Bahia's team badge Vitória's team badge

Bahia v Vitória : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 18th May, 20:00 BST, Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador

Sunday night at the Arena Fonte Nova, and it’s a Serie A clash between Bahia and Vitória. Rogério Mücke Ceni and Thiago Carpini Barbosa will be doing all they can to guide their side to victory. We have custom-designed statistics for all of the main betting markets, from team to score first to full time result, including form and historical head-to-head data. Predictions are calculated from these, and the odds come straight from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals as a betting market simply means there will only be a maximum of 2 goals scored in total by Bahia and Vitoria during the traditional 90 minutes. It's a bet the stats below and the odds both suggest is worth considering, and an outcome that we've seen these sides produce before. With no obvious winner in sight, our best bet prediction for this one is under 2.5 goals.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Bahia are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 53% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.75.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bahia
53%
7/10
5%
-
Draw
28%
12/5
3%
-
Vitoria
19%
9/2
9%
-
Bahia 1-0
18%
9/2
20%
-
Draw 0-0
13%
13/2
23%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2
7%
-
Bahia 2-0
12%
6/1
15%
-
Vitoria 1-0
9%
10/1
20%
-
Bahia 2-1
8%
8/1
11%
-
Bahia 3-0
5%
12/1
8%
-
Vitoria 2-1
4%
18/1
11%
-
Bahia 3-1
4%
16/1
12%
-
Vitoria 2-0
3%
25/1-
Draw 2-2
3%
20/1
26%
-
Bahia 4-0
2%
28/1-
Bahia 3-2
1%
33/1
29%
-
Bahia 4-1
1%
33/1
17%
-
Vitoria 3-1
1%
50/1
20%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
34%
27/20
14%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
66%
4/7
11%
-
Home 1st Goal
55%
1/2
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
36%
12/5
14%
-
No 1st Goal
9%
13/2
23%
-
BTTS - Yes
37%
6/5
16%
-
BTTS - No
63%
8/13
14%
-
BTTS - Home Win
16%
7/2
13%
-
BTTS - Draw
15%
9/2
9%
-
BTTS - Away Win
6%
12/1
27%
-
Home/draw
81%
1/7
3%
-
Away/draw
47%
11/10
7%
-
Home/away
72%
3/10
1%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
61%
4/9
9%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
39%
7/4
22%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
15%
7/2
20%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
85%
1/5
7%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
6%
9/1
27%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
94%
1/16
3%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
20/1
26%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/50
2%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
87%
1/12
3%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
13%
13/2
23%
-
Home DNB
73%
1/4
2%
-
Away DNB
38%
11/4
6%
-
Bahia win to nil
38%
6/4
17%
-
Vitoria win to nil
13%
7/1-
Bahia / Bahia
30%
7/4
5%
-
Bahia / Vitoria
2%
40/1-
Bahia / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Bahia
19%
10/3
13%
-
Draw / Vitoria
8%
9/1
9%
-
Draw / Draw
17%
15/4
11%
-
Vitoria / Bahia
3%
25/1
21%
-
Vitoria / Vitoria
9%
8/1
15%
-
Vitoria / Draw
5%
16/1
11%
-
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win form
6
Bahia have not lost in 6 consecutive home league games
6
Vitoria have not won in 6 consecutive away league games
Bahia 8TH
20 league games
Home
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bahia1 - 0Botafogo
Bahia1 - 0Ceara
Bahia1 - 1Mirassol
Bahia1 - 1Corinthians
Bahia2 - 0Atletico Go
Bahia1 - 1Athletico PR
Bahia1 - 2Palmeiras
Bahia0 - 3Sao Paulo
Bahia0 - 2Flamengo
Bahia1 - 0Criciuma
Bahia3 - 0A Mineiro
Bahia0 - 0Botafogo
Bahia2 - 0Vitoria
Bahia1 - 1Internacional
Bahia0 - 1Corinthians
Bahia1 - 2Cuiaba
Bahia2 - 0Juventude
Bahia2 - 1Vasco d Gama
Bahia4 - 1Cruzeiro
Bahia1 - 0Fortaleza
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABahia0 - 1Flamengo
HBahia1 - 0Botafogo
ABahia1 - 0Palmeiras
HBahia1 - 0Ceara
ABahia0 - 3Cruzeiro
HBahia1 - 1Mirassol
ABahia2 - 2Santos
HBahia1 - 1Corinthians
HBahia2 - 0Atletico Go
ABahia0 - 3Corinthians
ABahia2 - 1Cuiaba
HBahia1 - 1Athletico PR
HBahia1 - 2Palmeiras
ABahia1 - 2Juventude
HBahia0 - 3Sao Paulo
ABahia2 - 3Vasco d Gama
ABahia1 - 1Cruzeiro
HBahia0 - 2Flamengo
HBahia1 - 0Criciuma
ABahia1 - 4Fortaleza
Vitoria 15TH
20 league games
Away
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Ceara1 - 0Vitoria
Fluminense1 - 1Vitoria
A Mineiro2 - 2Vitoria
Juventude2 - 0Vitoria
Flamengo2 - 2Vitoria
Botafogo1 - 1Vitoria
Criciuma0 - 1Vitoria
Athletico PR1 - 2Vitoria
A Mineiro2 - 2Vitoria
Internacional3 - 1Vitoria
Atletico Go0 - 2Vitoria
Sao Paulo2 - 1Vitoria
Bahia2 - 0Vitoria
Palmeiras0 - 2Vitoria
Gremio2 - 0Vitoria
Fortaleza3 - 1Vitoria
Corinthians3 - 2Vitoria
Fluminense0 - 1Vitoria
Bragantino2 - 1Vitoria
Juventude1 - 1Vitoria
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HVitoria2 - 1Vasco d Gama
AVitoria0 - 1Ceara
HVitoria1 - 1Gremio
AVitoria1 - 1Fluminense
HVitoria2 - 1Fortaleza
AVitoria2 - 2A Mineiro
HVitoria1 - 2Flamengo
AVitoria0 - 2Juventude
AVitoria2 - 2Flamengo
HVitoria1 - 1Gremio
HVitoria2 - 0Fortaleza
AVitoria1 - 1Botafogo
AVitoria1 - 0Criciuma
HVitoria1 - 2Corinthians
AVitoria2 - 1Athletico PR
HVitoria2 - 1Fluminense
HVitoria1 - 0Bragantino
AVitoria2 - 2A Mineiro
AVitoria1 - 3Internacional
HVitoria1 - 0Juventude
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Bahia of late. It has been 6 Serie A matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.4 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Sunday night against Vitória.

