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Ceará v Palmeiras : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 7th Dec, 19:00 BST, Estádio Governador Plácido Adera, Fortaleza

Leonardo Rodrigues Condé welcomes Abel Fernando Moreira Ferreira to the Estádio Governador Plácido Adera on Sunday evening, as their Ceará and Palmeiras charges do battle in the Serie A. Form, head-to-head statistics, predictions and the best odds are all published below. Helping our users place smart bets is what we do best. We've backed under 3.5 goals, but why not take a look and see if there's another bet you prefer?

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Ceara are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 38% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.38.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Ceara 38%	13/10	11/8
Draw 27%	9/4	9/4
Palmeiras 35%	41/20	21/10
Draw 1-1 13%	5/1	5/1
Ceara 1-0 11%	13/2	11/2
Palmeiras 1-0 10%	8/1	13/2
Draw 0-0 9%	15/2	13/2
Ceara 2-1 8%	17/2	15/2
Palmeiras 2-1 8%	11/1	9/1
Ceara 2-0 7%	10/1	17/2
Palmeiras 2-0 6%	14/1	11/1
Draw 2-2 5%	14/1	12/1
Ceara 3-1 3%	20/1	14/1
Palmeiras 3-1 3%	25/1	20/1
Ceara 3-0 3%	20/1	16/1
Palmeiras 3-0 2%	33/1	22/1
Ceara 3-2 2%	33/1	22/1
Palmeiras 3-2 2%	40/1	25/1
Over 2.5 Goals 44%	23/20	23/20
Under 2.5 Goals 56%	4/6	13/20
Home 1st Goal 48%	5/6	10/11
Away 1st Goal 47%	6/5	5/4
No 1st Goal 5%	15/2	13/2
BTTS - Yes 50%	10/11	10/11
BTTS - No 50%	10/11	4/5
BTTS - Home Win 16%	4/1	19/5
BTTS - Draw 19%	7/2	17/5
BTTS - Away Win 15%	11/2	5/1
Home/draw 65%	4/11	4/11
Away/draw 62%	4/7	4/7
Home/away 73%	1/3	1/3
Over 1.5 Goals 70%	4/11	2/5
Under 1.5 Goals 30%	11/5	9/5
Over 3.5 Goals 23%	3/1	14/5
Under 3.5 Goals 77%	1/4	2/9
Over 4.5 Goals 10%	7/1	13/2
Under 4.5 Goals 90%	1/12	1/14
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	16/1	14/1
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	1/40	1/150
Over 0.5 Goals 91%	1/12	1/14
Under 0.5 Goals 9%	7/1	13/2
Home DNB 57%	8/13	8/13
Away DNB 54%	6/5	23/20
Ceara win to nil 22%	11/4	-
Palmeiras win to nil 20%	4/1	-
Ceara / Ceara 22%	11/4	13/5
Ceara / Palmeiras 3%	33/1	25/1
Ceara / Draw 6%	14/1	11/1
Draw / Ceara 15%	9/2	17/4
Draw / Palmeiras 12%	11/2	11/2
Draw / Draw 17%	15/4	17/5
Palmeiras / Ceara 3%	28/1	20/1
Palmeiras / Palmeiras 16%	4/1	19/5
Palmeiras / Draw 6%	14/1	11/1

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Ceara	1 - 1	Cruzeiro
Ceara	1 - 2	Internacional
Ceara	1 - 1	Fortaleza
Ceara	2 - 0	Fluminense
Ceara	0 - 2	Botafogo
Ceara	3 - 0	Santos
Ceara	1 - 1	Bahia
Ceara	0 - 1	Juventude
Ceara	1 - 0	Bragantino
Ceara	1 - 1	Flamengo
Ceara	0 - 2	Mirassol
Ceara	0 - 1	Corinthians
Ceara	0 - 1	A Mineiro
Ceara	2 - 0	S. Recife
Ceara	1 - 0	Vitoria
Ceara	1 - 1	Sao Paulo
Ceara	2 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Ceara	2 - 0	Gremio
Ceara	1 - 0	America
Ceara	2 - 0	Avai

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Ceara	0 - 1	Flamengo
H	Ceara	1 - 1	Cruzeiro
A	Ceara	0 - 3	Mirassol
H	Ceara	1 - 2	Internacional
A	Ceara	1 - 0	Corinthians
H	Ceara	1 - 1	Fortaleza
H	Ceara	2 - 0	Fluminense
A	Ceara	0 - 1	Fluminense
A	Ceara	0 - 1	A Mineiro
H	Ceara	0 - 2	Botafogo
A	Ceara	1 - 1	S. Recife
H	Ceara	3 - 0	Santos
A	Ceara	0 - 1	Vitoria
A	Ceara	1 - 0	Sao Paulo
H	Ceara	1 - 1	Bahia
A	Ceara	2 - 2	Vasco d Gama
H	Ceara	0 - 1	Juventude
A	Ceara	0 - 0	Gremio
H	Ceara	1 - 0	Bragantino
A	Ceara	1 - 2	Palmeiras

