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Palmeiras v Mirassol : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 16th Jul, 23:00 BST, Allianz Parque, São Paulo

Ivan Lucas Baitello pays counterpart Abel Fernando Moreira Ferreira a visit on Wednesday night in the Serie A, as their Mirassol and Palmeiras sides face each other at the Allianz Parque. In this preview you'll find the best odds for 17 different markets, alongside supporting data that updates as you go between markets. Our predictions run off the last 20 matches, so all stats are shown for each side's last 20 too. Home, away and overall records can be explored, while you'll also find head-to-head history a little further down the page.


Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

We are tipping a close-fought game here and, as such, we predict under 2.5 goals. This means that we expect 2 goals or less will be scored in total as Palmeiras and Mirassol go head-to-head. Good performances all round will be required to deliver us a winner, but we have faith in both sides to deliver exactly that. The stats and the odds below point in this direction too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Palmeiras are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 45% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.44.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Palmeiras
45%
2/54/9
Draw
30%
15/417/5
Mirassol
25%
11/213/2
Palmeiras 1-0
16%
4/14/1
Draw 0-0
13%
17/215/2
Draw 1-1
13%
17/27/1
Mirassol 1-0
11%
11/111/1
Palmeiras 2-0
10%
9/29/2
Palmeiras 2-1
8%
8/17/1
Mirassol 2-1
5%
20/118/1
Mirassol 2-0
4%
33/125/1
Palmeiras 3-0
4%
8/17/1
Draw 2-2
3%
28/118/1
Palmeiras 3-1
3%
14/111/1
Mirassol 3-1
1%
50/145/1
Palmeiras 3-2
1%
40/125/1
Mirassol 3-0
1%
80/160/1
Palmeiras 4-0
1%
18/114/1
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
11/1021/20
Under 2.5 Goals
67%
7/107/10
Home 1st Goal
50%
3/104/11
Away 1st Goal
40%
10/314/5
No 1st Goal
9%
17/215/2
BTTS - Yes
39%
6/411/8
BTTS - No
61%
1/28/15
BTTS - Home Win
14%
3/129/10
BTTS - Draw
17%
13/211/2
BTTS - Away Win
8%
14/112/1
Home/draw
75%
1/91/12
Away/draw
55%
7/47/4
Home/away
70%
2/111/5
Over 1.5 Goals
60%
4/117/20
Under 1.5 Goals
40%
11/52/1
Over 3.5 Goals
14%
3/113/5
Under 3.5 Goals
86%
1/41/4
Over 4.5 Goals
5%
7/16/1
Under 4.5 Goals
95%
1/121/12
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
16/114/1
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/401/66
Over 0.5 Goals
87%
1/161/16
Under 0.5 Goals
13%
9/115/2
Home DNB
66%
1/61/8
Away DNB
46%
4/19/2
Palmeiras win to nil
31%
1/1-
Mirassol win to nil
17%
9/1-
Palmeiras / Palmeiras
