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Corinthians v Sao Paulo : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 20th Nov, 22:30 BST, Arena Corinthians, São Paulo

Dorival Silvestre Júnior's Corinthians side are on home soil in the Serie A on Thursday night, as Hernán Jorge Crespo's Sao Paulo arrive at the Arena Corinthians. Serie A statistics are the foundation of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head records included too. It's all on this page, with graphics and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers available for the biggest betting markets via the tabs.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Fans may not be thrilled to read this, but we don't predict a high-scoring affair here. The stats suggest Corinthians and Sao Paulo both struggle to score on a consistent basis, and the odds suggest it's likely there's fewer than 2 goals in total as they go head-to-head. We think they're probably right and, without an obvious outright winners to back, under 2.5 goals feels like the right bet on this match.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Corinthians are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 41% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.20.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Corinthians 41%	6/5	-
Draw 29%	15/8 4%	-
Sao Paulo 30%	29/10 11%	-
Corinthians 1-0 13%	5/1	-
Draw 1-1 13%	9/2 8%	-
Draw 0-0 11%	11/2 7%	-
Sao Paulo 1-0 11%	8/1 6%	-
Corinthians 2-0 8%	8/1 5%	-
Corinthians 2-1 8%	9/1 5%	-
Sao Paulo 2-1 7%	14/1 15%	-
Sao Paulo 2-0 5%	16/1	-
Draw 2-2 4%	16/1	-
Corinthians 3-0 3%	20/1	-
Corinthians 3-1 3%	20/1	-
Sao Paulo 3-1 2%	33/1	-
Sao Paulo 3-0 2%	40/1	-
Corinthians 3-2 2%	40/1 21%	-
Sao Paulo 3-2 1%	40/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 37%	6/4 4%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 63%	1/2 2%	-
Home 1st Goal 49%	4/5 2%	-
Away 1st Goal 43%	6/4 5%	-
No 1st Goal 8%	11/2 7%	-
BTTS - Yes 44%	21/20 3%	-
BTTS - No 56%	7/10 3%	-
BTTS - Home Win 15%	9/2	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	10/3 4%	-
BTTS - Away Win 11%	8/1 6%	-
Home/draw 70%	1/4 3%	-
Away/draw 59%	4/6	-
Home/away 71%	2/5 3%	-
Over 1.5 Goals 64%	1/2 4%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 36%	13/8 4%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 18%	7/2	-
Under 3.5 Goals 82%	1/5	-
Over 4.5 Goals 7%	10/1 10%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 93%	1/20 1%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 2%	22/1 10%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 98%	1/80 1%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 89%	1/9 1%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 11%	11/2 7%	-
Home DNB 61%	4/9 6%	-
Away DNB 50%	13/8 11%	-
Corinthians win to nil 26%	12/5	-
Sao Paulo win to nil 19%	5/1 9%	-
Corinthians / Corinthians 23%	13/5	-
Corinthians / Sao Paulo 2%	40/1 21%	-
Corinthians / Draw 6%	14/1	-
Draw / Corinthians 17%	4/1	-
Draw / Sao Paulo 11%	13/2 7%	-
Draw / Draw 19%	10/3	-
Sao Paulo / Corinthians 3%	28/1	-
Sao Paulo / Sao Paulo 14%	5/1	-
Sao Paulo / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Corinthians	0 - 1	Ceara
Corinthians	2 - 0	Gremio
Corinthians	1 - 0	A Mineiro
Corinthians	3 - 0	Mirassol
Corinthians	1 - 2	Flamengo
Corinthians	1 - 1	Palmeiras
Corinthians	1 - 2	Bahia
Corinthians	1 - 1	Fortaleza
Corinthians	0 - 0	Cruzeiro
Corinthians	1 - 2	Bragantino
Corinthians	0 - 0	Vitoria
Corinthians	1 - 0	Santos
Corinthians	4 - 2	Internacional
Corinthians	2 - 1	S. Recife
Corinthians	0 - 2	Fluminense
Corinthians	3 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Corinthians	3 - 0	Bahia
Corinthians	3 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Corinthians	2 - 1	Cruzeiro
Corinthians	2 - 0	Palmeiras

