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Atlético Mineiro v Sao Paulo : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte

We’ve Serie A action to enjoy on Friday morning, as Gabriel Alejandro Milito and his Atlético Mineiro side host Luis Francisco Zubeldía’s Sao Paulo at the Arena MRV. We have odds for the 17 biggest betting markets plus predictions, stats and head-to-head data for these two clubs. You can access it all using the tabs below.

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Atlético Mineiro's next match is v Corinthians at 23:00 on Sunday 28th July
Sao Paulo's next match is v Botafogo at 23:30 on Wednesday 24th July
The last Brazillian Serie A meeting between A Mineiro and Sao Paulo was on Friday 12th July 2024
Brazillian Serie A
July 12th 2024
A Mineiro 2
1 Sao Paulo
 
E. Vargas Rojas 13'18' L. Rodrigues Moura da Silva
P. Sampaio Filho 45'
 
AMN
SAO
Shots On
5
4
Shots Off
7
4
Corners
2
6
Possession
62%
38%
Fouls
9
13
Yellow/red cards
2/0
0/1
 
A MineiroSao Paulo
 
Matheus Mendes
G. Arana Lopes
R. Saravia
B. de Lara Fuchs
A. Franco Palma
G. Furtado Scarpa
O. Passos Santos
R. Battaglia
E. Vargas Rojasfootball icon (C. Amaral Pereira de Castro 73')
P. Sampaio Filhofootball icon (B. Palacios Alzate 90')
G. Vieira de Souza
R. Monteiro
A. Franco
(M. Ferreira de Souza 80') I. de Souza
Welington
R. Arboleda Escobar
L. Dias
A. de Freitas Castro
(R. Bertalia 66') L. da Rocha Neves
(A. Oliveira Silva 86') J. Calleri
(E. de Arruda Serafim 86') football iconL. Rodrigues Moura da Silva
(W. Soares da Silva 66') A. dos Santos Ferreira
Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The KickOff predictive algorithm suggests there is a 77% probability of A Mineiro and Sao Paulo serving up at least two goals in this Serie A match. Recent form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records are central to that calculation , and it would appear that the bookies like the look of it as a tip too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available with best odds of 1.44.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 42% chance of Sao Paulo coming away with a win.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A Mineiro
33%
8/5
18%
7/5
12%
Draw
25%
2/1
8%
15/8
7%
Sao Paulo
42%
2/1
8%
9/5
10%
Draw 1-1
12%
5/1
8%
19/4
4%
Sao Paulo 1-0
9%
13/2
6%
6/1
7%
Sao Paulo 2-1
9%
10/1
8%
9/1
A Mineiro 1-0
8%
6/1
8%
11/2
8%
A Mineiro 2-1
8%
9/1
5%
8/1
6%
Sao Paulo 2-0
7%
12/1
13%
10/1
15%
Draw 0-0
6%
6/1
7%
11/2
7%
Draw 2-2
6%
16/1
11%
12/1
A Mineiro 2-0
5%
10/1
16%
9/1
11%
Sao Paulo 3-1
5%
25/1
10%
18/1
10%
Sao Paulo 3-0
3%
28/1
29%
20/1
9%
A Mineiro 3-1
3%
22/1
10%
16/1
13%
Sao Paulo 3-2
3%
40/125/1
A Mineiro 3-2
3%
40/1
21%
25/1
13%
A Mineiro 3-0
2%
25/1
24%
18/1
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
7/5
2%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
8/15
3%
-
Home 1st Goal
47%
10/11
10%
-
Away 1st Goal
50%
5/4
10%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
6/1
7%
-
BTTS - Yes
57%
1/1
2%
1/1
3%
BTTS - No
43%
3/4
3%
8/11
1%
BTTS - Home Win
17%
5/1
9%
9/2
15%
BTTS - Draw
19%
15/4
5%
17/5
2%
BTTS - Away Win
21%
6/1
7%
5/1
8%
Home/draw
58%
4/11
2%
2/5
5%
Away/draw
67%
1/2
10%
1/2
9%
Home/away
75%
4/11
2%
4/11
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
4/9-
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
7/4-
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
7/2-
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
1/5-
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
9/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/16-
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
20/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/66-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/10
2%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
6/1
7%
-
Home DNB
50%
8/11
10%
8/11
12%
Away DNB
60%
1/1
11%
1/1
13%
A Mineiro win to nil
16%
11/4
10%
-
Sao Paulo win to nil
21%
10/3
13%
-
A Mineiro / A Mineiro
19%
10/3
15%
3/1
14%
A Mineiro / Sao Paulo
3%
33/125/1
A Mineiro / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / A Mineiro
15%
9/2
10%
9/2
10%
Draw / Sao Paulo
13%
11/2
7%
5/1
14%
Draw / Draw
19%
10/3
4%
3/1
9%
Sao Paulo / A Mineiro
3%
28/122/1
10%
Sao Paulo / Sao Paulo
17%
4/1
9%
18/5
12%
Sao Paulo / Draw
6%
14/112/1
bet365
Win / draw / win form
A Mineiro 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
Sao Paulo 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
A Mineiro have not lost to Sao Paulo in 6 consecutive league meetings
League games at A Mineiro since 2018
A Mineiro
Sao Paulo
Goals: Scored
8
2
Games: Scored
5 / 6
2 / 6
Clean sheets
4 / 6
1 / 6
AMN
4
D
2
All league games since 2018
A Mineiro
Sao Paulo
Goals: Scored
14
11
Games: Scored
8 / 12
6 / 12
Clean sheets
6 / 12
4 / 12
AMN
5
D
5
SAO
2
Goal Statistics

