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Vélez Sarsfield v Boca Juniors : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio José Amalfitani, Buenos Aires

Vélez Sarsfield and Boca Juniors go head to head at the Estadio José Amalfitani on Monday morning, with both Guillermo Barros Schelotto and Claudio Fernando Úbeda hoping for success in the Primera División. Statistics for our tip of under 2.5 goals are shown below, including head to head (H2H) history. Flipping the market using the tabs below changes all stats and the odds from leading bookmakers, allowing you do find the bet that suits you best.

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Vélez Sarsfield's next match is v Defensa at 01:15 on Saturday 14th February
Boca Juniors's next match is v Platense at 22:30 on Sunday 15th February

The last Argentinian Primera División meeting between Velez and Boca Juniors was on Monday 9th February 2026

Argentinian Primera División

February 9th 2026

Velez 2	1 Boca Juniors

M. Pellegrini 63'	90' I. Zufiaurre
M. Pellegrini 66'

	VEL BOJ
Shots On	4 3
Shots Off	10 5
Corners	2 7
Possession	50% 50%
Fouls	10 8
Yellow/red cards	1/0

Velez	Boca Juniors

Á. Montero Perales E. Mammana E. Gómez J. García C. Baeza Baeza (R. Aliendro 84') D. Valdés Contreras (A. Quiroz 90') M. Pellegrini (L. Robertone 78') L. Magallán M. Lanzini (A. Zahir Verón 84') T. Andrada F. Monzón (D. Godoy 79')	A. Marchesín L. Di Lollo L. Blanco L. Paredes M. Delgado (Á. Romero Villamayor 61') M. Merentiel Serrano (T. Aranda 73') K. Zenon (M. Weigandt 73') J. Barinaga A. Costa S. Ascacíbar (I. Zufiaurre 46') G. Germán Gelini

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Concentration will be required as Velez and Boca Juniors go head-to-head, with little to choose between the sides in terms of who might win. The stats don't give us any proper confidence in that regard, but they are pointing strongly towards there being 2 goals or fewer in the game. That's a prediction available at best priced odds of 1.40 with the bookies, so we make under 2.5 goals our tip of the day on this occasion.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 38% chance of Boca Juniors coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Velez 32%	21/10	21/10
Draw 30%	15/8	9/5 3%
Boca Juniors 38%	29/20	13/8 1%
Boca Juniors 1-0 14%	9/2	19/4 4%
Draw 1-1 13%	5/1	9/2
Draw 0-0 13%	9/2	17/4 9%
Velez 1-0 12%	6/1	11/2
Boca Juniors 2-0 7%	9/1	17/2
Boca Juniors 2-1 7%	10/1	9/1 5%
Velez 2-1 7%	12/1	10/1
Velez 2-0 6%	12/1	11/1
Draw 2-2 4%	20/1	14/1
Boca Juniors 3-0 3%	25/1	18/1
Boca Juniors 3-1 3%	25/1	22/1 10%
Velez 3-1 2%	33/1	22/1 12%
Velez 3-0 2%	33/1	22/1 12%
Boca Juniors 3-2 1%	40/1	33/1 17%
Velez 3-2 1%	50/1	33/1
Over 2.5 Goals 34%	15/8	15/8 7%
Under 2.5 Goals 66%	2/5	2/5 3%
Home 1st Goal 44%	13/10	5/4
Away 1st Goal 47%	1/1	21/20 3%
No 1st Goal 9%	9/2	9/2 4%
BTTS - Yes 42%	5/4	13/10 5%
BTTS - No 58%	4/7	11/20 4%
BTTS - Home Win 11%	8/1	13/2
BTTS - Draw 18%	15/4	18/5 2%
BTTS - Away Win 13%	6/1	6/1 17%
Home/draw 62%	1/2	10/21 1%
Away/draw 68%	4/11	4/11
Home/away 70%	2/5	2/5
Over 1.5 Goals 61%	8/13	3/5 3%
Under 1.5 Goals 39%	6/5	6/5 4%
Over 3.5 Goals 16%	11/2	19/4 10%
Under 3.5 Goals 84%	1/9	1/8 1%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%	14/1	12/1 18%
Under 4.5 Goals 94%	1/33	1/40 1%
Over 5.5 Goals 2%	33/1	25/1 13%
Under 5.5 Goals 98%	1/200	1/1000
Over 0.5 Goals 87%	1/8 1%	2/15 2%
Under 0.5 Goals 13%	5/1 9%	9/2 4%
Home DNB 53%	11/10	1/1 2%
Away DNB 59%	4/6	8/11 2%
Velez win to nil 21%	10/3	-
Boca Juniors win to nil 25%	5/2	-
Velez / Velez 16%	9/2	4/1
Velez / Boca Juniors 3%	33/1	28/1
Velez / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1
Draw / Velez 13%	11/2	5/1 8%
Draw / Boca Juniors 15%	9/2	9/2 4%
Draw / Draw 22%	11/4	27/10 3%
Boca Juniors / Velez 2%	40/1	33/1
Boca Juniors / Boca Juniors 19%	10/3	10/3 8%
Boca Juniors / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

