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Bahia v Fluminense : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador

Luis Francisco Zubeldía will be hoping for a precious away win in the Serie A on Thursday night, as he takes his Fluminense side to the Arena Fonte Nova to visit Bahia and Rogério Mücke Ceni. All stats, including 20-game form for both teams and head-to-head history, will change as you browse each of the seventeen betting markets using the tabs below. The best odds and, of course, our algorithmic predictions will too.

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Bahia's next match is v Vasco d Gama at 00:30 on Thursday 12th February
Fluminense's next match is v Botafogo at 22:30 on Thursday 12th February
The last Brazillian Serie A meeting between Bahia and Fluminense was on Thursday 5th February 2026
Brazillian Serie A
February 5th 2026
Bahia 1
1 Fluminense
 
C. Olivera Ibarra 78'20' J. Kennedy Batista de Souza
 
BAH
FLU
Shots On
5
4
Shots Off
11
7
Corners
6
4
Possession
42%
58%
Fouls
12
13
Yellow/red cards
0/1
3/0
 
BahiaFluminense
 
R. de Oliveira Strada
G. Moraes Junior
J. de Souza Oliveira (E. Conrado Carvalho 62')
É. de Barros Ribeiro
A. da Silva Santos Junior (M. Sanabria 69')
W. da Silva (W. Wanderley Santos de Melo 80')
S. Ramos Mingo
E. da Costa Farias (C. Olivera Ibarra 62')
D. de Duarte Macedo
Luciano
N. Acevedo Tabárez (C. Souza e Silva 62')
F. Lopes Maciel
S. Brito
J. Ribeiro da Silva
(G. Arana Lopes 89') R. Rodrigues Martins
J. Freytes
(V. Moreira de Lima 89') M. Martinelli
(F. Bernal Cruz 60') G. Santana
A. Canobbio Graviz
(P. Chagas de Lima 79') L. Acosta
(S. Moreno 79') K. Serna Jaramillo
football iconJ. Kennedy Batista de Souza

