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Flamengo v Cruzeiro : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, Rio de Janeiro

Filipe Luis Kasmirski's Flamengo side enjoy home advantage in the Serie A on Thursday morning, as Adenor Leonardo Bacchi's Cruzeiro visit the Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho. Our aim is to give you all the tools you need to make a smart, well-informed bet on this tie, so we've searched our expansive database and found the statistics that will help you do exactly that. Head-to-head and recent form is included, and it all goes into our algorithmic predictions. The best odds are there to make sure you get the best return.

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Flamengo's next match is v Botafogo at 23:30 on Saturday 14th March
Cruzeiro's next match is v Vasco d Gama at 23:30 on Sunday 15th March

The last Brazillian Serie A meeting between Flamengo and Cruzeiro was on Thursday 12th March 2026

Brazillian Serie A

March 12th 2026

Flamengo 2	0 Cruzeiro

P. Abreu dos Santos 5'
J. Carrascal Guardo 90'

	FLA CRU
Shots On	7 4
Shots Off	6 3
Corners	4 7
Possession	44% 56%
Fouls	17 13
Yellow/red cards	2/0 2/0

Flamengo	Cruzeiro

A. Rossi L. Rech Ortiz L. Pereira E. Pulgar Farfán G. De Arrascaeta Benedetti (L. de Araujo Guimarães Neto 89') P. Abreu dos Santos (W. de Souza Barreto 89') E. Sousa Soares (S. Dias Lino 65') E. Leite de Souza Junior (G. Varela Olivera 74') A. Lobo Silva L. Tolentino Coelho de Lima (J. Carrascal Guardo 74') J. Frello Filho	(M. Cunha Queiroz 62') C. Ramos K. da Silva F. Soares de Faria (K. Arroyo Alvarado 86') F. Conserva Lemos M. de Souza M. Costa Pereira (W. Maciel Sousa Campos 76') G. Santos da Silva (J. de Oliveira 86') L. Silva Borges (F. da Costa Aragão 60') N. Villareal L. Villalba C. Alves Cardoso

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We're ruling out a bore-draw or a narrow 1-0 win here, and instead we're predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Flamengo and Cruzeiro will score a minimum of 2 between them during 90 mins. It's a tip based on form stats for each side, as well as past records of their head-to-head clashes. We give it a probability of 76%. Bookies have it at 1.29.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Flamengo are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 60% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.53.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Flamengo 60%	23/50 3%	8/15 6%
Draw 22%	16/5 11%	16/5 8%
Cruzeiro 18%	11/2 9%	5/1 9%
Flamengo 1-0 12%	11/2 7%	5/1 8%
Flamengo 2-0 11%	6/1 7%	11/2 7%
Draw 1-1 11%	13/2 14%	13/2
Flamengo 2-1 10%	15/2	13/2
Flamengo 3-0 7%	9/1 8%	8/1 5%
Draw 0-0 6%	10/1	17/2 6%
Flamengo 3-1 6%	12/1	10/1
Cruzeiro 1-0 6%	14/1	11/1
Cruzeiro 2-1 5%	20/1	14/1
Draw 2-2 4%	18/1 12%	14/1 15%
Flamengo 4-0 3%	20/1 9%	14/1 12%
Flamengo 4-1 3%	22/1 12%	18/1
Flamengo 3-2 3%	28/1 12%	22/1
Cruzeiro 2-0 3%	33/1 17%	22/1 10%
Cruzeiro 3-1 1%	50/1 24%	33/1
Over 2.5 Goals 52%	9/10 3%	17/20 1%
Under 2.5 Goals 48%	9/10 3%	17/20 3%
Home 1st Goal 56%	4/9 4%	4/9 3%
Away 1st Goal 40%	2/1 4%	9/4 5%
No 1st Goal 4%	10/1	17/2 6%
BTTS - Yes 50%	1/1 5%	21/20 5%
BTTS - No 50%	3/4 8%	7/10 5%
BTTS - Home Win 26%	13/5	5/2
BTTS - Draw 16%	9/2 10%	9/2 5%
BTTS - Away Win 9%	12/1 9%	9/1 11%
Home/draw 82%	1/9 3%	1/8 2%
Away/draw 40%	6/4 9%	29/20 9%
Home/away 78%	2/9 5%	2/9 2%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%	2/7	2/7
Under 1.5 Goals 24%	11/4	12/5 3%
Over 3.5 Goals 30%	12/5 6%	21/10 3%
Under 3.5 Goals 70%	1/3 2%	1/3 1%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%	5/1	19/4 5%
Under 4.5 Goals 85%	1/8	1/9 1%
Over 5.5 Goals 6%	12/1	10/1 9%
Under 5.5 Goals 94%	1/25	1/33
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	1/20	1/20 1%
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	10/1	17/2
Home DNB 75%	1/6 2%	2/11 4%
Away DNB 34%	4/1 4%	17/5 15%
Flamengo win to nil 34%	11/8 10%	-
Cruzeiro win to nil 9%	10/1	-
Flamengo / Flamengo 34%	13/10 4%	5/4 5%
Flamengo / Cruzeiro 2%	40/1	33/1 17%
Flamengo / Draw 5%	14/1	14/1 15%
Draw / Flamengo 19%	10/3	16/5 5%
Draw / Cruzeiro 8%	12/1 9%	10/1 10%
Draw / Draw 14%	5/1	19/4 5%
Cruzeiro / Flamengo 4%	20/1	16/1
Cruzeiro / Cruzeiro 9%	10/1 16%	8/1 13%
Cruzeiro / Draw 5%	16/1	14/1 15%

