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Dender v St.Truiden : Pro League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Van Roystadion, Denderleeuw

the Van Roystadion faithful welcome St.Truiden's supporters on Saturday afternoon, as Hayk Milkon's Dender take on Wouter Vrancken's side in the Pro League. Our predictions are based on in-depth statistical analysis of both teams, across seventeen of the main betting markets. Data shown and the odds are unique to each market, and head to head (H2H) statistics are included across them all.

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Dender's next match is v S.Charleroi at 17:15 on Saturday 7th March
St.Truiden's next match is v Cercle B at 18:15 on Sunday 8th March
The last Belgian Pro League meeting between Dender and St Truiden was on Saturday 21st February 2026
Belgian Pro League
February 21st 2026
Dender 1
4 St Truiden
 
N. Mbamba 1'24' I. Sebaoui
34' R. Ito
67' R. Yamamoto
87' A. Muja
 
STV
Shots On
4
4
Shots Off
5
4
Corners
4
9
Possession
39%
61%
Fouls
14
8
Yellow/red cards
3/0
 
DenderSt Truiden
 
L. Marijnissen (K. Koton 65')
B. Goncalves
L. De Fougerolles
R. Květ
N. Mbambafootball icon (J. Sambu Mansoni 65')
M. Viltard
D. Toshevski (N. Rodes 77')
F. Ferraro
B. Nsimba (M. Berte 20')
G. Gallon
K. Cools (A. Jahanbakhsh 77')
L. Kokubo
T. Hata
L. Mbe Soh
S. Taniguchi
football iconR. Yamamoto
(O. Diouf 90') A. Sissako
(R. Merlen 75') football iconR. Ito
(K. Matsuzawa 90') football iconI. Sebaoui
(A. Muja 68') S. Kristiansen Juklerød
R. Vanwesemael
(I. Del Pupo 90') K. Goto

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We're ruling out a bore-draw or a slim 1-0 win here, and instead we're predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Dender and St Truiden will score a minimum of two between them during 90 minutes. It's a prediction based on the recent form of the respective sides, as well as historical records when they go head-to-head. We give it a probability of 78%. Bookies have it priced at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 52% chance of St Truiden coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Dender
24%
9/417/20
Draw
24%
23/1013/5
St Truiden
52%
21/2027/10
Draw 1-1
11%
11/211/2
St Truiden 1-0
11%
7/113/2
St Truiden 2-1
10%
8/17/1
St Truiden 2-0
9%
9/18/1
Dender 1-0
7%
10/19/1
Draw 0-0
6%
10/19/1
Dender 2-1
6%
11/111/2
St Truiden 3-1
5%
16/114/1
Draw 2-2
5%
12/113/2
St Truiden 3-0
5%
18/114/1
Dender 2-0
4%
16/117/2
St Truiden 3-2
3%
25/112/1
St Truiden 4-1
2%
33/128/1
Dender 3-1
2%
25/110/1
St Truiden 4-0
2%
40/128/1
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
9/104/5
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
9/1019/20
Home 1st Goal
43%
6/55/4
Away 1st Goal
53%
8/113/4
No 1st Goal
4%
10/19/1
BTTS - Yes
54%
3/44/6
BTTS - No
46%
1/111/10
BTTS - Home Win
12%
11/219/10
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/25/2
BTTS - Away Win
24%
10/313/5
Home/draw
48%
4/67/10
Away/draw
76%
3/103/10
Home/away
76%
3/102/7
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
2/71/4
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
5/227/10
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
9/419/10
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
1/34/11
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
11/217/4
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/92/15
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
12/110/1
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/251/25
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/201/25
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/19/1
Home DNB
41%
11/811/8
Away DNB
69%
8/151/2
Dender win to nil
12%
5/1-
St Truiden win to nil
28%
11/4-
Dender / Dender
15%
9/221/20
Dender / St Truiden
4%
22/19/1
Dender / Draw
6%
14/119/4
Draw / Dender
11%
13/210/1
Draw / St Truiden
15%
9/213/2
Draw / Draw
15%
9/27/1
St Truiden / Dender
3%
28/140/1
St Truiden / St Truiden
25%
12/517/2
St Truiden / Draw
6%
12/125/1
Win / draw / win Pro League table

Dender have played 25 matches so far this season and are in 16th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

25 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 14 games, drawn 8 and won 3. Dender have conceded 40 goals, scored 20, failed to score in 10 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Dender have played 12 games at home, winning 1, drawing 4 and losing 7 fixtures. They have scored 8 goals, conceded 19 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 6 times in home league games.