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Corinthians	0 - 1	Ceara
A	Corinthians	1 - 2	Bragantino
H	Corinthians	2 - 0	Gremio
A	Corinthians	1 - 0	Vitoria
H	Corinthians	1 - 0	A Mineiro
A	Corinthians	1 - 3	Santos
H	Corinthians	3 - 0	Mirassol
A	Corinthians	1 - 1	Internacional
H	Corinthians	1 - 2	Flamengo
A	Corinthians	0 - 1	S. Recife
A	Corinthians	1 - 0	Fluminense
H	Corinthians	1 - 1	Palmeiras
A	Corinthians	3 - 2	Vasco d Gama
H	Corinthians	1 - 2	Bahia
A	Corinthians	1 - 2	Juventude
H	Corinthians	1 - 1	Fortaleza
A	Corinthians	1 - 1	Botafogo
H	Corinthians	0 - 0	Cruzeiro
A	Corinthians	0 - 2	Sao Paulo
A	Corinthians	1 - 0	Ceara

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Vasco d Gama	0 - 2	Sao Paulo
Mirassol	3 - 0	Sao Paulo
Gremio	2 - 0	Sao Paulo
Fortaleza	0 - 2	Sao Paulo
Santos	1 - 0	Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro	1 - 0	Sao Paulo
S. Recife	2 - 2	Sao Paulo
Internacional	1 - 2	Sao Paulo
Juventude	0 - 1	Sao Paulo
Bragantino	2 - 2	Sao Paulo
Flamengo	2 - 0	Sao Paulo
Bahia	2 - 1	Sao Paulo
Palmeiras	1 - 0	Sao Paulo
Ceara	1 - 1	Sao Paulo
Botafogo	2 - 2	Sao Paulo
A Mineiro	0 - 0	Sao Paulo
Botafogo	2 - 1	Sao Paulo
Gremio	2 - 1	Sao Paulo
Bragantino	1 - 1	Sao Paulo
Bahia	0 - 3	Sao Paulo

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Sao Paulo	0 - 1	Bragantino
H	Sao Paulo	2 - 2	Flamengo
A	Sao Paulo	2 - 0	Vasco d Gama
H	Sao Paulo	2 - 0	Bahia
A	Sao Paulo	0 - 3	Mirassol
A	Sao Paulo	0 - 2	Gremio
H	Sao Paulo	2 - 3	Palmeiras
A	Sao Paulo	2 - 0	Fortaleza
H	Sao Paulo	0 - 1	Ceara
A	Sao Paulo	0 - 1	Santos
H	Sao Paulo	1 - 0	Botafogo
A	Sao Paulo	0 - 1	Cruzeiro
H	Sao Paulo	2 - 0	A Mineiro
A	Sao Paulo	2 - 2	S. Recife
H	Sao Paulo	2 - 0	Vitoria
A	Sao Paulo	2 - 1	Internacional
H	Sao Paulo	3 - 1	Fluminense
A	Sao Paulo	1 - 0	Juventude
H	Sao Paulo	2 - 0	Corinthians
A	Sao Paulo	2 - 2	Bragantino

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Corinthians have drawn with Sao Paulo in 4 consecutive home league meetings

Corinthians have not lost to Sao Paulo in 7 consecutive home league meetings

Sao Paulo have not lost to Corinthians in 9 consecutive league meetings

Corinthians

Sao Paulo

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 7

4 / 7

Clean sheets

3 / 7

1 / 7

CTH

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Corinthians
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Corinthians	1 - 0
Corinthians	1 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Sao Paulo

Corinthians

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

8 / 8

5 / 8

Clean sheets

3 / 8

0 / 8

SAO

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo	2 - 0
Sao Paulo	3 - 1
Sao Paulo	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Sao Paulo	1 - 0
Sao Paulo	2 - 1
Sao Paulo	1 - 0
Sao Paulo	3 - 1

