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Sao Paulo v Chapecoense : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo, São Paulo

Gilmar Dal Pozzo will be hoping for a vital away win in the Serie A on Thursday night, as he takes his Chapecoense side to the Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo to visit Sao Paulo and Hernán Jorge Crespo. Ahead of the game, it's our goal to help you find the perfect bet for you. To this end, statistics for seventeen major betting market have been published below, with head-to-head history and statistically significant form streaks highlighted. The best odds are included as well.

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Sao Paulo's next match is v Bragantino at 23:30 on Sunday 15th March
Chapecoense's next match is v Gremio at 23:00 on Monday 16th March
The last Brazillian Serie A meeting between Sao Paulo and Chapecoense was on Thursday 12th March 2026
Brazillian Serie A
March 12th 2026
Sao Paulo 2
0 Chapecoense
 
L. da Rocha Neves 47'
J. Calleri 60'
 
SAO
CHP
Shots On
7
1
Shots Off
7
4
Corners
11
6
Possession
63%
37%
Fouls
10
11
Yellow/red cards
1/0
 
Sao PauloChapecoense
 
M. Silva Santos
D. Bobadilla (P. Gonçalves Maia Fortunato 81')
L. Rodrigues Moura da Silva (C. Oliveira Souza 82')
J. Callerifootball icon
L. da Rocha Nevesfootball icon (A. Oliveira Silva 82')
W. Nascimento Borges (N. Bosshardt 90')
R. Monteiro
L. Batista Silva
A. Franco (R. Arboleda Escobar 90')
J. Chagas Monteiro
D. de Oliveira Sertanejo
E. Domachowski
L. da Silva Vieira
V. da Silva Becker
(G. Oliveira Cardoso 82') J. Vicente
(I. de Vargas da Rosa 46') M. de Sousa Júnior
(A. Cordeiro Pessôa Neto 68') Y. Bolasie Yala
(R. Hartmann Ricoldi 68') E. Souza da Cruz
B. dos Santos Covas
W. Clar Fritz
C. Reijers de Olivera
(Vitor 68') R. dos Santos Cavalheira Natividade

