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Botafogo v Gremio : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 22nd Nov, 22:30 BST, Estádio Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro

the Estádio Nilton Santos masses welcome Gremio's fans on Saturday night, as Davide Ancelotti's Botafogo take on Luiz Antônio Venker de Menezes's side in the Serie A. We've analysed both sides' last 20 Serie A matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the statistics, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Botafogo
49%
--
Draw
25%
--
Gremio
26%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
Botafogo 1-0
10%
--
Botafogo 2-1
10%
--
Botafogo 2-0
8%
--
Gremio 1-0
7%
--
Gremio 2-1
7%
--
Draw 0-0
6%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Botafogo 3-1
5%
--
Botafogo 3-0
5%
--
Gremio 2-0
4%
--
Botafogo 3-2
3%
--
Gremio 3-1
2%
--
Botafogo 4-1
2%
--
Gremio 3-2
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
--
Home 1st Goal
52%
--
Away 1st Goal
44%
--
No 1st Goal
4%
--
BTTS - Yes
54%
--
BTTS - No
46%
--
BTTS - Home Win
23%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
13%
--
Home/draw
74%
--
Away/draw
51%
--
Home/away
75%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
--
Home DNB
66%
--
Away DNB
43%
--
Botafogo win to nil
26%
--
Gremio win to nil
13%
--
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Win / draw / win form
5
Gremio have not won in 5 consecutive away league games
Botafogo 6TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
Draw
7
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Botafogo3 - 0Vasco d Gama
Botafogo2 - 2Santos
Botafogo0 - 3Flamengo
Botafogo2 - 1Bahia
Botafogo1 - 0A Mineiro
Botafogo3 - 3Mirassol
Botafogo4 - 1Bragantino
Botafogo0 - 1Palmeiras
Botafogo0 - 2Cruzeiro
Botafogo1 - 1Corinthians
Botafogo0 - 0Vitoria
Botafogo3 - 2Ceara
Botafogo4 - 0Internacional
Botafogo2 - 0Fluminense
Botafogo2 - 2Sao Paulo
Botafogo2 - 0Juventude
Botafogo2 - 1Sao Paulo
Botafogo1 - 1Vitoria
Botafogo0 - 0Cuiaba
Botafogo3 - 0Vasco d Gama
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABotafogo0 - 0Vitoria
HBotafogo3 - 0Vasco d Gama
ABotafogo0 - 0Mirassol
HBotafogo2 - 2Santos
ABotafogo2 - 0Ceara
HBotafogo0 - 3Flamengo
ABotafogo0 - 2Internacional
HBotafogo2 - 1Bahia
ABotafogo0 - 2Fluminense
ABotafogo1 - 1Gremio
HBotafogo1 - 0A Mineiro
HBotafogo3 - 3Mirassol
ABotafogo0 - 1Sao Paulo
HBotafogo4 - 1Bragantino
ABotafogo3 - 1Juventude
HBotafogo0 - 1Palmeiras
ABotafogo5 - 0Fortaleza
HBotafogo0 - 2Cruzeiro
HBotafogo1 - 1Corinthians
ABotafogo1 - 0S. Recife
Gremio 14TH
20 league games
Away
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
3
Draw
7
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Fortaleza2 - 2Gremio
Corinthians2 - 0Gremio
Bahia4 - 0Gremio
Bragantino1 - 0Gremio
Santos1 - 1Gremio
Internacional2 - 3Gremio
Flamengo1 - 1Gremio
A Mineiro1 - 3Gremio
Fluminense1 - 0Gremio
Palmeiras1 - 0Gremio
Vasco d Gama1 - 1Gremio
Cruzeiro4 - 1Gremio
Juventude0 - 2Gremio
Sao Paulo2 - 1Gremio
Vitoria1 - 1Gremio
Mirassol4 - 1Gremio
Ceara2 - 0Gremio
Vitoria1 - 1Gremio
Cruzeiro1 - 1Gremio
Palmeiras1 - 0Gremio
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AGremio2 - 2Fortaleza
HGremio0 - 1Cruzeiro
AGremio0 - 2Corinthians
HGremio3 - 1Juventude
AGremio0 - 4Bahia
HGremio2 - 0Sao Paulo
AGremio0 - 1Bragantino
AGremio1 - 1Santos
HGremio3 - 1Vitoria
HGremio1 - 1Botafogo
AGremio3 - 2Internacional
HGremio0 - 1Mirassol
AGremio1 - 1Flamengo
HGremio0 - 0Ceara
AGremio3 - 1A Mineiro
HGremio0 - 1S. Recife
AGremio0 - 1Fluminense
HGremio2 - 1Fortaleza
AGremio0 - 1Palmeiras
AGremio1 - 1Vasco d Gama
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Botafogo since 2018
Botafogo
Gremio
Goals: Scored
7
11
Games: Scored
3 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
2 / 5
BOT
1
D
1
GRE
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Botafogo
Draw0 - 0Draw
3 - 4Gremio
2 - 5Gremio
0 - 1Gremio
Botafogo2 - 1
League games at Gremio since 2018
Gremio
Botafogo
Goals: Scored
12
6
Games: Scored
5 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
1 / 6
BOT
2
D
1
GRE
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Gremio
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Botafogo
0 - 2Botafogo
Gremio3 - 1
Gremio3 - 0
Gremio4 - 0
Goal Statistics