Goal Statistics

	Corinthians 13th	Sao Paulo 8th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.2 goals	1.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 30% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 66% probability that Corinthians will score no more than 1 goal	0 37% 1 37% 2 18% 3 4+ There is a 74% probability of Sao Paulo scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+7 Corinthians’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+15 Sao Paulo have scored 15% more goals when away than predicted
	1.6 average goals scored	1.1 average goals scored
	0.8 conceded	1.3 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season

better

CTH

SAO

view stats

Games scored	24		21
Failed to score	9		12
Scored first	13		16
Goals scored	35		37
Avg. goals scored	1.1		1.1
Avg. shots per game	8		9
Avg. shots per goal	8		8
Conversion rate for	13		13
Avg. XG for	1.2		1.3
KickOff rating		0%

CTH

SAO

better

view stats

Games conceded	22		22
Clean sheets	11		11
Conceded first	17		14
Goals conceded	38		36
Avg. goals conceded	1.2		1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		8
Conversion rate against	13%		13%
Avg. XG against	1.3		1.2
KickOff rating		+3%

Corinthians v Sao Paulo Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Corinthians Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
27	8	3	11
B Bidon	Y Alberto	Matheuzinho	J Martínez

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
B Bidon MID	29	1	1	8 1
Matheuzinho DEF	27	2	3	10 -
Raniele MID	26	1	1	6 -
H Souza GLK	24			3 -
F Angileri DEF	24			4 -
Ángel Romero FWD	24		1	4 1
M Bidu DEF	23		2	7 -
Maycon MID	23	3		3 -
Y Alberto FWD	23	8	2	3 -
T Magno FWD	22	1	1	2 -
M Depay FWD	21	5	3	4 -
A Ramalho DEF	20			4 -
J Martínez MID	20		1	10 1
G Henrique DEF	19	2		4 -
A Carrillo MID	18	1	1	3 -
G. Silva Inácio FWD	18	3	1	3 -
Cacá DEF	17	2		4 -
R Garro MID	17		3	6 -
R Lima MID	16			1 -
Charles MID	15	1		3 1
J Rodrigues DEF	12		1	3 -
F Torres DEF	9			1 -
H Hernández FWD	9	1		-
Hugo DEF	8			-
Vitinho FWD	8		1	-
D. da Cruz Lopes FWD	7			-
K Guimarães FWD	6			-
M Donelli GLK	5			1 -
F. Longo Fernandes da Silva GLK	4			-
L. Lemos Carvalho MID	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	21	3	9
Y Alberto	Y Alberto	Matheuzinho	R Garro

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Y Alberto FWD	8	21	2	2
M Depay FWD	5	18	3	3
Maycon MID	3	3		2
G. Silva Inácio FWD	3	3	1	1
Matheuzinho DEF	2	3	3	5
G Henrique DEF	2	9
Cacá DEF	2	4		1
B Bidon MID	1	3	1	4
Raniele MID	1	5	1	2
T Magno FWD	1	6	1	1
A Carrillo MID	1	2	1	3
Charles MID	1	2
H Hernández FWD	1	3
F Angileri DEF		1
Ángel Romero FWD		4	1	3
M Bidu DEF		4	2	6
A Ramalho DEF		3
J Martínez MID		3	1	2
R Garro MID		6	3	9
J Rodrigues DEF		2	1
F Torres DEF				1
Hugo DEF		1
Vitinho FWD		4	1	2
D. da Cruz Lopes FWD		1
K Guimarães FWD				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1317	59	156
A Ramalho	Matheuzinho	B Bidon

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Ramalho DEF	1317	26	76
Matheuzinho DEF	1256	59	109
B Bidon MID	1107	47	156
G Henrique DEF	1007	21	94
Cacá DEF	980	25	76
M Bidu DEF	931	33	125
F Angileri DEF	793	34	74
Raniele MID	786	44	132
A Carrillo MID	748	19	40
R Garro MID	730	11	82
Maycon MID	729	26	42
H Souza GLK	613		5
J Martínez MID	553	25	68
M Depay FWD	540	7	55
J Rodrigues DEF	490	18	36
F Torres DEF	395	11	20
Ángel Romero FWD	326	18	59
Y Alberto FWD	278	12	80
T Magno FWD	275	19	81
R Lima MID	233	19	39
Charles MID	197	18	29
Hugo DEF	150	6	24
G. Silva Inácio FWD	119	6	37
M Donelli GLK	113		2
Vitinho FWD	100	9	25
D. da Cruz Lopes FWD	95	3	13
F. Longo Fernandes da Silva GLK	94		1
K Guimarães FWD	75	1	8
H Hernández FWD	45	4	13
L. Lemos Carvalho MID	17	3	4

