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Botafogo v Flamengo : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estádio Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro

Davide Ancelotti and Filipe Luis Kasmirski pit their wits in the Serie A on Saturday night, as Botafogo face Flamengo at the Estádio Nilton Santos. We provide predictions based on extensive statistical analysis of each side, across 17 major markets. The data and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head to head (H2H) stats are included across them all.

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Botafogo's next match is v Palmeiras at 22:00 on Wednesday 18th March
Flamengo's next match is v Remo at 23:00 on Thursday 19th March
The last Brazillian Serie A meeting between Botafogo and Flamengo was on Saturday 14th March 2026
Brazillian Serie A
March 14th 2026
Botafogo 0
3 Flamengo
 
13' S. Dias Lino
45' L. Pereira
49' P. Abreu dos Santos
 
BOT
FLA
Shots On
1
6
Shots Off
4
7
Corners
2
4
Possession
42%
58%
Fouls
7
1
Yellow/red cards
3/1
2/0
 
BotafogoFlamengo
 
R. Steffens
V. da Silva
A. Telles
C. Medina
D. dos Santos de Oliveira (E. Andrade dos Santos 81')
J. Barrera Herrera (M. Ponte Costa 55')
M. Martins Silva dos Santos (N. Ferraresi Hernández 46')
B. Quissanga
A. Barboza Ullúa
A. Marques Loureiro (N. Araújo da Costa Júnior 46')
A. Mendonça Cabral (J. dos Santos Junior 71')
A. Rossi
G. Varela Olivera
L. Rech Ortiz
(V. da Silva Matos 65') football iconL. Pereira
(E. Fernandes Araújo 70') E. Pulgar Farfán
football iconP. Abreu dos Santos
(G. Plata Jiménez 86') J. Carrascal Guardo
(A. Dantas de Medeiros 65') A. Lobo Silva
L. Tolentino Coelho de Lima
(L. de Araujo Guimarães Neto 86') J. Frello Filho
football iconS. Dias Lino

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Our calculations suggest that it's fairly unlikely that this match will serve up 4+ goals, and the odds and statistics align with KickOff's predictive algorithm on this one. Botafogo and Flamengo have seldom been involved in a high volume of goals of late, whether that be in Serie A individually or when going head-to-head. So, without a strong favourite win or double chance market, we're suggesting under 3.5 goals. That's available at a best price of 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 49% chance of Flamengo coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Botafogo
24%
31/109/1
3%
Draw
26%
23/1019/5
Flamengo
50%
10/112/7
Flamengo 1-0
13%
11/29/2
Draw 1-1
12%
5/111/2
Flamengo 2-0
10%
15/24/1
6%
Flamengo 2-1
9%
8/15/1
Draw 0-0
8%
7/111/2
Botafogo 1-0
8%
9/115/2
Botafogo 2-1
6%
14/114/1
9%
Flamengo 3-0
5%
16/17/1
Flamengo 3-1
5%
16/117/2
Draw 2-2
5%
16/111/1
8%
Botafogo 2-0
4%
20/116/1
Flamengo 3-2
2%
33/118/1
9%
Botafogo 3-1
2%
40/133/1
Flamengo 4-0
2%
33/114/1
12%
Flamengo 4-1
2%
40/118/1
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
6/513/20
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
55%
13/2023/20
2%
Home 1st Goal
42%
6/49/5
1%
Away 1st Goal
53%
4/64/6
No 1st Goal
5%
7/111/2
BTTS - Yes
49%
19/208/11
1%
BTTS - No
51%
4/51/1
3%
BTTS - Home Win
11%
8/117/2
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/418/5
2%
BTTS - Away Win
21%
7/221/10
Home/draw
50%
4/512/5
2%
Away/draw
76%
2/91/25
Home/away
74%
1/31/6
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
2/51/8
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
2/19/2
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
3/119/10
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
1/44/11
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
7/15/1
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/121/10
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
18/112/1
13%
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/501/50
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/121/11
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
7/111/2
Home DNB
42%
2/115/2
2%
Away DNB
68%
4/111/16
1%
Botafogo win to nil
14%
11/2-
Flamengo win to nil
30%
2/1-
Botafogo / Botafogo
13%
6/133/1
5%
Botafogo / Flamengo
4%
25/155/1
Botafogo / Draw
6%
14/150/1
Draw / Botafogo
10%
15/218/1
Draw / Flamengo
17%
15/412/1
5%
Draw / Draw
17%
15/411/1
Flamengo / Botafogo
3%
33/114/1
Flamengo / Flamengo
26%
21/107/20
Flamengo / Draw
6%
14/15/1
Win / draw / win form
5
Botafogo have won 5 consecutive home league games
6
Botafogo have not lost in 6 consecutive home league games
Botafogo 17TH
20 league games
Home
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
Flamengo 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Botafogo since 2018
Botafogo
Flamengo
Goals: Scored
7
10
Games: Scored
3 / 7
7 / 7
Clean sheets
0 / 7
4 / 7
BOT
2
FLA
5
League games at Flamengo since 2018
Flamengo
Botafogo
Goals: Scored
8
9
Games: Scored
4 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
3 / 7
BOT
3
D
2
FLA
2
Goal Statistics

