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Lanús v Boca Juniors : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor, Lanús

Lanús are in Primera División action on Thursday morning, as Mauricio Pellegrino attempts to outsmart Claudio Fernando Úbeda and his Boca Juniors side at the Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor. We provide predictions based on extensive statistical analysis of each side, across 17 major markets. The data and the odds are unique to each market, and head-to-head statistics are included for all.

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Lanús's next match is v Estudiantes at 23:00 on Friday 13th March
Boca Juniors's next match is v U Santa Fe at 01:00 on Monday 16th March
The last Argentinian Primera División meeting between Lanus and Boca Juniors was on Thursday 5th March 2026
Argentinian Primera División
March 5th 2026
Lanus 0
3 Boca Juniors
 
15' S. Ascacíbar
30' M. Merentiel Serrano
64' M. Merentiel Serrano
 
LAN
BOJ
Shots On
2
5
Shots Off
5
4
Corners
8
1
Possession
48%
52%
Fouls
7
8
Yellow/red cards
2/0
3/0
 
LanusBoca Juniors
 
S. Marcich
J. Canale Domínguez
F. Watson (T. De Martis 46')
W. Bou (L. Besozzi 72')
E. Salvio (M. Sepúlveda Méndez 61')
D. Medina (F. Peña Biafore 82')
N. Losada
C. Izquierdoz
T. Guidara
R. Carrera (D. Aquino 46')
A. Cardozo
A. Marchesín
L. Di Lollo
L. Blanco
(T. Belmonte 87') L. Paredes
M. Delgado
football iconfootball iconM. Merentiel Serrano
M. Weigandt
A. Costa
football iconS. Ascacíbar
(I. Zufiaurre 87') A. Bareiro Gamarra
T. Aranda

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It may be an over exaggeration to say that we expect Mauricio Pellegrino and Claudio Fernando Úbeda to park the bus here, but we certainly don't expect to see a glut of goals as Lanus and Boca Juniors go head-to-head. The statistics belowsuggest there will be under 2.5 goals (i.e. 2 goals of fewer in total), and we reckon that looks like a strong prediction. With best odds of 1.44 available on under 2.5 goals and nothing too eyecatching in the full time result market, that's the bet we're recommending.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Lanus are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 35% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.80.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Lanus
34%
2/12/1
Draw
30%
2/115/8
Boca Juniors
37%
8/513/8
Draw 1-1
13%
5/19/2
Boca Juniors 1-0
13%
5/19/2
Lanus 1-0
12%
11/25/1
Draw 0-0
12%
5/19/2
Boca Juniors 2-1
7%
10/19/1
Boca Juniors 2-0
7%
10/19/1
Lanus 2-1
7%
11/110/1
Lanus 2-0
6%
12/111/1
Draw 2-2
4%
20/116/1
Boca Juniors 3-1
3%
28/120/1
Boca Juniors 3-0
3%
25/120/1
Lanus 3-1
2%
28/122/1
Lanus 3-0
2%
33/122/1
Boca Juniors 3-2
1%
40/133/1
Lanus 3-2
1%
40/133/1
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
15/89/5
Under 2.5 Goals
64%
2/52/5
Home 1st Goal
45%
6/55/4
Away 1st Goal
47%
21/2021/20
No 1st Goal
8%
5/19/2
BTTS - Yes
43%
6/513/10
BTTS - No
57%
8/134/7
BTTS - Home Win
12%
7/113/2
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/47/2
BTTS - Away Win
13%
6/111/2
Home/draw
63%
4/910/21
Away/draw
66%
4/114/11
Home/away
70%
4/112/5
Over 1.5 Goals
63%
4/73/5
Under 1.5 Goals
37%
5/46/5
Over 3.5 Goals
17%
5/19/2
Under 3.5 Goals
83%
1/81/8
Over 4.5 Goals
7%
14/111/1
Under 4.5 Goals
93%
1/331/40
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
28/125/1
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/1501/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
88%
1/81/8
Under 0.5 Goals
12%
5/19/2
Home DNB
54%
1/11/1
Away DNB
57%
8/118/11
Lanus win to nil
22%
3/1-
Boca Juniors win to nil
24%
11/4-
Lanus / Lanus
17%
4/119/5
Lanus / Boca Juniors
3%
33/125/1
Lanus / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Lanus
13%
5/15/1
Draw / Boca Juniors
14%
9/29/2
Draw / Draw
20%
3/127/10
Boca Juniors / Lanus
3%
40/128/1
Boca Juniors / Boca Juniors
18%
10/316/5
Boca Juniors / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Win / draw / win form
Lanus 17TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
Boca Juniors 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Lanus have not lost to Boca Juniors in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Lanus since 2019
Lanus
Boca Juniors
Goals: Scored
6
5
Games: Scored
4 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
1 / 5
LAN
3
BOJ
2
League games at Boca Juniors since 2019
Boca Juniors
Lanus
Goals: Scored
11
8
Games: Scored
7 / 8
6 / 8
Clean sheets
2 / 8
1 / 8
LAN
1
D
4
BOJ
3
Goal Statistics
Lanus 17th Boca Juniors 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Lanus will score no more than 1 goal
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Boca Juniors will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+6
Lanus’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+16
Boca Juniors have scored 16% more goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
Lanus
PG (predicted goals)
Boca Juniors
1
1.1
Attack rating
24%
better
LAN
BOJ
view stats
Games scored5
5
Failed to score1
2
Scored first2
2
Goals scored9
6
Avg. goals scored1.5
0.9
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal6
10
Conversion rate for17
11
Avg. XG for1
1.1
KickOff rating
+24%
Defence rating
LAN
BOJ
45%
better
view stats
Games conceded6
3
Clean sheets0
4
Conceded first4
3
Goals conceded9
5
Avg. goals conceded1.5
0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded11
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
10
Conversion rate against14%
10%
Avg. XG against1.1
0.7
KickOff rating
+45%

Lanus v Boca Juniors Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Lanus Primera División squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6113
N LosadaC IzquierdozT GuidaraC Izquierdoz
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Losada GLK6
2
-
T Guidara DEF61
1
-
C Izquierdoz DEF51
3
-
J Canale DEF6
1
-
S Marcich DEF71
3
-
E Salvio MID71
-
D. Medina MID5
1
-
A Cardozo MID6
-
R Carrera MID711
3
-
F Watson FWD4
-
W Bou FWD51
-
Subs
F Petroli GLK1
-
F. Sánchez DEF1
-
R López DEF4
-
L. Romero DEF1
-
N Morgantini DEF2
-
G Pérez DEF3
-
F Biafore MID7
-
M Sepúlveda MID6
1
-
B. Cabrera FWD3
-
D Aquino FWD51
2
-
T. De Martis FWD2
-
L Besozzi FWD41
-
Boca Juniors Primera División squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9334
A MarchesínM MerentielL ParedesL Paredes
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Marchesín GLK9
-
M Weigandt DEF6
-
L Lollo DEF91
3
-
A Costa DEF9
1
-
L Blanco DEF91
-
S Ascacibar MID72
2
-
L Paredes MID813
4
-
M. Delgado MID81
1
-
T. Aranda MID7
1
-
A Bareiro FWD31
1
-
M Merentiel FWD63
1
-
Subs
L Brey GLK
-
N Figal DEF
-
M Pellegrino DEF
-
D. Gorosito DEF
-
W Cepeda MID4
1
-
A Herrera MID4
-
K Zenón MID4
-
M Braida MID
-
T Belmonte MID5
-
L Janson FWD3
1
-
G. Germán Gelini FWD51
-
I. Zufiaurre FWD81
1
-