38%
11/1011/10
Palmeiras / Mirassol
2%
40/140/1
Palmeiras / Draw
5%
16/116/1
Draw / Palmeiras
21%
11/429/10
Draw / Mirassol
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Draw
15%
9/29/2
Mirassol / Palmeiras
3%
25/120/1
Mirassol / Mirassol
6%
14/110/1
Mirassol / Draw
4%
20/116/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Palmeiras 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
13
D
2
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Palmeiras0 - 2Flamengo
Palmeiras1 - 0Sao Paulo
Palmeiras0 - 1Bahia
Palmeiras2 - 0Corinthians
Palmeiras0 - 0Botafogo
Palmeiras0 - 1Fluminense
Palmeiras1 - 3Botafogo
Palmeiras1 - 0Gremio
Palmeiras2 - 2Fortaleza
Palmeiras2 - 1A Mineiro
Palmeiras5 - 0Criciuma
Palmeiras5 - 0Cuiaba
Palmeiras2 - 1Sao Paulo
Palmeiras0 - 2Vitoria
Palmeiras2 - 0Cruzeiro
Palmeiras3 - 1Atletico Go
Palmeiras2 - 0Bahia
Palmeiras2 - 0Corinthians
Palmeiras3 - 1Juventude
Palmeiras2 - 1Bragantino
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
12
D
2
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APalmeiras1 - 2Cruzeiro
HPalmeiras0 - 2Flamengo
APalmeiras2 - 1Bragantino
HPalmeiras1 - 0Sao Paulo
APalmeiras1 - 0Vasco d Gama
HPalmeiras0 - 1Bahia
APalmeiras2 - 1Fortaleza
APalmeiras1 - 0Internacional
HPalmeiras2 - 0Corinthians
APalmeiras2 - 1S. Recife
HPalmeiras0 - 0Botafogo
HPalmeiras0 - 1Fluminense
APalmeiras2 - 1Cruzeiro
HPalmeiras1 - 3Botafogo
APalmeiras1 - 0Atletico Go
APalmeiras2 - 1Bahia
HPalmeiras1 - 0Gremio
APalmeiras0 - 2Corinthians
HPalmeiras2 - 2Fortaleza
APalmeiras5 - 3Juventude
Mirassol 9TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sao Paulo0 - 2Mirassol
Internacional1 - 1Mirassol
Bragantino1 - 0Mirassol
Juventude2 - 2Mirassol
Bahia1 - 1Mirassol
Cruzeiro2 - 1Mirassol
Operario1 - 1Mirassol
Avai0 - 0Mirassol
CRB0 - 1Mirassol
Santos3 - 2Mirassol
Goias0 - 1Mirassol
Guarani1 - 0Mirassol
Ituano3 - 2Mirassol
Paysandu0 - 0Mirassol
Ceara1 - 2Mirassol
Chapecoense0 - 1Mirassol
Cortiba0 - 1Mirassol
Ponte Preta4 - 2Mirassol
Novorizontin1 - 1Mirassol
Vila Nova1 - 0Mirassol
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
Draw
7
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMirassol1 - 0S. Recife
AMirassol2 - 0Sao Paulo
AMirassol1 - 1Internacional
HMirassol2 - 1Corinthians
AMirassol0 - 1Bragantino
HMirassol2 - 2A Mineiro
AMirassol2 - 2Juventude
HMirassol4 - 1Gremio
AMirassol1 - 1Bahia
HMirassol1 - 1Fortaleza
AMirassol1 - 2Cruzeiro
HMirassol1 - 0Chapecoense
AMirassol1 - 1Operario
AMirassol0 - 0Avai
HMirassol4 - 1Cortiba
HMirassol3 - 0Ponte Preta
AMirassol1 - 0CRB
HMirassol1 - 0Novorizontin
AMirassol2 - 3Santos
HMirassol1 - 0Vila Nova
Goal Statistics