Win / draw / win form

Flamengo have not lost in 24 consecutive home league games

Cruzeiro have not won in 7 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

7 / 20

Clean sheets

13 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Flamengo	1 - 1	Internacional
Flamengo	1 - 0	Ceara
Flamengo	3 - 0	Bragantino
Flamengo	3 - 2	Santos
Flamengo	3 - 0	S. Recife
Flamengo	3 - 2	Palmeiras
Flamengo	0 - 0	Cruzeiro
Flamengo	1 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Flamengo	1 - 1	Gremio
Flamengo	8 - 0	Vitoria
Flamengo	2 - 1	Mirassol
Flamengo	1 - 0	A Mineiro
Flamengo	1 - 0	Fluminense
Flamengo	2 - 0	Sao Paulo
Flamengo	5 - 0	Fortaleza
Flamengo	0 - 0	Botafogo
Flamengo	1 - 0	Bahia
Flamengo	4 - 0	Corinthians
Flamengo	6 - 0	Juventude
Flamengo	1 - 1	Internacional

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Flamengo	2 - 1	Vitoria
H	Flamengo	1 - 1	Internacional
A	Flamengo	1 - 2	Sao Paulo
A	Flamengo	3 - 3	Mirassol
H	Flamengo	1 - 0	Ceara
A	Flamengo	1 - 1	A Mineiro
H	Flamengo	3 - 0	Bragantino
A	Flamengo	1 - 2	Fluminense
A	Flamengo	5 - 1	S. Recife
H	Flamengo	3 - 2	Santos
A	Flamengo	2 - 2	Sao Paulo
H	Flamengo	3 - 0	S. Recife
A	Flamengo	0 - 1	Fortaleza
H	Flamengo	3 - 2	Palmeiras
A	Flamengo	3 - 0	Botafogo
A	Flamengo	0 - 1	Bahia
H	Flamengo	0 - 0	Cruzeiro
A	Flamengo	2 - 1	Corinthians
H	Flamengo	1 - 1	Vasco d Gama
A	Flamengo	2 - 0	Juventude

