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Chapecoense v Coritiba : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 11th Feb, 22:00 BST, Arena Condá, Chapecó

Chapecoense and their manager Gilmar Dal Pozzo will be aiming to beat Mozart Santos Batista Junior and his Coritiba side on Wednesday night, as the pair go head to head at the Arena Condá in the Serie A. We provide predictions based on complex statistical analysis of both teams, across seventeen of the main markets. The data and the odds change with each market, and head to head (H2H) statistics are included across them all.


Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Concentration will be required as Chapecoense and Cortiba go head-to-head, with little to choose between the teams in defence, making it difficult to predict who will win. The statistics don't supply any conclusive evidence in that regard, but they are pointing strongly towards there being 2 goals or fewer in the fixture. That's a prediction available at best priced odds of 1.48 with the bookmakers, so we make under 2.5 goals our tip of the day for this tie.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Chapecoense are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 41% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.40.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Chapecoense
41%
4/37/5
4%
Draw
29%
2/121/10
Cortiba
31%
11/521/10
3%
Draw 1-1
13%
5/119/4
Chapecoense 1-0
13%
5/1
8%
19/4
12%
Cortiba 1-0
11%
13/26/1
7%
Draw 0-0
11%
11/211/2
7%
Chapecoense 2-1
8%
9/18/1
6%
Chapecoense 2-0
8%
9/18/1
10%
Cortiba 2-1
7%
12/1
8%
9/1
Cortiba 2-0
6%
14/111/1
Draw 2-2
4%
18/114/1
15%
Chapecoense 3-1
3%
22/118/1
Chapecoense 3-0
3%
22/118/1
Cortiba 3-1
2%
33/1
17%
22/1
10%
Cortiba 3-0
2%
33/122/1
Chapecoense 3-2
2%
40/128/1
12%
Cortiba 3-2
1%
40/128/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
6/46/4
11%
Under 2.5 Goals
61%
1/210/21
8%
Home 1st Goal
49%
10/1110/11
2%
Away 1st Goal
44%
5/413/10
5%
No 1st Goal
7%
11/211/2
7%
BTTS - Yes
45%
21/2011/10
8%
BTTS - No
55%
7/104/6
7%
BTTS - Home Win
15%
5/19/2
5%
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/47/2
4%
BTTS - Away Win
12%
7/16/1
17%
Home/draw
69%
4/117/20
1%
Away/draw
59%
8/1511/20
1%
Home/away
71%
4/117/20
Over 1.5 Goals
66%
1/210/21
6%
Under 1.5 Goals
34%
13/86/4
9%
Over 3.5 Goals
19%
4/119/5
14%
Under 3.5 Goals
81%
1/62/13
4%
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
10/19/1
18%
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1/201/25
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
22/120/1
24%
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/801/1000
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
89%
1/91/11
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
11%
11/211/2
7%
Home DNB
61%
8/1313/20
3%
Away DNB
51%
6/511/10
2%
Chapecoense win to nil
25%
5/2-
Cortiba win to nil
19%
4/1
11%
-
Chapecoense / Chapecoense
21%
3/111/4
4%
Chapecoense / Cortiba
3%
33/125/1
Chapecoense / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Chapecoense
15%
9/217/4
5%
Draw / Cortiba
12%
11/211/2
Draw / Draw
19%
10/316/5
Cortiba / Chapecoense
3%
28/122/1
Cortiba / Cortiba
16%
9/219/5
4%
Cortiba / Draw
6%
14/112/1
8%
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Chapecoense
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Chapecoense4 - 2Santos
Chapecoense1 - 0Atletico Go
Chapecoense0 - 1America
Chapecoense2 - 0Operario
Chapecoense1 - 1Botafogo
Chapecoense1 - 0Novorizontin
