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Corinthians v Palmeiras : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 4th Nov, 23:00 BST, Arena Corinthians, São Paulo

Monday night at the Arena Corinthians, and it’s a Serie A clash between Corinthians and Palmeiras. Ramón Ángel Díaz and Abel Fernando Moreira Ferreira going all-out to claim victory. We want to see our users winning on this match, so every statistics you could realistically need to make a smart selection is laid out below. Switch between 17 markets or take our top tip. We've got predictions, head-to-head analysis and the best odds for each one.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest there isn't an obvious winner in this fixture, but good reason to think Corinthians and Palmeiras will find the net twice at least between them. Goals have flowed freely when they've gone head-to-head in years gone by, and neither Ramón Ángel Díaz or Abel Fernando Moreira Ferreira has served up too many 0-0s recently either. The bookmakers are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with odds of 1.40 equating to roughly a 76% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Corinthians are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 43% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 3.25.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Corinthians
43%
3.25
5%
3.10
7%
Draw
25%
3.25
4%
3.10
3%
Palmeiras
32%
2.20
2%
2.15
Draw 1-1
12%
6.506.00
Corinthians 1-0
9%
9.00
13%
8.00
7%
Corinthians 2-1
9%
12.0010.00
Palmeiras 1-0
8%
7.00
8%
6.50
8%
Palmeiras 2-1
8%
9.508.50
Corinthians 2-0
7%
15.0013.00
8%
Draw 0-0
6%
8.50
6%
7.50
Draw 2-2
6%
15.00
12%
13.00
13%
Palmeiras 2-0
5%
10.009.00
Corinthians 3-1
5%
29.0021.00
Corinthians 3-0
4%
34.0023.00
Palmeiras 3-1
3%
19.00
10%
15.00
Corinthians 3-2
3%
41.0026.00
Palmeiras 3-2
2%
29.00
15%
21.00
9%
Palmeiras 3-0
2%
21.0015.00
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
2.10
7%
2.05
5%
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
1.70
5%
1.62
3%
Home 1st Goal
50%
2.38-
Away 1st Goal
46%
1.73-
No 1st Goal
4%
8.50
6%
-
BTTS - Yes
57%
1.91
5%
1.91
5%
BTTS - No
43%
1.91
9%
1.80
4%
BTTS - Home Win
21%
7.006.50
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.50
10%
4.50
6%
BTTS - Away Win
16%
5.00
9%
4.60
8%
Home/draw
68%
1.67
3%
1.62
Away/draw
57%
1.33
2%
1.33
1%
Home/away
75%
1.33
2%
1.33
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
1.36
3%
1.35
4%
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
3.20
7%
2.80
7%
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
4.00
8%
3.60
8%
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
1.25
2%
1.22
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
8.00
11%
7.00
7%
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1.08
1%
1.06
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
17.00
11%
13.00
13%
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1.021.00
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1.07
1%
1.06
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
8.50
6%
7.00
Home DNB
60%
2.25
2%
2.25
2%
Away DNB
50%
1.57
3%
1.57
2%
Corinthians win to nil
21%
5.50
10%
-
Palmeiras win to nil
16%
3.75
7%
-
Corinthians / Corinthians
15%
5.505.00
4%
Corinthians / Palmeiras
3%
26.00
10%
21.00
Corinthians / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
Draw / Corinthians
12%
7.007.00
8%
Draw / Palmeiras
15%
5.505.25
5%
Draw / Draw
18%
4.75
6%
4.50
2%
Palmeiras / Corinthians
3%
34.0026.00
Palmeiras / Palmeiras
22%
3.753.50
3%
Palmeiras / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
8%
bet365
Win / draw / win form
11
Corinthians have not lost in 11 consecutive home league games
11
Palmeiras have not lost in 11 consecutive league games
Corinthians 15TH
20 league games
Home
11
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
7
Draw
10
L
3
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
Palmeiras 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
11
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Palmeiras have not lost to Corinthians in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Corinthians since 2018
Corinthians
Palmeiras
Goals: Scored
4
5
Games: Scored
3 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
3 / 6
CTH
2
D
2
PAL
2
League games at Palmeiras since 2018
Palmeiras
Corinthians
Goals: Scored
14
3
Games: Scored
7 / 7
3 / 7
Clean sheets
4 / 7
0 / 7
D
2
PAL
5
Goal Statistics

Corinthians have been consistent in front of goal of late, finding the net in 7 consecutive Serie A games. Their PG of 1.5 against Palmeiras on Monday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Corinthians 15th Palmeiras 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Corinthians will score 1 or more goals
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Palmeiras will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+17
Corinthians have scored 17% more goals at home than predicted
+16
Palmeiras have scored 16% more goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/273373/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Corinthians
PG (predicted goals)
Palmeiras
1.5
1.3
Attack rating
CTH
PAL
28%
better
view stats
Games scored19
22
Failed to score12
9
Scored first9
19
Goals scored35
53
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.7
Avg. shots per game11
13
Avg. shots per goal10
7
Conversion rate for10
13
Avg. XG for1.3
1.8
KickOff rating
+28%
Defence rating
CTH
PAL
34%
better
view stats
Games conceded24
17
Clean sheets7
14
Conceded first19
9
Goals conceded40
25
Avg. goals conceded1.3
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
11
Conversion rate against13%
9%
Avg. XG against1.3
1
KickOff rating
+34%

Corinthians v Palmeiras Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Corinthians Serie A squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
28868
R GarroY AlbertoR GarroY Alberto
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Garro MID2966
7
-
Raniele MID26
6
-
Matheuzinho DEF251
2
-
Cacá DEF2541
5
1
I Coronado MID2512
6
-
Hugo DEF234
2
-
Y Alberto FWD2384
7
1
B Bidon MID22
5
-
Ángel Romero FWD225
6
-
F Torres DEF20
3
-
P Raul FWD17
2
-
M Bidu DEF161
2
-
H Souza GLK15
2
-
Fagner DEF131
2
-
G Henrique DEF12
5
-
A Ramalho DEF12
3
1
R Lima MID11
1
-
Charles MID10
3
-
Giovane FWD101
1
-
P Henrique FWD911
2
-
T Magno FWD821
2
-
M Donelli GLK7
-
A Carrillo MID61
1
-
J Martínez MID6
3
-
Caetano DEF5
1
-
L Mana DEF5
1
-
A Santana MID5
1
-
M Depay FWD521
1
-
M Araújo MID4
-
H Hernández FWD3
-
Maycon MID2
1
-
K Guimarães FWD2
-
Palmeiras Serie A squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
301187
WevertonE. Almeida de Oliveira GonçalvesE. Almeida de Oliveira GonçalvesG Portillo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Weverton GLK301
2
-
Rony FWD2942
4
-
A Moreno  MID2711
6
-
R Veiga MID27102
2
1
J López FWD2793
6
-
M Rocha DEF242
3
-
E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves FWD22118
1
-
Vanderlan DEF212
-
Murilo DEF211
4
-
G Portillo DEF2112
7
-
G Menino MID211
6
1
Mayke DEF201
5
-
Fabinho MID18
2
-
R Ríos MID1823
5
-
C Paulista DEF17
1
1
L Lázaro FWD172
-
J Piquerez DEF162
2
-
Z Rafael MID162
5
1
M Maurício MID142
1
-
Dudu FWD14
-
F Anderson FWD1422
-
V. de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis DEF121
2
-
K Naves DEF11
1
-
A Giay DEF8
1
-
Romulo MID7
-
L. Sousa Santos FWD21
-
M Lomba GLK1
-