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Draw

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Mirassol	2 - 2	Cruzeiro
Botafogo	4 - 0	Cruzeiro
Santos	3 - 0	Cruzeiro
Ceara	1 - 1	Cruzeiro
Juventude	3 - 3	Cruzeiro
Gremio	0 - 1	Cruzeiro
Palmeiras	0 - 0	Cruzeiro
A Mineiro	1 - 1	Cruzeiro
Flamengo	0 - 0	Cruzeiro
Vasco d Gama	2 - 0	Cruzeiro
Bahia	1 - 2	Cruzeiro
Mirassol	1 - 1	Cruzeiro
Botafogo	0 - 2	Cruzeiro
Corinthians	0 - 0	Cruzeiro
Fluminense	0 - 2	Cruzeiro
Vitoria	0 - 0	Cruzeiro
Fortaleza	0 - 2	Cruzeiro
S. Recife	0 - 4	Cruzeiro
Bragantino	1 - 0	Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo	1 - 1	Cruzeiro

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Cruzeiro	1 - 1	Corinthians
A	Cruzeiro	2 - 2	Mirassol
H	Cruzeiro	1 - 2	Cortiba
A	Cruzeiro	0 - 4	Botafogo
A	Cruzeiro	0 - 3	Santos
H	Cruzeiro	2 - 2	Botafogo
A	Cruzeiro	1 - 1	Ceara
H	Cruzeiro	3 - 0	Corinthians
A	Cruzeiro	3 - 3	Juventude
H	Cruzeiro	0 - 0	Fluminense
A	Cruzeiro	1 - 0	Gremio
H	Cruzeiro	3 - 1	Vitoria
A	Cruzeiro	0 - 0	Palmeiras
H	Cruzeiro	1 - 0	Fortaleza
A	Cruzeiro	1 - 1	A Mineiro
H	Cruzeiro	1 - 1	S. Recife
A	Cruzeiro	0 - 0	Flamengo
A	Cruzeiro	0 - 2	Vasco d Gama
H	Cruzeiro	2 - 1	Bragantino
A	Cruzeiro	2 - 1	Bahia

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Flamengo have not lost to Cruzeiro in 5 consecutive home league meetings

Flamengo

Cruzeiro

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 5

3 / 5

Clean sheets

2 / 5

1 / 5

FLA

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Flamengo
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Flamengo	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Flamengo	3 - 1
Flamengo	1 - 0

Cruzeiro

Flamengo

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

2 / 5

5 / 5

Clean sheets

0 / 5

3 / 5

FLA

CRU

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro	2 - 1
	0 - 1	Flamengo
	0 - 2	Flamengo
	1 - 2	Flamengo
	0 - 2	Flamengo

Goal Statistics

Flamengo have been reliable in front of goal of late, scoring in 12 consecutive Serie A outings. Their PG of 1.9 against Cruzeiro on Thursday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

	Flamengo 4th	Cruzeiro 19th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.9 goals	0.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 16% 1 29% 2 27% 3 17% 4+ 12% There is a 84% probability that Flamengo will score 1 or more goals	0 40% 1 37% 2 17% 3 4+ There is a 77% probability of Cruzeiro scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+19 Flamengo have scored 19% more goals at home than predicted	+3 Cruzeiro’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	2.4 average goals scored	1.1 average goals scored
	0.5 conceded	1.0 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season

16%

better

FLA

CRU

view stats

Games scored	3		3
Failed to score	0		1
Scored first	2		3
Goals scored	4		4
Avg. goals scored	1.3		1
Avg. shots per game	9		9
Avg. shots per goal	7		9
Conversion rate for	15		12
Avg. XG for	1.3		1.3
KickOff rating		+16%

21%

better

FLA

CRU

view stats

Games conceded	3		4
Clean sheets	0		0
Conceded first	1		1
Goals conceded	4		9
Avg. goals conceded	1.3		2.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	7		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	5		4
Conversion rate against	19%		26%
Avg. XG against	0.9		1.4
KickOff rating		+21%

Flamengo v Cruzeiro Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Flamengo Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
3	1	1	1
A Rossi	E Farfán	L Ortiz	L Pereira