Chapecoense0 - 1Avai
Chapecoense2 - 3Athletico PR
Chapecoense2 - 2Vila Nova
Chapecoense2 - 0Paysandu
Chapecoense3 - 2CRB
Chapecoense4 - 2Volta Redonda
Chapecoense1 - 1Remo
Chapecoense1 - 2Goias
Chapecoense2 - 1Ferroviaria
Chapecoense4 - 0Amazonas
Chapecoense2 - 1Cuiaba
Chapecoense2 - 1Criciuma
Chapecoense1 - 0Athletic Club
Chapecoense1 - 2Cortiba
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AChapecoense1 - 1Vasco d Gama
HChapecoense4 - 2Santos
HChapecoense1 - 0Atletico Go
AChapecoense1 - 1Volta Redonda
HChapecoense0 - 1America
AChapecoense1 - 1Remo
HChapecoense2 - 0Operario
AChapecoense3 - 1Goias
HChapecoense1 - 1Botafogo
AChapecoense1 - 0Ferroviaria
HChapecoense1 - 0Novorizontin
AChapecoense3 - 1Amazonas
HChapecoense0 - 1Avai
AChapecoense0 - 1Cuiaba
HChapecoense2 - 3Athletico PR
AChapecoense0 - 2Criciuma
HChapecoense2 - 2Vila Nova
AChapecoense4 - 0Athletic Club
HChapecoense2 - 0Paysandu
AChapecoense0 - 0Cortiba
Cortiba
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cruzeiro1 - 2Cortiba
Amazonas1 - 2Cortiba
Paysandu1 - 2Cortiba
Volta Redonda0 - 1Cortiba
Cuiaba1 - 0Cortiba
Avai0 - 2Cortiba
America 1 - 0Cortiba
Operario1 - 0Cortiba
Novorizontin1 - 2Cortiba
Vila Nova1 - 2Cortiba
Athletic Club1 - 1Cortiba
CRB0 - 1Cortiba
Athletico PR0 - 1Cortiba
Atletico Go0 - 0Cortiba
Botafogo0 - 0Cortiba
Criciuma0 - 1Cortiba
Goias1 - 0Cortiba
Ferroviaria2 - 1Cortiba
Remo1 - 0Cortiba
Chapecoense1 - 2Cortiba
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
11
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ACortiba2 - 1Cruzeiro
HCortiba0 - 1Bragantino
ACortiba2 - 1Amazonas
HCortiba0 - 0Athletic Club
ACortiba2 - 1Paysandu
HCortiba0 - 0CRB
ACortiba1 - 0Volta Redonda
HCortiba0 - 0Athletico PR
ACortiba0 - 1Cuiaba
HCortiba2 - 1Atletico Go
HCortiba2 - 0Botafogo
ACortiba2 - 0Avai
HCortiba0 - 2Criciuma
ACortiba0 - 1America
HCortiba0 - 0Goias
HCortiba4 - 0Ferroviaria
ACortiba0 - 1Operario
HCortiba0 - 0Remo
ACortiba2 - 1Novorizontin
HCortiba0 - 0Chapecoense
Goal Statistics

Coritiba's defensive record is very strong, M. Batista Junior's men having conceded 1 or less in 11 consecutive Serie A games. An average PG rating of 1.2 for Chapecoense makes sense in this context.

Chapecoense Cortiba
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Chapecoense will score no more than 1 goal
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Cortiba will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+13
Chapecoense have scored 13% more goals at home than predicted
+5
Cortiba’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.8
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
0.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Chapecoense
PG (predicted goals)
Cortiba
1.2
1
Attack rating
61%
better
CHP
COR
view stats
Games scored2
1
Failed to score0
1
Scored first1
0
Goals scored5
2
Avg. goals scored2.5
1
Avg. shots per game5
7
Avg. shots per goal2
7
Conversion rate for50
14
Avg. XG for1
1.1
KickOff rating
+61%
Defence rating
CHP
COR
5%
better
view stats
Games conceded2
2
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first1
2
Goals conceded3
2
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1
Avg. shots/game conceded21
18
Avg. shots/goal conceded14
18
Conversion rate against7%
6%
Avg. XG against3
1.7
KickOff rating
+5%

Chapecoense v Cortiba Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Chapecoense Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Cortiba Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE