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Bahia v Vasco da Gama : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 23rd Nov, 19:00 BST, Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador

Home advantage makes a difference in the Serie A, and Rogério Mücke Ceni’s Bahia will have the luxury of it on Sunday evening. Fernando Diniz Silva’s Vasco da Gama are their visitors to the Arena Fonte Nova. Our goal is for you to win betting on this match, so every statistics you could ever need to make a smart selection is published below. Switch between seventeen betting markets or take our top tip. We've got predictions, head to head (H2H) analysis and odds from leading bookmakers for it all.


In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bahia
50%
--
Draw
24%
--
Vasco d Gama
26%
--
Draw 1-1
11%
--
Bahia 2-1
10%
--
Bahia 1-0
9%
--
Bahia 2-0
8%
--
Vasco d Gama 2-1
7%
--
Vasco d Gama 1-0
6%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Bahia 3-1
6%
--
Draw 0-0
5%
--
Bahia 3-0
5%
--
Vasco d Gama 2-0
4%
--
Bahia 3-2
3%
--
Vasco d Gama 3-1
3%
--
Bahia 4-1
2%
--
Vasco d Gama 3-2
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
--
Home 1st Goal
53%
--
Away 1st Goal
44%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
58%
--
BTTS - No
42%
--
BTTS - Home Win
25%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
14%
--
Home/draw
74%
--
Away/draw
50%
--
Home/away
76%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
--
Home DNB
66%
--
Away DNB
43%
--
Bahia win to nil
25%
--
Vasco d Gama win to nil
12%
--
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Win / draw / win form
Bahia 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bahia2 - 1Bragantino
Bahia1 - 0Internacional
Bahia4 - 0Gremio
Bahia1 - 0Flamengo
Bahia1 - 0Palmeiras
Bahia1 - 2Cruzeiro
Bahia2 - 0Santos
Bahia3 - 3Fluminense
Bahia3 - 0Juventude
Bahia2 - 1A Mineiro
Bahia2 - 1Sao Paulo
Bahia2 - 1Vitoria
Bahia1 - 0Botafogo
Bahia1 - 0Ceara
Bahia1 - 1Mirassol
Bahia1 - 1Corinthians
Bahia2 - 0Atletico Go
Bahia1 - 1Athletico PR
Bahia1 - 2Palmeiras
Bahia0 - 3Sao Paulo
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABahia2 - 2Internacional
ABahia0 - 3A Mineiro
HBahia2 - 1Bragantino
ABahia0 - 2Sao Paulo
HBahia1 - 0Internacional
HBahia4 - 0Gremio
ABahia1 - 2Vitoria
HBahia1 - 0Flamengo
ABahia1 - 2Botafogo
HBahia1 - 0Palmeiras
ABahia1 - 3Vasco d Gama
ABahia1 - 1Ceara
HBahia1 - 2Cruzeiro
ABahia1 - 5Mirassol
HBahia2 - 0Santos
ABahia2 - 1Corinthians
HBahia3 - 3Fluminense
ABahia0 - 0S. Recife
HBahia3 - 0Juventude
ABahia1 - 1Fortaleza
Vasco d Gama 10TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
D
2
Lost
12
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Botafogo3 - 0Vasco d Gama
Bragantino0 - 3Vasco d Gama
Fortaleza0 - 2Vasco d Gama
Palmeiras3 - 0Vasco d Gama
Flamengo1 - 1Vasco d Gama
S. Recife2 - 3Vasco d Gama
Juventude2 - 0Vasco d Gama
Santos0 - 6Vasco d Gama
Mirassol3 - 2Vasco d Gama
Internacional1 - 1Vasco d Gama
Sao Paulo1 - 3Vasco d Gama
Fluminense2 - 1Vasco d Gama
Vitoria2 - 1Vasco d Gama
Cruzeiro1 - 0Vasco d Gama
Ceara2 - 1Vasco d Gama
Corinthians3 - 0Vasco d Gama
Cuiaba1 - 2Vasco d Gama
Corinthians3 - 1Vasco d Gama
Fortaleza3 - 0Vasco d Gama
Botafogo3 - 0Vasco d Gama
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HVasco d Gama1 - 3Juventude
AVasco d Gama0 - 3Botafogo
HVasco d Gama0 - 2Sao Paulo
AVasco d Gama3 - 0Bragantino
HVasco d Gama2 - 0Fluminense
AVasco d Gama2 - 0Fortaleza
HVasco d Gama4 - 3Vitoria
AVasco d Gama0 - 3Palmeiras
HVasco d Gama2 - 0Cruzeiro
HVasco d Gama3 - 1Bahia
AVasco d Gama1 - 1Flamengo
HVasco d Gama2 - 2Ceara
AVasco d Gama3 - 2S. Recife
HVasco d Gama2 - 3Corinthians
AVasco d Gama0 - 2Juventude
AVasco d Gama6 - 0Santos
HVasco d Gama1 - 1A Mineiro
AVasco d Gama2 - 3Mirassol
AVasco d Gama1 - 1Internacional
HVasco d Gama1 - 1Gremio
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
Bahia have not lost to Vasco d Gama in 6 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Bahia since 2018
Bahia
Vasco d Gama
Goals: Scored
12
4
Games: Scored
6 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
0 / 6
BAH
4
D
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bahia
Bahia2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Bahia2 - 1
Bahia3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Bahia3 - 0
League games at Vasco d Gama since 2018
Vasco d Gama
Bahia
Goals: Scored
9
7
Games: Scored
4 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
3 / 7
BAH
2
D
1
VDG
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Vasco d Gama
Vasco d Gama3 - 1
Vasco d Gama3 - 2
0 - 1Bahia
Vasco d Gama1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 2Bahia
Vasco d Gama2 - 1
Goal Statistics
Bahia 5th Vasco d Gama 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 82% probability that Bahia will score 1 or more goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Vasco d Gama will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+3
Bahia’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+29
Vasco d Gama have scored 29% more goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
Bahia
PG (predicted goals)
Vasco d Gama
1.7
1.2
Attack rating
7%
better
BAH
VDG
view stats
Games scored27
23
Failed to score6
10
Scored first18
16
Goals scored44
50
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.5
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for14
15
Avg. XG for1.3
1.3
KickOff rating
+7%
Defence rating
17%
better
BAH
VDG
view stats
Games conceded22
26
Clean sheets11
7
Conceded first14
16
Goals conceded40
49
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against13%
15%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.5
KickOff rating
+17%

