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Athletico PR v Santos : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 12th Feb, 22:00 BST, Arena de Baixada, Curitiba

Santos are away on Thursday night, as manager Juan Pablo Vojvoda takes his men to visit Athletico PR and Odair Hellmann at the Arena de Baixada in the Serie A. Form, head-to-head stats, predictions and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are all laid out below. We're here to give you everything you need to place an intelligent bet. We're tipping under 3.5 goals, but why not use the stats to find the perfect bet for you?


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals means, quite simply that there will be no more than 3 goals scored by Athletico PR and Santos combined during the standard 90 minutes. Recent form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) records have led us to this prediction, and we're suggest there's a 76% chance of it being a winning tip. The best price available at present on under 3.5 goals is 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Athletico PR are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 41% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.30.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Athletico PR
41%
6/5
2%
13/10
8%
Draw
27%
23/1021/10
6%
Santos
32%
21/10
3%
9/4
16%
Draw 1-1
13%
11/219/4
Athletico PR 1-0
11%
6/111/2
7%
Santos 1-0
9%
15/2
6%
7/1
7%
Athletico PR 2-1
9%
17/215/2
Draw 0-0
8%
15/213/2
12%
Athletico PR 2-0
8%
9/117/2
5%
Santos 2-1
7%
11/19/1
5%
Santos 2-0
5%
14/112/1
8%
Draw 2-2
5%
16/112/1
8%
Athletico PR 3-1
4%
18/116/1
Athletico PR 3-0
3%
20/116/1
11%
Santos 3-1
3%
25/1
10%
20/1
11%
Athletico PR 3-2
2%
33/125/1
13%
Santos 3-0
2%
33/125/1
24%
Santos 3-2
2%
40/125/1
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
23/2023/20
5%
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
4/68/13
6%
Home 1st Goal
49%
5/6
2%
17/20
5%
Away 1st Goal
45%
6/5
2%
13/10
10%
No 1st Goal
5%
15/26/1
13%
BTTS - Yes
51%
19/2010/11
6%
BTTS - No
49%
4/55/6
4%
BTTS - Home Win
18%
4/119/5
BTTS - Draw
19%
15/416/5
BTTS - Away Win
14%
11/2
7%
5/1
9%
Home/draw
68%
4/111/3
5%
Away/draw
59%
8/13
3%
3/5
5%
Home/away
73%
1/37/20
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
4/112/5
5%
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
11/515/8
7%
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
3/129/10
8%
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
1/42/9
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
7/17/1
14%
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/121/14
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
16/114/1
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/401/80
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/141/14
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
8/1
6%
13/2
12%
Home DNB
60%
8/13
3%
3/5
9%
Away DNB
50%
6/5
2%
6/5
10%
Athletico PR win to nil
24%
11/4
7%
-
Santos win to nil
18%
4/1
9%
-
Athletico PR / Athletico PR
22%
11/4
4%
13/5
5%
Athletico PR / Santos
3%
33/125/1
13%
Athletico PR / Draw
6%
14/111/1
9%
Draw / Athletico PR
15%
9/29/2
4%
Draw / Santos
12%
6/16/1
8%
Draw / Draw
18%
15/410/3
6%
Santos / Athletico PR
3%
25/120/1
Santos / Santos
15%
9/24/1
15%
Santos / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Win / draw / win form
6
Athletico PR have won 6 consecutive league games
10
Athletico PR have not lost in 10 consecutive home league games
3
Athletico PR have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive home league games
Athletico PR
20 league games
Home
10
Overall
6
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
Santos
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
9
Lost
5
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Athletico PR since 2018
Athletico PR
Santos
Goals: Scored
9
3
Games: Scored
5 / 6
2 / 6
Clean sheets
4 / 6
1 / 6
APR
4
D
1
STS
1
League games at Santos since 2018
Santos
Athletico PR
Goals: Scored
10
4
Games: Scored
6 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
0 / 6
D
2
STS
4
Goal Statistics

Athletico PR's defensive record is to be admired, O. Hellmann's men having conceded 1 or less in 8 consecutive Serie A matches. An average PG rating of 1.1 for Santos makes sense in this context.

Athletico PR Santos
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Athletico PR will score no more than 1 goal
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Santos will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-15
Athletico PR have scored 15% fewer goals at home than predicted
+14
Santos have scored 14% more goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Athletico PR
PG (predicted goals)
Santos
1.4
1.1
Attack rating
APR
STS
17%
better
view stats
Games scored1
2
Failed to score0
0
Scored first1
1
Goals scored1
3
Avg. goals scored1
1.5
Avg. shots per game6
12
Avg. shots per goal6
8
Conversion rate for17
13
Avg. XG for1
1.2
KickOff rating
+17%
Defence rating
49%
better
APR
STS
view stats
Games conceded0
2
Clean sheets1
0
Conceded first0
1
Goals conceded0
5
Avg. goals conceded0
2.5
Avg. shots/game conceded14
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
2
Conversion rate against0%
45%
Avg. XG against1.8
1.3
KickOff rating
+49%

Athletico PR v Santos Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Athletico PR Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Santos Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE