF	4			1 -
G. Millán MID	4			2 -
F Mancuello MID				-
M. Curci MID	2			-
I Marcone MID	2			-
J. Palais MID				-
W Mazzantti FWD	3			-
I Pussetto FWD	4			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	5	2	2
L Cabral	S Montiel	G Ávalos	G Ávalos

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
L Cabral MID	1	1
S Montiel FWD	1	5		1
G Ávalos FWD	1	1	2	2
L Godoy DEF		1
I Malcorra MID		1
M Abaldo FWD		3		1
Subs
F Zabala DEF				1
G. Millán MID		1
I Marcone MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
148	11	26
K Lomónaco	F Zabala	G Ávalos

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
K Lomónaco DEF	148	3	17
Subs
F Zabala DEF	125	11	20
R Rey GLK	109		3
R Fernández MID	100	4	9
S Valdéz DEF	85	1	13
G Ávalos FWD	78	3	26
L Godoy DEF	75	2	9
I Malcorra MID	74	3	13
M Abaldo FWD	74		12
Subs
J. Fedorco DEF	64	6	16
G. Millán MID	52	7	21
S Montiel FWD	42	2	11
L Cabral MID	36	2	2
Subs
I Marcone MID	35	3	8
M. Curci MID	17	1	5
M Valenzuela DEF	16		2
Subs
I Pussetto FWD	15	2	9
W Mazzantti FWD	13	2	6
S Arias DEF	2

Velez Primera División squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
4	2	2	2
Álvaro Montero	M Pellegrini	D Valdés	C Baeza

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Álvaro Montero GLK	4			-
J. Gordon DEF	3	1		-
E Mammana DEF	4			-
L Magallán DEF	4			-
E Gómez DEF	4			1 -
D Valdés MID	4		2	-
C Baeza MID	4			2 -
M Lanzini MID	4	1		-
M Pellegrini FWD	3	2		-
D. Godoy FWD	2		1	-
T. Andrada FWD	4	1		2 -
Subs
T Marchiori GLK				-
J García DEF	2	1		-
A Quirós DEF	3			-
T. Silvero DEF				-
L Robertone MID	4			-
R Aliendro MID	4			1 -
I Machuca FWD				-
F Monzón FWD	2			-
A. Zahir Verón FWD	2			-
F Pizzini FWD				-
M. Arias FWD	2		1	-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	4	2	3
M Pellegrini	M Pellegrini	D Valdés	M Lanzini

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Pellegrini FWD	2	4		1
J. Gordon DEF	1	2
M Lanzini MID	1	3		3
T. Andrada FWD	1	2		1
Subs
J García DEF	1	1
D Valdés MID		2	2	1
D. Godoy FWD		1	1	2
Subs
F Monzón FWD		1
M. Arias FWD		1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
189	10	23
C Baeza	J. Gordon	D Valdés

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
C Baeza MID	189	8	14
L Magallán DEF	173	3	8
T. Andrada FWD	148	9	22
E Gómez DEF	134	5	21
M Lanzini MID	104	4	14
D Valdés MID	102	5	23
J. Gordon DEF	94	10	16
Subs
A Quirós DEF	91	2	5
Álvaro Montero GLK	84		2
E Mammana DEF	71	4	6
Subs
R Aliendro MID	68	2	12
M Pellegrini FWD	66	4	22
Subs
J García DEF	36	1	4
L Robertone MID	25	3	10
M. Arias FWD	25		1
F Monzón FWD	24	2	6
D. Godoy FWD	18	1	4
Subs
A. Zahir Verón FWD	6	1	3