Sao Paulo Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
31	8	5	10
Rafael	Luciano	E Díaz	Luciano

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Rafael GLK	31			2 -
Luciano FWD	28	8	4	10 -
E Díaz DEF	27		5	10 -
D Bobadilla MID	27	3	1	4 -
Alisson MID	27		1	5 -
Sabino DEF	26	1		2 -
A Franco DEF	25			6 -
C Soares DEF	24		2	1 -
M Antônio MID	24		3	4 -
Ferreira FWD	24	5	3	3 -
N Ferraresi DEF	22		3	3 -
R Arboleda DEF	22	3		4 -
P Maia MID	20	1		3 -
A Silva FWD	20	5	2	5 -
Rodrigo MID	18			5 -
Wendell DEF	16		1	-
G Tapia FWD	15	4		4 -
L Moura FWD	11	2		-
M Maílton DEF	8			1 -
R. Rodrigues dos Santos Silva FWD	8	2		-
L Gustavo MID	7	1		-
E Rigoni FWD	7			1 1
J Dinenno FWD	7	1		2 -
M. Gomes Viegas DEF	6	1	2	3 -
Luan MID	6			-
Oscar MID	6			1 -
Patryck DEF	4			1 -
R Tolói DEF	3			-
F Negrucci MID	3			-
J Calleri FWD	3			1
Young GLK	2			-
L. Marques Alencar FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	23	5	8
Luciano	Luciano	E Díaz	E Díaz

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Luciano FWD	8	23	4	4
Ferreira FWD	5	12	3	6
A Silva FWD	5	9	2	3
G Tapia FWD	4	11
D Bobadilla MID	3	12	1	3
R Arboleda DEF	3	4
L Moura FWD	2	4		1
R. Rodrigues dos Santos Silva FWD	2	3
Sabino DEF	1	7		1
P Maia MID	1	1
L Gustavo MID	1	1		1
J Dinenno FWD	1	4
M. Gomes Viegas DEF	1	1	2	1
E Díaz DEF		3	5	8
Alisson MID		7	1	1
A Franco DEF				1
C Soares DEF			2	4
M Antônio MID		1	3	6
N Ferraresi DEF		2	3	3
Rodrigo MID		5
Wendell DEF			1	1
M Maílton DEF		2
E Rigoni FWD		2
Luan MID		1
Oscar MID		2		2
Patryck DEF		1
J Calleri FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1241	78	158
A Franco	E Díaz	E Díaz

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Franco DEF	1241	31	90
Alisson MID	1197	30	76
Sabino DEF	1122	26	96
R Arboleda DEF	1091	32	90
D Bobadilla MID	1052	44	78
M Antônio MID	962	16	46
N Ferraresi DEF	939	65	128
E Díaz DEF	849	78	158
C Soares DEF	752	32	57
P Maia MID	661	21	57
Rafael GLK	655	1	14
Luciano FWD	514	24	90
Ferreira FWD	480	18	107
Wendell DEF	377	20	54
Rodrigo MID	361	16	47
A Silva FWD	250	12	67
M. Gomes Viegas DEF	189	15	22
M Maílton DEF	176	4	20
G Tapia FWD	175	5	50
Oscar MID	173	2	13
L Gustavo MID	163	15	27
L Moura FWD	160	6	40
R Tolói DEF	114	10	14
Patryck DEF	90	2	9
Luan MID	88	2	8
F Negrucci MID	82	1	7
Young GLK	37		2
E Rigoni FWD	36		6
J Dinenno FWD	35	3	14
R. Rodrigues dos Santos Silva FWD	28		9
J Calleri FWD	14	2	5
L. Marques Alencar FWD	6	1	1