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Bahia or Fluminense are in the sort of form that would have us feeling confident enough to tip a match winner, so we've opted for over 1.5 goals. The statistics tell us that both have a track record in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 78% chance of 2 goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Bahia are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 47% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.15.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bahia
47%
-8/1
Draw
24%
-1/4
2%
Fluminense
29%
-9/2
Draw 1-1
11%
-2/7
Bahia 2-1
9%
-5/1
Bahia 1-0
9%
-19/4
Bahia 2-0
8%
-15/2
6%
Fluminense 2-1
7%
-7/1
Fluminense 1-0
7%
-3/4
Draw 2-2
6%
-25/1
Draw 0-0
6%
-11/2
7%
Bahia 3-1
5%
-33/1
Fluminense 2-0
4%
-19/4
Bahia 3-0
4%
-14/1
Bahia 3-2
3%
-100/1
Fluminense 3-1
3%
-45/1
10%
Fluminense 3-2
2%
-100/1
12%
Bahia 4-1
2%
-150/1
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
-12/5
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
-2/7
2%
Home 1st Goal
52%
-5/6
3%
Away 1st Goal
45%
-29/20
1%
No 1st Goal
3%
-11/2
7%
BTTS - Yes
57%
-15/8
3%
BTTS - No
43%
-2/5
1%
BTTS - Home Win
24%
-9/2
2%
BTTS - Draw
19%
-1/4
BTTS - Away Win
15%
-13/2
Home/draw
71%
-1/8
Away/draw
53%
-1/18
2%
Home/away
76%
-13/5
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
-1/1
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
-3/4
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
-16/1
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
-1/100
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
-60/1
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
-1/1000
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
-150/1
13%
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
-1/500
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
-1/11
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
-11/2
Home DNB
64%
-3/5
Away DNB
46%
-6/5
Bahia win to nil
24%
--
Fluminense win to nil
14%
--
Bahia / Bahia
24%
-45/1
2%
Bahia / Fluminense
3%
-90/1
Bahia / Draw
6%
-70/1
Draw / Bahia
15%
-14/1
Draw / Fluminense
10%
-18/1
Draw / Draw
17%
-14/1
Fluminense / Bahia
4%
-6/1
10%
Fluminense / Fluminense
15%
-7/10
Fluminense / Draw
6%
-14/5
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win form
4
Fluminense have won 4 consecutive league games
8
Fluminense have not lost in 8 consecutive league games
Bahia 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
15
D
3
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bahia2 - 0S. Recife
Bahia1 - 0Vasco d Gama
Bahia2 - 3Fortaleza
Bahia2 - 1Bragantino
Bahia1 - 0Internacional
Bahia4 - 0Gremio
Bahia1 - 0Flamengo
Bahia1 - 0Palmeiras
Bahia1 - 2Cruzeiro
Bahia2 - 0Santos
Bahia3 - 3Fluminense
Bahia3 - 0Juventude
Bahia2 - 1A Mineiro
Bahia2 - 1Sao Paulo
Bahia2 - 1Vitoria
Bahia1 - 0Botafogo
Bahia1 - 0Ceara
Bahia1 - 1Mirassol
Bahia1 - 1Corinthians
Bahia2 - 0Atletico Go
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABahia2 - 1Corinthians
ABahia0 - 2Fluminense
HBahia2 - 0S. Recife
ABahia1 - 1Juventude
HBahia1 - 0Vasco d Gama
HBahia2 - 3Fortaleza
ABahia2 - 2Internacional
ABahia0 - 3A Mineiro
HBahia2 - 1Bragantino
ABahia0 - 2Sao Paulo
HBahia1 - 0Internacional
HBahia4 - 0Gremio
ABahia1 - 2Vitoria
HBahia1 - 0Flamengo
ABahia1 - 2Botafogo
HBahia1 - 0Palmeiras
ABahia1 - 3Vasco d Gama
ABahia1 - 1Ceara
HBahia1 - 2Cruzeiro
ABahia1 - 5Mirassol
Fluminense 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
4
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Gremio1 - 2Fluminense
Palmeiras0 - 0Fluminense
Cruzeiro0 - 0Fluminense
Ceara2 - 0Fluminense
Vasco d Gama2 - 0Fluminense
Mirassol2 - 1Fluminense
S. Recife2 - 2Fluminense
Vitoria0 - 1Fluminense
Santos0 - 0Fluminense
Bragantino4 - 2Fluminense
Bahia3 - 3Fluminense
Sao Paulo3 - 1Fluminense
Flamengo1 - 0Fluminense
Internacional0 - 2Fluminense
Juventude1 - 1Fluminense
A Mineiro3 - 2Fluminense
Botafogo2 - 0Fluminense
Corinthians0 - 2Fluminense
Fortaleza2 - 0Fluminense
Palmeiras0 - 1Fluminense
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HFluminense2 - 1Gremio
HFluminense2 - 0Bahia
AFluminense2 - 1Gremio
HFluminense6 - 0Sao Paulo
AFluminense0 - 0Palmeiras
HFluminense2 - 1Flamengo
AFluminense0 - 0Cruzeiro
HFluminense1 - 0Mirassol
AFluminense0 - 2Ceara
HFluminense1 - 0Ceara
HFluminense1 - 0Internacional
AFluminense0 - 2Vasco d Gama
HFluminense1 - 0Juventude
AFluminense1 - 2Mirassol
HFluminense3 - 0A Mineiro
AFluminense2 - 2S. Recife
HFluminense2 - 0Botafogo
AFluminense1 - 0Vitoria
HFluminense0 - 1Corinthians
AFluminense0 - 0Santos
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Bahia since 2018
Bahia
Fluminense
Goals: Scored
13
7
Games: Scored
6 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
1 / 7
BAH
5
D
1
FLU
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bahia
Draw3 - 3Draw
Bahia2 - 1
Bahia1 - 0
Bahia2 - 0
0 - 1Fluminense
Bahia3 - 2
Bahia2 - 0
League games at Fluminense since 2018
Fluminense
Bahia
Goals: Scored
11
2
Games: Scored
7 / 7
2 / 7
Clean sheets
5 / 7
0 / 7
D
1
FLU
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Fluminense
Fluminense2 - 0
Fluminense1 - 0
Fluminense2 - 1
Fluminense2 - 0
Fluminense1 - 0
Fluminense2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics
Bahia 7th Fluminense 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that Bahia will score 1 or more goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Fluminense will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+6
Bahia’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-2
Fluminense’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.8
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Bahia
PG (predicted goals)
Fluminense
1.6
1.2
Attack rating
BAH
FLU
14%
better
view stats
Games scored1
1
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
1
Goals scored2
2
Avg. goals scored2
2
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal5
5
Conversion rate for22
20
Avg. XG for1.9
1.6
KickOff rating
+14%
Defence rating
BAH
FLU
12%
better
view stats
Games conceded1
1
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first1
0
Goals conceded1
1
Avg. goals conceded1
1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
8
Conversion rate against11%
13%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.8
KickOff rating
+12%

Bahia v Fluminense Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Bahia Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2111
Ronaldo J LucasGilbertoN Acevedo
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Ronaldo  GLK2
-
Gilberto DEF21
-
D Duarte DEF2
-
S Mingo DEF2
-
L Juba DEF2
-
S Suay MID2
-
N Acevedo MID2
1
-
J Lucas MID21
1
-
Ademir FWD2
-
W José FWD21
-
E Pulga FWD2
1
-
Subs
J Paulo GLK
-
G Xavier DEF
-
Kanu DEF
-
Iago DEF
-
R. Gómez DEF
-
Rezende MID
-
R Nestor MID1
-
Erick MID2
-
C Alexandre MID1
-
M Sanabria FWD11
-
W. Wanderley Santos de Melo FWD2
1
C Olivera FWD21
-
Fluminense Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2112
F FábioNonatoRenêNonato
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Fábio GLK2
-
S Xavier DEF2
-
J. Ribeiro da Silva DEF2
1
-
J Freytes DEF2
-
Renê DEF21
-
Nonato MID211
2
-
Martinelli MID2
-
A Canobbio MID2
-
L Acosta MID21
-
K Serna MID2
-
J Kennedy FWD21
-
Subs
V Eudes GLK
-
Ignacio DEF
-
G Arana DEF1
-
I Rabello  DEF
-
Guga DEF
-
O Otávio MID
-
F Cruz MID2
-
Ganso MID2
-
Lima MID1
1
-
M. dos Reis Francisco FWD
-
S Moreno FWD2
-
W. de Freitas Prado FWD
-