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Gremio v Vasco da Gama : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 20th Nov, 00:30 BST, Arena do Grêmio, Rio

Fernando Diniz Silva pays counterpart Luiz Antônio Venker de Menezes a visit on Thursday morning in the Serie A, as their Vasco da Gama and Gremio teams go head to head at the Arena do Grêmio. For every Serie A match preview, KickOff dives into the statistics for all of the biggest markets. Key stats, including head-to-head results, are then published alongside odds from leading bookmakers.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We predict there's very little chance of a bore-draw or a slim 1-0 win here, and instead we're predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Gremio and Vasco d Gama will score a minimum of 2 between them during 90 minutes. It's a tip based on form stats for each side, as well as their historic head-to-heads. We give it a probability of 75%. Bookmakers have it at 1.29.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Gremio are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 40% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.25.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Gremio 40%	2.20 2%	2.25
Draw 26%	3.50 6%	3.50
Vasco d Gama 34%	3.10	3.00
Draw 1-1 12%	6.50	6.50
Gremio 1-0 9%	8.50 31%	7.50
Gremio 2-1 9%	9.00 5%	8.00
Vasco d Gama 1-0 9%	11.00 38%	9.00
Vasco d Gama 2-1 8%	11.00 8%	9.50
Gremio 2-0 7%	11.00 10%	10.00
Draw 0-0 7%	11.00 38%	9.00
Draw 2-2 6%	13.00 24%	12.00
Vasco d Gama 2-0 6%	17.00 13%	13.00
Gremio 3-1 4%	17.00 19%	15.00
Vasco d Gama 3-1 3%	23.00 21%	19.00
Gremio 3-0 3%	21.00	17.00
Gremio 3-2 3%	26.00 24%	19.00
Vasco d Gama 3-2 2%	29.00 29%	23.00
Vasco d Gama 3-0 2%	34.00	23.00
Over 2.5 Goals 51%	1.85 18%	1.83
Under 2.5 Goals 49%	1.95 20%	1.91
Home 1st Goal 49%	1.80 2%	1.83
Away 1st Goal 47%	2.10 7%	2.20
No 1st Goal 4%	11.00 38%	9.00
BTTS - Yes 55%	1.70 13%	1.70
BTTS - No 45%	2.05 14%	2.05
BTTS - Home Win 19%	4.33 21%	4.20
BTTS - Draw 19%	4.50 5%	4.33
BTTS - Away Win 17%	6.00 14%	5.25
Home/draw 66%	1.36	1.36
Away/draw 60%	1.67 3%	1.62
Home/away 74%	1.29 3%	1.30
Over 1.5 Goals 75%	1.29 8%	1.29
Under 1.5 Goals 25%	3.75 25%	3.40
Over 3.5 Goals 29%	3.20 26%	3.00
Under 3.5 Goals 71%	1.36 11%	1.35
Over 4.5 Goals 14%	6.00 33%	5.75
Under 4.5 Goals 86%	1.13 6%	1.12
Over 5.5 Goals 6%	13.00 32%	11.00
Under 5.5 Goals 94%	1.04 2%	1.03
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	1.05 3%	1.05
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	11.00 38%	9.50
Home DNB 58%	1.57 3%	1.62
Away DNB 52%	2.25 2%	2.15
Gremio win to nil 21%	4.00 14%	-
Vasco d Gama win to nil 18%	5.50 10%	-
Gremio / Gremio 23%	3.50 7%	3.50
Gremio / Vasco d Gama 3%	29.00 15%	23.00
Gremio / Draw 6%	13.00 13%	12.00
Draw / Gremio 15%	5.50	5.25
Draw / Vasco d Gama 12%	7.00	6.50
Draw / Draw 15%	5.50 16%	5.00
Vasco d Gama / Gremio 4%	23.00 21%	19.00
Vasco d Gama / Vasco d Gama 17%	5.00 9%	4.60
Vasco d Gama / Draw 6%	15.00	12.00