10 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

10 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Velez	2 - 1	Tal Cordoba
Velez	0 - 2	Argentinos
Velez	0 - 0	River Plate
Velez	0 - 1	Tal Cordoba
Velez	1 - 2	Rosario
Velez	3 - 1	A. Tucuman
Velez	3 - 0	Lanus
Velez	2 - 1	Independiente
Velez	0 - 0	Instituto
Velez	2 - 1	Tig
Velez	1 - 0	Gimnasia
Velez	0 - 1	Sarmiento
Velez	0 - 1	Deportivo Riestra
Velez	1 - 0	SM San Juan
Velez	0 - 2	Huracan
Velez	0 - 2	Godoy Cruz
Velez	0 - 0	San Lorenzo
Velez	0 - 1	Platense
Velez	2 - 0	Huracan
Velez	1 - 0	Sarmiento

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Velez	1 - 1	Independiente
H	Velez	2 - 1	Tal Cordoba
A	Velez	1 - 0	Instituto
H	Velez	0 - 2	Argentinos
H	Velez	0 - 0	River Plate
A	Velez	0 - 2	Gimnasia
H	Velez	0 - 1	Tal Cordoba
A	Velez	2 - 0	Sarmiento
H	Velez	1 - 2	Rosario
A	Velez	2 - 2	Deportivo Riestra
H	Velez	3 - 1	A. Tucuman
A	Velez	2 - 1	SM San Juan
A	Velez	0 - 0	Huracan
H	Velez	3 - 0	Lanus
A	Velez	2 - 0	Godoy Cruz
H	Velez	2 - 1	Independiente
A	Velez	0 - 1	San Lorenzo
H	Velez	0 - 0	Instituto
A	Velez	0 - 0	Platense
H	Velez	2 - 1	Tig

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Estudiantes	2 - 1	Boca Juniors
Estudiantes	1 - 2	Boca Juniors
Barracas	1 - 3	Boca Juniors
Defensa	2 - 1	Boca Juniors
Rosario	1 - 1	Boca Juniors
Aldosivi	0 - 2	Boca Juniors
Independiente Rivadavia	0 - 3	Boca Juniors
Huracan	1 - 0	Boca Juniors
Argentinos	0 - 0	Boca Juniors
Tig	1 - 1	Boca Juniors
River Plate	2 - 1	Boca Juniors
Belgrano	1 - 3	Boca Juniors
Newells	2 - 0	Boca Juniors
Central Cor	0 - 3	Boca Juniors
Banfield	0 - 1	Boca Juniors
Racing Club	2 - 0	Boca Juniors
U Santa Fe	1 - 1	Boca Juniors
Newells	0 - 1	Boca Juniors
Huracan	0 - 0	Boca Juniors
Sarmiento	0 - 2	Boca Juniors

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Boca Juniors	2 - 0	Newells
A	Boca Juniors	1 - 2	Estudiantes
H	Boca Juniors	1 - 0	Deportivo Riestra
H	Boca Juniors	0 - 1	Racing Club
H	Boca Juniors	1 - 0	Argentinos
H	Boca Juniors	2 - 0	Tal Cordoba
H	Boca Juniors	2 - 0	Tig
H	Boca Juniors	2 - 0	River Plate
A	Boca Juniors	2 - 1	Estudiantes
A	Boca Juniors	3 - 1	Barracas
H	Boca Juniors	1 - 2	Belgrano
H	Boca Juniors	5 - 0	Newells
A	Boca Juniors	1 - 2	Defensa
H	Boca Juniors	2 - 2	Central Cor
A	Boca Juniors	1 - 1	Rosario
A	Boca Juniors	2 - 0	Aldosivi
H	Boca Juniors	2 - 0	Banfield
A	Boca Juniors	3 - 0	Independiente Rivadavia
H	Boca Juniors	1 - 1	Racing Club
A	Boca Juniors	0 - 1	Huracan

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Boca Juniors have beaten Velez in 3 consecutive league meetings

Velez

Boca Juniors

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 5

2 / 5

Clean sheets

3 / 5

2 / 5

VEL

BOJ

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Velez
	1 - 2	Boca Juniors
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Velez	2 - 0
	1 - 7	Boca Juniors
Draw	0 - 0	Draw

Boca Juniors

Velez

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 3

0 / 3

Clean sheets

3 / 3

0 / 3

BOJ

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Boca Juniors
Boca Juniors		1 - 0
Boca Juniors		1 - 0
Boca Juniors		3 - 0

Goal Statistics

	Velez 20th	Boca Juniors 6th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.0 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 37% 1 37% 2 18% 3 4+ There is a 74% probability of Velez scoring 1 goal or less	0 34% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 71% probability that Boca Juniors will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-22 Velez have scored 22% fewer goals at home than predicted	+21 Boca Juniors have scored 21% more goals when away than predicted
	0.9 average goals scored	1.3 average goals scored
	0.8 conceded	0.9 conceded