Mirassol's defensive record is very strong, I. Baitello's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Serie A matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.2 for Palmeiras makes sense in this context.

Palmeiras 4th Mirassol 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
4+
There is a 66% probability that Palmeiras will score no more than 1 goal
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 80% probability of Mirassol scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+5
Palmeiras’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+14
Mirassol have scored 14% more goals when away than predicted
1.8
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/294584/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Palmeiras
PG (predicted goals)
Mirassol
1.2
0.8
Attack rating
PAL
25%
better
view stats
Games scored8
10
Failed to score3
1
Scored first6
6
Goals scored12
17
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.5
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal9
6
Conversion rate for11
17
Avg. XG for1.3
1.6
KickOff rating
+25%
Defence rating
28%
better
PAL
view stats
Games conceded6
9
Clean sheets5
2
Conceded first4
5
Goals conceded8
12
Avg. goals conceded0.7
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded7
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
9
Conversion rate against10%
11%
Avg. XG against0.9
1.4
KickOff rating
+28%

Palmeiras v Mirassol Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Palmeiras Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11224
WevertonJ PiquerezR RíosR Ríos
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Weverton GLK11
1
-
A Giay DEF11
-
J Piquerez DEF112
2
-
E Martínez MID101
1
-
V Roque FWD102
2
-
J López FWD102
2
-
R Ríos MID92
4
-
F Torres FWD921
1
-
G Portillo DEF8
3
-
B Fuchs DEF8
2
-
L Evangelista MID81
-
A Moreno  MID8
-
F Anderson FWD8
-
M Maurício MID71
-
Paulinho FWD7
-
Micael DEF6
1
-
A. Andrade Elias MID61
-
R Veiga MID5
-
Murilo DEF41
3
-
Mayke DEF2
1
-
L. Sousa Santos FWD2
-
Vanderlan DEF1
-
K Naves DEF1
-
L. Roncholeta Benedetti DEF1
-
T. Gomes de Araújo FWD1
-
Mirassol Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11623
J. Ribeiro da SilvaReinaldoReinaldoN Moura 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Reinaldo DEF1162
2
-
J. Ribeiro da Silva DEF111
1
-
J Victor DEF11
2
-
Danielzinho MID111
1
-
L Ramon DEF1011
2
-
Edson FWD1022
1
-
Gabriel MID92
1
-
N Moura  MID9
3
-
J Aldo MID9
2
-
I Castilho FWD91
2
-
F Daniel FWD8
-
Negueba FWD7
2
-
A Muralha GLK6
2
-
Clayson MID62
2
-
Walter GLK5
1
-
D Borges DEF52
2
-
E. de Oliveira Santos FWD5
1
-
M Bianqui MID4
1
-
Roni MID4
1
-
Chico MID3
-
J. Silva Neves MID2
1
-
M Davó FWD21
-
L Filipe MID1
-
Brazillian Serie A match betting previews, predictions and odds
Santos v Palmeiras
Sat 12th Jul, 16:00
Flamengo v Sao Paulo
Sat 12th Jul, 20:30
Internacional v Vitoria
Sat 12th Jul, 20:30
Vasco d Gama v Botafogo
Sat 12th Jul, 22:30
Bahia v A Mineiro
Sun 13th Jul, 01:00
Corinthians v Bragantino
Sun 13th Jul, 23:00
Fortaleza v Ceara
Mon 14th Jul, 00:30
Cruzeiro v Gremio
Mon 14th Jul, 00:30
Juventude v S. Recife
Tue 15th Jul, 00:00
Botafogo v Vitoria
Wed 16th Jul, 01:30
Juventude v Vasco d Gama
Wed 16th Jul, 19:00
Bahia v Internacional
Wed 16th Jul, 19:00
Gremio v Fortaleza
Wed 16th Jul, 19:00
A Mineiro v S. Recife
Wed 16th Jul, 19:00
Palmeiras v Mirassol
Wed 16th Jul, 23:00
Ceara v Corinthians
Wed 16th Jul, 23:30
Bragantino v Sao Paulo
Thu 17th Jul, 00:00
Santos v Flamengo
Thu 17th Jul, 01:30
Fluminense v Cruzeiro
Thu 17th Jul, 23:30
Fortaleza v Bahia
Sat 19th Jul, 20:00
Vasco d Gama v Gremio
Sat 19th Jul, 21:30
Vitoria v Bragantino
Sat 19th Jul, 22:30
Mirassol v Santos
Sat 19th Jul, 22:30
Sao Paulo v Corinthians
Sun 20th Jul, 01:00
Internacional v Ceara
Sun 20th Jul, 15:00
Cruzeiro v Juventude
Sun 20th Jul, 20:00
Palmeiras v A Mineiro
Sun 20th Jul, 21:30
S. Recife v Botafogo
Sun 20th Jul, 21:30
Flamengo v Fluminense
Sun 20th Jul, 23:30
Gremio v Botafogo
Wed 23rd Jul, 19:00
A Mineiro v Fortaleza
Wed 23rd Jul, 19:00
Vasco d Gama v Bahia
Wed 23rd Jul, 19:00
Fluminense v Palmeiras
Wed 23rd Jul, 23:00
Ceara v Mirassol
Wed 23rd Jul, 23:00
Corinthians v Cruzeiro
Wed 23rd Jul, 23:30
Santos v Internacional
Thu 24th Jul, 01:30
Vitoria v S. Recife
Thu 24th Jul, 01:30
Bragantino v Flamengo
Thu 24th Jul, 01:30
Juventude v Sao Paulo
Thu 24th Jul, 23:00