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Flamengo v Bahia : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, Rio de Janeiro

Sunday morning at the Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, and it’s a Serie A showdown between Flamengo and Bahia. Filipe Luis Kasmirski and Rogério Mücke Ceni will be doing all they can to guide their side to the win. Our predictions are based on extensive statistical analysis of each side, across seventeen of the biggest markets. The data and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head-to-head statistics are included for all.

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Flamengo's next match is v Botafogo at 22:30 on Sunday 18th May
Bahia's next match is v Vitoria at 20:00 on Sunday 18th May
The last Brazillian Serie A meeting between Flamengo and Bahia was on Sunday 11th May 2025
Brazillian Serie A
May 11th 2025
Flamengo 1
0 Bahia
 
G. De Arrascaeta Benedetti 8'
 
FLA
BAH
Shots On
5
2
Shots Off
3
4
Corners
8
2
Possession
61%
39%
Fouls
11
9
Yellow/red cards
0/1
1/0
 
FlamengoBahia
 
A. Rossi
G. Varela Olivera
A. Lobo Silva
L. Pereira
L. Rech Ortiz
G. Santos da Silva
G. De Arrascaeta Benedettifootball icon (P. Abreu dos Santos 81')
E. Pulgar Farfán (E. Fernandes Araújo 39')
A. Rodrigues de Souza (L. de Araujo Guimarães Neto 15')
M. Delgado de Oliveira (W. de Souza Barreto 81')
B. Pinto (E. Sousa Soares 80')
M. de Freitas Monteiro
G. Lhman Xavier
(E. da Costa Farias 62') Luciano
I. Amaral Borduchi
S. Ramos Mingo
(T. Souza de Jesus Carvalho 81') R. Bertalia
N. Acevedo Tabárez
(É. de Barros Ribeiro 62') J. de Souza Oliveira
J. de Rezende Miranda
(W. da Silva 81') L. Rodríguez Rosales
(C. Oliveira Souza 62') K. da Silva Chagas

Best Tip: Flamengo to win

As training goes on this week and the Flamengo players ready themselves for this match, the bookies have predicted a win for them. The odds and our pre-match statistics below suggest the same, as does the historical head-to-head (H2H) record we use in our predictive algorithms. The Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho hasn't been a happy hunting ground for for Bahia in the past, and we we think that will be the case again on Sunday morning. A win / draw / win home win is our tip.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Flamengo are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 67% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.40.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Flamengo
67%
21/50
21%
-
Draw
20%
7/2
29%
-
Bahia
13%
7/1
78%
-
Flamengo 2-0
12%
11/2
13%
-
Flamengo 1-0
12%
11/2
18%
-
Flamengo 2-1
10%
15/2
6%
-
Draw 1-1
9%
15/2
21%
-
Flamengo 3-0
9%
8/1
40%
-
Flamengo 3-1
7%
11/1
29%
-
Draw 0-0
6%
9/1
33%
-
Bahia 1-0
5%
16/1
79%
-
Flamengo 4-0
4%
16/1
50%
-
Draw 2-2
4%
20/1-
Bahia 2-1
4%
22/1
53%
-
Flamengo 4-1
3%
22/1
44%
-
Flamengo 3-2
3%
28/1
29%
-
Flamengo 5-0
2%
33/1
49%
-
Bahia 2-0
2%
40/1
95%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
17/20
23%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
19/20
27%
-
Home 1st Goal
60%
2/7
16%
-
Away 1st Goal
37%
3/1
29%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
9/1
33%
-
BTTS - Yes
47%
21/20
7%
-
BTTS - No
53%
7/10
5%
-
BTTS - Home Win
27%
5/2
30%
-
BTTS - Draw
14%
5/1
9%
-
BTTS - Away Win
6%
14/1
36%
-
Home/draw
87%
1/12
8%
-
Away/draw
33%
7/4
41%
-
Home/away
80%
2/11
9%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
2/7
14%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
11/4
43%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
11/5
29%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
4/11
13%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
5/1
40%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/8
6%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
12/1
38%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/25
3%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/20
3%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/1
47%
-
Home DNB
81%
1/8
16%
-
Away DNB
27%
5/1
85%
-
Flamengo win to nil
40%
6/5
16%
-
Bahia win to nil
7%
12/1
100%
-
Flamengo / Flamengo
40%
11/10
27%
-
Flamengo / Bahia
2%
50/1
24%
-
Flamengo / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
-
Draw / Flamengo
21%
3/1
11%
-
Draw / Bahia
6%
14/1
67%
-
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2
44%
-
Bahia / Flamengo
4%
20/1
28%
-
Bahia / Bahia
6%
12/1
63%
-
Bahia / Draw
4%
18/1
12%
-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Flamengo 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
Draw
6
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Flamengo4 - 0Corinthians
Flamengo6 - 0Juventude
Flamengo1 - 1Internacional
Flamengo2 - 2Vitoria
Flamengo3 - 2Internacional
Flamengo0 - 0A Mineiro
Flamengo4 - 2Juventude
Flamengo0 - 2Fluminense
Flamengo1 - 0Athletico PR
Flamengo1 - 1Vasco d Gama
Flamengo2 - 1Bragantino
Flamengo1 - 1Palmeiras
Flamengo2 - 0Atletico Go
Flamengo2 - 1Criciuma
Flamengo1 - 2Fortaleza
Flamengo1 - 1Cuiaba
Flamengo2 - 1Cruzeiro
Flamengo2 - 1Bahia
Flamengo2 - 1Gremio
Flamengo2 - 0Corinthians
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AFlamengo1 - 2Cruzeiro
HFlamengo4 - 0Corinthians
AFlamengo0 - 0Vasco d Gama
HFlamengo6 - 0Juventude
AFlamengo2 - 0Gremio
AFlamengo2 - 1Vitoria
HFlamengo1 - 1Internacional
HFlamengo2 - 2Vitoria
AFlamengo3 - 0Criciuma
HFlamengo3 - 2Internacional
AFlamengo0 - 0Fortaleza
AFlamengo2 - 1Cuiaba
HFlamengo0 - 0A Mineiro
AFlamengo1 - 0Cruzeiro
AFlamengo1 - 1Internacional
HFlamengo4 - 2Juventude
HFlamengo0 - 2Fluminense
AFlamengo2 - 0Bahia
HFlamengo1 - 0Athletico PR
AFlamengo2 - 3Gremio
Bahia 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Palmeiras0 - 1Bahia
Cruzeiro3 - 0Bahia
Santos2 - 2Bahia
Corinthians3 - 0Bahia
Cuiaba1 - 2Bahia
Juventude2 - 1Bahia
Vasco d Gama3 - 2Bahia
Cruzeiro1 - 1Bahia
Fortaleza4 - 1Bahia
Bragantino2 - 1Bahia
Gremio0 - 2Bahia
Fluminense1 - 0Bahia
Atletico Go1 - 1Bahia
Athletico PR1 - 3Bahia
Palmeiras2 - 0Bahia
Sao Paulo3 - 1Bahia
Flamengo2 - 1Bahia
Criciuma2 - 2Bahia
A Mineiro1 - 1Bahia
Botafogo1 - 2Bahia
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBahia1 - 0Botafogo
ABahia1 - 0Palmeiras
HBahia1 - 0Ceara
ABahia0 - 3Cruzeiro
HBahia1 - 1Mirassol
ABahia2 - 2Santos
HBahia1 - 1Corinthians
HBahia2 - 0Atletico Go
ABahia0 - 3Corinthians
ABahia2 - 1Cuiaba
HBahia1 - 1Athletico PR
HBahia1 - 2Palmeiras
ABahia1 - 2Juventude
HBahia0 - 3Sao Paulo
ABahia2 - 3Vasco d Gama
ABahia1 - 1Cruzeiro
HBahia0 - 2Flamengo
HBahia1 - 0Criciuma
ABahia1 - 4Fortaleza
HBahia3 - 0A Mineiro
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
9
Flamengo have beaten Bahia in 9 consecutive league meetings
9
Flamengo have not lost to Bahia in 9 consecutive league meetings
League games at Flamengo since 2018
Flamengo
Bahia
Goals: Scored
15
5
Games: Scored
6 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
0 / 6
FLA
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Flamengo
Flamengo2 - 1
Flamengo1 - 0
Flamengo3 - 0
Flamengo4 - 3
Flamengo3 - 1
Flamengo2 - 0
League games at Bahia since 2018
Bahia
Flamengo
Goals: Scored
8
15
Games: Scored
3 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
3 / 6
FLA
4
D
1
BAH
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bahia
0 - 2Flamengo
2 - 3Flamengo
0 - 5Flamengo
3 - 5Flamengo
Bahia3 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics