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
A Mineiro	0 - 3	Palmeiras
Gremio	3 - 2	Palmeiras
Santos	1 - 0	Palmeiras
Mirassol	2 - 1	Palmeiras
Juventude	0 - 2	Palmeiras
Flamengo	3 - 2	Palmeiras
Sao Paulo	2 - 3	Palmeiras
Bahia	1 - 0	Palmeiras
Corinthians	1 - 1	Palmeiras
Botafogo	0 - 1	Palmeiras
Vitoria	2 - 2	Palmeiras
Fluminense	1 - 2	Palmeiras
Cruzeiro	2 - 1	Palmeiras
Bragantino	1 - 2	Palmeiras
Vasco d Gama	0 - 1	Palmeiras
Fortaleza	1 - 2	Palmeiras
Internacional	0 - 1	Palmeiras
S. Recife	1 - 2	Palmeiras
Cruzeiro	1 - 2	Palmeiras
Atletico Go	0 - 1	Palmeiras

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Palmeiras	3 - 0	A Mineiro
A	Palmeiras	2 - 3	Gremio
H	Palmeiras	0 - 0	Fluminense
H	Palmeiras	0 - 0	Vitoria
A	Palmeiras	0 - 1	Santos
A	Palmeiras	1 - 2	Mirassol
H	Palmeiras	2 - 0	Santos
A	Palmeiras	2 - 0	Juventude
H	Palmeiras	0 - 0	Cruzeiro
A	Palmeiras	2 - 3	Flamengo
H	Palmeiras	5 - 1	Bragantino
H	Palmeiras	4 - 1	Juventude
A	Palmeiras	3 - 2	Sao Paulo
H	Palmeiras	3 - 0	Vasco d Gama
A	Palmeiras	0 - 1	Bahia
H	Palmeiras	4 - 1	Fortaleza
H	Palmeiras	4 - 1	Internacional
A	Palmeiras	1 - 1	Corinthians
H	Palmeiras	3 - 0	S. Recife
A	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Botafogo

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Ceara

Palmeiras

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 5

4 / 5

Clean sheets

1 / 5

0 / 5

CEA

PAL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Ceara
	1 - 2	Palmeiras
	1 - 2	Palmeiras
Ceara	2 - 1
Ceara	2 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw

Palmeiras

Ceara

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 6

4 / 6

Clean sheets

2 / 6

0 / 6

CEA

PAL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Palmeiras
Palmeiras	2 - 1
	2 - 3	Ceara
Palmeiras	1 - 0
Palmeiras	2 - 1
Palmeiras	1 - 0
Palmeiras	2 - 1

Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Ceará of late. It has been 5 Serie A games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.2 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Sunday evening against Palmeiras.

	Ceara 15th	Palmeiras 2nd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.2 goals	1.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 29% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 65% probability that Ceara will score no more than 1 goal	0 30% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 66% probability that Palmeiras will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-16 Ceara have scored 16% fewer goals at home than predicted	+23 Palmeiras have scored 23% more goals when away than predicted
	1.1 average goals scored	1.6 average goals scored
	0.8 conceded	1.1 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season

CEA

PAL

30%

better

view stats

Games scored	23		29
Failed to score	14		8
Scored first	17		20
Goals scored	33		63
Avg. goals scored	0.9		1.7
Avg. shots per game	9		11
Avg. shots per goal	10		7
Conversion rate for	10		15
Avg. XG for	1		1.5
KickOff rating		+30%

CEA

PAL

14%

better

view stats

Games conceded	26		22
Clean sheets	11		15
Conceded first	18		13
Goals conceded	37		32
Avg. goals conceded	1		0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	9		9
Conversion rate against	11%		11%
Avg. XG against	1.1		1
KickOff rating		+14%

Ceara v Palmeiras Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Ceara Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
37	10	6	8
Galeano	P Raul	L Mugni	F Silva

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Galeano FWD	37	7	3	2 -
W Machado DEF	35			6 -
F Silva DEF	34		1	8 -
P Raul FWD	33	10	1	6 -
L Mugni MID	32	2	6	5 -
L Lourenço MID	32	2	1	4 -
Diego DEF	31		2	5 -
Bruno GLK	30			2 -
F Sobral MID	29	1		7 -
M Bahia DEF	27		1	6 -
P Henrique FWD	27	4	3	7 -
Marllon DEF	25	2		3 -
Aylon FWD	22	2		3 -
Fernandinho FWD	21		1	2 -
R Ramos DEF	19			3 -
Richardson MID	16			3 -
Vina MID	15		1	2 1
P Baya FWD	15			-
M Victor DEF	14		1	-
V Zanocelo MID	14	1		2 -
Nicolas DEF	13			1 -
L Lima MID	11			-
M Araújo MID	11	1	1	-
F Miguel GLK	8			-
G. Oliveira da Silva FWD	7		1	1 -
Rodriguinho FWD	4			1
Éder DEF	3			-
L Tavares FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
10	36	6	6
P Raul	P Raul	L Mugni	Galeano

