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Mirassol v Bahia : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol

Home advantage can be vital in the Serie A, and Rafael Silva Guanaes’s Mirassol will have the luxury of it on Saturday night. Rogério Mücke Ceni’s Bahia are their opponents at the Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia. We have odds from leading bookmakers for 17 different betting markets as well as predictions, stats and head to head (H2H) data for the two sides. All can be selected using the tabs below.

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Mirassol's next match is v Internacional at 15:00 on Sunday 19th April
Bahia's next match is v Flamengo at 23:30 on Sunday 19th April
The last Brazillian Serie A meeting between Mirassol and Bahia was on Saturday 11th April 2026
Brazillian Serie A
April 11th 2026
Mirassol 1
2 Bahia
 
D. de Duarte Macedo (OG) 14'65' Luciano
89' M. Sanabria
 
BAH
Shots On
6
8
Shots Off
6
1
Corners
8
4
Possession
42%
58%
Fouls
20
14
Yellow/red cards
5/1
1/0
 
MirassolBahia
 
L. da Cruz Oliveira
R. da Silva (V. Chuab Zamblauskas 41')
L. Soares Firmino
W. Capeloza Artune
I. Marques Paciencia Cardoso
J. Carroll Santana
J. Soares de Oliveira Filho (G. Appelt Pires 76')
A. Moura Neto
C. de Oliveira Alves (S. Cardozo 60')
E. Mendes dos Santos (A. dos Santos Batista 60')
A. Silva de Aguiar (N. Ribeiro 46')
S. Ramos Mingo
L. da Silva Vieira
N. Acevedo Tabárez
J. de Souza Oliveira
(G. Moraes Junior 46') C. Souza e Silva
(R. Bertalia 80') É. de Barros Ribeiro
(A. da Silva Santos Junior 60') E. da Costa Farias
football iconD. de Duarte Macedo
football iconLuciano
(W. da Silva 60') E. Stum
C. Olivera Ibarra

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Mirassol or Bahia are in a rich vein of form that would have us feeling confident enough to tip a match winner, so instead we've gone for over 1.5 goals. The stats tell us that both have form in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 73% chance of two goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Mirassol are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 38% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.38.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Mirassol
38%
23/204/11
Draw
26%
23/1029/10
Bahia
36%
12/59/1
Draw 1-1
12%
5/116/5
Mirassol 1-0
10%
15/27/4
Bahia 1-0
9%
10/17/1
Mirassol 2-1
8%
8/113/2
Bahia 2-1
8%
11/111/1
Draw 0-0
7%
9/17/1
Mirassol 2-0
6%
10/119/5
Bahia 2-0
6%
16/112/1
Draw 2-2
5%
12/116/1
Mirassol 3-1
4%
16/118/1
Bahia 3-1
3%
25/140/1
Mirassol 3-0
3%
20/112/1
Bahia 3-0
3%
33/125/1
Mirassol 3-2
2%
25/145/1
Bahia 3-2
2%
33/150/1
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
9/1019/10
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
9/104/11
Home 1st Goal
48%
4/55/6
Away 1st Goal
47%
6/55/4
No 1st Goal
5%
9/113/2
BTTS - Yes
53%
7/1011/10
BTTS - No
47%
21/204/6
BTTS - Home Win
18%
10/39/2
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/327/10
BTTS - Away Win
17%
11/217/2
Home/draw
64%
3/101/25
Away/draw
62%
4/619/10
Home/away
74%
1/32/9
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
2/72/5
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
11/47/4
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
11/513/2
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
4/111/14
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
5/118/1
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/81/1000
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
12/145/1
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/251/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/161/18
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
9/17/1
Home DNB
56%
8/151/16
Away DNB
54%
11/87/1
Mirassol win to nil
20%
3/1-
Bahia win to nil
19%
5/1-
Mirassol / Mirassol
23%
5/210/21
Mirassol / Bahia
3%
28/18/1
Mirassol / Draw
6%
12/110/3
Draw / Mirassol
15%
9/220/1
Draw / Bahia
11%
6/120/1
Draw / Draw
15%
9/216/1
Bahia / Mirassol
4%
22/1100/1
Bahia / Bahia
16%
4/155/1
Bahia / Draw
6%
14/1100/1
Win / draw / win form
Mirassol 20TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
7
L
2
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
Bahia 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
Goal Statistics
Mirassol 20th Bahia 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Mirassol will score no more than 1 goal
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Bahia will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+16
Mirassol have scored 16% more goals at home than predicted
-10
Bahia’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.0
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Mirassol
PG (predicted goals)
Bahia
1.3
1.3
Attack rating
BAH
44%
better
view stats
Games scored5
9
Failed to score4
0
Scored first1
5
Goals scored10
13
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.4
Avg. shots per game12
10
Avg. shots per goal11
7
Conversion rate for9
15
Avg. XG for1.3
1.5
KickOff rating
+44%
Defence rating
BAH
43%
better
view stats
Games conceded9
5
Clean sheets0
4
Conceded first8
4
Goals conceded14
9
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
10
Conversion rate against17%
10%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.2
KickOff rating
+43%

Mirassol v Bahia Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Mirassol Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10324
WalterI FormigaAlessonJ Aldo
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Walter GLK10
-
I Formiga DEF103
1
-
J Victor DEF101
1
-
L Oliveira DEF2
1
-
Reinaldo DEF8
3
-
J Aldo MID91
4
-
N Moura  MID8
2
-
Negueba MID92
3
-
C Eduardo  MID51
2
Edson MID5
2
-
A Luis FWD6
-
Subs
A Muralha GLK
1
-
W Machado DEF8
2
-
V Luis DEF4
2
-
D Borges DEF1
-
Shaylon MID711
-
Denilson MID3
-
Chico MID
-
G Pires MID71
1
-
N Otávio FWD72
1
-
E Galdino FWD5
-
T Soares FWD5
1
-
Alesson FWD102
1
-
Bahia Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10423
S MingoL JubaS SuayN Acevedo
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Vieira GLK3
-
N Acevedo DEF9
3
-
D Duarte DEF51
1
-
S Mingo DEF10
1
-
L Juba DEF1041
2
-
S Suay MID62
-
C Alexandre MID8
1
-
J Lucas MID1022
2
-
C Olivera FWD1011
1
-
Everaldo FWD73
1
-
E Pulga FWD10
1
-
Subs
J Paulo GLK1
-
Gilberto DEF31
-
G Xavier DEF5
1
-
Iago DEF1
-
R. Gómez DEF2
-
M Victor DEF
-
R Nestor MID6
1
-
Erick MID91
1
-
M Araújo MID7
1
1
Ademir FWD10
-
W José FWD921
-
M Sanabria FWD511
-