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Rossi GLK	3			-
E Royal DEF	2			-
L Ortiz DEF	3		1	-
L Pereira DEF	3			1 -
A Sandro DEF	3			1 -
E Farfán MID	3	1		-
Jorginho MID	1			-
L Paquetá MID	2			-
G Arrascaeta MID	3	1		-
Éverton MID	3	1	1	1 -
Pedro FWD	3		1	-
Subs
Andrew GLK				-
Ayrton DEF				-
Danilo DEF				-
V Vitão DEF				-
G Varela DEF	2			1 -
J Carrascal MID	3			-
S Lino MID	3			1 -
N Cruz MID	2			-
E. Fernandes Araújo MID	3			1 -
G Plata FWD	2	1		-
W Barreto FWD				-
L Araújo FWD				-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	3	1	1
E Farfán	G Plata	L Ortiz	L Ortiz

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
E Farfán MID	1	1
G Arrascaeta MID	1	1		1
Éverton MID	1	2	1	1
Subs
G Plata FWD	1	3
L Ortiz DEF			1	1
A Sandro DEF				1
L Paquetá MID		1
Pedro FWD		1	1	1
Subs
J Carrascal MID		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
210	5	15
L Pereira	Pedro	A Sandro

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
L Pereira DEF	210	1	10
L Ortiz DEF	206	3	9
A Sandro DEF	165	3	15
E Farfán MID	157	3	13
G Arrascaeta MID	93	4	8
Subs
G Varela DEF	89	3	8
E. Fernandes Araújo MID	85	2	3
E Royal DEF	78	3	7
Éverton MID	66	4	14
Subs
N Cruz MID	66	3	8
A Rossi GLK	65
Subs
J Carrascal MID	57	1	8
G Plata FWD	54	2	6
L Paquetá MID	50	2	11
Subs
S Lino MID	41	4	11
Jorginho MID	40	1	1
Pedro FWD	30	5	11

Cruzeiro Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
4	2	0	2
C Cássio	M Pereira		M Pereira

Line-up	Appserances	goals	cards
C Cássio GLK	4		-
Fagner DEF	4		-
F Bruno DEF	4		1 -
L Villalba DEF	1		-
Kaiki DEF	4		1 -
M Henrique MID	4		-
L Silva MID	4		1 -
Christian MID	4		-
M Pereira MID	4	2	2 -
Gerson MID	4		1 -
N. Villareal FWD			-
Subs
M Cunha GLK			-
K. Moraes Silva DEF			-
J Alves DEF	1		-
K. de Almeida DEF	1		-
J Marcelo DEF	3		-
Walace MID			-
M. Rhikman Alves Pimentel MID			-
J. de Oliveira MID			-
K. Takamura Correa FWD	2		1 -
Chico FWD			-
Wanderson FWD	3	1	-
K. Arroyo Alvarado FWD	3		-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	4	0	1
M Pereira	M Pereira		Kaiki

Line-up	goals	shots on	big chances
M Pereira MID	2	4
Subs
Wanderson FWD	1	1
Kaiki DEF		1	1
L Silva MID			1
Christian MID		2
Gerson MID		1	1
Subs
K. Arroyo Alvarado FWD		1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
263	7	27
F Bruno	Fagner	M Pereira

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
F Bruno DEF	263	7	19
M Pereira MID	138	3	27
Fagner DEF	132	7	12
Gerson MID	125	4	12
Subs
J Marcelo DEF	120	2	5
Kaiki DEF	117	6	18
L Silva MID	96	4	6
Christian MID	87	3	7
C Cássio GLK	71		3
M Henrique MID	54	4	7
L Villalba DEF	51	2	3
Subs
J Alves DEF	42		1
K. Arroyo Alvarado FWD	39	1	7
Wanderson FWD	38	1	4
K. de Almeida DEF	5
K. Takamura Correa FWD	4	2	3