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Bahia v Sport Recife : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador

Rogério Mücke Ceni welcomes César Ricardo de Lucena to the Arena Fonte Nova on Wednesday night, as their Bahia and Sport Recife teams go head to head in the Serie A. Our predictions for each betting market are based on the past 20 games for each team (home, away and overall) with extra weighting applied to top teams. All the stats and infographics are tailored for the selected market. Head-to-head statistics between the team are also given if there are are enough previous meetings. Odds are provided directly from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

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Bahia's next match is v Fluminense at 19:00 on Sunday 7th December
Sport Recife's next match is v Gremio at 19:00 on Sunday 7th December
The last Brazillian Serie A meeting between Bahia and S. Recife was on Wednesday 3rd December 2025
Brazillian Serie A
December 3rd 2025
Bahia 2
0 S. Recife
 
R. Bertalia 40'
Luciano 54'
 
BAH
REC
Shots On
13
3
Shots Off
11
3
Corners
6
2
Possession
62%
38%
Fouls
11
11
Yellow/red cards
1/0
3/0
 
BahiaS. Recife
 
V. Soares dos Santos
É. de Barros Ribeiro (C. Oliveira Souza 75')
R. Bertaliafootball icon (E. Conrado Carvalho 75')
A. da Silva Santos Junior
W. da Silva (R. Barbosa Sousa 75')
S. Arias Naranjo
S. Ramos Mingo
Lucianofootball icon
N. Acevedo Tabárez (C. Souza e Silva 64')
E. da Costa Farias (T. Souza de Lima 64')
R. de Oliveira Strada
C. França Godoy
(M. Anastácio de Souza 75') A. de Lima Silva
R. de Albuquerque Marques
(R. Menezes Roma 76') I. Aquino da Silva
(G. Mendes Paciencia 80') L. Araujo Lima
C. Rivera Cuéllar
L. Schenfeld Prigioli
J. Silva de Souza
L. Candido de Almeida
(Chrystian Barletta 68') M. Sales Cardoso
(P. Borges da Costa 46') A. Gomes do Nascimento

Best Tip: Bahia to win

As the stadium fills and the Bahia players prepare themselves for this match, the bookmakers are predicting a victory for them. The odds and our pre-match statistics below also point that way, as does the historical head-to-head (H2H) data we take advantage of in our predictive algorithms. The Arena Fonte Nova hasn't been a successful away day for S. Recife in the past, and we expect more of the same come Wednesday evening. A win / draw / win home win is the bet.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Bahia are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 70% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.20.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bahia
70%
17/1001/14
Draw
18%
6/19/1
S. Recife
11%
12/128/1
Bahia 2-0
13%
6/129/10
Bahia 1-0
12%
17/29/2
Bahia 2-1
10%
17/213/2
Bahia 3-0
9%
13/24/1
Draw 1-1
9%
12/111/1
Bahia 3-1
7%
9/19/1
Draw 0-0
5%
20/17/1
Bahia 4-0
5%
10/115/2
S. Recife 1-0
4%
33/114/1
Bahia 4-1
4%
14/116/1
Draw 2-2
4%
22/125/1
S. Recife 2-1
3%
33/133/1
Bahia 3-2
3%
22/128/1
Bahia 5-0
2%
18/116/1
Bahia 5-1
2%
22/128/1
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
2/58/13
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
15/86/5
Home 1st Goal
61%
1/42/7
Away 1st Goal
36%
11/418/5
No 1st Goal
3%
20/17/1
BTTS - Yes
47%
19/2017/10
BTTS - No
53%
4/54/9
BTTS - Home Win
29%
8/55/2
BTTS - Draw
13%
7/18/1
BTTS - Away Win
6%
20/125/1
Home/draw
89%
1/251/1000
Away/draw
30%
10/37/1
Home/away
82%
1/101/25
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1/81/8
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
5/19/2
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
1/119/10
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
4/54/11
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
12/55/1
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
1/31/9
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
9/212/1
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/71/50
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/501/16
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
20/17/1
Home DNB
83%
1/201/1000
Away DNB
24%
10/125/1
Bahia win to nil
42%
1/1-
S. Recife win to nil
6%
22/1-
Bahia / Bahia
48%
8/131/11
Bahia / S. Recife
2%
50/128/1
Bahia / Draw
4%
20/110/1
Draw / Bahia
21%
3/116/1
Draw / S. Recife
4%
25/145/1
Draw / Draw
9%
9/128/1
S. Recife / Bahia
5%
16/190/1
S. Recife / S. Recife
5%
22/1100/1
S. Recife / Draw
4%
22/1100/1
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win form
9
S. Recife have lost 9 consecutive league games
14
S. Recife have not won in 14 consecutive league games
Bahia 6TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
14
D
4
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bahia1 - 0Vasco d Gama
Bahia2 - 3Fortaleza
Bahia2 - 1Bragantino
Bahia1 - 0Internacional
Bahia4 - 0Gremio
Bahia1 - 0Flamengo
Bahia1 - 0Palmeiras
Bahia1 - 2Cruzeiro
Bahia2 - 0Santos
Bahia3 - 3Fluminense
Bahia3 - 0Juventude
Bahia2 - 1A Mineiro
Bahia2 - 1Sao Paulo
Bahia2 - 1Vitoria
Bahia1 - 0Botafogo
Bahia1 - 0Ceara
Bahia1 - 1Mirassol
Bahia1 - 1Corinthians
Bahia2 - 0Atletico Go
Bahia1 - 1Athletico PR
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABahia1 - 1Juventude
HBahia1 - 0Vasco d Gama
HBahia2 - 3Fortaleza
ABahia2 - 2Internacional
ABahia0 - 3A Mineiro
HBahia2 - 1Bragantino
ABahia0 - 2Sao Paulo
HBahia1 - 0Internacional
HBahia4 - 0Gremio
ABahia1 - 2Vitoria
HBahia1 - 0Flamengo
ABahia1 - 2Botafogo
HBahia1 - 0Palmeiras
ABahia1 - 3Vasco d Gama
ABahia1 - 1Ceara
HBahia1 - 2Cruzeiro
ABahia1 - 5Mirassol
HBahia2 - 0Santos
ABahia2 - 1Corinthians
HBahia3 - 3Fluminense
S. Recife 20TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
9
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
2
D
4
Lost
14
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Santos3 - 0S. Recife
Botafogo3 - 2S. Recife
Flamengo3 - 0S. Recife
Internacional2 - 0S. Recife
A Mineiro3 - 1S. Recife
Cruzeiro1 - 1S. Recife
Fortaleza1 - 0S. Recife
Bragantino1 - 1S. Recife
Palmeiras3 - 0S. Recife
Gremio0 - 1S. Recife
Vitoria2 - 2S. Recife
Juventude2 - 0S. Recife
Mirassol1 - 0S. Recife
Ceara2 - 0S. Recife
Fluminense2 - 1S. Recife
Corinthians2 - 1S. Recife
Vasco d Gama3 - 1S. Recife
Sao Paulo0 - 0S. Recife
Ponte Preta0 - 4S. Recife
Operario2 - 1S. Recife
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
44
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
2
Draw
5
Lost
13
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AS. Recife0 - 3Santos
HS. Recife1 - 3Vitoria
AS. Recife2 - 3Botafogo
HS. Recife1 - 5Flamengo
HS. Recife2 - 4A Mineiro
HS. Recife0 - 2Juventude
AS. Recife0 - 3Flamengo
HS. Recife1 - 2Mirassol
AS. Recife0 - 2Internacional
HS. Recife1 - 1Ceara
AS. Recife1 - 3A Mineiro
AS. Recife1 - 1Cruzeiro
HS. Recife2 - 2Fluminense
AS. Recife0 - 1Fortaleza
HS. Recife1 - 0Corinthians
AS. Recife1 - 1Bragantino
HS. Recife2 - 3Vasco d Gama
AS. Recife0 - 3Palmeiras
HS. Recife2 - 2Sao Paulo
AS. Recife1 - 0Gremio
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Bahia since 2018
Bahia
S. Recife
Goals: Scored
4
3
Games: Scored
3 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
1 / 4
BAH
2
REC
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bahia
Bahia1 - 0
0 - 1S. Recife
1 - 2S. Recife
Bahia2 - 0
League games at S. Recife since 2018
S. Recife
Bahia
Goals: Scored
6
0
Games: Scored
4 / 5
0 / 5
Clean sheets
5 / 5
1 / 5
D
1
REC
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT S. Recife
Draw0 - 0Draw
S. Recife1 - 0
S. Recife1 - 0
S. Recife2 - 0
S. Recife2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Sport Recife have been dreadful at the back of late, conceding 2 or more goals in 9 consecutive Serie A matches. This run could continue, with Bahia's PG an impressive 2.2.

