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Instituto v Independiente : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 17th Mar, 01:15 BST, Estadio Presidente Juan Domingo , Avellaneda

Tuesday morning sees Daniel Oldrá’s Instituto and Gustavo Enrique Domingo Quinteros Desábato’s Independiente go head to head in a Primera División battle at the Estadio Presidente Juan Domingo . Statistics drive the predictions below for all the markets, and switching between them delivers bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and much more besides. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are also provided. Hit the tabs below to find out more.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

This match should deliver some entertainment, but don't count on a record-breaker. Under 3.5 goals is what we're predicting, meaning no more than 3 goals will be scored in total during a standard 90 mins. Get best odds on under 3.5 just below, followed by relevant form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Instituto are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 37% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 3.00.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Instituto
37%
2/115/8
Draw
28%
15/819/10
Independiente
35%
6/47/4
Draw 1-1
13%
5/19/2
Instituto 1-0
11%
11/25/1
Independiente 1-0
11%
5/15/1
Draw 0-0
9%
5/119/4
Instituto 2-1
8%
11/19/1
Independiente 2-1
8%
10/117/2
Instituto 2-0
7%
12/110/1
Independiente 2-0
6%
10/19/1
Draw 2-2
5%
20/114/1
Instituto 3-1
3%
33/122/1
Independiente 3-1
3%
25/120/1
Instituto 3-0
3%
33/122/1
Independiente 3-0
3%
25/120/1
Instituto 3-2
2%
40/133/1
Independiente 3-2
2%
40/128/1
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
15/813/8
Under 2.5 Goals
57%
2/54/9
Home 1st Goal
48%
5/423/20
Away 1st Goal
47%
1/111/10
No 1st Goal
5%
5/119/4
BTTS - Yes
49%
5/423/20
BTTS - No
51%
4/713/20
BTTS - Home Win
16%
7/111/2
BTTS - Draw
19%
4/117/5
BTTS - Away Win
15%
6/111/2
Home/draw
65%
1/24/9
Away/draw
63%
4/112/5
Home/away
72%
2/52/5
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
4/78/15
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
5/411/8
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
5/117/4
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
1/81/7
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
14/110/1
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/331/33
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
28/122/1
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/1501/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/81/9
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
5/15/1
Home DNB
56%
1/110/11
Away DNB
55%
8/114/5
Instituto win to nil
21%
10/3-
Independiente win to nil
21%
11/4-
Instituto / Instituto
17%
4/17/2
Instituto / Independiente
3%
33/125/1
Instituto / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Instituto
13%
11/25/1
Draw / Independiente
14%
9/25/1
Draw / Draw
21%
3/114/5
Independiente / Instituto
2%
40/125/1
Independiente / Independiente
19%
10/316/5
Independiente / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Instituto 22ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Instituto1 - 2U Santa Fe
Instituto2 - 1A. Tucuman
Instituto2 - 0Central Cor
Instituto2 - 2Lanus
Instituto0 - 1Velez
Instituto0 - 0Tal Cordoba
Instituto1 - 3Rosario
Instituto2 - 0A. Tucuman
Instituto0 - 0Lanus
Instituto2 - 0Argentinos
Instituto0 - 0Independiente
Instituto0 - 4U Santa Fe
Instituto1 - 1Platense
Instituto0 - 4River Plate
Instituto1 - 1Sarmiento
Instituto3 - 0Deportivo Riestra
Instituto1 - 0SM San Juan
Instituto1 - 1Godoy Cruz
Instituto0 - 1San Lorenzo
Instituto2 - 0Velez
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HInstituto1 - 2U Santa Fe
AInstituto1 - 1San Lorenzo
HInstituto2 - 1A. Tucuman
HInstituto2 - 0Central Cor
AInstituto0 - 1Gimnasia Mendoza
HInstituto2 - 2Lanus
AInstituto1 - 2Platense
HInstituto0 - 1Velez
HInstituto0 - 0Tal Cordoba
AInstituto1 - 2Sarmiento
HInstituto1 - 3Rosario
AInstituto0 - 1Deportivo Riestra
HInstituto2 - 0A. Tucuman
AInstituto0 - 0SM San Juan
HInstituto0 - 0Lanus
AInstituto1 - 1Godoy Cruz
HInstituto2 - 0Argentinos
HInstituto0 - 0Independiente
AInstituto0 - 1San Lorenzo
HInstituto0 - 4U Santa Fe
Independiente 26TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
9
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Gimnasia Mendoza1 - 1Independiente
Independiente Rivadavia3 - 2Independiente
Platense0 - 1Independiente
Newells1 - 1Independiente
Deportivo Riestra0 - 1Independiente
SM San Juan1 - 0Independiente
Godoy Cruz1 - 1Independiente
Racing Club0 - 0Independiente
Instituto0 - 0Independiente
Velez2 - 1Independiente
Gimnasia1 - 0Independiente
Sarmiento2 - 2Independiente
Boca Juniors0 - 1Independiente
Rosario1 - 0Independiente
A. Tucuman2 - 0Independiente
Lanus1 - 1Independiente
San Lorenzo1 - 2Independiente
Banfield0 - 0Independiente
Platense1 - 1Independiente
River Plate2 - 0Independiente
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
9
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HIndependiente4 - 4U Santa Fe
HIndependiente2 - 0Central Cor
AIndependiente1 - 1Gimnasia Mendoza
AIndependiente2 - 3Independiente Rivadavia
HIndependiente2 - 0Lanus
AIndependiente1 - 0Platense
HIndependiente1 - 1Velez
AIndependiente1 - 1Newells
HIndependiente1 - 1Estudiantes
HIndependiente1 - 0Rosario
AIndependiente1 - 0Deportivo Riestra
HIndependiente3 - 0A. Tucuman
HIndependiente3 - 0Platense
AIndependiente0 - 1SM San Juan
HIndependiente0 - 2Lanus
AIndependiente1 - 1Godoy Cruz
AIndependiente0 - 0Racing Club
HIndependiente1 - 1San Lorenzo
HIndependiente0 - 1Banfield
AIndependiente0 - 0Instituto
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Instituto since 2024
Instituto
Independiente
Goals: Scored
3
3
Games: Scored
1 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
2 / 3
1
D
1
IND
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Instituto
Draw0 - 0Draw
Instituto3 - 1
0 - 2Independiente
League games at Independiente since 2023
Independiente
Instituto
Goals: Scored
4
2
Games: Scored
2 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
1 / 3
D
2
IND
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Independiente
Independiente2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Goal Statistics
Instituto 22nd Independiente 26th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Instituto will score no more than 1 goal
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Independiente will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-6
Instituto’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-22
Independiente have scored 22% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.1
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2026/2026 season
Instituto
PG (predicted goals)
Independiente
1.2
1.2
Attack rating
IND
35%
better
view stats
Games scored6
9
Failed to score2
0
Scored first4
5
Goals scored9
15
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.7
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal8
6
Conversion rate for13
16
Avg. XG for1.4
1.1
KickOff rating
+35%
Defence rating
IND
10%
better
view stats
Games conceded7
6
Clean sheets1
3
Conceded first4
4
Goals conceded10
11
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded7
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against18%
16%
Avg. XG against0.7
0.7
KickOff rating
+10%