Bahia v Vasco d Gama Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Bahia Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
291056
J LucasW JoséW JoséAdemir
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Juba DEF3054
2
-
J Lucas MID3031
2
2
S Mingo DEF29
5
-
W José FWD28105
3
-
N Acevedo MID271
4
-
S Suay MID2623
4
1
Kayky FWD2512
2
-
Ademir FWD2513
6
-
D Duarte DEF2411
4
-
Cauly MID2413
2
-
Ronaldo  GLK231
1
-
M Araújo FWD2341
3
-
Gilberto DEF211
6
-
R Nestor MID194
4
-
E Pulga FWD1923
1
-
S Arias DEF18
3
-
C Alexandre MID161
4
-
T. Souza de Jesus Carvalho FWD161
-
Iago DEF151
2
-
Erick MID131
3
-
G Xavier DEF11
3
-
Rezende MID11
-
M Sanabria FWD101
2
1
Kanu DEF3
1
R. Barbosa Sousa FWD3
1
-
Vasco d Gama Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3214710
L JardimP VegettiL Piton P Henrique
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Jardim GLK32
1
2
N Moreira FWD3265
3
-
P Vegetti FWD30141
3
-
R Rocha FWD30121
3
-
H Moura MID291
6
1
P Coutinho MID2753
2
1
L Piton  DEF2617
4
-
P Henrique DEF2516
9
1
T Tchê MID251
2
-
J Bebanz DEF2122
-
David  FWD2023
3
-
L Freitas DEF191
4
-
C Luz MID13
3
-
A Gomez FWD134
1
-
R Renan DEF11
2
-
M França MID11
1
-
Jair MID11
3
-
C Cuesta DEF101
2
-
G. Souza da Silva FWD102
-
B Garré FWD10
1
-
Adson FWD10
-
Paulinho MID9
2
-
L Oliveira DEF7
1
-
V Luis DEF5
-
T Mendes MID5
1
-
M Lemos  DEF4
-
D Fuzato GLK2
-
J Meneses FWD1
-