Sao Paulo have been steady in front of goal of late, finding the net in 5 consecutive Serie A games. Their PG of 1.5 against Atlético Mineiro on Friday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

A Mineiro 10th Sao Paulo 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that A Mineiro will score no more than 1 goal
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Sao Paulo will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-2
A Mineiro’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-12
Sao Paulo have scored 12% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/273209/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
A Mineiro
PG (predicted goals)
Sao Paulo
1.3
1.5
Attack rating
AMN
SAO
14%
better
view stats
Games scored11
12
Failed to score3
3
Scored first5
9
Goals scored20
24
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.6
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for14
16
Avg. XG for1.2
1.1
KickOff rating
+14%
Defence rating
AMN
SAO
28%
better
view stats
Games conceded11
10
Clean sheets3
5
Conceded first8
4
Goals conceded23
16
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
8
Conversion rate against18%
13%
Avg. XG against1.3
0.7
KickOff rating
+28%

A Mineiro v Sao Paulo Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

A Mineiro Serie A squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16645
PaulinhoPaulinhoG ScarpaR Battaglia
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Mendes GLK8
-
R Saravia DEF12
2
-
R Battaglia DEF13
5
-
B Fuchs DEF12
4
-
G Scarpa MID1634
3
-
A Franco MID10
3
-
O Otávio MID10
-
G Arana MID811
3
-
E Vargas MID114
-
Paulinho FWD1661
3
1
Hulk  FWD1353
3
-
Subs
G Delfim GLK
-
R Junior DEF81
3
-
V. da Silva Costa MID1
-
I Gomes MID112
2
-
P Monteiro MID5
1
-
C Castro FWD111
-
A Kardec  FWD6
-
B Palacios FWD1011
1
-
R. dos Santos Conceição FWD2
-
Sao Paulo Serie A squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16626
I Vinícius LucianoI Vinícius Luciano
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Rafael GLK10
1
-
I Vinícius  DEF162
4
-
R Arboleda DEF161
1
-
A Franco DEF131
4
1
Welington  DEF151
1
-
Alisson MID1612
4
-
L Gustavo MID11
2
-
L Moura MID1241
2
-
Luciano MID1561
6
-
Ferreira MID1341
3
-
J Calleri FWD1542
3
-
Subs
Young GLK
1
-
Jandrei GLK8
-
D Costa DEF14
2
-
Rafinha DEF2
-
Sabino DEF
-
Patryck DEF5
1
-
R Nestor MID142
2
-
M Araújo MID111
3
-
W Rato MID10
2
-
A Silva FWD1431
-
Erick FWD81
1
-
W. Gomes Carvalho Santos FWD2
1
-