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River Plate v Sarmiento : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 15th Mar, 22:45 BST, Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespu, Capital Federal

River Plate are in Primera División action on Sunday night, as Marcelo Daniel Gallardo attempts to outsmart Facundo Sava and his Sarmiento side at the Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespu. Analysing both teams' last 20 Primera División matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the market, to generate our match predictions. All the stats, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Best Tip: River Plate to win

We think there's an outright winner in this game, and it's River Plate. Their recent form stats show they're capable at home, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they've got a track record against Sarmiento too. The odds point towards Marcelo Daniel Gallardo's side coming out on top in the win / draw / win market, and that's our strong prediction for Sunday night too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think River Plate are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 71% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.36.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
River Plate
71%
3/104/11
Draw
18%
7/219/5
Sarmiento
10%
9/18/1
River Plate 2-0
13%
5/119/4
River Plate 1-0
12%
11/219/4
River Plate 3-0
10%
7/113/2
River Plate 2-1
9%
8/17/1
Draw 1-1
9%
8/17/1
River Plate 3-1
7%
11/110/1
Draw 0-0
6%
10/19/1
River Plate 4-0
5%
14/111/1
Sarmiento 1-0
4%
20/114/1
River Plate 4-1
4%
20/116/1
Draw 2-2
3%
22/118/1
Sarmiento 2-1
3%
25/120/1
River Plate 3-2
2%
33/122/1
River Plate 5-0
2%
28/120/1
River Plate 5-1
2%
40/128/1
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
4/54/5
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
1/119/20
Home 1st Goal
62%
1/33/10
Away 1st Goal
35%
13/53/1
No 1st Goal
4%
10/117/2
BTTS - Yes
44%
6/56/5
BTTS - No
56%
8/138/13
BTTS - Home Win
27%
5/212/5
BTTS - Draw
12%
11/211/2
BTTS - Away Win
5%
18/114/1
Home/draw
90%
1/161/16
Away/draw
29%
9/421/10
Home/away
82%
2/112/11
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1/41/4
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
11/413/5
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
2/119/10
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
4/114/11
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
5/117/4
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/82/15
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
12/19/1
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/251/25
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/201/25
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/19/1
Home DNB
84%
1/101/11
Away DNB
23%
6/111/2
River Plate win to nil
44%
1/1-
Sarmiento win to nil
6%
14/1-
River Plate / River Plate
42%
20/2110/11
River Plate / Sarmiento
2%
50/140/1
River Plate / Draw
5%
16/116/1
Draw / River Plate
21%
11/43/1
Draw / Sarmiento
5%
16/114/1
Draw / Draw
13%
11/25/1
Sarmiento / River Plate
4%
20/120/1
Sarmiento / Sarmiento
6%
16/111/1
Sarmiento / Draw
4%
20/116/1
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Win / draw / win form
4
Sarmiento have lost 4 consecutive away league games
6
Sarmiento have not won in 6 consecutive away league games
River Plate 24TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
River Plate3 - 1Banfield
River Plate1 - 4Tig
River Plate2 - 0Gimnasia
River Plate0 - 1Gimnasia
River Plate0 - 1Sarmiento
River Plate1 - 2Deportivo Riestra
