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Sport Recife v Flamengo : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 15th Nov, 21:30 BST, Estádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalh, Recife

the Estádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalh is the setting on Saturday night, as César Ricardo de Lucena's Sport Recife welcome Filipe Luis Kasmirski's Flamengo in the Serie A. In this preview you'll find odds from leading bookmakers for seventeen different markets, alongside supporting data that changes as you go through them. Our predictions are based on 20-game form, so all statistics are shown for each side's last 20 too. Home vs away and overall performance can be viewed, while you'll also find head to head (H2H) history later on in the preview.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither S. Recife or Flamengo are in a rich vein of form that would have us feeling confident enough to tip a match winner, so we're going with over 1.5 goals. The statistics tell us that both have form in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 76% chance of 2 goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 57% chance of Flamengo coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
S. Recife
20%
8/1
13%
8/1
18%
Draw
23%
4/1
19%
4/1
4%
Flamengo
57%
4/11
1%
7/20
2%
Flamengo 1-0
11%
5/1
8%
9/2
10%
Draw 1-1
11%
17/2
12%
15/2
6%
Flamengo 2-0
10%
5/1
8%
9/2
5%
Flamengo 2-1
10%
8/1
6%
7/1
6%
Draw 0-0
6%
10/19/1
18%
Flamengo 3-0
6%
7/1
11%
13/2
7%
S. Recife 1-0
6%
16/1
11%
14/1
Flamengo 3-1
6%
11/110/1
8%
S. Recife 2-1
5%
25/1
13%
20/1
9%
Draw 2-2
5%
25/1
24%
18/1
17%
S. Recife 2-0
3%
40/133/1
Flamengo 3-2
3%
33/1
17%
22/1
21%
Flamengo 4-0
3%
14/1
12%
11/1
Flamengo 4-1
3%
20/116/1
11%
S. Recife 3-1
2%
66/1
31%
50/1
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
17/20
8%
5/6
6%
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
19/20
8%
10/11
9%
Home 1st Goal
41%
13/5
6%
3/1
11%
Away 1st Goal
55%
1/3
2%
3/10
No 1st Goal
4%
10/19/1
18%
BTTS - Yes
52%
6/5
7%
5/4
10%
BTTS - No
48%
8/13
5%
4/7
6%
BTTS - Home Win
10%
16/114/1
12%
BTTS - Draw
17%
6/1
17%
11/2
7%
BTTS - Away Win
25%
13/5
6%
12/5
11%
Home/draw
43%
2/111/5
2%
Away/draw
80%
1/14
1%
1/16
1%
Home/away
77%
1/6
4%
1/6
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
2/7
3%
2/7
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
11/4
10%
5/2
13%
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
11/5
15%
2/1
12%
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
4/11
5%
7/20
5%
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
5/1
14%
9/2
15%
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/8
3%
1/8
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
12/1
13%
10/1
15%
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/25
1%
1/33
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/20
1%
1/25
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/1
10%
9/1
18%
Home DNB
36%
6/1
8%
11/2
13%
Away DNB
73%
1/10
1%
1/12
1%
S. Recife win to nil
10%
12/1-
Flamengo win to nil
32%
1/1
9%
-
S. Recife / S. Recife
5%
16/1
13%
12/1
13%
S. Recife / Flamengo
4%
22/1
10%
18/1
10%
S. Recife / Draw
4%
20/116/1
11%
Draw / S. Recife
5%
16/1
13%
14/1
12%
Draw / Flamengo
21%
11/4
6%
14/5
Draw / Draw
12%
11/211/2
8%
Flamengo / S. Recife
2%
50/1
24%
45/1
10%
Flamengo / Flamengo
41%
20/21
5%
19/20
2%
Flamengo / Draw
4%
18/1
12%
16/1
11%
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
5
S. Recife have lost 5 consecutive league games
10
S. Recife have not won in 10 consecutive league games
S. Recife 20TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
8
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
S. Recife2 - 4A Mineiro
S. Recife0 - 2Juventude
S. Recife1 - 2Mirassol
S. Recife1 - 1Ceara
S. Recife2 - 2Fluminense
S. Recife1 - 0Corinthians
S. Recife2 - 3Vasco d Gama
S. Recife2 - 2Sao Paulo
S. Recife0 - 0Bahia
S. Recife2 - 2Santos
S. Recife0 - 1Botafogo
S. Recife1 - 1Internacional
S. Recife0 - 4Cruzeiro
S. Recife0 - 0Fortaleza
S. Recife0 - 1Bragantino
S. Recife1 - 2Palmeiras
S. Recife2 - 1Santos
S. Recife1 - 1Chapecoense
S. Recife4 - 0Guarani
S. Recife3 - 1Botafogo
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
2
Draw
8
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HS. Recife2 - 4A Mineiro
HS. Recife0 - 2Juventude
AS. Recife0 - 3Flamengo
HS. Recife1 - 2Mirassol
AS. Recife0 - 2Internacional
HS. Recife1 - 1Ceara
AS. Recife1 - 3A Mineiro
AS. Recife1 - 1Cruzeiro
HS. Recife2 - 2Fluminense
AS. Recife0 - 1Fortaleza
HS. Recife1 - 0Corinthians
AS. Recife1 - 1Bragantino
HS. Recife2 - 3Vasco d Gama
AS. Recife0 - 3Palmeiras
HS. Recife2 - 2Sao Paulo
AS. Recife1 - 0Gremio
HS. Recife0 - 0Bahia
HS. Recife2 - 2Santos
AS. Recife2 - 2Vitoria
HS. Recife0 - 1Botafogo
Flamengo 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sao Paulo2 - 2Flamengo
Fortaleza1 - 0Flamengo
Botafogo0 - 3Flamengo
Bahia1 - 0Flamengo
Corinthians1 - 2Flamengo
Juventude0 - 2Flamengo
Internacional1 - 3Flamengo
Ceara1 - 1Flamengo
Bragantino1 - 2Flamengo
Santos1 - 0Flamengo
Palmeiras0 - 2Flamengo
Cruzeiro2 - 1Flamengo
Vasco d Gama0 - 0Flamengo
Gremio0 - 2Flamengo
Vitoria1 - 2Flamengo
Criciuma0 - 3Flamengo
Fortaleza0 - 0Flamengo
Cuiaba1 - 2Flamengo
Cruzeiro0 - 1Flamengo
Internacional1 - 1Flamengo
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HFlamengo3 - 2Santos
AFlamengo2 - 2Sao Paulo
HFlamengo3 - 0S. Recife
AFlamengo0 - 1Fortaleza
HFlamengo3 - 2Palmeiras
AFlamengo3 - 0Botafogo
AFlamengo0 - 1Bahia
HFlamengo0 - 0Cruzeiro
AFlamengo2 - 1Corinthians
HFlamengo1 - 1Vasco d Gama
AFlamengo2 - 0Juventude
HFlamengo1 - 1Gremio
HFlamengo8 - 0Vitoria
AFlamengo3 - 1Internacional
HFlamengo2 - 1Mirassol
AFlamengo1 - 1Ceara
HFlamengo1 - 0A Mineiro
AFlamengo2 - 1Bragantino
HFlamengo1 - 0Fluminense
AFlamengo0 - 1Santos
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
7
Flamengo have not lost to S. Recife in 7 consecutive league meetings
League games at S. Recife since 2018
S. Recife
Flamengo
Goals: Scored
1
5
Games: Scored
1 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
2 / 3
D
1
FLA
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT S. Recife
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 3Flamengo
0 - 1Flamengo
League games at Flamengo since 2018
Flamengo
S. Recife
Goals: Scored
12
1
Games: Scored
4 / 4
1 / 4
Clean sheets
3 / 4
0 / 4
FLA
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Flamengo
Flamengo3 - 0
Flamengo2 - 0
Flamengo3 - 0
Flamengo4 - 1
Goal Statistics

