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Vélez Sarsfield v Sarmiento : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio José Amalfitani, Buenos Aires

the Estadio José Amalfitani faithful welcome Sarmiento's travelling contingent on Sunday night, as Sebastián Ariel Méndez Pardiñas's Vélez Sarsfield clash with Israel Alejandro Damonte's troops in the Primera División. Our aim is to give you all the tools you need to make a smart, well-informed bet on this tie, so we've delved into our extensive database and found the statistics that will help you do exactly that. Head to head (H2H) and recent form is included, and these are used to generate our predictions. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are there to get you maximum bang for your buck.

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Vélez Sarsfield's next match is v U Santa Fe at 22:00 on Saturday 7th December
Sarmiento's next match is v Defensa at 23:00 on Friday 6th December
The last Argentinian Primera División meeting between Velez and Sarmiento was on Sunday 1st December 2024
Argentinian Primera División
December 1st 2024
Velez 1
0 Sarmiento
 
C. Aquino 41'
 
VEL
SAR
Shots On
8
2
Shots Off
6
2
Corners
10
Possession
62%
38%
Fouls
11
19
Yellow/red cards
2/0
5/0
 
VelezSarmiento
 
T. Marchiori Carreño
E. Gómez
J. García
D. Gómez
E. Mammana
C. Ordoñez (J. Elías 65')
T. Fernández (M. Pellegrini 65')
A. Bouzat
C. Aquinofootball icon (?. Montoro 84')
F. Pizzini
B. Romero (M. Santos Rosadilla 70')
L. Acosta
J. Insaurralde
G. Díaz
F. Paredes
E. López
(E. Naya 85') V. Burgoa
(G. Gudiño 63') J. Gho
(F. Paradela 85') M. García
O. Gaitán
(L. López 69') I. Morales Bravo
(E. Méndez 69') T. Guiacobini

Best Tip: Velez to win

There looks like a strong favourite for this match, and it's Velez. Their latest form statistics show they're capable on home turf, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they've got a track record against Sarmiento too. The odds point towards Sebastián Ariel Méndez Pardiñas's side winning in the win / draw / win market, and that's definitely our prediction for Sunday night too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Velez are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 69% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.36.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Velez
69%
3/10
10%
-
Draw
22%
4/1
16%
-
Sarmiento
10%
9/1
33%
-
Velez 1-0
18%
5/1
10%
-
Velez 2-0
16%
9/2
8%
-
Draw 0-0
10%
9/1
25%
-
Velez 3-0
10%
13/2
16%
-
Draw 1-1
9%
17/2
19%
-
Velez 2-1
8%
17/2-
Sarmiento 1-0
5%
18/1
31%
-
Velez 3-1
5%
12/1
13%
-
Velez 4-0
4%
12/1
29%
-
Sarmiento 2-1
2%
28/1
26%
-
Velez 4-1
2%
20/1
21%
-
Draw 2-2
2%
25/1
12%
-
Velez 5-0
2%
28/1
29%
-
Sarmiento 2-0
1%
40/1
21%
-
Velez 3-2
1%
33/1
17%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
17/20
14%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
60%
19/20
15%
-
Home 1st Goal
63%
2/9
8%
-
Away 1st Goal
30%
4/1
15%
-
No 1st Goal
8%
9/1
19%
-
BTTS - Yes
33%
11/8-
BTTS - No
67%
8/15-
BTTS - Home Win
18%
11/4
13%
-
BTTS - Draw
11%
13/2
15%
-
BTTS - Away Win
3%
20/1
24%
-
Home/draw
90%
1/16
4%
-
Away/draw
31%
12/5
24%
-
Home/away
78%
1/6
3%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
1/4
8%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
33%
11/4
27%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
20%
9/4
19%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
80%
1/3
9%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
5/1
28%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1/8
4%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
12/1
29%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/25
2%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/25
3%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
12/1
38%
-
Home DNB
84%
1/12
5%
-
Away DNB
25%
7/1
45%
-
Velez win to nil
50%
5/6
13%
-
Sarmiento win to nil
7%
14/1
30%
-
Velez / Velez
43%
20/21
13%
-
Velez / Sarmiento
2%
40/1-
Velez / Draw
4%
18/1
12%
-
Draw / Velez
22%
11/4
4%
-
Draw / Sarmiento
4%
16/1
46%
-
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2
30%
-
Sarmiento / Velez
4%
22/1
12%
-
Sarmiento / Sarmiento
4%
18/1
31%
-
Sarmiento / Draw
4%
20/1
11%
-
bet365
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win form
Velez 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
8
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
7 / 20
Clean sheets
13 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
Draw
6
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Velez0 - 0Lanus
Velez1 - 0Tig
Velez1 - 1Belgrano
Velez1 - 0Racing Club
Velez2 - 0Estudiantes
Velez4 - 0Independiente Rivadavia
Velez1 - 0Instituto
Velez3 - 0Defensa
Velez3 - 0Tal Cordoba
Velez1 - 1A. Tucuman
Velez1 - 0Newells
Velez0 - 0Argentinos
Velez1 - 0Instituto
Velez1 - 0Rosario
Velez2 - 2Tig
Velez1 - 0Huracan
Velez3 - 1Gimnasia
Velez0 - 1Independiente
Velez3 - 1Colon
Velez1 - 1Tal Cordoba
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
10
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
7 / 20
Clean sheets
13 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
Draw
7
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AVelez0 - 0Godoy Cruz
HVelez0 - 0Lanus
AVelez1 - 1Deportivo Riestra
HVelez1 - 0Tig
AVelez1 - 1Argentinos
HVelez1 - 1Belgrano
AVelez1 - 1River Plate
HVelez1 - 0Racing Club
AVelez0 - 3Rosario
HVelez2 - 0Estudiantes
AVelez1 - 0San Lorenzo
HVelez4 - 0Independiente Rivadavia
AVelez5 - 0Barracas
HVelez1 - 0Instituto
AVelez2 - 2Banfield
HVelez3 - 0Defensa
AVelez2 - 0Central Cor
AVelez2 - 0Platense
HVelez3 - 0Tal Cordoba
AVelez0 - 1Boca Juniors
Sarmiento 26TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
12
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Tal Cordoba2 - 0Sarmiento
A. Tucuman1 - 0Sarmiento
Newells1 - 1Sarmiento
Huracan3 - 1Sarmiento
Godoy Cruz1 - 1Sarmiento
Deportivo Riestra2 - 1Sarmiento
Argentinos0 - 0Sarmiento
River Plate1 - 0Sarmiento
Rosario4 - 2Sarmiento
San Lorenzo0 - 1Sarmiento
Barracas1 - 1Sarmiento
Godoy Cruz1 - 0Sarmiento
San Lorenzo1 - 0Sarmiento
Racing Club0 - 1Sarmiento
Belgrano4 - 1Sarmiento
Central Cor3 - 0Sarmiento
Boca Juniors1 - 1Sarmiento
Tig0 - 0Sarmiento
Platense1 - 0Sarmiento
Newells0 - 1Sarmiento
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
4
Draw
8
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSarmiento1 - 0Platense
ASarmiento0 - 2Tal Cordoba
HSarmiento0 - 2Boca Juniors
ASarmiento0 - 1A. Tucuman
HSarmiento0 - 0Independiente
ASarmiento1 - 1Newells
HSarmiento1 - 1Gimnasia
ASarmiento1 - 3Huracan
HSarmiento1 - 0U Santa Fe
HSarmiento1 - 3Central Cor
ASarmiento1 - 1Godoy Cruz
HSarmiento0 - 0Lanus
ASarmiento1 - 2Deportivo Riestra
HSarmiento0 - 0Tig
ASarmiento0 - 0Argentinos
HSarmiento0 - 0Belgrano
ASarmiento0 - 1River Plate
HSarmiento1 - 0Racing Club
ASarmiento2 - 4Rosario
HSarmiento2 - 0Estudiantes
bet365
bet365
Goal Statistics

