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Sao Paulo v Gremio : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo, São Paulo

Sao Paulo and Gremio meet at the Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo on Sunday morning, with both Luis Francisco Zubeldía and Gustavo Enrique Domingo Quinteros Desábato hoping for success in the Serie A. Our goal is for you to win betting on this match, so every stats you could realistically need to make a sound selection is laid out below. Go between seventeen betting markets or take our top tip. We have predictions, head to head (H2H) analysis and odds from leading bookmakers for it all.

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Sao Paulo's next match is v Mirassol at 22:30 on Saturday 24th May
Gremio's next match is v Bahia at 15:00 on Sunday 25th May
The last Brazillian Serie A meeting between Sao Paulo and Gremio was on Sunday 18th May 2025
Brazillian Serie A
May 18th 2025
Sao Paulo 2
1 Gremio
 
R. Arboleda Escobar 49'37' A. Aravena Guzmán
A. Oliveira Silva 85'
 
SAO
GRE
Shots On
5
2
Shots Off
9
Corners
8
3
Possession
61%
39%
Fouls
13
13
Yellow/red cards
5/0
4/0
 
Sao PauloGremio
 
R. Monteiro
J. Chagas Monteiro
N. Ferraresi Hernández
R. Arboleda Escobarfootball icon
E. Díaz
M. Silva Santos (P. Gonçalves Maia Fortunato 9')
O. dos Santos Emboaba Júnior (D. Bobadilla 90')
L. dos Santos Ferreira (C. Alves Soares 88')
A. de Freitas Castro
A. Oliveira Silvafootball icon
L. da Rocha Neves
T. Volpi
W. Calvelo de Souza
M. Rodrigues Xavier
J. de Jesus Nascimento
(R. Cardoso Falkoski 62') J. Maturano dos Santos
D. Moreira Fagundes
(C. Reijers de Olivera 62') M. Villasanti Rolón
(D. Arezo Martínez 86') M. Monsalve Gonzáles
(F. Amuzu 73') football iconA. Aravena Guzmán
M. Braithwait
(C. Pavón 62') A. da Rocha dos Santos

