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Vélez Sarsfield v River Plate : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio José Amalfitani, Buenos Aires

The Primera División is the focus for both Vélez Sarsfield and River Plate on Sunday night, as managers Guillermo Barros Schelotto and Marcelo Daniel Gallardo go head to head at the Estadio José Amalfitani. We want you to make a winning bet on this match, so every stats you could ever need to make a well-informed wager is published below. Flip between 17 betting markets or take our top tip. We have predictions, head to head (H2H) analysis and the best odds for it all.

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Vélez Sarsfield's next match is v Tig at 22:45 on Tuesday 10th March
River Plate's next match is v Huracan at 00:30 on Friday 13th March
The last Argentinian Primera División meeting between Velez and River Plate was on Sunday 22nd February 2026
Argentinian Primera División
February 22nd 2026
Velez 1
0 River Plate
 
M. Lanzini 6'
 
VEL
RIV
Shots On
4
5
Shots Off
2
5
Corners
5
7
Possession
36%
64%
Fouls
8
16
Yellow/red cards
1/0
3/0
 
VelezRiver Plate
 
E. Gómez
J. García
C. Baeza Baeza
L. Robertone (R. Aliendro 65')
M. Pellegrini (A. Zahir Verón 34')
Á. Montero Perales
E. Mammana
L. Magallán
M. Lanzinifootball icon (I. Machuca 77')
F. Monzón (B. Romero 64')
T. Andrada
 (S. Beltrán 46') F. Armani
P. Díaz Huincales
M. Viña Susperreguy
A. Moreno
(J. Freitas 27') J. Quintero Paniagua
(G. Galoppo 66') F. Vera
S. Driussi
F. Colidio
L. Martínez Quarta
G. Montiel
(R. Páez Andrade 46') T. Galván