Win / draw / win form

Vasco d Gama have lost 3 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Gremio	0 - 1	Cruzeiro
Gremio	3 - 1	Juventude
Gremio	2 - 0	Sao Paulo
Gremio	3 - 1	Vitoria
Gremio	1 - 1	Botafogo
Gremio	0 - 1	Mirassol
Gremio	0 - 0	Ceara
Gremio	0 - 1	S. Recife
Gremio	2 - 1	Fortaleza
Gremio	1 - 1	Corinthians
Gremio	1 - 0	Bahia
Gremio	1 - 1	Bragantino
Gremio	1 - 0	Santos
Gremio	1 - 1	Internacional
Gremio	0 - 2	Flamengo
Gremio	2 - 1	A Mineiro
Gremio	0 - 3	Corinthians
Gremio	2 - 1	Sao Paulo
Gremio	2 - 2	Juventude
Gremio	3 - 1	Atletico Go

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Gremio	2 - 2	Fortaleza
H	Gremio	0 - 1	Cruzeiro
A	Gremio	0 - 2	Corinthians
H	Gremio	3 - 1	Juventude
A	Gremio	0 - 4	Bahia
H	Gremio	2 - 0	Sao Paulo
A	Gremio	0 - 1	Bragantino
A	Gremio	1 - 1	Santos
H	Gremio	3 - 1	Vitoria
H	Gremio	1 - 1	Botafogo
A	Gremio	3 - 2	Internacional
H	Gremio	0 - 1	Mirassol
A	Gremio	1 - 1	Flamengo
H	Gremio	0 - 0	Ceara
A	Gremio	3 - 1	A Mineiro
H	Gremio	0 - 1	S. Recife
A	Gremio	0 - 1	Fluminense
H	Gremio	2 - 1	Fortaleza
A	Gremio	0 - 1	Palmeiras
A	Gremio	1 - 1	Vasco d Gama

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Botafogo	3 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Bragantino	0 - 3	Vasco d Gama
Fortaleza	0 - 2	Vasco d Gama
Palmeiras	3 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Flamengo	1 - 1	Vasco d Gama
S. Recife	2 - 3	Vasco d Gama
Juventude	2 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Santos	0 - 6	Vasco d Gama
Mirassol	3 - 2	Vasco d Gama
Internacional	1 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Sao Paulo	1 - 3	Vasco d Gama
Fluminense	2 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Vitoria	2 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Cruzeiro	1 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Ceara	2 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Corinthians	3 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Cuiaba	1 - 2	Vasco d Gama
Corinthians	3 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Fortaleza	3 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Botafogo	3 - 0	Vasco d Gama

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Vasco d Gama	1 - 3	Juventude
A	Vasco d Gama	0 - 3	Botafogo
H	Vasco d Gama	0 - 2	Sao Paulo
A	Vasco d Gama	3 - 0	Bragantino
H	Vasco d Gama	2 - 0	Fluminense
A	Vasco d Gama	2 - 0	Fortaleza
H	Vasco d Gama	4 - 3	Vitoria
A	Vasco d Gama	0 - 3	Palmeiras
H	Vasco d Gama	2 - 0	Cruzeiro
H	Vasco d Gama	3 - 1	Bahia
A	Vasco d Gama	1 - 1	Flamengo
H	Vasco d Gama	2 - 2	Ceara
A	Vasco d Gama	3 - 2	S. Recife
H	Vasco d Gama	2 - 3	Corinthians
A	Vasco d Gama	0 - 2	Juventude
A	Vasco d Gama	6 - 0	Santos
H	Vasco d Gama	1 - 1	A Mineiro
A	Vasco d Gama	2 - 3	Mirassol
A	Vasco d Gama	1 - 1	Internacional
H	Vasco d Gama	1 - 1	Gremio

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Gremio have beaten Vasco d Gama in 6 consecutive home league meetings

Gremio have not lost to Vasco d Gama in 6 consecutive home league meetings

Gremio

Vasco d Gama

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 6

3 / 6

Clean sheets

3 / 6

0 / 6

GRE

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Gremio
Gremio		1 - 0
Gremio		1 - 0
Gremio		2 - 1
Gremio		4 - 0
Gremio		2 - 1
Gremio		2 - 1