An absolutely dismal PG of just 0.5 should cause concerns for Sarmiento fans, as should a 18 Primera División games run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Velez 1st Sarmiento 26th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
0.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
There is a 83% probability that Velez will score 1 or more goals
0
60%
1
31%
2
3
4+
There is a 60% probability that Sarmiento will fail to score
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-14
Velez have scored 14% fewer goals at home than predicted
-36
Sarmiento have scored 36% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
0.6
average goals scored
0.4
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/270338/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Velez
PG (predicted goals)
Sarmiento
1.8
0.5
Attack rating
40%
better
VEL
SAR
view stats
Games scored31
20
Failed to score10
18
Scored first25
12
Goals scored52
25
Avg. goals scored1.3
0.7
Avg. shots per game10
8
Avg. shots per goal8
13
Conversion rate for13
8
Avg. XG for1.3
0.8
KickOff rating
+40%
Defence rating
27%
better
VEL
SAR
view stats
Games conceded20
25
Clean sheets21
13
Conceded first11
19
Goals conceded30
44
Avg. goals conceded0.7
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded9
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded12
10
Conversion rate against8%
10%
Avg. XG against0.8
1.1
KickOff rating
+27%

Velez v Sarmiento Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Velez Primera División squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2512610
F PizziniB RomeroT FernándezA Bouzat
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Marchiori GLK24
1
-
J García DEF201
5
-
E Mammana DEF191
5
1
V Gómez DEF201
7
-
E Gómez DEF2312
1
-
C Ordoñez MID243
3
1
A Bouzat MID24
10
-
F Pizzini MID2545
2
-
C Aquino MID2584
3
-
T Fernández MID2556
1
-
B Romero FWD25124
3
-
Subs
R Rodriguez GLK1
2
-
D Fernández DEF8
2
2
A Quirós DEF8
1
-
A Lagos DEF61
1
-
L Roldán DEF5
1
-
P Pernicone DEF9
2
-
S Cáseres  MID2
1
1
J Elías  MID14
-
M. Carrizo FWD9
-
?. Montoro FWD81
1
-
M Santos FWD103
-
M Pellegrini FWD181
2
-
Sarmiento Primera División squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
22326
J InsaurraldeJ GhoE LópezJ Insaurralde
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Acosta GLK21
2
-
E López DEF2222
3
-
F Paredes DEF20
3
1
J Insaurralde DEF1
-
G Díaz DEF1811
1
-
M García MID2221
5
-
T. Guiacobini MID111
4
-
V Burgoa MID182
1
-
N Gaitán MID1412
1
-
J Gho MID2432
3
-
I Bravo FWD1721
1
-
Subs
N Champagne GLK
-
S Morales DEF1
-
J Guasone DEF
-
M. Rosales MID8
3
-
E Méndez MID181
5
-
J Andrada MID8
2
-
F Paradela  MID3
-
G Gudiño MID171
2
-
Y Arismendi  MID221
4
-
L López FWD171
3
-
E Naya FWD131
1
-
G Hauche FWD12
-