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

We are tipping a close-fought game here and, as such, we predict under 2.5 goals. This means that we expect 2 goals or less will be scored in total as Velez and River Plate go head-to-head. Clear game plans will be required to deliver us a winner, but we have faith in both sides to deliver just that. The stats and the odds below also suggest this is a strong tip.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Velez are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 36% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.88.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Velez
35%
15/82/13
Draw
29%
2/119/4
River Plate
36%
33/2028/1
Draw 1-1
13%
5/19/2
River Plate 1-0
12%
11/219/4
Velez 1-0
12%
6/14/11
Draw 0-0
11%
5/15/1
River Plate 2-1
7%
10/128/1
Velez 2-1
7%
11/122/1
River Plate 2-0
7%
10/19/1
Velez 2-0
7%
11/111/2
Draw 2-2
4%
18/170/1
River Plate 3-1
3%
25/1125/1
Velez 3-1
3%
28/190/1
River Plate 3-0
3%
28/120/1
Velez 3-0
2%
28/133/1
River Plate 3-2
1%
40/1150/1
Velez 3-2
1%
40/1200/1
Over 2.5 Goals
37%
17/1011/1
Under 2.5 Goals
63%
4/91/40
Home 1st Goal
46%
6/523/20
Away 1st Goal
46%
21/2021/20
No 1st Goal
8%
5/15/1
BTTS - Yes
44%
11/107/2
BTTS - No
56%
4/62/11
BTTS - Home Win
13%
13/220/1
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/49/2
BTTS - Away Win
13%
6/125/1
Home/draw
64%
4/91/1000
Away/draw
65%
2/54/1
Home/away
71%
4/111/8
Over 1.5 Goals
64%
8/1515/8
Under 1.5 Goals
36%
11/82/5
Over 3.5 Goals
18%
9/245/1
Under 3.5 Goals
82%
1/71/1000
Over 4.5 Goals
7%
12/1100/1
Under 4.5 Goals
93%
1/251/200
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
25/1150/1
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/1001/200
Over 0.5 Goals
89%
1/81/10
Under 0.5 Goals
11%
5/111/2
Home DNB
55%
10/111/1000
Away DNB
56%
4/525/1
Velez win to nil
22%
3/1-
River Plate win to nil
23%
11/4-
Velez / Velez
18%
15/44/9
Velez / River Plate
3%
33/110/1
Velez / Draw
6%
14/116/5
Draw / Velez
13%
5/120/1
Draw / River Plate
14%
5/122/1
Draw / Draw
20%
3/114/1
River Plate / Velez
3%
33/1125/1
River Plate / River Plate
18%
7/255/1
River Plate / Draw
6%
14/190/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Velez 20TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Velez2 - 1Boca Juniors
Velez2 - 1Tal Cordoba
Velez0 - 2Argentinos
Velez0 - 0River Plate
Velez0 - 1Tal Cordoba
Velez1 - 2Rosario
Velez3 - 1A. Tucuman
Velez3 - 0Lanus
Velez2 - 1Independiente
Velez0 - 0Instituto
Velez2 - 1Tig
Velez1 - 0Gimnasia
Velez0 - 1Sarmiento
Velez0 - 1Deportivo Riestra
Velez1 - 0SM San Juan
Velez0 - 2Huracan
Velez0 - 2Godoy Cruz
Velez0 - 0San Lorenzo
Velez0 - 1Platense
Velez2 - 0Huracan
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AVelez1 - 1Defensa
HVelez2 - 1Boca Juniors
AVelez1 - 1Independiente
HVelez2 - 1Tal Cordoba
AVelez1 - 0Instituto
HVelez0 - 2Argentinos
HVelez0 - 0River Plate
AVelez0 - 2Gimnasia
HVelez0 - 1Tal Cordoba
AVelez2 - 0Sarmiento
HVelez1 - 2Rosario
AVelez2 - 2Deportivo Riestra
HVelez3 - 1A. Tucuman
AVelez2 - 1SM San Juan
AVelez0 - 0Huracan
HVelez3 - 0Lanus
AVelez2 - 0Godoy Cruz
HVelez2 - 1Independiente
AVelez0 - 1San Lorenzo
HVelez0 - 0Instituto
River Plate 24TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
Draw
9
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Argentinos1 - 0River Plate
Rosario0 - 0River Plate
Barracas0 - 1River Plate
Racing Club3 - 2River Plate
Velez0 - 0River Plate
Boca Juniors2 - 0River Plate
Tal Cordoba0 - 2River Plate
Rosario2 - 1River Plate
A. Tucuman2 - 0River Plate
Estudiantes1 - 2River Plate
Lanus1 - 1River Plate
Independiente0 - 0River Plate
Instituto0 - 4River Plate
Gimnasia0 - 3River Plate
Sarmiento1 - 1River Plate
Deportivo Riestra0 - 0River Plate
SM San Juan0 - 2River Plate
Godoy Cruz0 - 0River Plate
San Lorenzo0 - 0River Plate
Platense1 - 1River Plate
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ARiver Plate0 - 1Argentinos
HRiver Plate1 - 4Tig
ARiver Plate0 - 0Rosario
HRiver Plate2 - 0Gimnasia
ARiver Plate1 - 0Barracas
ARiver Plate2 - 3Racing Club
ARiver Plate0 - 0Velez
ARiver Plate0 - 2Boca Juniors
HRiver Plate0 - 1Gimnasia
ARiver Plate2 - 0Tal Cordoba
HRiver Plate0 - 1Sarmiento
ARiver Plate1 - 2Rosario
HRiver Plate1 - 2Deportivo Riestra
ARiver Plate0 - 2A. Tucuman
ARiver Plate2 - 1Estudiantes
HRiver Plate2 - 0SM San Juan
ARiver Plate1 - 1Lanus
HRiver Plate4 - 2Godoy Cruz
ARiver Plate0 - 0Independiente
HRiver Plate0 - 0San Lorenzo
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Velez since 2019
Velez
River Plate
Goals: Scored
7
6
Games: Scored
4 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
1 / 5
VEL
1
D
3
RIV
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Velez
Draw0 - 0Draw
Velez2 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2River Plate
League games at River Plate since 2019
River Plate
Velez
Goals: Scored
13
4
Games: Scored
5 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
0 / 5
VEL
1
D
1
RIV
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT River Plate
River Plate4 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
River Plate5 - 0
River Plate2 - 0
1 - 2Velez
Goal Statistics

Vélez Sarsfield's defensive record is very strong, G. Barros Schelotto's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Primera División games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.1 for River Plate makes sense in this context.

