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San Lorenzo v Defensa y Justicia : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 16th Mar, 21:30 BST, Estadio Pedro Bidegaín, Buenos Aires

It's an away match for Mariano Soso's Defensa y Justicia side on Monday night, as they travel to the Estadio Pedro Bidegaín for a Primera División clash with Damián Ayude's San Lorenzo. Below you'll find predictions for all the biggest betting markets, supporting statistics including head-to-heads, and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers. Access it all using the tabs below.


Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Maybe it'd be too strong to say that we expect Damián Ayude and Mariano Soso to batten down the hatches here, but we do not expect a flood of goals as San Lorenzo and Defensa go head-to-head. The stats belowimply under 2.5 goals (i.e. 2 goals of fewer in total), and we're saying that looks like a strong prediction. With best odds of 1.36 available on under 2.5 goals and nothing too eyecatching in the full time result market, that's the bet we recommend.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think San Lorenzo are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 38% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.25.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
San Lorenzo
38%
23/205/4
Draw
31%
9/52/1
Defensa
32%
3/127/10
San Lorenzo 1-0
14%
9/217/4
Draw 1-1
13%
9/219/4
Draw 0-0
13%
9/219/4
Defensa 1-0
13%
7/16/1
San Lorenzo 2-0
8%
15/215/2
San Lorenzo 2-1
7%
9/117/2
Defensa 2-1
6%
14/111/1
Defensa 2-0
6%
16/112/1
Draw 2-2
3%
20/116/1
San Lorenzo 3-0
3%
20/116/1
San Lorenzo 3-1
3%
22/116/1
Defensa 3-1
2%
40/128/1
Defensa 3-0
2%
40/128/1
San Lorenzo 3-2
1%
40/133/1
Defensa 3-2
1%
50/140/1
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
21/109/5
Under 2.5 Goals
67%
4/112/5
Home 1st Goal
47%
5/65/6
Away 1st Goal
44%
13/86/4
No 1st Goal
9%
9/219/4
BTTS - Yes
40%
5/413/10
BTTS - No
60%
4/711/20
BTTS - Home Win
12%
11/219/4
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/418/5
BTTS - Away Win
11%
10/115/2
Home/draw
68%
2/92/7
Away/draw
62%
4/68/13
Home/away
69%
2/52/5
Over 1.5 Goals
60%
8/133/5
Under 1.5 Goals
40%
6/55/4
Over 3.5 Goals
15%
11/29/2
Under 3.5 Goals
85%
1/91/8
Over 4.5 Goals
5%
14/111/1
Under 4.5 Goals
95%
1/401/50
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
33/125/1
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/2001/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
87%
1/71/9
Under 0.5 Goals
13%
9/219/4
Home DNB
59%
4/91/2
Away DNB
53%
13/87/5
San Lorenzo win to nil
25%
2/1-
Defensa win to nil
21%
9/2-
San Lorenzo / San Lorenzo
23%
13/55/2
San Lorenzo / Defensa
2%
40/128/1
San Lorenzo / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / San Lorenzo
16%
4/14/1
Draw / Defensa
11%
13/26/1
Draw / Draw
21%
11/414/5
Defensa / San Lorenzo
3%
33/125/1
Defensa / Defensa
13%
11/219/4
Defensa / Draw
5%
16/112/1
Win / draw / win form
San Lorenzo 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
Defensa 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
9
Lost
6
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at San Lorenzo since 2019
San Lorenzo
Defensa
Goals: Scored
6
10
Games: Scored
3 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
2 / 5
SLO
1
D
1
DEF
3
League games at Defensa since 2019
Defensa
San Lorenzo
Goals: Scored
1
1
Games: Scored
1 / 4
1 / 4
Clean sheets
3 / 4
3 / 4
SLO
1
D
2
DEF
1
Goal Statistics

San Lorenzo's defensive record is very strong, D. Ayude's men having conceded 1 or less in 7 consecutive Primera División games. An average PG rating of 1.0 for Defensa y Justicia makes sense in this context.

San Lorenzo 9th Defensa 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that San Lorenzo will score no more than 1 goal
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of Defensa scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
San Lorenzo’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-6
Defensa’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.1
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2026/2026 season
San Lorenzo
PG (predicted goals)
Defensa
1.1
1
Attack rating
2%
better
SLO
DEF
view stats
Games scored6
5
Failed to score3
3
Scored first3
4
Goals scored8
7
Avg. goals scored0.9
0.8
Avg. shots per game7
7
Avg. shots per goal8
8
Conversion rate for13
12
Avg. XG for0.8
0.8
KickOff rating
+2%
Defence rating
SLO
DEF
13%
better
view stats
Games conceded4
4
Clean sheets5
4
Conceded first4
1
Goals conceded6
5
Avg. goals conceded0.7
0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded11
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded16
16
Conversion rate against6%
6%
Avg. XG against1
0.9
KickOff rating
+13%

San Lorenzo v Defensa Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

San Lorenzo Primera División squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9324
O GillA CuelloA CuelloA Cuello
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
O Gill GLK9
-
G Hernández DEF9
2
-
N Tripichio MID9
2
-
I. Perruzzi Ambrosini MID9
2
-
A Cuello FWD932
4
-
E Herrera DEF8
1
-
F. Gulli MID81
1
-
A. Ladstatter FWD8
-
J Romaña DEF7
2
-
G Abrego MID7
1
-
L Vietto FWD72
2
-
E Cerutti FWD7
1
-
G Rodríguez FWD72
-
M Ritis DEF52
1
-
T. Rodríguez Pagano DEF5
1
-
M Cardillo MID5
-
F. López DEF4
1
-
D Herazo FWD411
-
J. Rattalino MID3
-
F Perruzzi MID3
-
M. Reali FWD3
-
M Insaurralde MID2
-
N Barrios FWD2
-
F. Lorenzón DEF1
1
-
G Corujo  DEF1
-
Defensa Primera División squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9233
C FiermarínJ MiritelloA MolinasD Martínez 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Fiermarín GLK9
-
L Souto DEF9
-
Ángel Maldonado MID91
2
-
J Gutiérrez FWD912
1
-
E Amor DEF81
1
-
A Molinas MID813
2
-
S. Sosa Yung MID8
1
E Lucero DEF7
-
A Hausch MID7
-
M. Aguiar MID7
1
1
D Martínez  DEF6
3
-
A. Portillo DEF611
1
-
E Pereyra DEF61
-
Éver Banega MID61
2
-
J Miritello FWD62
-
D Fernández DEF5
1
-
J López MID5
-
D Barbona FWD5
-
F Altamira FWD4
1
-
A Osorio FWD4
-
N. Roselli DEF3
-
D Cáceres DEF2
-
D. Fernandez FWD2
-