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Juventude v Sport Recife : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 15th Jul, 00:00 BST, Estádio Alfredo Jaconi, Caxias do Sul

Juventude are in Serie A action on Tuesday morning, as Claudio Spontón attempts to outsmart Samuel Slovák and his Sport Recife side at the Estádio Alfredo Jaconi. All of the key statistics for the tie, including head-to-heads, predictions and odds across 17 of the biggest betting markets are covered in this betting preview. It's all designed to help you make a smart bet.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

It's our view that there's not a clear favourite to to get the win in this one, but does appear clear is that the odds suggest it'll have 3 goals or less. Our statistical analysis draws the same conclusion. Juventude and S. Recife have served up a host of under 3.5 goal games lately, and key performance statistics point towards those records being extended. We're confidently predicting under 3.5 goals on Tuesday morning, and the bookies have it priced at 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Juventude are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 48% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.30.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Juventude
48%
2.25
12%
2.25
20%
Draw
27%
3.25
2%
3.25
4%
S. Recife
25%
3.30
14%
3.25
26%
Juventude 1-0
14%
6.50
7%
6.00
Draw 1-1
13%
6.006.00
8%
Draw 0-0
10%
7.507.00
18%
Juventude 2-0
10%
10.00
17%
9.00
12%
S. Recife 1-0
9%
8.50
6%
7.50
25%
Juventude 2-1
9%
9.50
5%
8.50
6%
S. Recife 2-1
6%
12.00
9%
10.00
17%
Juventude 3-0
4%
21.00
19%
17.00
31%
S. Recife 2-0
4%
15.00
15%
13.00
29%
Juventude 3-1
4%
21.00
9%
15.00
31%
Draw 2-2
4%
17.00
13%
13.00
8%
Juventude 3-2
2%
34.0026.00
37%
S. Recife 3-1
2%
29.00
26%
21.00
9%
Juventude 4-0
2%
41.0034.00
48%
Juventude 4-1
1%
41.00
20%
34.00
48%
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
2.302.25
15%
Under 2.5 Goals
59%
1.601.60
11%
Home 1st Goal
52%
1.73
6%
1.85
16%
Away 1st Goal
42%
2.40
8%
2.30
13%
No 1st Goal
6%
7.507.00
18%
BTTS - Yes
45%
1.952.00
8%
BTTS - No
55%
1.801.75
8%
BTTS - Home Win
18%
5.50
8%
4.80
32%
BTTS - Draw
17%
4.75
6%
4.50
BTTS - Away Win
10%
7.50
17%
6.50
7%
Home/draw
75%
1.33
3%
1.33
11%
Away/draw
52%
1.62
5%
1.62
14%
Home/away
73%
1.33
2%
1.33
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
1.441.40
8%
Under 1.5 Goals
33%
2.752.70
15%
Over 3.5 Goals
20%
4.334.00
25%
Under 3.5 Goals
80%
1.221.20
8%
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
9.008.00
33%
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1.071.06
5%
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
19.0017.00
42%
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1.021.01
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1.081.08
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
8.007.00
18%
Home DNB
67%
1.57
10%
1.57
19%
Away DNB
44%
2.25
15%
2.25
25%
Juventude win to nil
30%
3.50
13%
-
S. Recife win to nil
15%
5.00
15%
-
Juventude / Juventude
23%
3.75
13%
3.50
20%
Juventude / S. Recife
3%
34.00
17%
26.00
Juventude / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
8%
Draw / Juventude
15%
5.50
8%
5.25
14%
Draw / S. Recife
12%
7.00
17%
6.50
19%
Draw / Draw
18%
4.504.33
10%
S. Recife / Juventude
3%
29.0023.00
21%
S. Recife / S. Recife
15%
5.50
11%
5.00
26%
S. Recife / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
Win / draw / win form
5
S. Recife have lost 5 consecutive away league games
8
Juventude have not won in 8 consecutive league games
11
S. Recife have not won in 11 consecutive league games
Juventude 19TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
8
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
44
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
S. Recife 20TH
20 league games
Away
5
Overall
11
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Juventude of late. It has been 6 Serie A games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.4 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Tuesday morning against Sport Recife.

A truly awful PG of just 0.9 should cause concerns for Sport Recife fans, as should a 11 Serie A games run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Juventude 19th S. Recife 20th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Juventude will score no more than 1 goal
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 77% probability of S. Recife scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
Juventude’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+8
S. Recife’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.4
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/294580/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Juventude
PG (predicted goals)
S. Recife
1.4
0.9
Attack rating
21%
better
JUV
REC
view stats
Games scored5
5
Failed to score6
6
Scored first4
3
Goals scored8
5
Avg. goals scored0.7
0.5
Avg. shots per game7
8
Avg. shots per goal10
19
Conversion rate for10
5
Avg. XG for0.8
0.8
KickOff rating
+21%
Defence rating
JUV
REC
22%
better
view stats
Games conceded10
9
Clean sheets1
2
Conceded first7
6
Goals conceded24
18
Avg. goals conceded2.2
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded12
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
7
Conversion rate against19%
15%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.4
KickOff rating
+22%

Juventude v S. Recife Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Juventude Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10313
Ewerthon E BatallaE BatallaJ Jádson
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Ewerthon  DEF11
2
-
E Batalla FWD1131
2
-
J Jádson MID101
3
-
Mandaca MID101
1
-
G Taliari FWD921
-
Giovanny FWD91
-
A Ruschel DEF8
2
-
Gilberto FWD81
2
-
Enio FWD81
2
-
D Giraldo MID7
2
-
M Marcão GLK6
-
Gustavo GLK6
1
-
A Silva DEF61
1
-
M Paulo DEF6
1
-
Nenê MID6
-
W Ángel DEF5
2
-
R Sam DEF5
2
-
A Martins DEF5
1
-
Caique MID5
1
-
M Babi FWD51
-
Reginaldo DEF4
1
-
D. Nascimento Peixoto dos Santos MID2
-
E. Mendes de Carvalho FWD2
-
Natã DEF1
-
S. Recife Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11224
C FrançaC BarlettaL LimaL Lima
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C França GLK11
2
-
Hereda DEF111
1
-
Chico DEF11
1
-
D Queiroz MID11
-
C Barletta FWD112
-
L Lima MID102
4
-
C Rivera MID9
4
-
C Alberto FWD9
1
-
J Silva DEF8
1
-
I Cariús DEF8
1
-
J. Gomes da Silva MID7
-
S Oliveira MID71
3
-
L Lobato FWD7
-
Pablo FWD71
1
-
L Cunha DEF6
2
-
C Ortíz FWD6
-
R Atencio FWD6
1
-
A Sousa FWD6
-
Dalbert  DEF5
2
-
M Alexandre DEF4
3
-
F Domínguez MID4
1
-
Romarinho FWD4
-
A Carlos DEF3
-
G Paciência FWD2
-
G Maia FWD1
-
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