Vasco d Gama

Gremio

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 7

3 / 7

Clean sheets

4 / 7

2 / 7

GRE

VDG

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Vasco d Gama
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Vasco d Gama	2 - 1
Vasco d Gama	1 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	1 - 3	Gremio
Vasco d Gama	1 - 0

Goal Statistics

	Gremio 14th	Vasco d Gama 10th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.4 goals	1.3 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 24% 1 34% 2 24% 3 12% 4+ There is a 76% probability that Gremio will score 1 or more goals	0 28% 1 36% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 64% probability that Vasco d Gama will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-5 Gremio’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+29 Vasco d Gama have scored 29% more goals when away than predicted
	1.3 average goals scored	1.4 average goals scored
	1.0 conceded	1.8 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season

GRE

VDG

14%

better

view stats

Games scored	22		23
Failed to score	11		10
Scored first	14		16
Goals scored	35		50
Avg. goals scored	1.1		1.5
Avg. shots per game	9		10
Avg. shots per goal	8		7
Conversion rate for	12		15
Avg. XG for	1.2		1.3
KickOff rating		+14%

better

GRE

VDG

view stats

Games conceded	28		26
Clean sheets	5		7
Conceded first	18		16
Goals conceded	43		49
Avg. goals conceded	1.3		1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded	11		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	9		7
Conversion rate against	12%		15%
Avg. XG against	1.6		1.5
KickOff rating		0%

Gremio v Vasco d Gama Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Gremio Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
28	7	2	9
T Volpi	C Vinícius	Marlon	W Kannemann

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
T Volpi GLK	28	2		2 -
Dodi MID	28			7 1
Edenilson MID	27	3	1	6 -
Marlon DEF	26	1	2	6 -
A. da Rocha dos Santos FWD	26	1	2	4 -
Wagner DEF	25		1	2 -
F Cristaldo MID	25		2	1 -
C Pavón FWD	23		2	6 -
C Olivera FWD	22	2		3 -
André FWD	21	3	2	3 -
A Guzmán FWD	20	3		1 -
W Kannemann DEF	19			8 1
F Amuzu FWD	19	2	2	2 -
M Braithwaite FWD	18	6	1	3 -
M Villasanti MID	16			5 -
G Martins DEF	15	1		2 -
Camilo MID	14			1 -
E Mola DEF	13			2 -
G Cuéllar MID	12			2 -
Arthur MID	10			1 1
R. Freitas dos Santos MID	10			-
C Vinícius FWD	10	7	1	2 1
Jemerson DEF	9	1		3 -
M Monsalve MID	9		1	2 -
J Lucas DEF	8			1 -
A Santana MID	8			4 -
M Rocha DEF	7			1 -
L Esteves DEF	7			1 -
J Pedro DEF	7			-
G Grando GLK	6			1 1
F Balbuena DEF	3	1		-
Willian FWD	3		1	-
V Lopes DEF	2			-
R Ely DEF	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	16	2	8
C Vinícius	M Braithwaite	Marlon	Marlon

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
C Vinícius FWD	7	9	1	2
M Braithwaite FWD	6	16	1	1
Edenilson MID	3	9	1	4
André FWD	3	11	2	2
A Guzmán FWD	3	6		2
T Volpi GLK	2	2
C Olivera FWD	2	10		1
F Amuzu FWD	2	10	2	2
Marlon DEF	1	6	2	8
A. da Rocha dos Santos FWD	1	11	2	5
G Martins DEF	1	7		1
Jemerson DEF	1	2
F Balbuena DEF	1	1
Dodi MID		1		1
Wagner DEF		5	1	2
F Cristaldo MID		3	2	4
C Pavón FWD		6	2	5
W Kannemann DEF		2		1
Camilo MID		1		1
Arthur MID		3
R. Freitas dos Santos MID		1		2
M Monsalve MID		1	1
J Lucas DEF				1
A Santana MID		1
M Rocha DEF				1
L Esteves DEF		1
J Pedro DEF		3
Willian FWD			1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
999	62	170
Marlon	Marlon	A. da Rocha dos Santos