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We can expect some goalmouth action in this one, but don't count on an all-time classic. Under 3.5 goals is what we're predicting, meaning no more than 3 goals will be scored in total during 90 mins. The best odds are below, followed by market-specific form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Sao Paulo are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 59% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.80.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Sao Paulo
59%
3/5
11%
-
Draw
24%
3/1
3%
-
Gremio
17%
5/1
14%
-
Sao Paulo 1-0
15%
4/1
5%
-
Sao Paulo 2-0
12%
11/2
17%
-
Draw 1-1
11%
13/2
7%
-
Sao Paulo 2-1
9%
8/1-
Draw 0-0
9%
7/1
8%
-
Sao Paulo 3-0
7%
10/1
8%
-
Gremio 1-0
7%
10/1
10%
-
Sao Paulo 3-1
5%
14/1-
Gremio 2-1
4%
18/1
19%
-
Draw 2-2
4%
22/1
12%
-
Sao Paulo 4-0
3%
22/1
31%
-
Gremio 2-0
3%
28/1
19%
-
Sao Paulo 4-1
2%
33/1-
Sao Paulo 3-2
2%
40/1-
Gremio 3-1
1%
50/1
20%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
13/10
4%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
57%
3/5
1%
-
Home 1st Goal
57%
2/5
6%
-
Away 1st Goal
37%
11/4
15%
-
No 1st Goal
6%
7/1
8%
-
BTTS - Yes
43%
5/4
14%
-
BTTS - No
57%
4/7
9%
-
BTTS - Home Win
21%
7/2-
BTTS - Draw
15%
5/1
15%
-
BTTS - Away Win
7%
12/1
20%
-
Home/draw
83%
1/8
4%
-
Away/draw
41%
13/10
13%
-
Home/away
76%
2/9-
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
4/9
2%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
7/4
5%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
7/2-
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
1/5-
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
8/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/14-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
20/1
12%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/50-
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/12
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
7/1
8%
-
Home DNB
76%
1/5
7%
-
Away DNB
34%
10/3
15%
-
Sao Paulo win to nil
38%
6/5
14%
-
Gremio win to nil
10%
8/1
19%
-
Sao Paulo / Sao Paulo
33%
6/4
11%
-
Sao Paulo / Gremio
2%
40/1
20%
-
Sao Paulo / Draw
6%
14/1
12%
-
Draw / Sao Paulo
21%
3/1
8%
-
Draw / Gremio
7%
11/1
14%
-
Draw / Draw
17%
4/1-
Gremio / Sao Paulo
3%
25/1-
Gremio / Gremio
8%
10/1
23%
-
Gremio / Draw
4%
18/1
11%
-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Sao Paulo 17TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sao Paulo0 - 0Fortaleza
Sao Paulo2 - 1Santos
Sao Paulo1 - 1Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo0 - 0S. Recife
Sao Paulo1 - 2Juventude
Sao Paulo2 - 2A Mineiro
Sao Paulo2 - 1Athletico PR
Sao Paulo3 - 0Vasco d Gama
Sao Paulo3 - 1Corinthians
Sao Paulo1 - 3Internacional
Sao Paulo2 - 1Vitoria
Sao Paulo1 - 0Atletico Go
Sao Paulo1 - 0Flamengo
Sao Paulo2 - 2Botafogo
Sao Paulo1 - 0Gremio
Sao Paulo2 - 0Bragantino
Sao Paulo3 - 1Bahia
Sao Paulo2 - 1Criciuma
Sao Paulo0 - 1Cuiaba
Sao Paulo2 - 0Cruzeiro
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
9
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASao Paulo0 - 1Palmeiras
HSao Paulo0 - 0Fortaleza
ASao Paulo1 - 1Ceara
HSao Paulo2 - 1Santos
ASao Paulo2 - 2Botafogo
HSao Paulo1 - 1Cruzeiro
ASao Paulo0 - 0A Mineiro
HSao Paulo0 - 0S. Recife
ASao Paulo1 - 2Botafogo
HSao Paulo1 - 2Juventude
ASao Paulo1 - 2Gremio
HSao Paulo2 - 2A Mineiro
ASao Paulo1 - 1Bragantino
HSao Paulo2 - 1Athletico PR
ASao Paulo3 - 0Bahia
ASao Paulo1 - 1Criciuma
HSao Paulo3 - 0Vasco d Gama
ASao Paulo0 - 2Cuiaba
HSao Paulo3 - 1Corinthians
HSao Paulo1 - 3Internacional
Gremio 16TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
3
Draw
8
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Vitoria1 - 1Gremio
Mirassol4 - 1Gremio
Ceara2 - 0Gremio
Vitoria1 - 1Gremio
Cruzeiro1 - 1Gremio
Palmeiras1 - 0Gremio
Fluminense2 - 2Gremio
Internacional1 - 0Gremio
A Mineiro2 - 1Gremio
Botafogo0 - 0Gremio
Bragantino2 - 2Gremio
Criciuma0 - 1Gremio
Cuiaba1 - 3Gremio
Athletico PR0 - 2Gremio
Corinthians2 - 2Gremio
Sao Paulo1 - 0Gremio
Juventude3 - 0Gremio
Atletico Go1 - 1Gremio
Fortaleza1 - 0Gremio
Flamengo2 - 1Gremio
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HGremio1 - 1Bragantino
HGremio1 - 0Santos
AGremio1 - 1Vitoria
HGremio1 - 1Internacional
AGremio1 - 4Mirassol
HGremio0 - 2Flamengo
AGremio0 - 2Ceara
HGremio2 - 1A Mineiro
HGremio0 - 3Corinthians
AGremio1 - 1Vitoria
HGremio2 - 1Sao Paulo
AGremio1 - 1Cruzeiro
HGremio2 - 2Juventude
AGremio0 - 1Palmeiras
AGremio2 - 2Fluminense
HGremio3 - 1Atletico Go
AGremio0 - 1Internacional
AGremio1 - 2A Mineiro
HGremio3 - 1Fortaleza
AGremio0 - 0Botafogo
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Sao Paulo have beaten Gremio in 3 consecutive home league meetings
6
Sao Paulo have not lost to Gremio in 6 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Sao Paulo since 2018
Sao Paulo
Gremio
Goals: Scored
7
2
Games: Scored
4 / 6
2 / 6
Clean sheets
4 / 6
2 / 6
SAO
3
D
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo1 - 0
Sao Paulo3 - 0
Sao Paulo2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Gremio since 2018
Gremio
Sao Paulo
Goals: Scored
13
5
Games: Scored
6 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
0 / 6
SAO
1
GRE
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Gremio
Gremio2 - 1
Gremio2 - 1
Gremio3 - 0
1 - 2Sao Paulo
Gremio3 - 0
Gremio2 - 1
Goal Statistics