Best Tip: Sao Paulo to win

As the Sao Paulo players ready themselves for this game, the bookmakers are predicting a win for them. The odds and our pre-match stats below also point that way, as does the historical head-to-head (H2H) data we take advantage of in our predictive algorithms. The Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo has rarely been a successful away day for Chapecoense in the past, and we we'd back more of the same on Thursday night. A win / draw / win home win is the way to go.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Sao Paulo are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 67% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.40.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Sao Paulo
67%
39/100
7%
3/4
10%
Draw
19%
7/2
14%
7/4
18%
Chapecoense
14%
13/2
20%
11/2
22%
Sao Paulo 2-0
11%
6/1
13%
5/1
7%
Sao Paulo 1-0
11%
13/25/2
8%
Sao Paulo 2-1
10%
15/210/1
Draw 1-1
9%
15/2
13%
13/2
7%
Sao Paulo 3-0
8%
17/2
14%
12/1
15%
Sao Paulo 3-1
7%
11/1
8%
22/1
Draw 0-0
5%
12/111/4
22%
Sao Paulo 4-0
4%
16/1
26%
28/1
24%
Chapecoense 1-0
4%
20/1
13%
15/2
8%
Draw 2-2
4%
16/1
24%
33/1
31%
Chapecoense 2-1
4%
20/1
11%
25/1
13%
Sao Paulo 4-1
4%
20/1
12%
50/1
11%
Sao Paulo 3-2
3%
22/1
12%
66/1
Chapecoense 2-0
2%
40/1
41%
25/1
24%
Sao Paulo 5-0
2%
33/1
17%
55/1
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
4/610/3
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
23/201/5
2%
Home 1st Goal
59%
2/5
7%
8/13
8%
Away 1st Goal
39%
21/10
11%
10/3
13%
No 1st Goal
3%
12/111/4
22%
BTTS - Yes
51%
10/11
3%
29/10
7%
BTTS - No
49%
10/11
3%
2/9
4%
BTTS - Home Win
30%
21/10
3%
7/1
3%
BTTS - Draw
14%
9/2
20%
6/1
15%
BTTS - Away Win
7%
12/1
36%
20/1
16%
Home/draw
86%
1/10
3%
1/10
3%
Away/draw
33%
7/4
16%
1/1
17%
Home/away
81%
2/11
4%
2/5
4%
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
2/911/10
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
10/34/6
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
7/49/1
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
4/91/25
1%
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
4/1
8%
22/1
5%
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
1/6
1%
1/1000
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
9/145/1
9%
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/161/500
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/252/9
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/114/5
22%
Home DNB
80%
1/8
5%
1/6
5%
Away DNB
28%
5/1
27%
7/2
25%
Sao Paulo win to nil
37%
11/8
16%
-
Chapecoense win to nil
7%
12/1
30%
-
Sao Paulo / Sao Paulo
39%
11/10
13%
5/1
11%
Sao Paulo / Chapecoense
2%
40/150/1
Sao Paulo / Draw
5%
14/1
13%
22/1
15%
Draw / Sao Paulo
19%
3/1
8%
23/20
5%
Draw / Chapecoense
6%
14/1
25%
6/1
9%
Draw / Draw
12%
6/1
8%
11/5
14%
Chapecoense / Sao Paulo
4%
20/128/1
Chapecoense / Chapecoense
7%
11/1
37%
18/1
18%
Chapecoense / Draw
5%
18/1
12%
25/1
15%
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
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Win / draw / win form
4
Sao Paulo have won 4 consecutive home league games
3
Chapecoense have drawn 3 consecutive away league games
6
Chapecoense have not lost in 6 consecutive away league games
Sao Paulo 1ST
20 league games
Home
4
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sao Paulo2 - 0Gremio
Sao Paulo2 - 1Flamengo
Sao Paulo3 - 0Internacional
Sao Paulo2 - 1Juventude
Sao Paulo0 - 1Bragantino
Sao Paulo2 - 2Flamengo
Sao Paulo2 - 0Bahia
Sao Paulo2 - 3Palmeiras
Sao Paulo0 - 1Ceara
Sao Paulo1 - 0Botafogo
Sao Paulo2 - 0A Mineiro
Sao Paulo2 - 0Vitoria
Sao Paulo3 - 1Fluminense
Sao Paulo2 - 0Corinthians
Sao Paulo1 - 3Vasco d Gama
Sao Paulo0 - 2Mirassol
Sao Paulo2 - 1Gremio
Sao Paulo0 - 0Fortaleza
Sao Paulo2 - 1Santos
Sao Paulo1 - 1Cruzeiro
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
9
D
2
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASao Paulo1 - 0Cortiba
HSao Paulo2 - 0Gremio
ASao Paulo1 - 1Santos
HSao Paulo2 - 1Flamengo
ASao Paulo0 - 1Vitoria
HSao Paulo3 - 0Internacional
ASao Paulo0 - 6Fluminense
HSao Paulo2 - 1Juventude
ASao Paulo1 - 3Corinthians
HSao Paulo0 - 1Bragantino
HSao Paulo2 - 2Flamengo
ASao Paulo2 - 0Vasco d Gama
HSao Paulo2 - 0Bahia
ASao Paulo0 - 3Mirassol
ASao Paulo0 - 2Gremio
HSao Paulo2 - 3Palmeiras
ASao Paulo2 - 0Fortaleza
HSao Paulo0 - 1Ceara
ASao Paulo0 - 1Santos
HSao Paulo1 - 0Botafogo
Chapecoense 12TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Vasco d Gama1 - 1Chapecoense
Volta Redonda1 - 1Chapecoense
Remo1 - 1Chapecoense
Goias1 - 3Chapecoense
Ferroviaria0 - 1Chapecoense
Amazonas1 - 3Chapecoense
Cuiaba1 - 0Chapecoense
Criciuma2 - 0Chapecoense
Athletic Club0 - 4Chapecoense
Cortiba0 - 0Chapecoense
Atletico Go0 - 0Chapecoense
America 0 - 1Chapecoense
Operario1 - 2Chapecoense
Botafogo1 - 0Chapecoense
Novorizontin1 - 0Chapecoense
Avai2 - 1Chapecoense
Athletico PR1 - 1Chapecoense
Vila Nova1 - 0Chapecoense
Paysandu0 - 2Chapecoense
CRB1 - 0Chapecoense
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HChapecoense3 - 3Cortiba
AChapecoense1 - 1Vasco d Gama
HChapecoense4 - 2Santos
HChapecoense1 - 0Atletico Go
AChapecoense1 - 1Volta Redonda
HChapecoense0 - 1America
AChapecoense1 - 1Remo
HChapecoense2 - 0Operario
AChapecoense3 - 1Goias
HChapecoense1 - 1Botafogo
AChapecoense1 - 0Ferroviaria
HChapecoense1 - 0Novorizontin
AChapecoense3 - 1Amazonas
HChapecoense0 - 1Avai
AChapecoense0 - 1Cuiaba
HChapecoense2 - 3Athletico PR
AChapecoense0 - 2Criciuma
HChapecoense2 - 2Vila Nova
AChapecoense4 - 0Athletic Club
HChapecoense2 - 0Paysandu
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Sao Paulo since 2018
Sao Paulo
Chapecoense
Goals: Scored
7
1
Games: Scored
3 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
0 / 3
SAO
2
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sao Paulo
Draw1 - 1Draw
Sao Paulo4 - 0
Sao Paulo2 - 0
League games at Chapecoense since 2018
Chapecoense
Sao Paulo
Goals: Scored
2
4
Games: Scored
2 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
1 / 3
SAO
1
D
1
CHP
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Chapecoense
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 3Sao Paulo
Chapecoense1 - 0
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.1 is fairly strong for Sao Paulo in their meeting with Chapecoense, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 35 consecutive Serie A outings.

