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Sarmiento v Defensa y Justicia : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Eva Perón de Junín, Junín

Israel Alejandro Damonte and Pablo Daniel de Muner clash in the Primera División on Friday night, as Sarmiento face Defensa y Justicia at the Estadio Eva Perón de Junín. We provide predictions based on extensive statistical analysis of both teams, across seventeen major markets. Data shown and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head-to-head statistics are included for all.

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Sarmiento's next match is v Banfield at 00:15 on Saturday 14th December
Defensa y Justicia's next match is v U Santa Fe at 20:00 on Sunday 15th December
The last Argentinian Primera División meeting between Sarmiento and Defensa was on Friday 6th December 2024
Argentinian Primera División
December 6th 2024
Sarmiento 1
1 Defensa
 
I. Morales Bravo 26'32' F. Schamine
 
SAR
DEF
Shots On
4
4
Shots Off
6
6
Corners
3
5
Possession
45%
55%
Fouls
11
10
Yellow/red cards
1/0
3/0
 
SarmientoDefensa
 
L. Acosta
J. Insaurralde
G. Díaz (Y. Arismendi 56')
F. Paredes
E. López
V. Burgoa (G. Hauche 87')
J. Gho (M. Rosales 87')
M. García
O. Gaitán
I. Morales Bravofootball icon (L. López 83')
T. Guiacobini
E. Bologna Gómez
V. Aguilera
(I. Galván 46') J. Cáceres Ovelar
S. Ramos Mingo
T. Rubio
(G. Alanís 80') A. Molinas
(J. Palavecino 68') R. Bogarín Giménez
C. Pérez Maldonado
(J. López 72') football iconF. Schamine
(A. Osorio 68') J. Miritello
L. Herrera

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Concentration will be required as Sarmiento and Defensa go head-to-head, with little to choose between the teams in terms of who might win. The stats do not give us any clear conclusion in that regard, but they are pointing strongly towards there being 2 goals or fewer in the game. That's a prediction available at best priced odds of 1.48 with the bookmakers, so we've made under 2.5 goals our tip of the day for this tie.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Sarmiento are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 37% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 3.25.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Sarmiento
37%
21/10
3%
-
Draw
30%
9/5
7%
-
Defensa
32%
13/8
9%
-
Sarmiento 1-0
14%
13/2-
Draw 1-1
14%
9/2
8%
-
Draw 0-0
13%
5/1
8%
-
Defensa 1-0
13%
11/2
8%
-
Sarmiento 2-0
7%
12/1
13%
-
Sarmiento 2-1
7%
11/1
8%
-
Defensa 2-1
7%
10/1
10%
-
Defensa 2-0
6%
10/1
10%
-
Draw 2-2
3%
16/1
11%
-
Sarmiento 3-0
3%
33/1-
Sarmiento 3-1
3%
28/1
15%
-
Defensa 3-1
2%
25/1
13%
-
Defensa 3-0
2%
25/1
13%
-
Sarmiento 3-2
1%
40/1-
Defensa 3-2
1%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
6/4-
Under 2.5 Goals
67%
1/2-
Home 1st Goal
46%
13/10
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
44%
10/11
4%
-
No 1st Goal
9%
5/1
8%
-
BTTS - Yes
41%
21/20
2%
-
BTTS - No
59%
7/10
2%
-
BTTS - Home Win
12%
13/2
6%
-
BTTS - Draw
17%
10/3
9%
-
BTTS - Away Win
11%
11/2
8%
-
Home/draw
68%
4/9
6%
-
Away/draw
63%
4/11-
Home/away
70%
2/5
3%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
60%
1/2-
Under 1.5 Goals
40%
6/4-
Over 3.5 Goals
15%
4/1-
Under 3.5 Goals
85%
1/6-
Over 4.5 Goals
6%
10/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
94%
1/20-
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
25/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/150-
Over 0.5 Goals
87%
1/9
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
13%
11/2
8%
-
Home DNB
59%
1/1
9%
-
Away DNB
54%
8/11
7%
-
Sarmiento win to nil
25%
7/2-
Defensa win to nil
21%
11/4
7%
-
Sarmiento / Sarmiento
15%
4/1
9%
-
Sarmiento / Defensa
2%
33/1-
Sarmiento / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Sarmiento
13%
5/1
8%
-
Draw / Defensa
15%
9/2-
Draw / Draw
21%
3/1-
Defensa / Sarmiento
2%
33/1-
Defensa / Defensa
21%
10/3
8%
-
Defensa / Draw
6%
14/1-
bet365
Win / draw / win form
Sarmiento 25TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
11
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
3
Draw
8
Lost
9
Defensa 21ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Sarmiento since 2022
Sarmiento
Defensa
Goals: Scored
6
4
Games: Scored
3 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
0 / 3
SAR
2
DEF
1
League games at Defensa since 2023
Defensa
Sarmiento
Goals: Scored
4
1
Games: Scored
2 / 2
1 / 2
Clean sheets
1 / 2
0 / 2
D
1
DEF
1
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Sarmiento of late. It has been 19 Primera División games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Friday night against Defensa y Justicia.