Bahia 8th Vitoria 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Bahia will score no more than 1 goal
0
50%
1
35%
2
12%
3
4+
There is a 50% probability that Vitoria will fail to score
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-21
Bahia have scored 21% fewer goals at home than predicted
+26
Vitoria have scored 26% more goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/294538/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Bahia
PG (predicted goals)
Vitoria
1.4
0.7
Attack rating
BAH
VIT
3%
better
view stats
Games scored6
6
Failed to score2
2
Scored first5
2
Goals scored7
9
Avg. goals scored0.9
1.1
Avg. shots per game9
7
Avg. shots per goal10
6
Conversion rate for10
16
Avg. XG for1.2
1
KickOff rating
+3%
Defence rating
35%
better
BAH
VIT
view stats
Games conceded5
8
Clean sheets3
0
Conceded first3
6
Goals conceded8
11
Avg. goals conceded1
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded9
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
9
Conversion rate against11%
12%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.2
KickOff rating
+35%

Bahia v Vitoria Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Bahia Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8133
S MingoL JubaL JubaErick
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Juba DEF813
-
S Mingo DEF8
1
-
E Pulga FWD811
-
Cauly MID712
1
-
J Lucas MID7
1
-
Erick MID71
3
-
S Suay MID71
2
1
Ademir FWD7
2
-
L Rodriguez FWD7
1
-
Gilberto DEF61
1
-
C Alexandre MID6
3
-
W José FWD6
-
M Felipe GLK5
-
D Duarte DEF5
-
N Acevedo MID5
-
Iago DEF4
-
R Nestor MID4
-
Kayky FWD41
-
G Xavier DEF3
1
-
Kanu DEF2
-
S Arias DEF2
1
-
T. Souza de Jesus Carvalho FWD2
-
F. Lippert Neto Gomes DEF1
-
M Araújo MID1
-
Rezende MID1
-
R. Barbosa Sousa FWD1
-
Vitoria Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8233
JamersonMatheuzinhoG Mosquito Claudinho
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Jamerson DEF82
-
L Halter DEF81
2
-
R Ryller MID8
1
-
J Costa FWD81
2
-
L Arcanjo GLK7
-
Claudinho DEF7
3
-
Matheuzinho MID72
2
1
F Fabrício FWD71
-
Z Marcos DEF6
-
G Baralhas MID6
1
-
Ronald MID6
1
-
G Mosquito  FWD63
-
W Rato MID41
-
Osvaldo FWD4
-
Edu DEF3
-
Neris DEF3
1
-
W Oliveira MID3
1
-
L Braga FWD31
1
-
R Cáceres DEF2
1
-
Carlinhos FWD21
1
-
Gabriel GLK1
-
C Eduardo FWD1
-