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Bahia v Ceará : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 22nd Apr, 00:00 BST, Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador

Bahia are in Serie A action on Tuesday morning, as Rogério Mücke Ceni looks to get one over on Leonardo Rodrigues Condé and his Ceará side at the Arena Fonte Nova. Our predictions are based on complex statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across seventeen of the main betting markets. The data and the odds are unique to each market, and head to head (H2H) stats are included across them all.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Our calculations suggest that it's fairly unlikely that this match will deliver more than 3 goals at most, and the odds and statistics align with KickOff's predictive algorithm on this one. Bahia and Ceara haven't typically treated their fans to goal-fests of late, whether that be in Serie A individually or in head-to-head clashes. So, without a strong favourite WDW or double chance market, we're going for under 3.5 goals. The UK's top bookies have that available at a best price of 1.17.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Bahia are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 53% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.80.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bahia
53%
4/5
10%
-
Draw
26%
13/5
16%
-
Ceara
21%
7/2
10%
-
Bahia 1-0
14%
9/2-
Draw 1-1
12%
6/1
17%
-
Bahia 2-0
11%
13/2
6%
-
Bahia 2-1
9%
8/1
5%
-
Draw 0-0
9%
7/1
23%
-
Ceara 1-0
8%
17/2
6%
-
Bahia 3-0
6%
14/1
12%
-
Ceara 2-1
5%
14/1-
Bahia 3-1
5%
16/1
11%
-
Draw 2-2
4%
20/1
11%
-
Ceara 2-0
3%
20/1
11%
-
Bahia 4-0
2%
33/1
17%
-
Bahia 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
-
Bahia 4-1
2%
40/1-
Ceara 3-1
1%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
13/10
12%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
57%
3/5
8%
-
Home 1st Goal
54%
8/15
6%
-
Away 1st Goal
40%
2/1
4%
-
No 1st Goal
6%
7/1
23%
-
BTTS - Yes
45%
11/10-
BTTS - No
55%
4/6-
BTTS - Home Win
20%
15/4
14%
-
BTTS - Draw
17%
9/2
16%
-
BTTS - Away Win
9%
9/1-
Home/draw
79%
2/11
3%
-
Away/draw
47%
19/20
8%
-
Home/away
74%
2/7
5%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
4/9
4%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
7/4
5%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
7/2
10%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
1/5
3%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
9/1
9%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1/16
1%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
20/1
9%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/66-
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/12
3%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
7/1
23%
-
Home DNB
71%
1/3
5%
-
Away DNB
39%
9/4
18%
-
Bahia win to nil
33%
13/8
13%
-
Ceara win to nil
12%
11/2
8%
-
Bahia / Bahia
29%
15/8
11%
-
Bahia / Ceara
2%
40/1-
Bahia / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Bahia
19%
10/3
9%
-
Draw / Ceara
9%
8/1
13%
-
Draw / Draw
17%
15/4
10%
-
Ceara / Bahia
3%
25/1
10%
-
Ceara / Ceara
10%
7/1
14%
-
Ceara / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Bahia 18TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bahia1 - 1Mirassol
Bahia1 - 1Corinthians
Bahia2 - 0Atletico Go
Bahia1 - 1Athletico PR
Bahia1 - 2Palmeiras
Bahia0 - 3Sao Paulo
Bahia0 - 2Flamengo
Bahia1 - 0Criciuma
Bahia3 - 0A Mineiro
Bahia0 - 0Botafogo
Bahia2 - 0Vitoria
Bahia1 - 1Internacional
Bahia0 - 1Corinthians
Bahia1 - 2Cuiaba
Bahia2 - 0Juventude
Bahia2 - 1Vasco d Gama
Bahia4 - 1Cruzeiro
Bahia1 - 0Fortaleza
Bahia1 - 0Bragantino
Bahia1 - 0Gremio
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABahia0 - 3Cruzeiro
HBahia1 - 1Mirassol
ABahia2 - 2Santos