Flamengo's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday night, not least because Sport Recife have conceded in each of their last 10 Serie A matches. A PG of 1.8 for F. Kasmirski's side suggests that run should continue.

S. Recife 20th Flamengo 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of S. Recife scoring 1 goal or less
0
16%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 84% probability that Flamengo will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-3
S. Recife’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+8
Flamengo’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.3
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
0.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
S. Recife
PG (predicted goals)
Flamengo
1
1.8
Attack rating
REC
FLA
48%
better
view stats
Games scored18
26
Failed to score14
6
Scored first9
21
Goals scored24
64
Avg. goals scored0.8
2
Avg. shots per game9
11
Avg. shots per goal12
5
Conversion rate for9
19
Avg. XG for1.1
1.6
KickOff rating
+48%
Defence rating
REC
FLA
51%
better
view stats
Games conceded27
16
Clean sheets5
16
Conceded first20
8
Goals conceded55
20
Avg. goals conceded1.7
0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded12
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
12
Conversion rate against15%
9%
Avg. XG against1.6
0.9
KickOff rating
+51%

S. Recife v Flamengo Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

S. Recife Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
276510
C RiveraD LacerdaL LimaL Lima
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Barletta FWD3021
2
-
C Rivera MID28
7
-
L Lima MID2735
10
-
J. Gomes da Silva MID24
4
-
I Cariús DEF231
2
-
M Alexandre DEF211
7
-
Romarinho FWD212
-
Gabriel GLK20
2
-
R Menezes  DEF191
3
-
Matheusinho MID1922
1
1
R Atencio FWD19
1
-
R Thyere DEF18
2
-
Pablo FWD1711
1
-
D Lacerda FWD176
8
-
S Oliveira MID1511
5
-
J Silva DEF13
1
-
C França GLK12
2
-
Hereda DEF111
1
-
P Augusto MID11
4
-
L Pereira FWD1121
-
L Cândido DEF101
1
-
Aderlan DEF10
3
-
Hyoran MID101
2
-
J Ramírez FWD8
1
-
Kevyson DEF7
2
-
L Kal MID71
-
L Cunha DEF6
2
-
G Paciência FWD4
-
Flamengo Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3217136
A RossiG ArrascaetaG ArrascaetaL Pereira
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Rossi GLK32
2
-
G Arrascaeta MID301713
3
-
L Araújo FWD3062
2
-
L Pereira DEF294
6
-
B Henrique FWD275
5
-
L Ortiz  DEF2612
4
-
G Plata FWD2441
1
Pedro FWD21126
3
-
G Varela DEF184
-
A Sandro DEF18
4
-
Éverton FWD1811
-
N Cruz MID17
4
-
Danilo DEF161
2
1
S Lino FWD1635
1
-
Ayrton DEF151
4
-
Jorginho MID141
5
-
E. Fernandes Araújo MID141
1
1
S Ñíguez MID131
1
-
Allan MID13
2
-
E Farfán MID131
4
-
W Barreto FWD1312
4
1
Michael FWD1313
-
Juninho FWD13
-
E Royal DEF1211
1
-
J Carrascal MID1224
4
-
M Viña DEF8
1
-
Cleiton DEF2
-
J. de Souza Cunha DEF1
-