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Instituto v Sarmiento : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 27th Apr, 23:00 BST, Estadio Juan Domingo Perón, Ciudad de Córdoba

Pedro Antonio Troglio and Javier Sanguinetti pit their wits in the Primera División on Sunday night, as Instituto face Sarmiento at the Estadio Juan Domingo Perón. Primera División stats are the foundation of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head history included too. You can view it all, with graphics and the best odds available for seventeen major betting markets using the tabs.


Best Tip: Instituto to win

We think there's an outright winner in this match, and it's Instituto. Their recent form statistics show what they've got in their locker at home, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they've got a track record against Sarmiento too. The odds point towards Pedro Antonio Troglio's side claiming victory in the win / draw / win market, and that's what we're predicting for Sunday night too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Instituto are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 63% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.83.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Instituto
63%
5/6
15%
-
Draw
24%
12/5
6%
-
Sarmiento
13%
15/4
28%
-
Instituto 1-0
18%
9/2-
Instituto 2-0
15%
6/1
22%
-
Draw 0-0
11%
6/1
8%
-
Draw 1-1
10%
11/2
8%
-
Instituto 2-1
8%
17/2-
Instituto 3-0
8%
14/1
21%
-
Sarmiento 1-0
6%
17/2
19%
-
Instituto 3-1
5%
18/1
10%
-
Instituto 4-0
3%
33/1
17%
-
Sarmiento 2-1
3%
16/1
31%
-
Draw 2-2
2%
20/1
11%
-
Sarmiento 2-0
2%
20/1
24%
-
Instituto 4-1
2%
40/1-
Instituto 3-2
1%
40/1-
Instituto 5-0
1%
66/1
34%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
6/4-
Under 2.5 Goals
62%
1/2-
Home 1st Goal
60%
8/15
12%
-
Away 1st Goal
32%
21/10
18%
-
No 1st Goal
8%
6/1
8%
-
BTTS - Yes
35%
5/4
2%
-
BTTS - No
65%
4/7
3%
-
BTTS - Home Win
18%
4/1
9%
-
BTTS - Draw
13%
9/2
10%
-
BTTS - Away Win
4%
10/1
22%
-
Home/draw
87%
2/11
9%
-
Away/draw
37%
10/11
14%
-
Home/away
76%
3/10
4%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
64%
1/2-
Under 1.5 Goals
36%
6/4-
Over 3.5 Goals
18%
4/1-
Under 3.5 Goals
82%
1/6-
Over 4.5 Goals
7%
10/1
15%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
93%
1/20
1%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
25/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/100-
Over 0.5 Goals
89%
1/10
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
11%
6/1
8%
-
Home DNB
80%
3/10
13%
-
Away DNB
30%
12/5
36%
-
Instituto win to nil
45%
13/8
19%
-
Sarmiento win to nil
9%
11/2
18%
-
Instituto / Instituto
28%
2/1
17%
-
Instituto / Sarmiento
2%
40/1-
Instituto / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Instituto
19%
10/3
13%
-
Draw / Sarmiento
9%
8/1
20%
-
Draw / Draw
19%
10/3-
Sarmiento / Instituto
3%
28/1-
Sarmiento / Sarmiento
10%
15/2
31%
-
Sarmiento / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Instituto 13TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Instituto3 - 0Deportivo Riestra
Instituto1 - 0SM San Juan
Instituto1 - 1Godoy Cruz
Instituto0 - 1San Lorenzo
Instituto2 - 0Velez
Instituto3 - 0Gimnasia
Instituto1 - 3Godoy Cruz
Instituto2 - 1Deportivo Riestra
Instituto1 - 0Argentinos
Instituto2 - 3River Plate
Instituto0 - 0Rosario
Instituto2 - 0San Lorenzo
Instituto0 - 1Barracas
Instituto4 - 1Defensa
Instituto2 - 0Platense
Instituto0 - 0Boca Juniors
Instituto3 - 1Independiente
Instituto2 - 1Gimnasia
Instituto1 - 1U Santa Fe
Instituto1 - 3River Plate
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AInstituto0 - 3Rosario
HInstituto3 - 0Deportivo Riestra
AInstituto2 - 3A. Tucuman
HInstituto1 - 0SM San Juan
AInstituto1 - 4Lanus
HInstituto1 - 1Godoy Cruz
AInstituto0 - 2Argentinos
AInstituto0 - 2Independiente
HInstituto0 - 1San Lorenzo
AInstituto0 - 0U Santa Fe
AInstituto0 - 1Platense
HInstituto2 - 0Velez
AInstituto0 - 1River Plate
HInstituto3 - 0Gimnasia
HInstituto1 - 3Godoy Cruz
AInstituto0 - 2Lanus
HInstituto2 - 1Deportivo Riestra
AInstituto0 - 0Tig
HInstituto1 - 0Argentinos
AInstituto1 - 3Belgrano
Sarmiento 26TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
2
Draw
7
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Velez0 - 1Sarmiento
Gimnasia0 - 0Sarmiento
Aldosivi2 - 2Sarmiento
Rosario1 - 0Sarmiento
A. Tucuman5 - 0Sarmiento
Lanus2 - 0Sarmiento
Independiente2 - 1Sarmiento
Banfield1 - 1Sarmiento
Velez1 - 0Sarmiento
Tal Cordoba2 - 0Sarmiento
A. Tucuman1 - 0Sarmiento
Newells1 - 1Sarmiento
Huracan3 - 1Sarmiento
Godoy Cruz1 - 1Sarmiento
Deportivo Riestra2 - 1Sarmiento
Argentinos0 - 0Sarmiento
River Plate1 - 0Sarmiento
Rosario4 - 2Sarmiento
San Lorenzo0 - 1Sarmiento
Barracas1 - 1Sarmiento
Goals: Scored
12
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
3
Draw
9
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSarmiento0 - 1Platense
ASarmiento1 - 0Velez
HSarmiento1 - 1River Plate
ASarmiento0 - 0Gimnasia
HSarmiento0 - 0Tal Cordoba
HSarmiento1 - 1Barracas
ASarmiento2 - 2Aldosivi
ASarmiento0 - 1Rosario
HSarmiento2 - 1Deportivo Riestra
ASarmiento0 - 5A. Tucuman
HSarmiento1 - 1SM San Juan
ASarmiento0 - 2Lanus
HSarmiento0 - 0Godoy Cruz
ASarmiento1 - 2Independiente
ASarmiento1 - 1Banfield
HSarmiento1 - 1Defensa
ASarmiento0 - 1Velez
HSarmiento1 - 0Platense
ASarmiento0 - 2Tal Cordoba
HSarmiento0 - 2Boca Juniors
Goal Statistics