Sarmiento 25th Defensa 21st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Sarmiento will score no more than 1 goal
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Defensa scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-23
Sarmiento have scored 23% fewer goals at home than predicted
+46
Defensa have scored 46% more goals when away than predicted
0.7
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/270357/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Sarmiento
PG (predicted goals)
Defensa
1.1
1
Attack rating
SAR
DEF
31%
better
view stats
Games scored20
28
Failed to score19
12
Scored first12
18
Goals scored25
44
Avg. goals scored0.6
1.1
Avg. shots per game8
10
Avg. shots per goal13
9
Conversion rate for8
11
Avg. XG for0.8
1.2
KickOff rating
+31%
Defence rating
1%
better
SAR
DEF
view stats
Games conceded26
27
Clean sheets13
13
Conceded first20
17
Goals conceded45
46
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded11
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
9
Conversion rate against10%
11%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.3
KickOff rating
+1%

Sarmiento v Defensa Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Sarmiento Primera División squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
23336
J InsaurraldeJ GhoJ GhoJ Insaurralde
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Acosta GLK22
2
-
E López DEF2322
3
-
F Paredes DEF21
3
1
J Insaurralde DEF1
-
G Díaz DEF1911
1
-
T. Guiacobini MID121
4
-
M García MID2321
5
-
V Burgoa MID192
1
-
N Gaitán MID1512
1
-
J Gho MID2533
4
-
I Bravo FWD1831
1
-
Subs
N Champagne GLK
-
S Morales DEF1
-
F Roncaglia DEF12
1
-
Y Arismendi  MID231
4
-
M. Rosales MID9
3
-
E Méndez MID181
5
-
J Andrada MID8
2
-
F Paradela  MID3
-
G Gudiño MID171
2
-
G Hauche FWD13
-
L López FWD181
3
-
E Naya FWD131
1
-
Defensa Primera División squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21548
S MingoA MolinasA MolinasL. Herrera
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Bologna GLK16
-
T Rubio DEF101
1
-
E Aguilera DEF22
1
-
S Mingo DEF2111
6
-
D Cáceres DEF7
2
-
C Pérez MID15
2
-
F Schamine MID122
5
-
L. Herrera MID2312
8
-
A Molinas MID2454
5
-
R Bogarin MID151
1
-
J Miritello FWD1943
3
-
Subs
C Fiermarín GLK10
1
-
L Ferreira DEF121
5
1
E Lucero DEF2
-
E Cannavo DEF171
2
-
I Galván DEF8
1
-
M González MID5
1
1
K López MID174
2
-
N Palavecino MID121
3
2
J López MID121
2
-
G Alanís MID1723
1
-
F Echevarría FWD51
-
A Osorio FWD194
2
-