River Plate2 - 0SM San Juan
River Plate4 - 2Godoy Cruz
River Plate0 - 0San Lorenzo
River Plate3 - 1Platense
River Plate1 - 1Platense
River Plate3 - 0Barracas
River Plate4 - 1Velez
River Plate2 - 1Boca Juniors
River Plate1 - 1Tal Cordoba
River Plate2 - 2Rosario
River Plate1 - 0A. Tucuman
River Plate0 - 2Estudiantes
River Plate1 - 0Lanus
River Plate2 - 0Independiente
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ARiver Plate1 - 1Independiente Rivadavia
HRiver Plate3 - 1Banfield
ARiver Plate0 - 1Velez
ARiver Plate0 - 1Argentinos
HRiver Plate1 - 4Tig
ARiver Plate0 - 0Rosario
HRiver Plate2 - 0Gimnasia
ARiver Plate1 - 0Barracas
ARiver Plate2 - 3Racing Club
ARiver Plate0 - 0Velez
ARiver Plate0 - 2Boca Juniors
HRiver Plate0 - 1Gimnasia
ARiver Plate2 - 0Tal Cordoba
HRiver Plate0 - 1Sarmiento
ARiver Plate1 - 2Rosario
HRiver Plate1 - 2Deportivo Riestra
ARiver Plate0 - 2A. Tucuman
ARiver Plate2 - 1Estudiantes
HRiver Plate2 - 0SM San Juan
ARiver Plate1 - 1Lanus
Sarmiento 21ST
20 league games
Away
4
Overall
Goals: Scored
11
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Estudiantes1 - 0Sarmiento
Huracan1 - 0Sarmiento
Independiente Rivadavia2 - 1Sarmiento
Argentinos1 - 0Sarmiento
San Lorenzo1 - 1Sarmiento
Platense1 - 1Sarmiento
River Plate0 - 1Sarmiento
Tal Cordoba1 - 0Sarmiento
Barracas0 - 1Sarmiento
Deportivo Riestra3 - 0Sarmiento
SM San Juan0 - 1Sarmiento
Godoy Cruz0 - 0Sarmiento
Instituto1 - 1Sarmiento
Velez0 - 1Sarmiento
Gimnasia0 - 0Sarmiento
Aldosivi2 - 2Sarmiento
Rosario1 - 0Sarmiento
A. Tucuman5 - 0Sarmiento
Lanus2 - 0Sarmiento
Independiente2 - 1Sarmiento
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSarmiento0 - 0Racing Club
HSarmiento1 - 0Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
HSarmiento1 - 3U Santa Fe
ASarmiento0 - 1Estudiantes
ASarmiento0 - 1Huracan
HSarmiento2 - 1A. Tucuman
ASarmiento1 - 2Independiente Rivadavia
HSarmiento1 - 0Banfield
ASarmiento0 - 1Argentinos
ASarmiento1 - 1San Lorenzo
HSarmiento2 - 1Instituto
ASarmiento1 - 1Platense
HSarmiento0 - 1Rosario
HSarmiento0 - 2Velez
ASarmiento1 - 0River Plate
HSarmiento0 - 1Gimnasia
ASarmiento0 - 1Tal Cordoba
ASarmiento1 - 0Barracas
HSarmiento2 - 0Aldosivi
ASarmiento0 - 3Deportivo Riestra
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at River Plate since 2022
River Plate
Sarmiento
Goals: Scored
2
3
Games: Scored
2 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
1 / 3
RIV
1
SAR
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT River Plate
0 - 1Sarmiento
River Plate1 - 0
1 - 2Sarmiento
League games at Sarmiento since 2021
Sarmiento
River Plate
Goals: Scored
2
12
Games: Scored
2 / 4
4 / 4
Clean sheets
0 / 4
2 / 4
RIV
3
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sarmiento
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2River Plate
0 - 7River Plate
1 - 2River Plate
Goal Statistics
River Plate 24th Sarmiento 21st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.2
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
11%
1
25%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
18%
There is a 64% probability that River Plate will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
50%
1
35%
2
12%
3
4+
There is a 85% probability of Sarmiento scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+9
River Plate’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-22
Sarmiento have scored 22% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
0.6
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2026/2026 season
River Plate
PG (predicted goals)
Sarmiento
2.2
0.7
Attack rating
10%
better
RIV
SAR
view stats
Games scored5
5
