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Instituto v Vélez Sarsfield : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 23rd Jan, 01:15 BST, Estadio Único Madre de Ciudades, Santiago del Estero

Instituto are in Primera División action on Friday morning, as Daniel Oldrá aims to beat Guillermo Barros Schelotto and his Vélez Sarsfield side at the Estadio Único Madre de Ciudades. You'll see statistics supporting our top of under 2.5 goals below, but don't forget to explore 16 other betting markets we cover too. Each has been designed to deliver as full a picture as possible, with Primera División performances and head to heads (H2Hs) included, so that you feel able to make a well-informed bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds from leading bookmakers.


Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

A tight, highly tactical defensive battle could be in store as Instituto and Velez go head-to-head, with almost nothing between the players in defence, making it difficult to predict who will win. The statistics do not give us any clear conclusion in that regard, but they are pointing strongly towards there being 2 goals or fewer in the fixture. That's a prediction available at best priced odds of 1.40 with the bookmakers, so we make under 2.5 goals our tip of the day on this one.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Instituto are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 35% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.75.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Instituto
35%
7/4
10%
7/4
Draw
30%
9/5
2%
2/1
3%
Velez
35%
7/4
10%
9/5
3%
Draw 1-1
14%
9/219/4
Velez 1-0
13%
5/1
14%
19/4
4%
Instituto 1-0
13%
5/119/4
Draw 0-0
13%
9/219/4
5%
Velez 2-1
7%
11/1
8%
9/1
Instituto 2-1
7%
11/1
9%
9/1
Velez 2-0
7%
11/1
8%
9/1
9%
Instituto 2-0
7%
11/1
9%
10/1
10%
Draw 2-2
4%
20/1
11%
16/1
Velez 3-1
2%
28/1
15%
22/1
Instituto 3-1
2%
28/1
12%
20/1
9%
Velez 3-0
2%
28/1
15%
22/1
Instituto 3-0
2%
28/1
12%
20/1
9%
Velez 3-2
1%
50/133/1
Instituto 3-2
1%
50/1
24%
33/1
Over 2.5 Goals
34%
21/10
8%
9/5
Under 2.5 Goals
66%
4/11
3%
2/5
Home 1st Goal
46%
6/5
10%
11/10
Away 1st Goal
46%
6/5
2%
23/20
No 1st Goal
9%
9/219/4
5%
BTTS - Yes
41%
5/4
2%
13/10
BTTS - No
59%
4/7
3%
4/7
BTTS - Home Win
12%
7/1
14%
6/1
8%
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/418/5
BTTS - Away Win
12%
7/1
6%
6/1
Home/draw
65%
2/5
3%
4/9
3%
Away/draw
65%
2/5
7%
4/9
Home/away
70%
2/52/5
Over 1.5 Goals
61%
8/13
3%
8/13
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
39%
6/5
2%
6/5
2%
Over 3.5 Goals
16%
11/2
8%
19/4
Under 3.5 Goals
85%
1/9
2%
1/8
1%
Over 4.5 Goals
6%
16/1
13%
12/1
8%
Under 4.5 Goals
94%
1/331/40
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
33/1
17%
25/1
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/1501/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
87%
1/71/8
Under 0.5 Goals
13%
9/219/4
5%
Home DNB
56%
5/6
6%
5/6
Away DNB
56%
5/6
9%
17/20
3%
Instituto win to nil
23%
3/1
7%
-
Velez win to nil
23%
3/1
8%
-
Instituto / Instituto
18%
15/4
10%
10/3
Instituto / Velez
2%
40/125/1
Instituto / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Instituto
14%
5/1
9%
19/4
Draw / Velez
14%
5/1
8%
19/4
4%
Draw / Draw
21%
11/4
6%
14/5
1%
Velez / Instituto
2%
40/1
21%
25/1
Velez / Velez
18%
15/4
5%
17/5
Velez / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
4
Velez have failed to score in 4 consecutive league games
Instituto 13TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Instituto0 - 0Tal Cordoba
Instituto1 - 3Rosario
Instituto2 - 0A. Tucuman
Instituto0 - 0Lanus
Instituto2 - 0Argentinos
Instituto0 - 0Independiente
Instituto0 - 4U Santa Fe
Instituto1 - 1Platense
Instituto0 - 4River Plate
Instituto1 - 1Sarmiento
Instituto3 - 0Deportivo Riestra
Instituto1 - 0SM San Juan
Instituto1 - 1Godoy Cruz
Instituto0 - 1San Lorenzo
Instituto2 - 0Velez
Instituto3 - 0Gimnasia
Instituto1 - 3Godoy Cruz
Instituto2 - 1Deportivo Riestra
Instituto1 - 0Argentinos
Instituto2 - 3River Plate
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
4
Draw
8
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HInstituto0 - 0Tal Cordoba
AInstituto1 - 2Sarmiento
HInstituto1 - 3Rosario
AInstituto0 - 1Deportivo Riestra
HInstituto2 - 0A. Tucuman
AInstituto0 - 0SM San Juan
HInstituto0 - 0Lanus
AInstituto1 - 1Godoy Cruz
HInstituto2 - 0Argentinos