Instituto v Independiente Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Instituto Primera División squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8313
M RoffoA. LunaD SosaG Cerato
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Roffo GLK8
-
D Sosa DEF811
1
-
G Cerato DEF811
3
-
L Mosevich DEF8
3
-
A. Luna MID83
3
-
J Méndez  MID81
-
J Galván DEF7
2
-
F Alarcón DEF6
2
-
G Lodico MID6
1
-
G Abregú MID6
-
M Fonseca FWD61
-
N Guerra FWD6
1
-
F Jara FWD61
-
J Mosquera FWD5
-
J. Lázaro MID41
-
M. Gallardo MID41
-
J Acevedo FWD4
-
F Moyano MID3
1
-
A. Bravo DEF2
-
H Fuente DEF2
-
I Erquiaga DEF2
-
L. Klimowicz FWD2
-
J Báez FWD1
-
Independiente Primera División squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9633
R ReyG ÁvalosI MalcorraK Lomónaco
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Rey GLK9
1
-
F Zabala DEF91
2
-
K Lomónaco DEF91
3
-
G. Millán MID91
3
-
I Malcorra MID913
2
-
I Pussetto  FWD911
1
-
M Abaldo FWD92
-
G Ávalos FWD963
1
-
L Godoy DEF8
1
-
R Fernández MID7
2
-
I Marcone MID71
2
-
S Valdéz DEF6
1
1
J. Fedorco DEF61
1
-
L Cabral MID61
1
1
W Mazzantti FWD6
-
S Montiel FWD61
1
S Arias DEF52
1
-
M Valenzuela  DEF2
-
F Mancuello MID1
-
D. Tarzia FWD1
-
Argentinian Primera División match betting previews, predictions and odds
Defensa v Central Cor
Thu 12th Mar, 20:00
Deportivo Riestra v Gimnasia Mendoza
Thu 12th Mar, 20:00
Tal Cordoba v Instituto
Thu 12th Mar, 22:15
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto v Belgrano
Thu 12th Mar, 22:15
Huracan v River Plate
Fri 13th Mar, 00:30
Estudiantes v Lanus
Fri 13th Mar, 23:00
Platense v Velez
Sat 14th Mar, 22:00
Rosario v Banfield
Sun 15th Mar, 00:00
Gimnasia v Independiente Rivadavia
Sun 15th Mar, 18:15
Belgrano v Tal Cordoba
Sun 15th Mar, 20:30
River Plate v Sarmiento
Sun 15th Mar, 22:45
U Santa Fe v Boca Juniors
Mon 16th Mar, 01:00
Tig v Argentinos
Mon 16th Mar, 01:00
Aldosivi v Huracan
Mon 16th Mar, 18:30
Barracas v A. Tucuman
Mon 16th Mar, 18:30
San Lorenzo v Defensa
Mon 16th Mar, 21:30
Racing Club v Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
Mon 16th Mar, 23:00
Instituto v Independiente
Tue 17th Mar, 01:15
Lanus v Newells
Tue 17th Mar, 22:00
Gimnasia Mendoza v Estudiantes
Wed 18th Mar, 00:15
Central Cor v Deportivo Riestra
Wed 18th Mar, 00:15
Banfield v Tig
Sat 21st Mar, 00:00
A. Tucuman v Gimnasia
Sat 21st Mar, 00:00
Velez v Lanus
Sat 21st Mar, 18:30
Newells v Gimnasia Mendoza
Sat 21st Mar, 20:45
Defensa v U Santa Fe
Sat 21st Mar, 20:45
Independiente v Tal Cordoba
Sat 21st Mar, 23:00
Belgrano v Racing Club
Sun 22nd Mar, 01:15
Sarmiento v Aldosivi
Sun 22nd Mar, 18:30
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto v River Plate
Sun 22nd Mar, 20:45
Boca Juniors v Instituto
Sun 22nd Mar, 23:00
Argentinos v Platense
Mon 23rd Mar, 01:15
Independiente Rivadavia v Rosario
Mon 23rd Mar, 01:15
Estudiantes v Central Cor
Mon 23rd Mar, 22:00
Huracan v Barracas
Tue 24th Mar, 00:15
Deportivo Riestra v San Lorenzo
Wed 25th Mar, 22:00