Flamengo have been steady in attack of late, scoring in 13 consecutive Serie A matches. Their PG of 1.5 against Botafogo on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Botafogo 17th Flamengo 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Botafogo scoring 1 goal or less
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Flamengo will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+37
Botafogo have scored 37% more goals at home than predicted
+17
Flamengo have scored 17% more goals when away than predicted
2.2
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Botafogo
PG (predicted goals)
Flamengo
1
1.5
Attack rating
BOT
FLA
12%
better
view stats
Games scored2
4
Failed to score1
0
Scored first2
3
Goals scored7
6
Avg. goals scored2.3
1.5
Avg. shots per game7
10
Avg. shots per goal3
7
Conversion rate for33
15
Avg. XG for0.8
1.3
KickOff rating
+12%
Defence rating
BOT
FLA
13%
better
view stats
Games conceded2
3
Clean sheets1
1
Conceded first1
1
Goals conceded6
4
Avg. goals conceded2
1
Avg. shots/game conceded10
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
7
Conversion rate against21%
14%
Avg. XG against2.2
0.9
KickOff rating
+13%

Botafogo v Flamengo Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Botafogo Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4423
VitinhoDaniloA BarbozaA Barboza
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Raul GLK1
-
Vitinho DEF4
-
Bastos DEF1
-
A Barboza DEF42
2
1
A Telles  DEF4
-
Allan MID4
3
-
C Medina MID1
-
J Herrera MID4
-
Danilo MID44
-
M Martins MID41
-
A Cabral FWD411
1
-
Subs
L Linck GLK
-
N Ferraresi  DEF2
-
M Ponte DEF3
1
-
?. Montoro MID32
1
-
N. Araújo da Costa Júnior MID4
1
-
Edenilson MID1
-
Artur FWD31
-
J Santos FWD1
-
J Correa FWD
-
C. Ribeiro do Valle Silva FWD
-
L Jaume FWD1
-
Flamengo Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5222
A RossiPedroG VarelaL Pereira
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Rossi GLK5
-
G Varela DEF42
1
-
L Ortiz  DEF51
-
L Pereira DEF51
2
-
A Sandro DEF5
1
-
E Farfán MID51
2
-
Jorginho MID3
1
1
J Carrascal MID51
-
L Paquetá MID4
-
S Lino MID511
1
-
Pedro FWD521
-
Subs
Andrew  GLK
-
F Dyogo GLK
-
Ayrton DEF1
-
Danilo DEF
-
E Royal DEF3
-
V Vitão DEF1
-
G Arrascaeta MID41
-
E. Fernandes Araújo MID4
1
-
L Araújo FWD2
-
Éverton FWD411
1
-
G Plata FWD31
-
W Barreto FWD1
-