HInstituto0 - 0Independiente
AInstituto0 - 1San Lorenzo
HInstituto0 - 4U Santa Fe
HInstituto1 - 1Platense
AInstituto0 - 0Velez
HInstituto0 - 4River Plate
AInstituto1 - 0Gimnasia
AInstituto1 - 3Argentinos
AInstituto2 - 1Tal Cordoba
HInstituto1 - 1Sarmiento
AInstituto0 - 3Rosario
Velez 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
4
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Gimnasia2 - 0Velez
Sarmiento0 - 2Velez
Deportivo Riestra2 - 2Velez
SM San Juan1 - 2Velez
Huracan0 - 0Velez
Godoy Cruz0 - 2Velez
San Lorenzo1 - 0Velez
Platense0 - 0Velez
River Plate4 - 1Velez
Tal Cordoba0 - 1Velez
Rosario2 - 1Velez
A. Tucuman1 - 2Velez
Lanus0 - 0Velez
Independiente3 - 0Velez
Instituto2 - 0Velez
Tig3 - 0Velez
U Santa Fe1 - 0Velez
Godoy Cruz0 - 0Velez
Deportivo Riestra1 - 1Velez
Argentinos1 - 1Velez
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HVelez0 - 2Argentinos
HVelez0 - 0River Plate
AVelez0 - 2Gimnasia
HVelez0 - 1Tal Cordoba
AVelez2 - 0Sarmiento
HVelez1 - 2Rosario
AVelez2 - 2Deportivo Riestra
HVelez3 - 1A. Tucuman
AVelez2 - 1SM San Juan
AVelez0 - 0Huracan
HVelez3 - 0Lanus
AVelez2 - 0Godoy Cruz
HVelez2 - 1Independiente
AVelez0 - 1San Lorenzo
HVelez0 - 0Instituto
AVelez0 - 0Platense
HVelez2 - 1Tig
AVelez1 - 4River Plate
HVelez1 - 0Gimnasia
AVelez1 - 0Tal Cordoba
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Instituto since 2023
Instituto
Velez
Goals: Scored
3
1
Games: Scored
2 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
1 / 3
2
VEL
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Instituto
Instituto2 - 0
0 - 1Velez
Instituto1 - 0
League games at Velez since 2024
Velez
Instituto
Goals: Scored
2
0
Games: Scored
2 / 3
0 / 3
Clean sheets
3 / 3
1 / 3
D
1
VEL
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Velez
Draw0 - 0Draw
Velez1 - 0
Velez1 - 0
Goal Statistics
Instituto 13th Velez 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Instituto will score no more than 1 goal
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Velez will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-2
Instituto’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-21
Velez have scored 21% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2026/2026 season
Instituto
PG (predicted goals)
Velez
1
1
Attack rating
0%
better
VEL
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
0%
better
VEL
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Instituto v Velez Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Instituto Primera División squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Velez Primera División squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Argentinian Primera División match betting previews, predictions and odds
Aldosivi v Defensa
Thu 22nd Jan, 20:00
U Santa Fe v Platense
Thu 22nd Jan, 23:00
Banfield v Huracan
Thu 22nd Jan, 23:00
Instituto v Velez
Fri 23rd Jan, 01:15
San Lorenzo v Lanus
Fri 23rd Jan, 22:00
Independiente v Estudiantes
Fri 23rd Jan, 23:00
Independiente Rivadavia v A. Tucuman
Sat 24th Jan, 01:15
Tal Cordoba v Newells
Sat 24th Jan, 01:15
Barracas v River Plate
Sat 24th Jan, 20:00
Gimnasia v Racing Club
Sat 24th Jan, 22:30
Rosario v Belgrano
Sun 25th Jan, 01:00
Boca Juniors v Deportivo Riestra
Sun 25th Jan, 21:30
Argentinos v Sarmiento
Mon 26th Jan, 00:00
Platense v Instituto
Mon 26th Jan, 20:00
Velez v Tal Cordoba
Tue 27th Jan, 20:45
Huracan v Independiente Rivadavia
Tue 27th Jan, 23:00
A. Tucuman v Central Cor
Wed 28th Jan, 01:15
Newells v Independiente
Wed 28th Jan, 01:15
Aldosivi v Barracas
Wed 28th Jan, 20:00
Racing Club v Rosario
Wed 28th Jan, 22:00
River Plate v Gimnasia
Wed 28th Jan, 23:00
Estudiantes v Boca Juniors
Thu 29th Jan, 01:15
Deportivo Riestra v Defensa
Thu 29th Jan, 20:00
Lanus v U Santa Fe
Thu 29th Jan, 22:15
Belgrano v Tig
Thu 29th Jan, 22:15
Sarmiento v Banfield
Fri 30th Jan, 00:30
San Lorenzo v Central Cor
Sat 31st Jan, 20:30
Independiente v Velez
Sat 31st Jan, 22:45
A. Tucuman v Huracan
Sun 1st Feb, 01:00
Tal Cordoba v Platense
Sun 1st Feb, 01:00
Barracas v Deportivo Riestra
Sun 1st Feb, 20:00
Boca Juniors v Newells
Sun 1st Feb, 22:15
Rosario v River Plate
Mon 2nd Feb, 00:30
Gimnasia v Aldosivi
Mon 2nd Feb, 20:30
Tig v Racing Club
Mon 2nd Feb, 22:45
Defensa v Estudiantes
Mon 2nd Feb, 22:45
Argentinos v Belgrano
Tue 3rd Feb, 01:00
Instituto v Lanus
Wed 4th Feb, 00:15
Independiente Rivadavia v Sarmiento
Wed 4th Feb, 00:15