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San Lorenzo v Rosario Central : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 26th Apr, 21:00 BST, Estadio Pedro Bidegaín, Buenos Aires

the Estadio Dr. Lisandro de la Torre crowd welcome Rosario Central's fans on Saturday night, as Miguel Ángel Russo's San Lorenzo clash with Ariel Enrique Holan's troops in the Primera División. Analysing both teams' last 20 Primera División matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the market, to generate our match predictions. All the statistics, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It would probably be a little strong to say that we expect Miguel Ángel Russo and Ariel Enrique Holan to batten down the hatches here, but we're certainly not expecting a glut of goals as San Lorenzo and Rosario go head-to-head. The statistics belowsuggest there will be under 2.5 goals (i.e. 2 goals of fewer in total), and we think it's likely to go that way too. With best odds of 1.44 available on under 2.5 goals and nothing too eyecatching in the full time result market, that's the bet we'd advise you go for.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think San Lorenzo are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 37% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.15.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
San Lorenzo
37%
2.25
13%
-
Draw
33%
2.90
11%
-
Rosario
30%
3.90
5%
-
Draw 0-0
16%
5.00
17%
-
San Lorenzo 1-0
16%
5.00-
Rosario 1-0
14%
7.50-
Draw 1-1
13%
6.00
8%
-
San Lorenzo 2-0
8%
9.00
20%
-
San Lorenzo 2-1
7%
11.00
10%
-
Rosario 2-0
6%
17.00
11%
-
Rosario 2-1
6%
15.00-
Draw 2-2
3%
23.00-
San Lorenzo 3-0
3%
21.00
24%
-
San Lorenzo 3-1
2%
26.00
24%
-
Rosario 3-0
2%
41.00
20%
-
Rosario 3-1
2%
41.00-
San Lorenzo 3-2
1%
41.00-
Rosario 3-2
1%
51.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
28%
3.10
15%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
72%
1.36
6%
-
Home 1st Goal
46%
1.80
8%
-
Away 1st Goal
42%
2.75
8%
-
No 1st Goal
12%
5.00
17%
-
BTTS - Yes
36%
2.50-
BTTS - No
64%
1.50-
BTTS - Home Win
11%
7.00
17%
-
BTTS - Draw
16%
5.00
9%
-
BTTS - Away Win
9%
11.00-
Home/draw
70%
1.25
2%
-
Away/draw
63%
1.62
10%
-
Home/away
67%
1.40
5%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
54%
1.67
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
46%
2.10
5%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
11%
6.50-
Under 3.5 Goals
89%
1.11-
Over 4.5 Goals
4%
17.00
13%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
96%
1.02
1%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
1%
41.00
21%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
99%
1.00-
Over 0.5 Goals
84%
1.17
4%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
16%
5.00
17%
-
Home DNB
60%
1.50
7%
-
Away DNB
53%
2.50
9%
-
San Lorenzo win to nil
27%
3.00
15%
-
Rosario win to nil
22%
5.00
9%
-
San Lorenzo / San Lorenzo
22%
3.75
10%
-
San Lorenzo / Rosario
2%
41.00-
San Lorenzo / Draw
6%
15.00-
Draw / San Lorenzo
17%
5.00
11%
-
Draw / Rosario
12%
7.00
13%
-
Draw / Draw
22%
3.75
6%
-
Rosario / San Lorenzo
2%
34.00-
Rosario / Rosario
13%
6.50
13%
-
Rosario / Draw
5%
17.00-
Win / draw / win form
3
Rosario have drawn 3 consecutive away league games
5
San Lorenzo have not lost in 5 consecutive league games
6
Rosario have not lost in 6 consecutive league games
3
San Lorenzo have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive league games
San Lorenzo 24TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
Rosario 20TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
6
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
4
Draw
9
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at San Lorenzo since 2019
San Lorenzo
Rosario
Goals: Scored
6
3
Games: Scored
4 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
0 / 4
SLO
2
D
2
League games at Rosario since 2019
Rosario
San Lorenzo
Goals: Scored
1
2
Games: Scored
1 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
2 / 3
SLO
2
ROS
1
Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for San Lorenzo of late. It has been 5 Primera División matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.0 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Saturday night against Rosario Central.

San Lorenzo 24th Rosario 20th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of San Lorenzo scoring 1 goal or less
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 79% probability of Rosario scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+5
San Lorenzo’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-18
Rosario have scored 18% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.0
average goals scored
0.7
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/291552/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
San Lorenzo
PG (predicted goals)
Rosario
1
0.8
Attack rating
SLO
ROS
18%
better
view stats
Games scored9
9
Failed to score5
5
Scored first7
8
Goals scored13
20
Avg. goals scored0.9
1.4
Avg. shots per game8
7
Avg. shots per goal9
5
Conversion rate for11
22
Avg. XG for1.1
1.3
KickOff rating
+18%
Defence rating
3%
better
SLO
ROS
view stats
Games conceded5
7
Clean sheets9
7
Conceded first3
2
Goals conceded8
8
Avg. goals conceded0.6
0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded16
17
Conversion rate against6%
6%
Avg. XG against0.9
0.9
KickOff rating
+3%

San Lorenzo v Rosario Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

San Lorenzo Primera División squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12615
O GillA VombergarE. Báez SoteloJ Romaña
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
O Gill GLK12
-
E. Báez Sotelo DEF121
2
-
E Herrera DEF12
4
-
M Braida MID1221
1
-
M. Reali FWD121
1
-
A Cuello FWD12
-
A Vombergar FWD1261
3
-
D. Herrera DEF11
1
-
J Romaña DEF11
5
-
E Irala MID11
3
-
E Cecchini MID101
2
-
N Domínguez DEF9
1
-
N Tripichio DEF9
2
-
E Cerutti FWD91
4
-
J. Peralta González FWD51
4
-
G Hernández DEF4
2
1
M Insaurralde MID4
1
-
I Muniain FWD41
-
A. Ladstatter DEF3
-
V. Escalante FWD1
-
Rosario Primera División squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13445
A SándezJ CampazI MalcorraF Ibarra
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Coronel DEF143
3
-
E Copetti FWD1422
2
-
A Sández DEF132
3
-
F Ibarra MID131
5
-
G. De Jesús Duarte MID132
1
-
J Broun GLK12
1
-
L Giaccone MID1211
-
C Quintana DEF112
3
-
J Campaz MID1141
5
-
J Komar DEF10
-
F Navarro MID10
2
-
I Malcorra MID1044
5
-
F Mallo DEF8
1
-
M Lovera FWD81
-
S Ferreira FWD82
-
E Giménez MID71
1
-
S Lopez FWD72
1
-
A Solari MID6
-
J. Elordi DEF5
-
T O'Connor MID5
2
-
J. Giménez DEF4
1
-
S. Segovia MID41
-
K Ortíz MID4
-
A. Bravo DEF3
1
-
J Gómez MID3
1
-
A Werner GLK2
-