A truly dismal PG of just 0.8 should cause concerns for Bahia fans, as should a 5 Serie A games run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Flamengo 2nd Bahia 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
15%
There is a 61% probability that Flamengo will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 82% probability of Bahia scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+17
Flamengo have scored 17% more goals at home than predicted
+5
Bahia’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.0
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/294522/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Flamengo
PG (predicted goals)
Bahia
2.1
0.8
Attack rating
21%
better
FLA
BAH
view stats
Games scored6
6
Failed to score1
1
Scored first4
5
Goals scored16
7
Avg. goals scored2.3
1
Avg. shots per game12
9
Avg. shots per goal5
9
Conversion rate for19
11
Avg. XG for1.4
1.4
KickOff rating
+21%
Defence rating
19%
better
FLA
BAH
view stats
Games conceded3
4
Clean sheets4
3
Conceded first2
2
Goals conceded4
7
Avg. goals conceded0.6
1
Avg. shots/game conceded6
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
10
Conversion rate against10%
10%
Avg. XG against0.8
1.2
KickOff rating
+19%

Flamengo v Bahia Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Flamengo Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8732
A RossiG ArrascaetaG ArrascaetaE Farfán
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Rossi GLK8
-
G Varela DEF3
-
L Ortiz  DEF7
1
-
L Pereira DEF81
1
-
A Sandro DEF6
-
E Farfán MID81
2
-
Allan MID5
-
Gerson MID72
1
G Arrascaeta MID773
-
Michael MID73
-
B Henrique FWD81
-
Subs
M Cunha GLK
-
Ayrton DEF4
1
-
Danilo DEF11
-
Wesley DEF71
2
-
J. de Souza Cunha DEF
-
E. Fernandes Araújo MID2
-
W Barreto MID2
-
L Araújo FWD71
-
Pedro FWD541
-
Éverton FWD811
-
M Gonçalves FWD2
-
Juninho FWD4
-
Bahia Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8133
S MingoL JubaL JubaS Suay
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Felipe GLK5
-
Iago DEF4
-
G Xavier DEF3
1
-
S Mingo DEF8
1
-
L Juba DEF813
-
N Acevedo MID5
-
Rezende MID1
-
J Lucas MID7
1
-
R Nestor FWD4
-
L Rodriguez FWD7
1
-
Kayky FWD41
-
Subs
D Fernandes  GLK
-
D Duarte DEF5
-
K. Fernandes Braga DEF
-
F. Lippert Neto Gomes DEF1
-
Cauly MID712
1
-
S Suay MID71
2
1
M Araújo MID1
-
R. Barbosa Sousa FWD1
-
T. Souza de Jesus Carvalho FWD2
-
W José FWD6
-
E Pulga FWD811
-