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Sport Recife v Gremio : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalh, Recife

Home advantage is often beneficial in the Serie A, and César Ricardo de Lucena’s Sport Recife will have the joy of it on Sunday evening. Luiz Antônio Venker de Menezes’s Gremio are their opponents at the Estádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalh. In this preview you'll find odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for the 17 biggest betting markets as well as predictions, stats and head to head (H2H) data for these two clubs. Simply click through the tabs below to explore.

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The last Brazillian Serie A meeting between S. Recife and Gremio was on Sunday 7th December 2025
Brazillian Serie A
December 7th 2025
S. Recife 0
4 Gremio
 
29' C. Alves Morais
31' C. Alves Morais
42' G. Martins de Souza Santos
48' F. Cristaldo
 
REC
GRE
Shots On
3
8
Shots Off
3
2
Corners
1
5
Possession
43%
57%
Fouls
6
15
Yellow/red cards
1/0
5/0
 
S. RecifeGremio
 
C. França Godoy
R. de Albuquerque Marques
I. Aquino da Silva (J. Antunes da Silva 28')
L. Araujo Lima
M. Sales Cardoso (L. dos Santos Pereira 46')
G. Mendes Paciencia (S. Relvas de Oliveira 60')
J. Silva de Souza (Chrystian Barletta 60')
P. Borges da Costa
M. Anastácio de Souza
L. Candido de Almeida (R. Lima da Silva 46')
L. Schenfeld Prigioli
G. Hamester Grando
W. Calvelo de Souza
M. Rocha Aquino
(L. Esteves Souza 66') M. Rodrigues Xavier
G. Cuéllar Gallego
(C. Reijers de Olivera 66') E. Andrade dos Santos
football iconF. Cristaldo
(W. Borges da Silva 46') F. Amuzu
football iconG. Martins de Souza Santos
(C. Pavón 40') A. da Rocha dos Santos
(Andre Martins 77') football iconfootball iconC. Alves Morais

Best Tip: Both teams to score

Here we have a pair of strong, attacking groups going head-to-head and, as such, we're predicting both of them to score at least 1 goal during the 90 mins. Can respective managers César Ricardo de Lucena or Luiz Antônio Venker de Menezes mastermind a defensive masterclass to scupper our tip? Recent form stats and historical head-to-heads, as well as the latest odds from the bookmakers, suggest that's unlikely.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 47% chance of Gremio coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
S. Recife
30%
14/5750/1
Draw
23%
13/5750/1
Gremio
47%
10/111/500
Draw 1-1
10%
6/15/1
Gremio 2-1
9%
15/211/2
Gremio 1-0
7%
8/15/1
S. Recife 2-1
7%
12/110/1
Gremio 2-0
7%
9/15/1
Draw 2-2
7%
11/110/1
Gremio 3-1
6%
14/15/1
S. Recife 1-0
6%
12/17/1
Gremio 3-0
4%
16/119/5
Gremio 3-2
4%
20/111/1
Draw 0-0
4%
12/16/1
S. Recife 2-0
4%
20/114/1
S. Recife 3-1
3%
28/122/1
S. Recife 3-2
3%
33/128/1
Gremio 4-1
3%
28/19/1
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
7/101/10
Under 2.5 Goals
37%
11/105/1
Home 1st Goal
47%
13/1029/20
Away 1st Goal
52%
4/63/4
No 1st Goal
2%
12/16/1
BTTS - Yes
63%
8/138/1
BTTS - No
37%
6/51/20
BTTS - Home Win
18%
11/2125/1
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3125/1
BTTS - Away Win
27%
13/58/1
Home/draw
53%
4/5125/1
Away/draw
70%
1/41/1000
Home/away
77%
2/71/1000
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
2/92/5
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
10/37/4
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
7/42/13
Under 3.5 Goals
60%
4/94/1
Over 4.5 Goals
22%
4/119/5
Under 4.5 Goals
78%
1/61/6
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
9/128/1
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1/161/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/251/12
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
12/16/1
Home DNB
46%
7/4125/1
Away DNB
63%
2/51/1000
S. Recife win to nil
12%
7/1-
Gremio win to nil
21%
11/4-
S. Recife / S. Recife
12%
5/11/50
S. Recife / Gremio
4%
20/11/50
S. Recife / Draw
6%
14/11/50
Draw / S. Recife
9%
7/11/50
Draw / Gremio
17%
4/11/50
Draw / Draw
14%
5/11/50
Gremio / S. Recife
3%
28/145/1
Gremio / Gremio
30%
21/101/1000
Gremio / Draw
6%
12/122/1
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win form
10
S. Recife have lost 10 consecutive league games
15
S. Recife have not won in 15 consecutive league games
6
Gremio have not won in 6 consecutive away league games
S. Recife 20TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
10
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
2
Draw
8
Lost
10
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
S. Recife1 - 3Vitoria
S. Recife1 - 5Flamengo
S. Recife2 - 4A Mineiro
S. Recife0 - 2Juventude
S. Recife1 - 2Mirassol
S. Recife1 - 1Ceara
S. Recife2 - 2Fluminense
S. Recife1 - 0Corinthians
S. Recife2 - 3Vasco d Gama
S. Recife2 - 2Sao Paulo
S. Recife0 - 0Bahia
S. Recife2 - 2Santos
S. Recife0 - 1Botafogo
S. Recife1 - 1Internacional
S. Recife0 - 4Cruzeiro
S. Recife0 - 0Fortaleza
S. Recife0 - 1Bragantino
S. Recife1 - 2Palmeiras
S. Recife2 - 1Santos
S. Recife1 - 1Chapecoense
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
46
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
1
Draw
5
Lost
14
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AS. Recife0 - 2Bahia
AS. Recife0 - 3Santos
HS. Recife1 - 3Vitoria
AS. Recife2 - 3Botafogo
HS. Recife1 - 5Flamengo
HS. Recife2 - 4A Mineiro
HS. Recife0 - 2Juventude
AS. Recife0 - 3Flamengo
HS. Recife1 - 2Mirassol
AS. Recife0 - 2Internacional
HS. Recife1 - 1Ceara
AS. Recife1 - 3A Mineiro
AS. Recife1 - 1Cruzeiro
HS. Recife2 - 2Fluminense
AS. Recife0 - 1Fortaleza
HS. Recife1 - 0Corinthians
AS. Recife1 - 1Bragantino
HS. Recife2 - 3Vasco d Gama
AS. Recife0 - 3Palmeiras
HS. Recife2 - 2Sao Paulo
Gremio 9TH
20 league games
Away
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
3
Draw
7
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Botafogo3 - 2Gremio
Fortaleza2 - 2Gremio
Corinthians2 - 0Gremio
Bahia4 - 0Gremio
Bragantino1 - 0Gremio
Santos1 - 1Gremio
Internacional2 - 3Gremio
Flamengo1 - 1Gremio
A Mineiro1 - 3Gremio
Fluminense1 - 0Gremio
Palmeiras1 - 0Gremio
Vasco d Gama1 - 1Gremio
Cruzeiro4 - 1Gremio
Juventude0 - 2Gremio
Sao Paulo2 - 1Gremio
Vitoria1 - 1Gremio
Mirassol4 - 1Gremio
Ceara2 - 0Gremio
Vitoria1 - 1Gremio
Cruzeiro1 - 1Gremio
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HGremio1 - 2Fluminense
HGremio3 - 2Palmeiras
AGremio2 - 3Botafogo
HGremio2 - 0Vasco d Gama
AGremio2 - 2Fortaleza
HGremio0 - 1Cruzeiro
AGremio0 - 2Corinthians
HGremio3 - 1Juventude
AGremio0 - 4Bahia
HGremio2 - 0Sao Paulo
AGremio0 - 1Bragantino
AGremio1 - 1Santos
HGremio3 - 1Vitoria
HGremio1 - 1Botafogo
AGremio3 - 2Internacional
HGremio0 - 1Mirassol
AGremio1 - 1Flamengo
HGremio0 - 0Ceara
AGremio3 - 1A Mineiro
HGremio0 - 1S. Recife
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at S. Recife since 2018
S. Recife
Gremio
Goals: Scored
2
1
Games: Scored
2 / 4
1 / 4
Clean sheets
3 / 4
2 / 4
REC
1
D
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT S. Recife
Draw0 - 0Draw
S. Recife1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
League games at Gremio since 2018
Gremio
S. Recife
Goals: Scored
8
9
Games: Scored
4 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
1 / 5
REC
4
GRE
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Gremio
0 - 1S. Recife
Gremio3 - 0
1 - 2S. Recife
1 - 2S. Recife
3 - 4S. Recife
Goal Statistics

Gremio have been reliable in front of goal of late, finding the net in 5 consecutive Serie A outings. Their PG of 1.8 against Sport Recife on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

S. Recife 20th Gremio 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
34%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 75% probability that S. Recife will score 1 or more goals
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 84% probability that Gremio will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-19
S. Recife have scored 19% fewer goals at home than predicted
+8
Gremio’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.0
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.9
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
S. Recife
PG (predicted goals)
Gremio
1.4
1.8
Attack rating
REC
GRE
26%
better
view stats
Games scored21
26
Failed to score16
11
Scored first11
15
Goals scored28
43
Avg. goals scored0.8
1.2
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal11
8
Conversion rate for9
13
Avg. XG for1
1.3
KickOff rating
+26%
Defence rating
REC
GRE
15%
better
view stats
Games conceded32
31
Clean sheets5
6
Conceded first23
21
Goals conceded71
50
Avg. goals conceded1.9
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded13
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
8
Conversion rate against15%
12%
Avg. XG against1.7
1.6
KickOff rating
+15%

S. Recife v Gremio Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

S. Recife Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
303711
L LimaL LimaL LimaL Lima
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C França GLK15
2
-
M Alexandre DEF261
8
1
L Kal DEF131
1
-
R Thyere DEF241
2
-
L Cândido DEF
-
I Cariús DEF281
3
-
Matheusinho MID2523
1
1
P Augusto MID13
5
-
L Lima MID3337
11
-
Romarinho MID262
-
G Paciência FWD6
-
Subs
A Sousa GLK
-
R. Lima da Silva DEF1
-
Kevyson DEF9
3
-
J Silva DEF14
1
-
Aderlan DEF14
5
-
Hereda DEF111
1
-
S Oliveira MID1911
5
-
L Pereira FWD6
-
J Ramírez FWD8
1
-
R Atencio FWD19
1
-
C Barletta FWD3421
2
-
Gremio Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
311279
MarlonC ViníciusC PavónW Kannemann
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Grando GLK7
1
1
M Rocha DEF12
1
-
G Martins DEF192
4
-
Wagner DEF292
3
-
Marlon DEF3112
8
-
G Cuéllar MID17
3
-
Edenilson MID3132
6
-
A. da Rocha dos Santos MID3112
6
-
F Cristaldo MID3013
1
-
F Amuzu MID2242
4
-
C Vinícius FWD14121
3
1
Subs
J. Meurer Bartholdy GLK
-
J Lucas DEF10
1
-
W Kannemann DEF20
8
1
L Esteves DEF10
1
-
L. Guedes de Souza DEF
-
V Lopes DEF1
-
Camilo MID16
2
-
T. Gonçalves MID
-
C Pavón FWD287
7
-
A Guzmán FWD223
1
-
André FWD2552
3
-
Willian  FWD612
-
Brazillian Serie A match betting previews, predictions and odds