Botafogo's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday night, not least because Gremio have conceded in each of their last 5 Serie A matches. A PG of 1.6 for Davide Ancelotti's side suggests that run should continue.

Botafogo 6th Gremio 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Botafogo will score 1 or more goals
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 69% probability that Gremio will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+11
Botafogo have scored 11% more goals at home than predicted
-1
Gremio’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.8
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
Botafogo
PG (predicted goals)
Gremio
1.6
1.1
Attack rating
3%
better
BOT
GRE
view stats
Games scored19
22
Failed to score14
11
Scored first17
14
Goals scored44
35
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.1
Avg. shots per game11
9
Avg. shots per goal8
8
Conversion rate for12
12
Avg. XG for1.3
1.2
KickOff rating
+3%
Defence rating
32%
better
BOT
GRE
view stats
Games conceded18
28
Clean sheets15
5
Conceded first11
18
Goals conceded28
43
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded9
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
9
Conversion rate against10%
12%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.6
KickOff rating
+32%

Botafogo v Gremio Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Botafogo Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
304513
VitinhoA Telles M FreitasA Barboza
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Vitinho DEF3211
2
-
M Freitas MID3015
8
-
Cuiabano DEF2532
4
-
A Telles  DEF2443
2
-
J Savarino MID2443
1
-
S Rodríguez MID2424
5
-
Artur FWD2334
3
-
A Barboza DEF22
13
-
N. Araújo da Costa Júnior MID221
4
-
M Ponte DEF181
2
-
D Loiola DEF181
3
1
Allan MID18
6
-
A Cabral FWD1732
-
J Correa FWD162
2
-
Jeffinho FWD1624
-
M Martins FWD151
3
-
L Linck GLK14
1
-
C Ramos FWD124
1
1
G Mastriani FWD121
1
-
Kaio DEF11
1
1
M Marçal DEF112
4
-
Danilo MID111
2
-
?. Montoro MID1122
3
-
N Fernandes FWD1012
1
-
Neto  GLK3
-
G. Feitosa da Silva DEF3
-
J Herrera MID1
-
Gremio Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
28729
T VolpiC ViníciusMarlonW Kannemann
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Volpi GLK282
2
-
Dodi MID28
7
1
Edenilson MID2731
6
-
Marlon DEF2612
6
-
A. da Rocha dos Santos FWD2612
4
-
Wagner DEF251
2
-
F Cristaldo MID252
1
-
C Pavón FWD232
6
-
C Olivera FWD222
3
-
André FWD2132
3
-
A Guzmán FWD203
1
-
W Kannemann DEF19
8
1
F Amuzu FWD1922
2
-
M Braithwaite FWD1861
3
-
M Villasanti MID16
5
-
G Martins DEF151
2
-
Camilo MID14
1
-
E Mola DEF13
2
-
G Cuéllar MID12
2
-
Arthur MID10
1
1
R. Freitas dos Santos MID10
-
C Vinícius FWD1071
2
1
Jemerson DEF91
3
-
M Monsalve MID91
2
-
J Lucas DEF8
1
-
A Santana MID8
4
-
M Rocha DEF7
1
-
L Esteves DEF7
1
-
J Pedro DEF7
-
G Grando GLK6
1
1
F Balbuena DEF31
-
Willian  FWD31
-
V Lopes DEF2
-
R Ely DEF2
-