A truly awful PG of just 0.8 should cause concerns for Gremio fans, as should a 7 Serie A games run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Sao Paulo 17th Gremio 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
There is a 81% probability that Sao Paulo will score 1 or more goals
0
47%
1
35%
2
13%
3
4+
There is a 82% probability of Gremio scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+4
Sao Paulo’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-2
Gremio’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.6
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/294535/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Sao Paulo
PG (predicted goals)
Gremio
1.7
0.8
Attack rating
SAO
GRE
22%
better
view stats
Games scored4
6
Failed to score4
2
Scored first3
5
Goals scored6
7
Avg. goals scored0.8
0.9
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal10
9
Conversion rate for10
11
Avg. XG for1.1
0.8
KickOff rating
+22%
Defence rating
39%
better
SAO
GRE
view stats
Games conceded5
7
Clean sheets3
1
Conceded first2
3
Goals conceded6
12
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded13
6
Conversion rate against8%
16%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.4
KickOff rating
+39%

Sao Paulo v Gremio Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Sao Paulo Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8213
RafaelA SilvaA SilvaE Díaz
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Rafael GLK8
1
-
N Ferraresi  DEF7
1
-
R Arboleda DEF3
1
-
Sabino DEF3
1
-
E Díaz DEF7
3
-
Alisson MID8
2
-
M Antônio MID7
3
-
L. dos Santos Ferreira MID6
1
-
Oscar MID1
-
Luciano MID7
-
A Silva FWD821
2
-
Subs
L Bueno GLK
-
Jandrei GLK
-
C Soares DEF71
1
-
Wendell DEF6
-
A Franco DEF7
1
-
Patryck DEF
-
D Bobadilla MID4
2
-
P Maia MID1
-
F Negrucci MID
-
M. Alves Nascimento MID71
3
-
L. Marques Alencar FWD
-
R. Rodrigues dos Santos Silva FWD41
-
Gremio Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8113
T VolpiJemersonWagnerM Villasanti
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Volpi GLK8
1
-
J Pedro DEF4
-
Jemerson DEF81
2
-
Wagner DEF81
1
-
Marlon DEF4
2
-
Dodi MID6
1
-
M Villasanti MID6
3
-
A. da Rocha dos Santos MID5
-
M Monsalve MID6
2
-
A Guzmán MID3
-
M Braithwaite FWD611
2
-
Subs
G Grando GLK1
1
1
W Kannemann DEF1
1
-
L Esteves DEF4
-
L Cândido DEF
-
V Lopes DEF2
-
F Amuzu MID51
1
-
F Cristaldo MID6
-
Camilo MID7
-
Ronald MID1
-
C Pavón FWD4
1
-
D Martínez FWD511
1
-
André FWD4
-