Velez 20th River Plate 24th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Velez will score no more than 1 goal
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that River Plate will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-15
Velez have scored 15% fewer goals at home than predicted
-12
River Plate have scored 12% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.0
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
0.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2026/2026 season
Velez
PG (predicted goals)
River Plate
1.1
1.1
Attack rating
43%
better
VEL
RIV
view stats
Games scored5
3
Failed to score0
2
Scored first3
2
Goals scored7
4
Avg. goals scored1.4
0.8
Avg. shots per game10
12
Avg. shots per goal7
15
Conversion rate for14
7
Avg. XG for1
1.4
KickOff rating
+43%
Defence rating
VEL
RIV
6%
better
view stats
Games conceded4
2
Clean sheets1
3
Conceded first2
2
Goals conceded4
5
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded12
7
Conversion rate against9%
14%
Avg. XG against0.8
0.7
KickOff rating
+6%

Velez v River Plate Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Velez Primera División squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8313
Álvaro MonteroM PellegriniL MagallánC Baeza
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Álvaro Montero GLK8
-
J García DEF61
-
E Mammana DEF8
-
L Magallán DEF81
-
E Gómez DEF8
2
-
C Baeza MID8
3
-
L Robertone MID8
1
-
T. Andrada MID81
2
-
M Lanzini MID82
1
-
M Pellegrini MID531
1
-
F Monzón FWD61
1
-
Subs
T Marchiori GLK
-
A Quirós DEF4
-
T. Silvero DEF1
-
D. Domínguez DEF
-
R Aliendro MID8
1
-
A. Zahir Verón FWD3
-
M. Arias FWD31
1
-
I Machuca FWD4
1
-
B Romero FWD4
1
-
R Piñeiro FWD
-
D. Godoy FWD41
-
River Plate Primera División squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8224
G MontielG MontielI. SubiabreM Viña
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Armani GLK1
-
G Montiel DEF82
2
-
L Quarta DEF81
2
-
P Díaz DEF2
1
-
M Viña DEF5
3
1
F Vera MID7
1
1
A Moreno  MID8
-
T Galván MID81
-
J Quintero  MID621
-
S Driussi FWD61
-
F Colidio FWD61
-
Subs
S. Beltrán GLK8
-
L. Rivero Cruz DEF71
4
-
U. Giménez DEF
-
R Andrade MID3
-
K Castaño MID3
-
G Galoppo  MID7
1
-
S. Lencinas MID4
-
M Salas FWD6
1
-
A. Ruberto FWD3
1
-
I. Subiabre FWD82
1
-
J. Freitas FWD31
1
-
Argentinian Primera División match betting previews, predictions and odds
Independiente v U Santa Fe
Tue 10th Mar, 22:45
Tig v Velez
Tue 10th Mar, 22:45
Newells v Platense
Wed 11th Mar, 01:00
Sarmiento v Racing Club
Wed 11th Mar, 01:00
Argentinos v Rosario
Wed 11th Mar, 20:30
Banfield v Gimnasia
Wed 11th Mar, 20:30
Boca Juniors v San Lorenzo
Wed 11th Mar, 22:45
A. Tucuman v Aldosivi
Thu 12th Mar, 01:00
Independiente Rivadavia v Barracas
Thu 12th Mar, 01:00
Defensa v Central Cor
Thu 12th Mar, 20:00
Deportivo Riestra v Gimnasia Mendoza
Thu 12th Mar, 20:00
Tal Cordoba v Instituto
Thu 12th Mar, 22:15
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto v Belgrano
Thu 12th Mar, 22:15
Huracan v River Plate
Fri 13th Mar, 00:30
Estudiantes v Lanus
Fri 13th Mar, 23:00
Platense v Velez
Sat 14th Mar, 20:00
Rosario v Banfield
Sat 14th Mar, 23:00
Gimnasia v Independiente Rivadavia
Sun 15th Mar, 18:15
Tig v Argentinos
Sun 15th Mar, 18:15
Belgrano v Tal Cordoba
Sun 15th Mar, 20:30
River Plate v Sarmiento
Sun 15th Mar, 22:45
U Santa Fe v Boca Juniors
Mon 16th Mar, 01:00
Aldosivi v Huracan
Mon 16th Mar, 18:30
Barracas v A. Tucuman
Mon 16th Mar, 18:30
San Lorenzo v Defensa
Mon 16th Mar, 21:30
Racing Club v Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
Mon 16th Mar, 23:00
Instituto v Independiente
Tue 17th Mar, 01:15
Lanus v Newells
Tue 17th Mar, 22:00
Gimnasia Mendoza v Estudiantes
Wed 18th Mar, 00:15
Central Cor v Deportivo Riestra
Wed 18th Mar, 00:15
A. Tucuman v Gimnasia
Sat 21st Mar, 00:00
Banfield v Tig
Sat 21st Mar, 00:00
Velez v Lanus
Sat 21st Mar, 18:30
Defensa v U Santa Fe
Sat 21st Mar, 20:45
Newells v Gimnasia Mendoza
Sat 21st Mar, 20:45
Independiente v Tal Cordoba
Sat 21st Mar, 23:00