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
P Raul FWD	10	36	1	4
Galeano FWD	7	19	3	6
P Henrique FWD	4	14	3	4
L Mugni MID	2	5	6	5
L Lourenço MID	2	10	1	3
Marllon DEF	2	2
Aylon FWD	2	8
F Sobral MID	1	1		1
V Zanocelo MID	1	4		1
M Araújo MID	1	2	1	1
W Machado DEF		7		1
F Silva DEF		3	1	2
Diego DEF		4	2	4
M Bahia DEF		2	1	2
Fernandinho FWD		8	1	1
R Ramos DEF		1
Richardson MID		2		1
Vina MID		7	1	2
P Baya FWD		5		4
M Victor DEF			1	1
Nicolas DEF		1
G. Oliveira da Silva FWD		1	1	1
Éder DEF		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1236	54	182
W Machado	L Mugni	Diego

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
W Machado DEF	1236	49	164
F Silva DEF	1043	44	128
Diego DEF	967	54	182
M Bahia DEF	835	46	115
Galeano FWD	783	35	166
Marllon DEF	742	25	76
Bruno GLK	701	1	21
F Sobral MID	679	44	86
L Mugni MID	618	54	111
L Lourenço MID	591	23	74
P Raul FWD	514	14	172
V Zanocelo MID	505	23	44
M Victor DEF	438	17	46
Richardson MID	331	18	34
R Ramos DEF	317	33	52
Vina MID	285	4	15
P Henrique FWD	269	33	89
Nicolas DEF	236	14	28
Fernandinho FWD	202	18	82
F Miguel GLK	202	1	8
Aylon FWD	183	17	65
Éder DEF	127		10
P Baya FWD	126	5	12
M Araújo MID	79	3	14
L Lima MID	70	7	15
G. Oliveira da Silva FWD	30	5	15
Rodriguinho FWD	11		3
L Tavares FWD	4	1	2

Palmeiras Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
28	16	7	9
J Piquerez	V Roque	M Maurício	A Moreno

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
V Roque FWD	33	16	3	4 -
J López FWD	32	11	2	5 -
F Anderson FWD	31	4	2	-
J Piquerez DEF	30	3	1	2 2
A Giay DEF	28			1 1
M Maurício MID	28	3	7	1 -
F Torres FWD	28	5	3	3 -
G Portillo DEF	27	2	1	7 -
A Moreno MID	27		1	9 -
A. Andrade Elias MID	27	2	3	1 1
Weverton GLK	26			2 -
B Fuchs DEF	26	2		5 -
R Veiga MID	25	2	4	3 -
E Martínez MID	25	1		3 -
R Sosa FWD	22	2	3	-
Murilo DEF	20	1	1	6 -
L Evangelista MID	19	2	1	2 -
Micael DEF	16		1	4 -
A Pereira MID	15	2		4 1
Khellven DEF	13		2	1 -
J Dias DEF	11		2	-
L. Sousa Santos FWD	10	1		1 -
C Miguel GLK	9			1 -
B Rodrigues FWD	9	2		-
Paulinho FWD	7			-
L. Roncholeta Benedetti DEF	4	1		-
M Lomba GLK	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
16	40	7	6
V Roque	V Roque	M Maurício	J López

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
V Roque FWD	16	40	3	4
J López FWD	11	36	2	6
F Torres FWD	5	15	3	6
F Anderson FWD	4	11	2	2
J Piquerez DEF	3	11	1	5
M Maurício MID	3	13	7	5
G Portillo DEF	2	6	1	4
A. Andrade Elias MID	2	9	3	1
B Fuchs DEF	2	4		1
R Veiga MID	2	8	4	6
R Sosa FWD	2	6	3	4
L Evangelista MID	2	7	1	1
A Pereira MID	2	7		1
B Rodrigues FWD	2	3		1
E Martínez MID	1	8		4
Murilo DEF	1	3	1	2
L. Sousa Santos FWD	1	4		1
L. Roncholeta Benedetti DEF	1	1
A Giay DEF		1		4
A Moreno MID		6	1	4
Micael DEF		1	1	1
Khellven DEF		1	2	3
J Dias DEF			2	1
Paulinho FWD		1		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1226	55	205
J Piquerez	A Giay	J López

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Piquerez DEF	1226	53	103
G Portillo DEF	1087	51	156
A Moreno MID	984	45	83
B Fuchs DEF	970	37	97
Murilo DEF	943	29	99
A Giay DEF	907	55	116
F Anderson FWD	817	54	116
E Martínez MID	786	38	78
Micael DEF	707	27	71
Weverton GLK	680	1	11
F Torres FWD	618	16	77
M Maurício MID	555	17	54
L Evangelista MID	525	30	72
A Pereira MID	516	11	37
R Veiga MID	456	15	57
J López FWD	425	28	205
Khellven DEF	312	16	38
V Roque FWD	285	20	171
R Sosa FWD	267	7	53
J Dias DEF	263	13	40
A. Andrade Elias MID	256	28	73
C Miguel GLK	228		6
L. Roncholeta Benedetti DEF	124	2	13
Paulinho FWD	101	1	13
L. Sousa Santos FWD	77	5	25
B Rodrigues FWD	51		9
M Lomba GLK	41		1