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

better

VEL

BOJ

view stats

Games scored	3		3
Failed to score	0		0
Scored first	2		2
Goals scored	4		4
Avg. goals scored	1.3		1.3
Avg. shots per game	8		8
Avg. shots per goal	6		6
Conversion rate for	17		17
Avg. XG for	0.9		1.4
KickOff rating		0%

VEL

BOJ

better

view stats

Games conceded	2		1
Clean sheets	1		2
Conceded first	1		1
Goals conceded	2		2
Avg. goals conceded	0.7		0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded	12		6
Avg. shots/goal conceded	18		9
Conversion rate against	6%		11%
Avg. XG against	1		0.7
KickOff rating		+8%

Velez v Boca Juniors Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Velez Primera División squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
4	2	2	2
Álvaro Montero	M Pellegrini	D Valdés	C Baeza

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Álvaro Montero GLK	4			-
J García DEF	2	1		-
E Mammana DEF	4			-
L Magallán DEF	4			-
E Gómez DEF	4			1 -
D Valdés MID	4		2	-
C Baeza MID	4			2 -
T. Andrada MID	4	1		2 -
M Lanzini MID	4	1		-
M Pellegrini MID	3	2		-
F Monzón FWD	2			-
Subs
T Marchiori GLK				-
A Quirós DEF	3			-
T. Silvero DEF				-
L. Cristaldo Florentín DEF				-
L Robertone MID	4			-
R Aliendro MID	4			1 -
I Machuca FWD				-
D. Godoy FWD	2		1	-
A. Zahir Verón FWD	2			-
F Pizzini FWD				-
M. Arias FWD	2		1	-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	4	2	3
M Pellegrini	M Pellegrini	D Valdés	M Lanzini

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Pellegrini MID	2	4		1
J García DEF	1	1
T. Andrada MID	1	2		1
M Lanzini MID	1	3		3
D Valdés MID		2	2	1
F Monzón FWD		1
Subs
D. Godoy FWD		1	1	2
M. Arias FWD		1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
189	9	23
C Baeza	T. Andrada	D Valdés

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
C Baeza MID	189	8	14
L Magallán DEF	173	3	8
T. Andrada MID	148	9	22
E Gómez DEF	134	5	21
M Lanzini MID	104	4	14
D Valdés MID	102	5	23
Subs
A Quirós DEF	91	2	5
Álvaro Montero GLK	84		2
E Mammana DEF	71	4	6
Subs
R Aliendro MID	68	2	12
M Pellegrini MID	66	4	22
J García DEF	36	1	4
Subs
L Robertone MID	25	3	10
M. Arias FWD	25		1
F Monzón FWD	24	2	6
Subs
D. Godoy FWD	18	1	4
A. Zahir Verón FWD	6	1	3

Boca Juniors Primera División squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
4	1	2	2
A Marchesín	L Lollo	L Paredes	L Paredes

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Marchesín GLK	4			-
J Barinaga DEF	4			-
L Lollo DEF	4	1		1 -
A Costa DEF	4			-
L Blanco DEF	4	1		-
L Paredes MID	4	1	2	2 -
S Ascacibar MID	2			1 -
M. Delgado MID	3			-
G. Germán Gelini FWD	3		1	-
M Merentiel FWD	1			-
K Zenón FWD	3			-
Subs
L Brey GLK				-
N Figal DEF				-
M Weigandt DEF	1			-
M Pellegrino DEF				-
W Cepeda MID	1			-
M Braida MID				-
T Belmonte MID	3			-
T. Aranda MID	2			-
C. Rey Domenech MID				-
I. Zufiaurre FWD	4	1		1 -
Ángel Romero FWD	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	2	2	1
L Lollo	L Lollo	L Paredes	L Blanco

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
L Lollo DEF	1	2
L Blanco DEF	1	1		1
L Paredes MID	1	2	2	1
Subs
I. Zufiaurre FWD	1	1
J Barinaga DEF		1
G. Germán Gelini FWD			1	1
K Zenón FWD		1
Subs
T Belmonte MID		1
T. Aranda MID		1
Ángel Romero FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
330	12	33
L Paredes	L Blanco	L Lollo

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
L Paredes MID	330	9	26
L Lollo DEF	263	10	33
A Costa DEF	183	3	23
J Barinaga DEF	158	4	27
L Blanco DEF	154	12	13
A Marchesín GLK	92
M. Delgado MID	88	6	12
S Ascacibar MID	77	6	11
Subs
T Belmonte MID	77	1	10
K Zenón FWD	57	3	11
Subs
I. Zufiaurre FWD	37	3	5
Ángel Romero FWD	29		7
G. Germán Gelini FWD	25	1	4
Subs
W Cepeda MID	19	1	2
T. Aranda MID	15		2
M Merentiel FWD	13		2
Subs
M Weigandt DEF	9