St Truiden lay in 2nd place on 51 points in the Pro League league table having played 25 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 24 games against teams below them in the table, winning 16, drawing 4 and losing 4 games. They have scored 40 goals and kept 7 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. St Truiden have conceded 26 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

St Truiden have played 12 away games, winning 7, drawing 2 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1.7 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Dender
St Truiden
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Union SG2716922857 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 14
Mar 22
l
 
2-0A
2
Brugge2718271956 
l
 
1-5F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
3-2A
l
 
2-0A
3
St Truiden2717371454 
l
 
1-4F
l
 
2-0A
-
-
4
Anderlecht271278643 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-1F
5
Mechelen271197642 
l
 
1-3A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-3A
6
Genk271089-138 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1F
l
 
1-2F
Mar 15
7
Westerlo2810810-338 
d
 
2-2F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-3A
w
 
0-4F
8
Gent2710611036 
Mar 22
l
 
3-0A
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-2A
9
S. Liege2710512-935 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
10
Antwerp289712034 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
11
S.Charleroi289712-134 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
3-1A
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1F
12
Z.Waregem277812-729 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-2A
w
 
0-2F
13
Cercle B2761011-628 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 8
d
 
1-1A
14
Leuven287714-1428 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-2F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
15
La Louviere2851211-927 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-2F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2A
16
Dender2831015-2319 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-4A
Championship Round
UEFA Conference League Play Offs
Relegation Round
Win / draw / win form
Dender 16TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
St Truiden 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
Goal Statistics
Dender 16th St Truiden 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Dender will score no more than 1 goal
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 82% probability that St Truiden will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-12
Dender have scored 12% fewer goals at home than predicted
+35
St Truiden have scored 35% more goals when away than predicted
1.1
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Pro League - 2025/2026 season
Dender
PG (predicted goals)
St Truiden
1.1
1.7
Attack rating
STV
37%
better
view stats
Games scored15
21
Failed to score10
4
Scored first9
13
Goals scored20
40
Avg. goals scored0.8
1.6
Avg. shots per game8
11
Avg. shots per goal10
7
Conversion rate for10
15
Avg. XG for1.2
2
KickOff rating
+37%
Defence rating
STV
20%
better
view stats
Games conceded21
18
Clean sheets4
7
Conceded first13
12
Goals conceded40
27
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded11
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
8
Conversion rate against14%
12%
Avg. XG against1.7
1.3
KickOff rating
+20%

Dender v St Truiden Pro League lLine ups will show here when available.

Dender Pro League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
27847
L MarijnissenB NsimbaB NsimbaM Viltard
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Gallon GLK7
1
-
B Goncalves DEF172
4
-
K Cools DEF18
2
-
L. De Fougerolles DEF221
4
2
L Marijnissen MID271
4
-
N Mbamba MID2711
4
-
M Viltard MID25
6
1
F Ferraro MID273
5
-
R Kvet FWD2741
3
-
D Tosevski  FWD174
3
1
B Nsimba FWD2584
4
-
Subs
L Fortin GLK
-
M Sambu DEF202
3
-
N. Moutha-Sebtaoui DEF10
2
-
B. De Kerf MID2
-
K. Koton MID8
-
N Rodes MID24
1
-
R Oratmangoen FWD101
-
A Jahanbakhsh FWD13
2
-
M Berte FWD211
1
-
St Truiden Pro League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
271058
L. KokuboK GotoR YamamotoR. Vanwesemael
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L. Kokubo GLK27
4
-
T Hata DEF232
-
S Taniguchi DEF2711
3
-
L Soh DEF51
1
-
S Jukleröd DEF1413
-
R Yamamoto MID2655
6
-
A Sissako MID2713
4
-
R Ito MID2473
1
-
R. Vanwesemael FWD2411
8
-
K Goto FWD25105
4
-
I Sebaoui FWD2744
2
-
Subs
M. Lendfers GLK
-
W Janssens DEF4
-
J Pupe DEF
-
I Delpupo MID4
-
R. Merlen MID211
2
-
A. Diriken MID6
-
A Muja FWD1841
2
1
K Matsuzawa FWD191
1
-
O. Diouf FWD61
-