Bahia 6th S. Recife 20th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.2
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
18%
There is a 65% probability that Bahia will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
47%
1
35%
2
13%
3
4+
There is a 82% probability of S. Recife scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+5
Bahia’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-10
S. Recife’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.7
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
Bahia
PG (predicted goals)
S. Recife
2.2
0.8
Attack rating
36%
better
BAH
REC
view stats
Games scored30
21
Failed to score6
15
Scored first20
11
Goals scored48
28
Avg. goals scored1.3
0.8
Avg. shots per game10
8
Avg. shots per goal8
11
Conversion rate for13
9
Avg. XG for1.4
1.1
KickOff rating
+36%
Defence rating
30%
better
BAH
REC
view stats
Games conceded24
31
Clean sheets12
5
Conceded first15
22
Goals conceded44
69
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.9
Avg. shots/game conceded9
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against13%
15%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.7
KickOff rating
+30%

Bahia v S. Recife Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Bahia Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
321168
S MingoW JoséAdemirS Mingo
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Ronaldo  GLK271
1
-
S Arias DEF20
3
-
Kanu DEF7
1
S Mingo DEF32
7
1
L Juba DEF3464
2
-
S Suay MID3024
4
1
N Acevedo MID311
5
-
R Nestor MID215
4
-
Ademir FWD2926
7
-
W José FWD32116
3
-
E Pulga FWD2333
1
-
Subs
D Fernandes  GLK
1
-
Gilberto DEF231
6
-
G Xavier DEF13
4
-
Iago DEF151
2
-
L. Marinho Ribeiro dos Santos DEF
-
Rezende MID11
-
Cauly MID2813
2
-
Erick MID161
3
-
C Alexandre MID201
4
-
Kayky FWD2612
2
-
R. Barbosa Sousa FWD4
1
-
T. Souza de Jesus Carvalho FWD201
-
S. Recife Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
323711
C RiveraL LimaL LimaL Lima
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C França GLK14
2
-
Aderlan DEF14
5
-
R Thyere DEF231
2
-
L Cândido DEF
-
I Cariús DEF271
3
-
C Rivera MID33
9
-
L Kal MID121
1
-
A. Gomes do Nascimento MID5
1
-
L Lima FWD3237
11
-
Romarinho FWD252
-
Matheusinho FWD2423
1
1
Subs
M Alexandre DEF251
8
1
R Menezes  DEF231
5
1
J Silva DEF13
1
-
Hereda DEF111
1
-
S Oliveira MID1811
5
-
P Augusto MID12
4
-
G Paciência FWD5
-
J Ramírez FWD8
1
-
R Atencio FWD19
1
-
C Barletta FWD3321
2
-