Sao Paulo 1st Chapecoense 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
17%
There is a 63% probability that Sao Paulo will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Chapecoense scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+14
Sao Paulo have scored 14% more goals at home than predicted
+8
Chapecoense’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.6
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
0.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Sao Paulo
PG (predicted goals)
Chapecoense
2.1
0.9
Attack rating
SAO
CHP
4%
better
view stats
Games scored4
3
Failed to score0
0
Scored first2
1
Goals scored6
8
Avg. goals scored1.5
2.7
Avg. shots per game10
8
Avg. shots per goal6
3
Conversion rate for16
32
Avg. XG for1.9
1.3
KickOff rating
+4%
Defence rating
51%
better
SAO
CHP
view stats
Games conceded2
3
Clean sheets2
0
Conceded first2
2
Goals conceded2
6
Avg. goals conceded0.5
2
Avg. shots/game conceded9
18
Avg. shots/goal conceded19
9
Conversion rate against5%
11%
Avg. XG against1.1
2.8
KickOff rating
+51%

Sao Paulo v Chapecoense Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Sao Paulo Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5312
RafaelJ CalleriD BobadillaA Franco
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Rafael GLK5
-
L Ramon DEF2
-
A Franco DEF5
2
-
Sabino DEF4
-
Wendell DEF2
-
Danielzinho MID41
-
D Bobadilla MID51
-
M Antônio MID51
-
L Moura MID511
-
J Calleri FWD53
-
Luciano FWD421
1
-
Subs
C Coronel GLK
-
R Tolói DEF1
1
-
D Dória DEF
-
R Arboleda DEF4
-
M. Gomes Viegas DEF3
-
N. Bosshardt DEF1
-
P Maia MID5
1
-
Luan MID2
-
Cauly MID21
-
Ferreira FWD2
1
-
G Tapia FWD4
-
A Silva FWD1
-
Chapecoense Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4221
L VieiraW ClarJ CarlosL Vieira
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Vieira GLK4
1
-
V Becker DEF4
-
B Leonardo DEF3
-
E Domachowski DEF41
-
E. Souza da Cruz DEF41
1
-
W Clar DEF421
-
Camilo MID4
1
-
Rafael MID41
1
-
J Carlos MID422
-
Marcinho FWD4
-
Y Bolasie FWD3
-
Subs
R Santos GLK
-
R Thyere DEF
-
B Pacheco DEF
-
Vitor MID2
-
G Augusto MID3
-
D. Antunes da Silva MID1
-
H Meritão MID31
1
-
R. Hartmann Ricoldi MID31
-
Enio MID
-
N Pessoa FWD1
-
I. de Vargas da Rosa FWD4
-