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
Marlon DEF	999	62	131
Wagner DEF	982	24	87
T Volpi GLK	722		18
Dodi MID	694	43	100
W Kannemann DEF	672	25	94
Arthur MID	557	23	60
M Villasanti MID	535	43	81
E Mola DEF	516	12	39
Edenilson MID	496	18	73
C Pavón FWD	448	21	61
G Martins DEF	422	21	53
F Cristaldo MID	395	18	66
A. da Rocha dos Santos FWD	373	41	170
G Cuéllar MID	373	24	45
Jemerson DEF	336	18	43
M Rocha DEF	305	23	40
L Esteves DEF	274	11	33
C Olivera FWD	271	28	92
M Braithwaite FWD	260	10	70
F Amuzu FWD	241	9	47
André FWD	214	10	45
Camilo MID	211	22	36
J Pedro DEF	209	8	20
F Balbuena DEF	166	3	12
R. Freitas dos Santos MID	166	6	32
A Santana MID	165	4	19
A Guzmán FWD	162	8	25
J Lucas DEF	151	12	25
G Grando GLK	117		5
M Monsalve MID	106	5	25
C Vinícius FWD	92	1	36
Willian FWD	90		9
R Ely DEF	13	1	3
V Lopes DEF	7

Vasco d Gama Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
32	14	7	10
L Jardim	P Vegetti	L Piton	P Henrique

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Jardim GLK	32			1 2
N Moreira FWD	32	6	5	3 -
P Vegetti FWD	30	14	1	3 -
R Rocha FWD	30	12	1	3 -
H Moura MID	29		1	6 1
P Coutinho MID	27	5	3	2 1
L Piton DEF	26	1	7	4 -
P Henrique DEF	25	1	6	9 1
T Tchê MID	25	1		2 -
J Bebanz DEF	21	2	2	-
David FWD	20	2	3	3 -
L Freitas DEF	19	1		4 -
C Luz MID	13			3 -
A Gomez FWD	13		4	1 -
R Renan DEF	11			2 -
Jair MID	11			3 -
M França MID	11			1 -
C Cuesta DEF	10	1		2 -
G. Souza da Silva FWD	10	2		-
B Garré FWD	10			1 -
Adson FWD	10			-
Paulinho MID	9			2 -
L Oliveira DEF	7			1 -
V Luis DEF	5			-
T Mendes MID	5			1 -
M Lemos DEF	4			-
D Fuzato GLK	2			-
J Meneses FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
14	33	7	10
P Vegetti	R Rocha	L Piton	N Moreira

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
P Vegetti FWD	14	23	1	3
R Rocha FWD	12	33	1	5
N Moreira FWD	6	17	5	10
P Coutinho MID	5	22	3	9
J Bebanz DEF	2	8	2	4
David FWD	2	6	3	5
G. Souza da Silva FWD	2	2
L Piton DEF	1	2	7	7
P Henrique DEF	1	10	6	4
T Tchê MID	1	4
L Freitas DEF	1	1
C Cuesta DEF	1	3
H Moura MID		5	1	3
C Luz MID		2
A Gomez FWD		8	4	4
R Renan DEF		1		1
Jair MID		1
M França MID		2
B Garré FWD		1		1
Adson FWD		2		1
V Luis DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1503	80	195
H Moura	P Henrique	P Henrique

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
H Moura MID	1503	46	82
L Piton DEF	1294	27	70
P Coutinho MID	1284	21	88
L Freitas DEF	1093	15	54
T Tchê MID	1088	18	82
P Henrique DEF	961	80	195
N Moreira FWD	940	30	110
L Jardim GLK	869		17
R Renan DEF	653	9	37
C Luz MID	651	23	89
J Bebanz DEF	603	18	57
R Rocha FWD	547	28	146
Jair MID	413	13	38
C Cuesta DEF	408	15	33
P Vegetti FWD	324	16	110
David FWD	197	8	34
A Gomez FWD	171	9	44
M França MID	169	8	22
Paulinho MID	159	6	19
T Mendes MID	147		3
B Garré FWD	140	6	9
Adson FWD	138	6	13
M Lemos DEF	136	1	5
V Luis DEF	104	1	6
L Oliveira DEF	91	3	11
D Fuzato GLK	52		1
G. Souza da Silva FWD	51	4	13
J Meneses FWD	3	1	2