Instituto have been steady in front of goal of late, finding the net in 5 consecutive Primera División outings. Their PG of 1.6 against Sarmiento on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

A truly awful PG of just 0.6 should cause concerns for Sarmiento fans, as should a 5 Primera División matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Instituto 13th Sarmiento 26th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
0.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
There is a 80% probability that Instituto will score 1 or more goals
0
56%
1
32%
2
3
4+
There is a 56% probability that Sarmiento will fail to score
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+7
Instituto’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-26
Sarmiento have scored 26% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
0.7
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/291553/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Instituto
PG (predicted goals)
Sarmiento
1.6
0.6
Attack rating
21%
better
SAR
view stats
Games scored7
7
Failed to score7
7
Scored first5
2
Goals scored13
9
Avg. goals scored0.9
0.6
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal9
13
Conversion rate for11
8
Avg. XG for1
1.1
KickOff rating
+21%
Defence rating
3%
better
SAR
view stats
Games conceded9
10
Clean sheets5
4
Conceded first8
9
Goals conceded18
17
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded10
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
9
Conversion rate against13%
11%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.4
KickOff rating
+3%

Instituto v Sarmiento Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Instituto Primera División squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14425
M RoffoA. LunaA. LunaF Allister
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Roffo GLK14
2
-
F Alarcón DEF141
3
-
J Franco MID141
2
-
F Allister MID14
5
-
A. Luna MID1442
4
-
G Lodico MID1331
1
-
D Puebla FWD13
-
D Batallini FWD122
3
-
L Rodríguez DEF11
2
-
J Acevedo MID111
1
-
G Requena DEF9
1
-
J. Lázaro MID91
1
-
L. Klimowicz FWD9
-
M Godoy FWD91
2
-
S Moreyra MID8
1
-
E Pereyra DEF7
1
-
F Díaz MID71
-
S Romero FWD7
1
-
N Zalazar DEF61
2
-
J Dellarossa MID6
-
N Cordero FWD6
1
-
F Suárez FWD41
-
M. Gallardo MID1
-
F Celso MID1
-
Sarmiento Primera División squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12215
L AcostaG CarabajalJ GhoR Barcos
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Acosta GLK12
1
-
V Burgoa MID121
-
J Gho MID121
3
-
G Carabajal MID122
1
-
P Magnin FWD122
1
-
I Bravo FWD121
-
R Barcos DEF11
5
-
M García MID11
4
-
A Vigo DEF10
2
-
J Insaurralde DEF101
4
1
F Frías FWD101
1
-
G Díaz DEF9
3
-
F Roncaglia DEF8
1
-
L Suhr FWD81
1
C Villalba MID7
3
-
S Morales DEF6
1
-
F Paradela  MID6
2
-
E. Giménez MID6
1
-
Y Arismendi  FWD5
-
T. Guiacobini MID4
2
-
J Andrada MID2
-
A. Seyral Echecopar DEF1
-
J. Vallejos DEF1
-
M Mónaco MID1
-