Failed to score3
4
Scored first3
3
Goals scored8
6
Avg. goals scored1
0.7
Avg. shots per game12
7
Avg. shots per goal12
11
Conversion rate for8
9
Avg. XG for1.4
1.1
KickOff rating
+10%
Defence rating
2%
better
RIV
SAR
view stats
Games conceded5
6
Clean sheets3
3
Conceded first4
5
Goals conceded8
9
Avg. goals conceded1
1
Avg. shots/game conceded7
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
11
Conversion rate against14%
9%
Avg. XG against0.7
1.2
KickOff rating
+2%

River Plate v Sarmiento Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

River Plate Primera División squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8224
G MontielG MontielI. SubiabreL. Rivero Cruz
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S. Beltrán GLK8
-
G Montiel DEF82
2
-
L Quarta DEF81
2
-
A Moreno  MID8
-
T Galván MID81
-
I. Subiabre FWD82
1
-
L. Rivero Cruz DEF71
4
-
F Vera MID7
1
1
G Galoppo  MID7
1
-
J Quintero  MID621
-
S Driussi FWD61
-
M Salas FWD6
1
-
F Colidio FWD61
-
M Viña DEF5
3
1
M Acuña DEF4
3
-
S. Lencinas MID4
-
K Castaño MID3
-
R Andrade MID3
-
A. Ruberto FWD3
1
-
P Díaz DEF2
1
-
F Armani GLK1
-
J Portillo MID1
-
C. Jaime FWD1
-
Sarmiento Primera División squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9425
J BurraiJ MarabelJ ContreraJ Insaurralde
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Burrai GLK9
1
-
C Zabala MID9
1
-
J Contrera FWD92
3
-
D Churín FWD92
1
-
S Salle FWD9
4
-
J Marabel FWD941
-
Y Arismendi  FWD8
3
-
J Insaurralde DEF7
4
1
C Villalba MID7
4
-
M Martínez MID7
-
J. Rentería Arias FWD71
2
-
G. Arturia DEF6
1
-
R Barcos DEF6
2
-
J Cabrera DEF6
2
-
M García MID6
1
-
J Gómez MID6
1
-
L Suárez DEF5
1
-
T Santamaría DEF5
1
-
A. Seyral Echecopar DEF4
1
-
G Díaz DEF3
-
B. Márquez FWD3
1
-
M Mónaco MID1
1
-
C. Delgado Escobar FWD1
-
A. González FWD1
-
Argentinian Primera División match betting previews, predictions and odds
Defensa v Central Cor
Thu 12th Mar, 20:00
Deportivo Riestra v Gimnasia Mendoza
Thu 12th Mar, 20:00
Tal Cordoba v Instituto
Thu 12th Mar, 22:15
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto v Belgrano
Thu 12th Mar, 22:15
Huracan v River Plate
Fri 13th Mar, 00:30
Estudiantes v Lanus
Fri 13th Mar, 23:00
Platense v Velez
Sat 14th Mar, 22:00
Rosario v Banfield
Sun 15th Mar, 00:00
Gimnasia v Independiente Rivadavia
Sun 15th Mar, 18:15
Belgrano v Tal Cordoba
Sun 15th Mar, 20:30
River Plate v Sarmiento
Sun 15th Mar, 22:45
U Santa Fe v Boca Juniors
Mon 16th Mar, 01:00
Tig v Argentinos
Mon 16th Mar, 01:00
Aldosivi v Huracan
Mon 16th Mar, 18:30
Barracas v A. Tucuman
Mon 16th Mar, 18:30
San Lorenzo v Defensa
Mon 16th Mar, 21:30
Racing Club v Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
Mon 16th Mar, 23:00
Instituto v Independiente
Tue 17th Mar, 01:15
Lanus v Newells
Tue 17th Mar, 22:00
Gimnasia Mendoza v Estudiantes
Wed 18th Mar, 00:15
Central Cor v Deportivo Riestra
Wed 18th Mar, 00:15
Banfield v Tig
Sat 21st Mar, 00:00
A. Tucuman v Gimnasia
Sat 21st Mar, 00:00
Velez v Lanus
Sat 21st Mar, 18:30
Newells v Gimnasia Mendoza
Sat 21st Mar, 20:45
Defensa v U Santa Fe
Sat 21st Mar, 20:45
Independiente v Tal Cordoba
Sat 21st Mar, 23:00
Belgrano v Racing Club
Sun 22nd Mar, 01:15
Sarmiento v Aldosivi
Sun 22nd Mar, 18:30
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto v River Plate
Sun 22nd Mar, 20:45
Boca Juniors v Instituto
Sun 22nd Mar, 23:00
Argentinos v Platense
Mon 23rd Mar, 01:15
Independiente Rivadavia v Rosario
Mon 23rd Mar, 01:15
Estudiantes v Central Cor
Mon 23rd Mar, 22:00
Huracan v Barracas
Tue 24th Mar, 00:15
Deportivo Riestra v San Lorenzo
Wed 25th Mar, 22:00