HBahia1 - 1Corinthians
HBahia2 - 0Atletico Go
ABahia0 - 3Corinthians
ABahia2 - 1Cuiaba
HBahia1 - 1Athletico PR
HBahia1 - 2Palmeiras
ABahia1 - 2Juventude
HBahia0 - 3Sao Paulo
ABahia2 - 3Vasco d Gama
ABahia1 - 1Cruzeiro
HBahia0 - 2Flamengo
HBahia1 - 0Criciuma
ABahia1 - 4Fortaleza
HBahia3 - 0A Mineiro
ABahia1 - 2Bragantino
HBahia0 - 0Botafogo
ABahia2 - 0Gremio
Ceara 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Juventude2 - 1Ceara
Bragantino2 - 2Ceara
Guarani0 - 0Ceara
Botafogo1 - 4Ceara
Santos1 - 0Ceara
Ituano1 - 2Ceara
S. Recife2 - 1Ceara
Cortiba3 - 1Ceara
Chapecoense2 - 1Ceara
Amazonas1 - 1Ceara
CRB0 - 2Ceara
Goias2 - 1Ceara
America 2 - 2Ceara
Avai0 - 1Ceara
Paysandu2 - 1Ceara
Ponte Preta3 - 1Ceara
Brusque1 - 0Ceara
Vila Nova3 - 2Ceara
Operario0 - 0Ceara
Novorizontin0 - 3Ceara
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HCeara2 - 1Vasco d Gama
ACeara1 - 2Juventude
HCeara2 - 0Gremio
ACeara2 - 2Bragantino
ACeara0 - 0Guarani
HCeara1 - 0America
ACeara4 - 1Botafogo
HCeara2 - 0Avai
HCeara2 - 1Paysandu
ACeara0 - 1Santos
ACeara2 - 1Ituano
HCeara1 - 0Ponte Preta
ACeara1 - 2S. Recife
HCeara1 - 0Brusque
HCeara4 - 0Vila Nova
ACeara1 - 3Cortiba
ACeara1 - 2Chapecoense
HCeara2 - 1Operario
ACeara1 - 1Amazonas
HCeara1 - 0Novorizontin
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Bahia since 2018
Bahia
Ceara
Goals: Scored
4
6
Games: Scored
3 / 4
4 / 4
Clean sheets
0 / 4
1 / 4
BAH
1
D
1
CEA
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bahia
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2Ceara
1 - 2Ceara
Bahia2 - 1
League games at Ceara since 2018
Ceara
Bahia
Goals: Scored
3
4
Games: Scored
2 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
2 / 4
BAH
2
D
1
CEA
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Ceara
1 - 2Bahia
Ceara2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 2Bahia
Goal Statistics
Bahia 18th Ceara 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Bahia will score 1 or more goals
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Ceara scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-21
Bahia have scored 21% fewer goals at home than predicted
+12
Ceara have scored 12% more goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/294498/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Bahia
PG (predicted goals)
Ceara
1.5
0.9
Attack rating
BAH
CEA
43%
better
view stats
Games scored3
4
Failed to score1
0
Scored first2
4
Goals scored4
7
Avg. goals scored1
1.8
Avg. shots per game7
10
Avg. shots per goal7
5
Conversion rate for14
18
Avg. XG for1.5
1.1
KickOff rating
+43%
Defence rating
BAH
CEA
45%
better
view stats
Games conceded4
3
Clean sheets0
1
Conceded first2
0
Goals conceded7
5
Avg. goals conceded1.8
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded8
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
9
Conversion rate against22%
12%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.3
KickOff rating
+45%

Bahia v Ceara Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Bahia Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1112
S MingoGilbertoL JubaS Suay
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Xavier DEF1
1
-
S Mingo DEF1
-
Kanu DEF1
-
Iago DEF1
-
Gilberto DEF11
-
L Juba DEF11
-
C Alexandre MID1
-
R Nestor MID1
-
S Suay MID1
1
1
J Lucas MID1
1
-
Erick MID1
-
N Acevedo MID1
-
Ademir FWD1
-
L Rodriguez FWD1
-
E Pulga FWD1
-
Ceara Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2211
BrunoP RaulDiegoF Silva
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Bruno GLK2
-
Diego DEF21
-
Marllon DEF21
-
W Machado DEF2
-
F Silva DEF2
1
-
M Bahia DEF2
1
-
F Sobral MID2
1
-
L Mugni MID21
-
L Lourenço MID2
-
P Raul FWD22
1
-
Galeano FWD2
-
Aylon FWD2
-
Fernandinho FWD2
-
Nicolas DEF1
-
R Ramos DEF1
-
M Araújo MID11
-
Romulo MID1
-
A Martínez FWD11
-